Frederic Mishkin Part 1
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Questions and Answers

What advancements have enabled the enhanced ability of banks to create money in modern economies?

Advances in central banking, deregulation, financial innovation, globalization, technological advancements, and economic growth.

What is primarily responsible for the creation of most money?

Commercial banks lending activities.

What entities affect how much money banks can create?

Along with central banks and regulators, many other factors act as masterminds.

What has the central bank implemented to maintain financial stability and prevent inflation?

<p>Careful management and regulations.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What markets have taken a larger share of IPOs compared to the NYSE in recent years?

<p>London and Hong Kong.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are some reasons why corporations issue their securities in financial markets in Asia and Europe?

<p>Adoption of technological innovation, strict regulatory environment in the US, tighter immigration controls and perceptions of greater risks of lawsuits in the US.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a foreign bond?

<p>Bonds issued in a domestic market, by a foreign entity, in the market's currency as a means of raising capital.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a Eurobond?

<p>A bond denominated in a currency other than that of the country in which it is sold.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is eurocurrency?

<p>Foreign currencies deposited in banks outside of the home country.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How is the rate of return of a bond defined?

<p>The rate of return is defined as the (amount of each payment to the owner + the change in the value of the security), divided by the purchase price.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is being measured by the security's return, or in more precise terminology, the rate of return?

<p>How well a person does financially by holding a bond or any other security over a particular time period.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is 'interest rate risk'?

<p>The risk level associated with an asset's return that results from interest rate changes.</p> Signup and view all the answers

When do bonds with maturity as short as the holding period, would have now interest rate risk?

<p>The face value is already being repaid on that year, and that changes in the interest rates have no effect on the price at the end of the holding period for these bonds and thus the price is already fixed at face value.</p> Signup and view all the answers

When would the investor be exposed to reinvestment risk?

<p>If the Holding period is longer than the maturity of the bond.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the process of how banks make profits by selling liabilities with 1 set of characteristics, and using the proceeds to buy assets with a different set of characteristics, this process is known as?

<p>Asset transformation.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How do banks make long-term loans by managing assets and liabilities?

<p>Banks usually Borrow Short, and Lend Long, this is where they make long term loans and funds these loans by issuing short term deposits.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What helps to classify items when analysing the T account account whether they are under assets or liabilities?

<p>Balance Sheets.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What do banks use to transfer money from one another quickly and efficiently?

<p>They use their account at the Fed account.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What restricted the ability of these financial institutions to open branches, each state had its own regulations on the number and type of branches which could be open?

<p>McFadden Act of 1927 (repealed by the Riegle-Neal Interstate Banking and Branching Efficiency Act of 1994).</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a bank holding company, and why is it advantageous?

<p>A company that owns several different companies; it helps banks circumvent branching regulations.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a key realization behind the ATM financial innovation?

<p>If the ATM was owned by someone else and the bank merely paid a fee for each transaction, the ATM would not be considered a branch of the bank.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are the trade-offs in issuing bonds versus creating money?

<p>Issuing bonds increases the burden for future generations, while creating money replaces idle resources with liquid reserves.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is actually the net result on bonds?

<p>Interest payments received on bonds are not equal to the return on the bond, the return is actually the net result of the differential in prices along with the interest rate payments.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the main goal of printing money?

<p>To replace the idle resources ( bonds), in the hands of the primary dealers, with money so that this money can be used to stimulate the economy.</p> Signup and view all the answers

When does the bank begin to initiate money creation?

<p>When banks begin their own money creation, creating deposits due to the money multiplier effect.</p> Signup and view all the answers

The government seeks what help to issue bonds, and what capacity do those have?

<p>The US Treasury, who is responsible for the issuing of the bonds, creates its own loans and is able to store central bank reverses..</p> Signup and view all the answers

What agreement is it between 2 parties to exchange 1 stream of interest payments for another, over a set period of time?

<p>Interest rate swap.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What actions define a 'vanilla swap'?

<p>Exchange fixed-rate payments for floating-rate payments based on the LIBOR rate.</p> Signup and view all the answers

If one company is demanding a higher fixed IR from the other company, what could this be indicative of?

<p>It is because they see that the forward LIBOR curve is showing that IR would rise and they need to pay more, asking the other to pay for the anticipated rise.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Name three factors that make market-related trading and analytical activities easier for treasuries?

<p>Treasuries are useful because they allow to buy and sell the issues quickly and with low transaction costs, they use treasuries to hedge positions in other fixed-income securities and to speculate on interest rates.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What common metric is used as liquidity indicator, and what is it?

<p>Bid-ask spread, which measures the cost of executing a single trade of a certain size.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is designed to provide liquidity for professional traders for managing their portfolio risk in equities and commodities?

<p>Futures market.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Describe the impact a surprising burst of inflation has on borrowers and lenders.

<p>It reduces real value of debt, transferring wealth from lenders to borrowers. Future lending costs also likely rise.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Unexpected inflation will raise what cost?

<p>The cost of servicing future US debt (making the necessary payments in future ).</p> Signup and view all the answers

Inflation is most likely to erode which types of profits?

<p>The yields on bonds. When inflation rises, the real return on bond payments fall and thus when new bonds are issued, higher nominal yields are demanded.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are the two distinct effects of a sudden burst of inflation according to the text?

<p>It immediately reduces the real value of existing debts and raises expected inflation and thus yields.</p> Signup and view all the answers

In which entities is it most simple for banks to quickly have means of interbank loan settlement?

<p>In entities with an account at the fed.</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a foreign bank does not have an account at the Fed, how does it handle transfers?

<p>It puts the money into a US commercial bank, who in turn transfers it to the appropriate bank.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was the 90s-era trend among EME's, and what was expected from them?

<p>Opening their domestic markets to outside influence particularly with capital flows, in hopes of opening opportunity for growth.</p> Signup and view all the answers

The 2 stage pattern in a typical financial crises is what?

<p>A credit boom which inevitably ends in a bust.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the result often found of a lack of regulation and supervision?

<p>Prinicipal agent problem.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the second stage in a full-blown crisis?

<p>Currency.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Emergin markets often see many debt contracts in what currenices, which could lead to what?

<p>Foreign, which leads to currency mismatch.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Following financial turmoil after loans are unpaid and money supply goes bust, what action results within debtor nations?

<p>Increasing interest rates lead to lower economic activity.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How have advances in central banking contributed to the increased capacity of banks to create money?

<p>Advances in central banking policies help to deregulate bank capabilities, promote financial innovations, and connect the banks to global markets.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain how commercial banks contribute to economic growth and improved living standards.

