Monetary Policy & the Financial Crisis

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Questions and Answers

Which of the following factors contributed to the financial crisis, as indicated in the material?

  • An underestimation of the German interest rate.
  • Strict regulation of the banking system.
  • High levels of public and private debt. (correct)
  • Modernization of regulations in response to complex realities.

According to the material, the financial crisis was accurately predicted by most experts.

False (B)

How did low interest rates affect the housing market and public debt in Europe?

  • Discouraged residential construction and reduced public borrowing.
  • Had no impact on either residential construction or public borrowing.
  • Fueled high residential construction and high public borrowing in a few countries. (correct)
  • Led to a decrease in residential construction and increased public borrowing.

According to the material, what was one effect of Euro membership for countries like Greece during the financial crisis?

<p>It gave them access to loans at rates similar to Germany's. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The material suggests that bailout packages only rescue countries in debt crises.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the material, what factor should be included when setting interest rates?

<p>housing prices</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the material, during the period there was consideration of housing prices and debt accumulation, it solely meant a ______ interest rate than it would have otherwise been.

<p>Higher</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the material, what is the Finanstilsynet's role in regulating banks?

<p>It regulates banks with advice from Norges Bank, particularly on countercyclical buffers. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The material suggests that the neutral interest rate is a constant value over time.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Regarding the 'liquidity trap' discussed in the material, what is one action suggested to take when the zero lower bound is reached?

<p>Purchase bonds to influence long-term interest rates and asset prices. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the material, what do purchases of bonds provide to banks and investors?

<p>liquid</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the material, governments never have to address nullgrensen.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the material, why might the styringsrenten have been at 4.0 instead of 4.5?

<p>To implement moderate swings in the interest rates. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the material, what does a high price on bonds do to the coupon rate?

<p>Lowers the coupon rate, resulting in a low yield. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is meant by 'medsyklisk kreditt' and what does the text indicate?

<p>A loan issued in-sync with the economic cycle, and is not good. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Liquidity Trap

A situation where low-interest rates fail to stimulate the economy. Monetary policy becomes ineffective.

Neutral Rate

The interest rate at which monetary policy is neither expansionary nor contractionary, keeping the economy at its potential.

Countercyclical Buffer

A capital requirement that varies with the state of the economy, increasing during booms and decreasing during busts.

Quantitative Easing (QE)

Unconventional monetary policy where a central bank purchases longer-term securities to increase the money supply and lower interest rates.

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Financial Frictions

Imperfections in financial markets which impede the efficient flow of capital between savers and borrowers.

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Study Notes

  • The lecture note discusses Monetary Policy and the Financial Crisis

What led to the financial crisis?

  • The USA collapsed on clay feet leading up to the financial crisis.
  • There was a buildup of both public and private debt.
  • The banking system was poorly regulated due to ideologically motivated deregulation without modernization suited for the complex reality
  • It was impossible to predict exactly when the crisis would occur

The financial crisis in Europe:

  • Low interest rates led to high housing construction in Spain and Ireland
  • There was also high public borrowing in Greece
  • Membership in the Eurozone gave countries, like Greece, access to borrowing at almost German interest rates, which was a misjudgment by the market
  • Eurozone membership also made adjustments difficult
  • Rescue packages were often a rescue for lenders as much as for countries in debt crisis

Rates and housing:

  • The question is raised whether interest rate policies should control housing prices and other asset prices

Managing Interest Rates:

  • Considering housing prices and debt accumulation has generally meant higher interest rates than would otherwise be the case.
  • In 2025, taking asset prices into account would likely have meant lower rates
  • It is debated whether there should be gradual changes in the policy rate to avoid sharp drops or increases
  • A gradual approach would mean not continuing with ultra-low rates but having the policy rate potentially at 4.0 instead of 4.5

Countercyclical buffer:

  • Finanstilsynet (The Financial Supervisory Authority of Norway) regulates banks
  • A part of capital requirements include a countercyclical buffer, advised by Norges Bank (The Central Bank of Norway)
  • Preventing "procyclical credit" is considered a good idea
  • It is questioned whether capital requirements might create competitive disadvantages for Norwegian banks

Neutral rate:

  • The neutral rate is not constant.

Liquidity trap:

  • The liquidity trap is an old-fashioned term from Keynes

What to do when hitting the zero bound:

  • Interest rates can go a bit below zero, but it's uncertain how far
  • Electronic money cannot be kept "in the mattress", makes it expensive to handle large amounts of cash and coins
  • Tools can be used to Influence long-term rates and asset prices
  • Buying bonds, or any assets in theory, also known as quantitative easing (QE)
  • Purchasing bonds results in low long-term rates because a high bond price causes low coupon rates (as clarified in the lecture)
  • Bond purchases provide liquidity to banks, making it easier to get loans and attract investors

Financial Frictions:

  • Financial friction increases borrowing rates and reduces the gross national product

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