<p>Commercial banks support economic growth by providing credit for business expansion and infrastructure development and enable greater access to goods and services.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What factors are believed to weaken the dominance of US financial markets relative to those in Asia and Europe?

<p>The dominance of US Financial markets are weakened by factors such as quicker adoption of technology in foreign markets, stricter immigration in the US, burdensome financial regulation such as costs complying with the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, and increased savings and deregulation in foreign markets.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Define foreign bonds.

<p>Foreign bonds represent debt instruments issued in a domestic market by &quot;foreign entities&quot; seeking to raise capital in the local currency.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Contrast Eurobonds with Eurocurrencies, particularly regarding currency denomination.

<p>Eurobonds are denominated in a currency other than that of the country in which they are sold, while Eurocurrencies are foreign currencies deposited in banks outside their home country.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What formula is used to compute the rate of return for a bond?

<p>The rate of return is calculated as (amount of each payment to the owner + change in security value), divided by the purchase price. This includes fluctuations in the actual price of the bond.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does the number of payments from a bond affect how the Yield to Maturity changes during a single change in interest rates?

<p>With differing maturities of bonds, a singular change in the interest rates produces multiple possibilities of bond prices.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How is interest rate risk affected by bonds with holding periods that are shorter than their term to maturity?

<p>Assuming term to maturity of the bonds are not shorter than the holding period of the investor, this would result in little to no interest rate risk.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain reinvestment risk in the context of holding periods and bond maturities.

<p>Reinvestment risk occurs when the holding period is longer than the maturity of the bond, requiring reinvestment of the proceeds, possibly at different interest rates.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is asset transformation and how do banks profit from it?

<p>Asset transformation is the process by which banks turn liabilities with 1 set of characteristics into assets with a different set of characteristics. Banks profit from asset transformation by selling liabilities with 1 set of characteristics, and using the proceedings to buy assets with a different set of characteristics.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How do banks manage funds transfers between separate states using their Fed Accounts?

<p>When transferring funds from one bank in a separate state to another, banks use their Fed Account to efficiently transfer funds, avoiding time-consuming direct requests.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Define 'McFadden Act of 1927' and describe its relationship with the 'Douglas Amendment of 1956'.

<p>Intended to put national banks and state banks on equal footing, the 'McFadden Act of 1927' did design to put national banks and state banks on equal footing. The 'Douglas Amendment of 1956' closed a loophole in the law which effectively prohibited banks from branching across state lines and forced all national banks to conform to state branching regulations.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What financial innovations did banks use to circumvent restrictive branching regulations?

<p>Banks circumvented restrictive banking regulations via setting up Bank Holding Companies (BHCs). They also set up Automatic Teller Machines.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain the difference between 'Issuance of government bonds' and 'Creation of Money'.

<p>The issuance of bonds increases the debt burden for future generations while the creation of money simply replaces bonds with liquid reserves.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain the purpose of creating/printing money when it has been done by the Fed.

<p>The replacement of illiquid Bonds with liquid reserves stimulates the economy and increases total banking reserves, which leads to economic stimulus.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does the creation/printing of money indirectly result in inflation?

<p>Creating money allows banks to exchange illiquid bonds with liquid reserves which begin their own money creation process through the use of money multipliers.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is an interest rate swap and what is its initial purpose?

<p>Agreements to exchange interest payment streams over time, interest rate swaps can also be seen as a reflection of how well the market expects the interest rates to perform now and in the future. IR swaps were initially used to allow corporations to pay fixed and receive floating debt liabilities.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain the significance of the 'LIBOR forward curve' in the context of interest rate swaps.

<p>Estimating the variable rate (LIBOR) fluctuations, with the LIBOR forward curve, allows the payer to compare it against the total cost they would pay on their fixed interest rate payments.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why would one be willing to accept an equal exchange on an interest rate swap even if other rates seem more lucrative?

<p>Because the main point of the deal is the person expects a volatile market.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What four factors affect trading costs in an illiquid market?

<p>Size of the trade, timing of trade, the trading venue and the counterparties.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are the pros and cons of using the 'trading volume' as a measure of liquidity?

<p>The simplicity and availability of the trading volume as a way to measure liquidity is popular, but studies show that more trading volume could also equate to more volatility.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How can trade sizes and quote sizes be used to measure market depth?

<p>Both underestimate market depth. Trade Size as this helps measure the quantity of securities tradable at the bid and offer prices. However this also underestimates market depth, because the quantity traded is often less than the quantity that could have been traded at a given price. Meanwhile a Quote Size is an estimate of the quantity of the securities tradable at the bid and offer prices.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Define 'Price Impact Coefficient'

<p>The Price Impact Coefficient focuses in calculating the rise in price and is useful to those executing large or series of trades, lacks ability in obtaining real-time prices but when coupled together would provide a fairly complete measure of liquidity.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the effect of increased inflation on borrowers with nominal debts?

<p>Unexpected inflation reduces the real value of what borrowers must pay back.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does the Federal Reserve's credibility affect the cost of future borrowing?

<p>If investors believe in the Fed, long-term borrowing costs may not rise excessively; otherwise, costs could be inflated over a longer period.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What happens if a foreign bank doesn't have a Fed account when their client transfers money to someone who banks at a US commercial bank?

<p>A foreign bank that doesn't have a Fed account will put the money into a US commercial bank, then that bank will transfer it to the intended bank via Central Bank Reserves.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why can't a foreign bank create a direct transferal of funds to Peg's bank?

<p>Regulatory compliance, the lack of technical integration due to differing protocols, settlement risk.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are the 2 major types of liabilities on the Fed's balance sheet?

<p>Currency in circulation and reserves.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the 'Monetary base'?

<p>Monetary Base is the sum of the Fed's liabilities as well as the Treasury's.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Is the Fed only creates an IOU but the person never gets their hands on it, does the IOU still exist?

<p>No, the IOU does not still exist. It is as though the Fed has never created it.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary way the Fed provides reserves to the banking system and how does this increase the money supply?

<p>Primarily done by purchasing securities, increasing its holdings, which an increase in either the rate or government securities, increases money supply.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Describe the process by which the Treasury and Fed interact to influence the money supply.

<p>Treasury issue bonds, giving proceeds for governing spending which increases money supply and injects funds. The Fed enhances by buying from financial institutions in the secondary market and increasing bank reserves while lowering yields.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Do Fed Open Market Operations affect the monetary base?

<p>Open Market operations by the Fed has no effect on the reserves in the banking system and cannot affect the monetary base, however, a shift from deposits will.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are the 2 primary methods used to determine the monetary base?

<p>Open market operations and lending to institutions, though the latter isn't entirely controllable by the Fed though it can determine the discount rate.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How do open market purchases increase the money supply?

<p>OMO by Fed increases the nonborrowed monetary base, which leads to increases in the monetary base and reserves.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are the three players involved in the money multiplier?

<p>Central banks, commercial banks, and depositors.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How has the Global Financial Crisis and Coronavirus crisis affected lending programs, and what would determine if the Fed could still control inflation?

<p>The lending has massive led to expansion, but less of an increase. Large increases have led to falling money multipliers, currency ration, and excess ratio increases. In 2008, the Fed created interest excess reserves which caused the banks to hold money. This was determined on whether the cost increases kept markets stable, and long-term increases would come more consistent with the Fed's, and therefore could stabilize in target inflation rate.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What were the main issues which results in the financial crisis in the first place?

<p>Banks taking too many risky, low quality loans.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Describe the economic context in emerging markets that can lead to financial crises, including the concepts of 'financial liberalisation' and 'financial globalisation'.

<p>Emerging economies are those that are in their early stages of market development and have opened goods and services, and capital. These are triggered by mismanagement of financial Liberalisation (eliminate restrictions) and Globalisation (financial firms from other nations).</p> Signup and view all the answers

Summarize what happens under mismanagement concerning borrowing from abroad.

<p>There are often few controls in place, meaning they offer high interest rates which is attractive to companies looking to fund. Government fix domestic loans, while the capital inflow is stimulated. This also often means there are large lending booms. Due to the loans being poor quality will lead to default rates with lack of regulations to stop.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why do countries of East Asia ran budget surpluses before their crises struck?

<p>These economies often have a weak 'Credit Culture' characterised by both ineffective screening and monitoring of borrowers and lax government supervision of banks. Financial Liberalisation would risky lending practices which sows the seeds for an enormous loan loss.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How are political leaders and supervisors complicit in lending arrangements?

<p>Politicians contribute to a financial crisis by running campaigns to persuade politicians to weaken regulations, and benefit from helping create high-return investment opportunities when they are unable to properly regulate for themselves.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain the dynamics in financial markets after investors are losing confidence.

<p>The government may struggle to finance their debt due to irresponsibility, this leaves banks and lenders with bad debt and creates panic and big outflows across the economy.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain what often leads to a 'Currency Mismatch' and how it can be devastating.

<p>Demonetizing many of their debt contracts in foreign currency leading to what is referred to as a currency mismatch causes debts to increase with the firm.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why can't the country's central bank, in emerging and struggling countries, fight the current inflation?

<p>They have too little credibility.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Outline the main steps that lead to a full-blown Currency crisis in a developing country.

<p>When there is a currency crisis, the local currency would fall and the foreign currency would rise. All debts and prices increase and people have less.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Following the East Asian Economies Miracle, many of their macroeconomic fundamentals were strong. What did it mean?

<p>Their governments were in a slight surplus and doing better than most advanced ones. They managed to squander all of that through financial liberalisation and globalisation process.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How did the structure of 'Chaebols' contribute to South Korea's financial crisis in the 1990s?

<p>Government had implicit agreement but the chaebols knew this, hence becoming highly leveraged and borrowing amounts stagnate, decline in profit and lenders back under government they knew they would be supported.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How did the Mexican economic crisis work?

<p>Mexico ran a budget deficit of 0.7% GDP where countries of Asia all ran budget surpluses, yet Mexico still declared bankruptcy.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are the 2 key factors that trigger speculative attacks?

<p>Detonation of bank balance sheets and severe fiscal imbalances.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the main effect of the loss of confidence in a nation's wealth on the economy during a financial crisis?

<p>The nation will need to raise interest due to outflows from the global market if the central bank can't solve the financial crisis soon.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are key indicators or characteristics of an Emerging Market economic crash?

<p>Debt denominated in foreign currency (currency mismatch), unanticipated depreciation, domestic firms and net worthless reduced or affected. This all worsens with moral hazard.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why does the firm's collective asset value not rise as it is priced in the domestic currency?

<p>Asset values and debts have gone up from before, this has affected skin in the game, and the firm is in sharply moral hazard and adverse selection, leading to a loss in economic activity.</p> Signup and view all the answers

In times of currency collapse/financial crisis, what does that mean has most likely to happen for the banks?

<p>Banks will face number of defaults, a loss of assets, balance sheets and the amount their debt increase.</p> Signup and view all the answers

After a large speculative attack, what may happen?

<p>The country loses currency reserves which hurts its imports.</p> Signup and view all the answers

If I'm collecting fixed IR from Jim, that means I'm holding onto a fixed interest rate payment scheme initially. Thus after the swap, Jim pays this for me. What then is the process of the swap?

<p>Variable interest rates and this is what he has holding onto now.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary role of the banking system?

<p>Issue loans and screen bank.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What impact does stable or unstable inflation have on the economy?

<p>The reduction of business. Low is also efficiency with decisions.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the money supply?

<p>People use currency that affects everything.</p> Signup and view all the answers

The increase in the labor market will do what?

<p>It can mean they are willing to spend more on employees or for the work to give them much more in the form of their work and money.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are the three shifts in labor?

<p>Total amount of capital in the economy, the total amount of labour supplied in the economy, the available tech.</p> Signup and view all the answers

With there being many factors for why someone can't sell the product how can that be solved?

<p>Because other businesses won't know well enough. There are many services though to find the right business.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Did Phillips correct the theory?

<p>Yes he was saying something about the wealth.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does the modern Curve help Phillips?

<p>They can be long or show what is good or not with what all has affected the inflation.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How have advances in central banking and globalization affected banks' ability to create money?

<p>They have enhanced banks' money creation capabilities.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Who ultimately determines the extent to which banks use their potential to create money?

<p>The banks themselves.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Name at least three factors that have caused the US financial market's dominance to weaken in recent years.

<p>Quicker technological innovation in foreign markets, stricter immigration controls, and burdensome financial regulations.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How do improvements in foreign financial markets and deregulation contribute to the shift away from the US market?

<p>Increased savings and deregulation in foreign markets make them more attractive for corporations to issue securities.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a 'foreign bond', and give an example.

<p>A bond issued in a domestic market by a foreign entity in the market's currency. For example, a German company issuing a bond in the US denominated in USD.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does a Eurobond differ from a bond issued in the US by a foreign entity?

<p>A Eurobond is denominated in a currency other than that of the country in which it is sold.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What key element always exists when creating Eurobonds or Eurocurrency?

<p>A currency mismatch.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is included in the rate of return for bonds beyond just interest?

<p>Fluctuations from holding the bond during the period are measured, either gains or losses.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does the interest-rate risk differ between short-term and long-term debt instruments, and why does this difference exist?

<p>Short-term debt instruments have less interest-rate risk. Shorter turn bonds face a quick repayment of face value at a fixed price.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What risk is introduced if an investor's holding period is longer than the maturity of a bond?

<p>Reinvestment risk.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Savings deposits held by one person enabling a mortgage loan to another is an example of what crucial banking activity?

<p>Asset transformation.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary result of the McFadden Act and state regulations?

<p>Strong anticompetitive forces in the commercial banking industry.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How do bank holding companies circumvent restrictive branching regulations?

<p>By owning a controlling interest in multiple banks, even if branching is limited.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why doesn't Treasury creation of money stimulate the economy much?

<p>Those bonds do not stimulate the economy because if it to be repaid using money from the economy.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain why the creation/printing of money by the Fed doesn't directly lead to inflation.

<p>It allows for the replacement of illiquid bonds with liquid reserves that can be lent out.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What common benchmark rate is at the center of vanilla swaps and what are vanilla swaps?

<p>LIBOR. Vanilla Swaps are an agreement between two parties which exchange rate payments for any over period.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why do companies engage in swap transactions and what do they expect?

<p>Companies engage in swap with someone because of risk appetites. Companies demand a fair deal where both would gain.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why do treasury bonds exhibit great liquidity and are important to trading?

<p>Quick buy and sell, and treasuries, are used to hedge positions.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What indicators are used to measure liquidity?

<p>The Bid ask Spread, trading volume and trading frequency is commonly used.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does 'short selling effectively work'?

<p>You collect money when sells what isn't yours and at some point need to return commodity assuming it is indistinguishable.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What advancements have supported banks' enhanced ability to create money?

<p>Advances in central banking, deregulation, financial innovation, globalization, technological advancements, and economic growth have supported this ability.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Who significantly contributes to economic growth & improved living standards through lending activities?

<p>Commercial banks.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What factors explain the weakening dominance of US financial markets compared to Asia and Europe?

<p>Faster adoption of technological innovation, stricter immigration controls, the perception of greater lawsuit risks on American exchanges and burdensome financial regulations.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are instruments in foreign markets known as?

<p>Foreign Bonds.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are Eurocurrencies?

<p>Foreign currencies deposited in banks outside of the home country, the most important being the Eurodollar.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What traits do you need to know when discussing Euro~ such as an Eurobond or Eurocurrency?

<p>Eurobonds always involve a currency mismatch.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain what the 'Rate of Return' on a bond is.

<p>The rate of return is defined as the (amount of each payment to the owner + the change in the value of the security), divided by the purchase price.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why is YTM (yield to maturity) not an accurate measure of the 'net' returns we receive from a bond?

<p>The return of the bond includes the component of fluctuation of the actual price itself while the yield to maturity only considers what payments we receive.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is 'reinvestment risk'?

<p>It arises if the Holding period is longer than the maturity of the bond, then the investor would be exposed to Reinvestment Risk, which arises as the investor would need to reinvest the proceeds from the short term bond.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is 'asset transformation'?

<p>Banks make profits by selling liabilities with 1 set of characteristics, and using the proceeds to buy assets with a different set of characteristics, this process is known as <strong>asset transformation</strong>.</p> Signup and view all the answers

On a simplified balance sheet for a bank (T account), what items fall under assets or liabilities?

<p>Assets or Liabilities are determined by revising a Balance Sheet.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What would happen to the reserve requirement if 100$ is deposited in the bank and the Reserve Requirement Ratio (RRR) is 10%

<p>The amount of reserve requirement would increase by $10, and the excess reserves would increase by $90.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How did the McFadden Act and state branching laws create a strong anticompetitive environment in commercial banking?

<p>Allowed many smaller banks to remain in operation because bigger banks couldn't build branches nearby.</p> Signup and view all the answers

In what ways did bank holding companies circumvent restrictive branching regulations?

<p>Bank holding companies can own a controlling stake in multiple banks even when branching is prohibited because they are different companies.</p> Signup and view all the answers

In what way did ATMs serve as a financial innovation for banks?

<p>Banks realized that ATMs, if operated by another entity, weren't considered a branch and thus didn't fall under branching regulations.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Contrast how the government's issuance of bonds and the creation of money affect economic stimulus.

<p>Bonds don't stimulate the economy much but increase the debt burden for future generations, while creating money replaces bonds with liquid resources for banks to loan out.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain the main goal of printing money by the Fed.

<p>To replace idle resources with money so this money can stimulate the economy by increasing reserves and allowing a larger money supply.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does printing money indirectly lead to inflation?

<p>Printing money allows the replacement of illiquid bonds with liquid reserves that can be lent out, leading to increased money creation and increased spending. If demand outstrips supply, demand-pull inflation rises.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the 'Libor Rate'?

<p>The interest rate high-credit quality banks charge one another for short-term financing.</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a typical swap transaction, who are the counterparties involved?

<p>A corporation, a bank, or investor, and an investment or commercial bank.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does a rise in the swap rate for LIBOR swapping indicate?

<p>It reflects market expectations of rising interest rates influenced by central bank policies, inflation, and economic growth, or indicates higher credit risk.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does it mean to be 'long' on an asset?

<p>To <strong>own</strong> an asset.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is treasury market liquidity?

<p>The ability to execute trades at no costs.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why is it hard to measure costs when markets are illiquid?

<p>The factors depend on the size of the trade, timing of trade, the trading venue, and the counterparties involved; needed information is often unavailable.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why is trading volume is an indirect measure of liquidity?

<p>Stemming from its simplicity and availability as well as the fact that more active markets tend to be more liquid.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is 'bid-ask spread'?

<p>It measures the cost of executing a single trade of a certain size; Quote Size estimates the quantity of tradeable securities at bid-offer pricing.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What makes the US aid developing nations in the event of economic troubles?

<p>Increased financial ties with foreign governments is due to both to the rising globalization and the increased market state of emerging foreign markets.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the significance of this finding in understanding the mechanics behind short selling?

<p>If you buy it for a cheaper price, you will make a profit, if it is more expensive in future, you will make a loss.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain why the Futures market is described as being designed to provide liquidity.

<p>For professional traders for managing their portfolio risk in equities and commodities.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain what the big benefit to institutional investors and traders are when dealing with index funds.

<p>They can hedge or increase positions without buying 500 stocks separately.</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a Futures contract why is it said you will be exposed to the entire market index?

<p>These are contractual obligations, which make short-term strategies quick and accessible.</p> Signup and view all the answers

When would a borrower likely short the futures market?

<p>To hedge long portfolios and offset losses temporarily.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain the overall results of inflation

<p>It relieves debt burden with stakeholder devaluing of the currency, the debt is now increased but with investor's interest.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is Gross debt?

<p>It only counts the debt with governments issue.</p> Signup and view all the answers

The increase in price levels causes reduction, as the nominal GDP increases. This affects the wealth of all involved, both the holder/ payors of US Gov. debt to which it is being paid, what happens?

<p>transfers wealth from holders of US government debt, to US taxpayers.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is one way to tell when a government is ready to cause deflation?

<p>By taking the Yield on the 10-Year Treasury.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What happens as a result of the sudden burst of inflation?

<p>Debt values decrease, and raise expectations and yields which increases cost of borrowing.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the ex-post real yield for the 10-year Treasury indicate about government borrowing during a specific period?

<p>The government was borrowing at high real interest rates.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain the most simplified form of money making.

<p>Through providing loans by commercial banks using central bank reserves for interbank transactions.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the definition of a foreign bank, in US context?

<p>A bank operating in the US but headquartered outside of the US.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What do central bank's reserve ratios do?

<p>These ratios do not limit the size of the banking sector both by quantity/ ratios.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Who would usually need the local banks out of the commercial banking system, to generate funds for bank accounts?

<p>Foreign commercial banks usually would have to bank with the local banks as they have their own forms of 'Fed Accounts'.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What happens when there are international banks in operation??

<p>They are operating under the operations of both home and host control.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why is the central banks considered the most important?

<p>The central bank's policies will affect that of monetary effects and balance sheets.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What constitutes a liability that will affect the balance sheet?

<p>Currency and circulation and reserves.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How have central banking, deregulation and technological growth contributed to a greater money supply in modern economies?

<p>These advancements have enhanced banks' ability to create money via financial innovation, globalization and economic growth.</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the content how do commercial banks create money?

<p>Through lending activities which are supported by central bank policies, commercial banks enable economic transactions, business expansion, infrastructure development and investment in innovation.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How has the increased money supply affected economic development and living standards?

<p>The money supply has enabled increased productivity, greater access to goods, services and an improved quality of life.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What has been the recent trend regarding US financial market dominance compared to other countries?

<p>The United States has experienced weakening financial market dominance. The London and Hong Kong stock exchange now handle larger shares of IPOs, and the number of stocks on US exchanges has decreased.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Name three reasons why corporations are choosing to issue their securities in financial markets in Asia and Europe as opposed to the US.

<p>These countries can adopt quicker technological changes in financial markets, the US has stricter immigration controls after 9/11, and perceptions listing on American exchanges can lead to greater risk of lawsuits.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why have the improvements in some foreign financial markets occurred?

<p>The improvements in foreign financial markets are a result of increased personal savings and decreased regulations.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Define Eurobonds. How are they different from Eurocurrencies?

<p>Eurobonds are denominated in a currency outside the country they are sold in. Eurocurrencies are foreign currencies deposited in banks outside their country of origin.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is meant by the 'rate of return' in finance? How does it differ from 'yield to maturity'?

<p>The 'rate of return' includes both interest payments and changes in the security's value. 'Yield to maturity' only looks at payments received and does not provide an accurate measure of net returns.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why do short-term debt instruments have substantially less interest rate risk?

<p>Short term debt instruments have less interest rate risk because the face value is already being repaid that year and changes in interest rates have no effect on price at the end of holding period. Thus the price is fixed at face value already.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Describe the concept of reinvestment risk for an investor holding a short-term bond.

<p>If the holding period is longer than short term bond, the investor would face reinvestment risk as the investor would need to reinvest short term band process.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the concept of asset transformation?

<p>This process is known as is selling liabilities with one set of characteristics, and using the products to assets with difference set of characteristics.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain how a bank transforms a savings deposit into a mortgage loan.

<p>Savings deposits are typically held by one person to bank able to provide loans to other such as mortgage loan in bank transformation.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the purpose of T account in finances?

<p>T account simplified balance sheet is the tool simplify balance sheet balance sheet lines in the form of t.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the role of a Fed account in fund transfers between banks in separate states?

<p>Rather than individually asking for money, banks use their Fed accounts to streamline fund transfers. This allows for faster and easier transactions between banks across state lines.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does the reserve requirement impact a bank's ability to create loans when it gains deposits?

<p>When the bank gains the sum of deposits are subject to reserve requirements if 100 deposited bank RRR 10% then reserve requirements will increase 10 and excess reserve will increase by 90.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Describe the historical context behind the high number of small banks in the US.

<p>America has many banks ranging from small to large due to the law with restrict restrictions and their ability to expand anti competition set.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Bank holding companies circumvent branchings regulations how?

<p>Holding companies circumvent restrictive branching regulations holding company control, investment in several banks even branching is not permitted. This allows broader market while still adhering regulations.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How do ATMs serve as a financial innovation that gets around restrictive branching laws?

<p>Banks realized ATM owned by others bank paid the fee for each transaction ATMs are not considered a branch the Bank.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What part does the Fed play when bonds are created to both raise funds for the government and inject liquid reserves into the economy?

<p>The Fed creates reserves from the money multiplier effect allows banks to replace illiquid bonds with liquid reserves enables greater economic activity.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain the purpose and mechanics of an interest rate swap between two parties.

<p>Interest rate swaps with two parties to one stream of payment and that another swap risk preferences to that benefit. When its indicative rise.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Describe how treasuries are used in trading and analytical activities.

<p>Treasuries make it easier to invest the trading quickly low-cost market hedge positions income and speculate treasury.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Describe the relationship between liquidity and transaction costs, with emphasis on a liquid market.

<p>Trading a liquid in trading of action cost at minimal and that affected the market the trade that time for trade.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How can trading volume be an indicator of market liquidity, and what is a limitation of using it as such?

<p>Trading volume is like an end of the market to be Studies for more of an indirect.</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the content what are three ways to measure market liquidity?

<p>Trading volume a more active markets tends to liquidity reading frequency. Bid asked spread community. is an indicator of indicator liquidity.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain short selling and potential gains and losses.

<p>Short selling item on one owns buy get make a product future.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is meant by a 'rolling over debt'?

<p>Rolling over debt is the that is more what is more.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is The [ability of a government to service debt is closely related to its tax base]?

<p>Due thus the ratio of government to which the comparison.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How can inflation affect government debt, both positively and negatively?

<p>Inflation is a two-edged sword as it not only eases but also affects earning.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What has been US experience on the relationship between inflation and the national debt?

<p>US have high expected that would US debt to in ratio.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Name three factors that determine liquidity and explain how they affect it?

<p>Sized at Trade time affect to do.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the author say are reasons leading to Asian financial crisis?

<p>Manage financial balance.</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the author what 2 things might be done when the IMF gets involved in a financial crisis?

<p>So compensate along.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What causes the currency crises?

<p>There were sheets and severe in trigger effective.</p> Signup and view all the answers

When faced with a looming currency crisis that it can't tackle directly explain what choices are available to a government?

<p>Governments have little of.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why would countries denominate debt in foreign markets?

<p>Are some of all and in the home.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is meant by the phrase and how is it significant: 'The main result is essentially the loss of confidence which has far-reaching impacts.'?

<p>This the of confidence and the net and.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the author trying to convey about 'limited resources' in stages of a financial crisis?

<p>The a will to.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are the key reasons that Emerging market economies are unable to navigate the international financial system?

<p>Most and the state.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What will financial liberalization by itself NOT necessarily result in?

<p>These a form process.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What 2 factors would avoid a booming loan market and subsequent bank bust?

<p>The two is take in and thus the bust.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Powerful domestic business interests are easily encouraged to what?

<p>Are of by pay the financial.</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the author where do large financial imbalances place a nation and its economy?

<p>A to economies.</p> Signup and view all the answers

In Stage 2 Currency Crises give the dilemma what happens, what do they do as an option to improve.

<p>The their Thus the the the.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How can currency devaluation both relieve and exacerbate a country's debt burden depending on how debt is managed?

<p>The of currency the debt for burden.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is result from a loss of investor confidence within a country?

<p>The many and the.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How can economists determine if there are problems in the economy while analyzing business cycle?

<p>Business of of would to the for.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What makes an economy's short-run aggregate supply curve upwards sloping?

<p>Wage then and.</p> Signup and view all the answers

The text lists 3 variables that cause the SRAS curve to shift what are they?

<p>They, Shock.</p> Signup and view all the answers

If there is a negative supply shock what is the affect on the AS curve?

<p>A shift it at and a has.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is an economy with no output gap called?

<p>Sell to mechanism.</p> Signup and view all the answers

The author mentions factors other than those listed for Phillips curve what are they?

<p>To thus the that if.</p> Signup and view all the answers

The author mentions that the financial innovation comes as a response to demands can also have what origin type?

<p>Responses can be.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What key advancements have supported the enhanced ability of banks to create money in modern economies?

<p>Advances in central banking, deregulation, financial innovation, globalization, technological advancements, and economic growth.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are two main reasons corporations might choose to issue securities in financial markets outside of the U.S. (Asia and Europe)?

<p>Faster adoption of technological innovation and burdensome financial regulations in the US.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does the regulatory environment contribute to the weakening of American financial markets compared to those in Asia and London?

<p>The regulatory environment in America is too strict, making it more costly for companies to operate in the US than in foreign countries.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain how is a Eurobond different from a Foreign Bond?

<p>A Foreign Bond is issued in a domestic market by a foreign entity, denominated in the market's currency, while a Eurobond is denominated in a currency other than that of the country where it is sold.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain why Yield to Maturity (YTM) isn't an accurate measure of the net returns we receive from a bond.

<p>YTM considers only the payments we receive while the actual return of the bond includes the fluctuation of bond price itself.</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of short-term bonds, why might reinvestment risk become a concern for an investor?

<p>If the investor's holding period is longer than the maturity of the bond, they would need to reinvest the proceeds, potentially at different interest rates.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How do banks profit through 'asset transformation'?

<p>Banks sell liabilities with one set of characteristics (e.g., short-term deposits) and use the proceeds to buy assets with different characteristics (e.g., long-term loans).</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain how the McFadden Act and state branching regulations limited competition in the commerical banking industry.

<p>By restricting the ability for firms to establish new locations it hindered the larger banks and allowed many smaller banks to continue existing nearby.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why is creating money to replace bonds not considered 'introducing anything' new to the economy?

<p>The amount of bonds bought is proportionate to the amount of reserves introduced into the economy.</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the document, why is the concept of 'printing money' useful?

<p>The Fed creates the money to pay for the bonds rather than taking it from the economy.</p> Signup and view all the answers

In what situation does replacing illiquid bonds with liquid reserves by the Fed lead to demand-pull inflation?

<p>When the demand in the economy outstrips the supply resulting in increased spending and economic activity</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary difference between a 'vanilla' interest rate swap and other types of interest rate swaps?

<p>Vanilla swaps exchange fixed-rate payments for floating-rate payments based on the Libor Rate, while other swaps might trade one floating rate for another.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What economic factors could indicate that the LIBOR rate is expected to rise?

<p>Rising market interest rates, central bank policies, inflation expectations, or economic growth.</p> Signup and view all the answers

In finance, what does the vast liquidity of treasuries allow market participants to do?

<p>Hedge positions in other fixed-income securities and to speculate in the market.</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a liquid market, transaction costs are minimized and specific elements of the trade, such as size or timing, dont greatly affect the market. What are 3 measures used to evaluate liquidity?

<p>Trading volume, Trading frequency, or Bid-ask spread.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain how the price impact coefficient can be a useful measure of liquidity.

<p>It considers the rise in price with a buyer-initiated trade, useful for large trades, however requires real-time data which makes gathering data diificult.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How can high trading volume data be interpreted both as an indicator of high liquidity and low liquidity?

<p>High trading volume can suggest both increased market activity (high liquidity) and heightened volatility, which may impede liquidity (low liquidity).</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does short selling work in a liquid market and what does liquidity provide for the individual short selling the commodity?

<p>One borrows an asset to sell, hoping to buy it back cheaper later. Liquidity ensures they can buy it back at the prevailing market price when needed.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why would a big investor short the futures market in a scenario where they are currently long in a huge portfolio of assets and a major market-moving event is about to occur?

<p>To hedge their long positions and offset potential losses during the temporary period of market volatility.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Summarize how does inflation affects debt burdens for borrowers and lenders.

<p>In the situation of high Inflation, there is a Relieving of debt burden for the stakeholder as the real value of money decreases and there is increased debt burden from currency devaluing, and a relationship between Inflation and - &gt; Inflation Expectations</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Enhanced Money Creation

Banks' enhanced ability to create money is supported by advancements in central banking, deregulation, and technological progress.

Banks Control Money

Commercial banks control money creation potential, fulfilling it through lending activities independently.

Creation of Money Benefits

Facilitates economic transactions, provides credit, and drives investment, improving living standards.

Declining US Dominance

The US financial markets weakening compared to those outside the US.

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Shifting IPO Dominance

Refers to shares of stock handled by the London and Hong Kong stock exchange more than the NYSE.

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Global Securities Issuance

Corporations issuing their securities in Asian and European financial markets with ease.

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Foreign Bonds

Bonds issued in a domestic market by a foreign entity in the market's currency.

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Eurobond

Bonds denominated in a currency other than the country in which it is sold.

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Total Value of Swap

The total value of the swap's fixed rate flows should be equal to the value of the total value of all the floating rate payments.

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Trading in liquid market

Liquidity is achieved when transaction costs are minimal with no effects to the trade such as size or time.

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The Quote Size

Measure of securities tradable at bid/offer prices, reflecting negotiation over quantity.

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Rate of Return

The rate of return defined not only as interest payments but also the fluctuation of the actual price of a bond.

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Interest Rate Swap

An agreement between parties to exchange interest payments over a period of time

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Interest Rate Risk

Measures returns that result from interest rate changes.

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Short Term Bonds

Known to have the least risk because the face value is already being repaid that year.

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Reinvestment Risk

Is when the holding period is is longer than the maturity of the bond.

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Asset Transformation

Process where banks sell liabilities and buy assets with different characteristics.

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Repressed Competition

Due to regulation limitations that stimulate financial innovation that get around rules.

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Bank Holding Companies

Corporation owning other companies, allowing banks to circumvent branching restrictions.

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Automated Teller Machines

Banks owning ATMs that aren't branches by paying a fee for each transactions.

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Issuance of Bonds-Debt

Increasing burden for future generations as debts has to be repaid using money from the economy.

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Creation of Money to Replace Bonds.

Replacing bonds with reserves capable to stimulate the economy proportional to the reserves introduced depending on the Feds.

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Printing money

Replacing bonds with money to stimulate the economy and increasing the money in banking.

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Printing of money by the Fed.

It Isn't what leads to inflation. Rather indirectly results as creation of money allows replacement of bonds.

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Printing money purpose.

Used to REPLACE illiquid reserves into reserves to allow for stimulus.

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US Treasury

US institution that issues bonds. Can store the central banks reserves.

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Competition repressed.

A number of regulations that get around restrictive branching regulations.

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Financial Crises Origination

Countries opened markets hoping for growth but invited crises by mismanaging financial liberalization and fiscal imbalances.

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Financial Borrowing problems.

Weak screening contributes to a credit boom followed by risky lending.

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Speculative Attack

An event where speculators engage in large-scale sales of currency.

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Devaluation Of Currency

When a currency is devalued after speculation the net worth of firms falls sharply.

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Additional Factors that play role in crisis.

Rising interest rates, high domestic debt and unstable political systems.

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Main cause for financial crises.

The loss of confidence which has far reaching impacts.

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Denominating debt in Foriegn currency.

Emerging market economies denominate contracts in foreign currency which increases the debt burden.

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Moral hazard.

As firms or governments begin to lose money and reputation or good credit rating.

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Currency crisis

An event known as sharper moral hazard and adverse selection.

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Sharp Collapse of Markets.

Rising interest payments which causes reduced cash flow.

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Economies Falling Apart.

The result of fall in asset price is that banks struggle to compete and bankruptcy can occur.

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Debt Deflation

Prices and wages fall drastically leading to more debt. Creates problems to all banks.

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The Fed Role for the country.

To make sure all actions implemented to help economy are also legal and appropriate.

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What it boils down to.

To try and achieve the economic results from both of these and find the right balance.

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Universal banking

This framework includes what countries can use to help banks at higher speed.

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Financial institutions

Where all operations can be connected to where the bank does business.

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Government Bonds

Bonds issued by Government to cover expenditures.

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US Banking Structure

Banking industry has 6000+ small banks, not dominated by large banks.

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Branching Restrictions

Restricted ability to open branches, anti competitive forces within the industry

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Bypass Branching Laws

A bank merely paying a fee for each transaction

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Bank Holding Company

Corporations owning different companies with advantages for banks through flexible ownership

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Main Goal of Money Printing

Bonds in the hands of primary dealers replaced with money to encourage the economy.

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YTM

Annualised return % that is applied on the face value of a face value, not the price of a bond

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Participants of a swap

The counterparties in a typical swap transaction are a Corporation, a bank, or an investor

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LIBOR

Benchmark for floating short-term interest rates, set daily.

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Treausury

Used for a range of market related trading and analytical activities

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Open Market Sale

The opposite of open purchase

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Open Market Purchases

Purchasing bonds/assets increases bank reserves. Deposits increase.

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Financial Liberalisation

Lenders over eager to over lend. Usually more money lost than made.

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Unforseen economic crisis

Countries can go into financial crisis when they become unstable via economic turmoil

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Fed account

If 2 banks are in separate states funds can be transfered from one account to another

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Study Notes

Money Creation and Modern Economies

  • Banks' enhanced ability to create money is a major contributor to the increased money supply seen in modern economies.
  • This monetary creation is supported by:
    • Advances in central banking.
    • Deregulation.
    • Financial innovation.
    • Globalization.
    • Technological advancements.
    • Economic growth.
  • Commercial banks, not the treasury or the Federal Reserve, are the original source of created money.
  • Factors including the Fed influence how much money banks can create.
  • Banks control the potential for money creation and fulfill the capacity themselves.

Money Creation Impact and Financial Markets Weakening

  • Commercial banks' lending activities significantly contribute to economic growth and improved living standards.
  • This facilitates economic transactions and provides essential credit for business expansion, infrastructure development, and investment in innovation.
  • The increased money supply has enabled higher productivity, greater access to goods and services, and overall quality of life, including better health and education.
  • Central banks and regulators need to carefully manage credit expansion to maintain financial stability and prevent inflation.
  • The financial system's ability to create money advances economic development.
  • US financial markets' dominance has weakened:
    • US has lost its international dominance in manufacturing.
    • US stock and bond markets have reduced sales of newly issued corporate securities.
    • London and Hong Kong handle a larger share of IPOs than NYSE since the 2000s.
    • Public companies listing on US exchanges have decreased, while in other countries it has increased.
  • The US markets are losing their edge because other countries can adopt technology quicker, and the tighter immigration controls in the US following 9/11 and perceptions that listing on US exchanges would expose foreign securities issuers to greater risks of lawsuits
  • Burdensome financial regulation in the US, stemming from accounting scandals (Sarbanes-Oxley Act), prompts companies to seek financial markets elsewhere.
    • The cost of complying with these new rules is greater in the US than in foreign countries.
  • Increased savings and deregulation in countries like Japan contribute to improvements in foreign financial markets.
  • American financial and industrial markets are weakening from strict regulations and slow tech adaption, when compared to Asia and London.

International Bond Markets

  • Foreign bonds are instruments issued in a domestic market by a foreign entity in the market's currency to raise capital.
    • For example, a German company issues a foreign bond in the US denominated in USD.
  • A segment of US railroads in the 19th century was financed Bonds, sold in Britain and denominated in Pounds.
  • A Eurobond is bonds denominated in a currency other than that of the country in which it is sold.
    • For example, a bond issued in Britain and denominated in USD.
  • The Eurobond Market is larger than the US corporate bond market; over 80% of new international bond issues are Eurobonds, with rapid market growth.
  • Eurocurrencies are foreign currencies deposited in banks outside their home country.
    • The most important is the Eurodollar ( depositing USD in foreign banks outside the US).
  • Eurobonds and the Euro (currency) are distinct and bear no correlation.
  • The only exception is when a bond dominated in Euros, is sold outside the countries in which the Euro is the domestic currency.

Eurobond Market vs The Eurodollar

  • Foreign Bond is a bond issued by a foreign party.
  • Both Eurobonds and Eurocurrencies involve a currency mismatch.
  • Eurobond is a bond denominated in a foreign currency.
  • Eurocurrency is a currency deposited in foreign banks outside of the home country’s jurisdiction.

Security's Rate of Return and Yield to Maturity

  • An accurate measure of a bond or security's financial performance during a time period is the security's rate of return.
  • Rate of Return formula = (Amount of each payment + change in the security's value) / Purchase price
  • Also referred to as Capital Gains + Interest Gains, divided by Purchase Price
  • The rate of return includes interest and fluctuations in bond price.
  • The yield to maturity (YTM) is not a completely accurate measure because it only considers payments received - not price.
  • YTM is the annualised return % applied on the face value of the bond, not the price.
  • The face value impacts bond returns.
  • Fluctuations in bond price impact yearly returns.

Bond Qualities and Value Calculations

  • A change in face value is paid back regardless of change in price for a 1 year maturity bond.
  • A change in face value affects returns from the moment the bond is issued to maturity for a 3 year bond.
  • An increase in interest rates (equivalent to the YTM increase) has a differential effect on the value of payments.
  • Fixed interest payments, constant coupon rates, constant face value and differing maturitieis equals differing bond prices.
    • differing maturity of bonds creates differing bond values.
  • Coupon payments don't affect bond values

Interest Rate and Reinvestment Risk

  • The term interest rate risk defines the level of risk associated with an asset's return from interest rate changes.
  • Managers of financial institutions are significantly concerned with managing interest rate risk.
  • Short term debt instruments have substantially less interest rate risk than long term debt instruments. Bonds terms as short as a holding period have no interest rate risk.
  • If the holding period is longer than the maturity of the bond, then Reinvestment Risk is present.
    • This arises as the investor needs to reinvest the proceeds from the short term bond.

Reinvestment Risk: Scenarios

  • Scenario 1: 2-year holding, 2-year maturity, at 10%, yields 20% returns.
  • Scenario 2: 2-year holding, 1-year maturity bond at 10%, rates rise to 20% yields 32% returns.
  • Annualised returns in case 1 were 10%, while case 2 saw 16% returns due to rate fluctuation.
  • The converse is true for falling interest rates.
  • Investors must consider the price risk unless keeping a bond until maturity.
  • Reinvesting money into new bonds means paying a different price.

Bank's Profit, Asset Transformation, and T Accounts

  • Banks profit by selling liabilities with one set of characteristics and buying assets with a different set of characteristics, which is known as asset transformation.
  • Banks borrow short and lend long, making long term loans and funding them with short term deposits.
  • A T account assists in analysing bank operations via a simplified T account which models a balance sheet.
  • Analysing the T account means classifying items as assets or liabilities based on balance sheets.
  • Funds are transferred from one bank to another using their Federal Reserve account.
  • Banks gain an equal sum of reserves in conjunction with a sum of deposits.
  • Gains from deposits are subject to reserve requirements, which the reserve requirement ratio dictates.
  • A $100 deposit and 10% reserve requirement yields a $10 reserve increase and $90 excess reserves The reserves and deposits will not go to Fed, which is now Bank's liability! This is because this influence is still there in the Fed.

US Banking and Regulatory Restriction

  • The US has about 6000 banks, the industry isn't dominated by a few large entities.
    • The 10 largest US banks hold under 70% of the assets in their industry.
    • Past regulations restricted branch openings by financial institutions, with each state having its own regulations.
    • The McFadden Act of 1927 (put national and state banks on equal footing) and Douglas Amendment of 1956 effectively prohibited banks from branching across state lines
    • The McFadden Act and state branching regulations promoted strong anticompetitive forces, allowing small banks continued existence
  • The American public has historically been hostile to large banks.
  • Laws restrict US bank expansion = many bank of all sizes exist = anti-competition
  • Competition can be repressed via financial innovations
  • The bank holding company is a corporation owning distinct companies, allowing circumvention of the regulation that banks may own a controlling stake. = Bank holding companies engage in banking-related sectors like advice, data processing, and transmission = Bank holding companies have dramatically increased, owning almost all large banks and over 90% of commercial deposits.
  • If you get to the ATMs by banks can not be considered as an actual bank branch and need simply provide a Fee for each transaction.

Bond Issuance and Monetary Concepts

Issuing bonds covers government spending, doesn't relate to stimulus directly.
  • Bond issuance increases burden on future generations of debt, will eventually need repaid using the economy's funds.
  • Creating money replaces idle resources (bonds) with liquid reserves, not introducing anything NEW
  • Money was the resource itself.
  • Stimulus depends on proportion the bond the government is seeking to put out into the economy.
    • There is nothing inherently bad about creating money if the aftereffects are managed,addressing inflation.
  • Printing is mainly used to replace idle resources making them more stimulate. The bank begins their version creating money which can lead the to the market and can also lead to demand-pull inflation.
  • Government must spend wisely or they risk implicating everyone.
    • A major goal is to replace idle resources with money that more people have an extra reserve.
  • The Feds role to is to restore the funds that the primary traders, may be have the funds when buying from The economy.

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Explore how banks create money and its impact on modern economies. The money creation is supported by advances in central banking and technological advancements. Understand commercial banks' role as the source of created money and how they influence the money supply and financial markets.

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