Investor Behavior and Capital Market Efficiency

Choose a study mode

Play Quiz
Study Flashcards
Spaced Repetition
Chat to Lesson

Podcast

Play an AI-generated podcast conversation about this lesson

Questions and Answers

Which method is most commonly used by corporations to determine the cost of capital?

  • Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT)
  • Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
  • Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Method
  • Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) (correct)

What is the primary factor that introduces greater uncertainty in capital budgeting decisions?

  • Cost of capital estimates
  • Future cash flow projections (correct)
  • Market interest rates
  • Inflation rates

Which model is known for being simple to implement and is consistent with investor behavior?

  • Black-Scholes Model
  • Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT)
  • Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) (correct)
  • Modigliani-Miller Theorem

In a perfect capital market, what is the relationship between a firm's value and its capital structure, according to Modigliani and Miller Proposition I?

<p>A firm's value is unaffected by its capital structure. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the alpha ($α_s$) of a stock indicate?

<p>The stock's expected return minus its required return (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the empirical result that describes the higher returns associated with small stocks despite their high market risk?

<p>Size effect (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What do the findings on alpha estimates suggest about the presence of statistically significant excess returns?

<p>Statistical error affects positive alpha readings. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the relationship between beta and expected returns as observed in the study?

<p>Higher beta is associated with higher expected returns. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What could be a reason for the extreme effects seen in the smallest decile portfolios?

<p>Potential estimation error. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a fundamental implication of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) in a perfectly competitive market?

<p>Investors will hold portfolios that may underperform to allow others to beat the market. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following factors does the CAPM primarily use to predict expected returns?

<p>Risk-free rate and the expected market return. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of Modigliani and Miller's theory, what is stated about the value of a firm without taking leverage into account?

<p>The value of the firm is independent of its capital structure. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which statement best describes the relationship between stock price and arbitrage in an efficient market?

<p>In efficient markets, arbitrage opportunities are quickly eliminated as prices reflect all available information. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What role does stock beta play in the CAPM framework?

<p>It reflects the stock's volatility relative to the market. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Investors tend to make errors that generally lead to which outcome in their investment returns?

<p>Lower returns than anticipated due to poor decisions. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which investment style has shown better performance than predicted by the CAPM?

<p>Holding value stocks and small stocks. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the absence of market efficiency, what alternative model might be used to calculate the cost of capital?

<p>The multifactor asset pricing model. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Alpha

The difference between a stock's expected return (what investors anticipate) and its required return (based on the security market line) is known as the stock's alpha. This difference shows how much better or worse a stock is expected to perform compared to its risk.

CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model)

The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is a widely used model for calculating the cost of capital. It considers the risk-free rate, market risk premium, and the beta (a measure of a stock's volatility) to determine the required return.

Beta

A stock's beta measures its volatility relative to the overall market. A beta of 1 means the stock fluctuates in line with the market. A beta greater than 1 means the stock is more volatile, while a beta less than 1 means it's less volatile.

Cost of Capital

The cost of capital represents the minimum return a company needs to earn on its investments to satisfy its investors. This return compensates investors for the risk they take by investing in the company.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Security Market Line (SML)

The Security Market Line (SML) is a visual representation of the CAPM. It shows the relationship between a stock's expected return and its beta, representing the risk-return trade-off.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Size Effect

The phenomenon where smaller companies tend to outperform larger companies in terms of returns, even after accounting for their higher risk (beta).

Signup and view all the flashcards

Small Stocks

Stocks of companies with relatively low market capitalization. In other words, smaller companies.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Decile Portfolio

A portfolio formed by grouping stocks based on their market capitalization into 10 groups (deciles), with the smallest stocks in the first decile and the largest stocks in the tenth decile.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Portfolio Formation Based on Size

The process of dividing stocks into groups based on size, calculating their returns, and comparing their performance.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Average Excess Return

The average return of a portfolio over a specific period, usually a year, adjusted for risk.

Signup and view all the flashcards

CAPM and Competition

The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) aims to explain how investors should rationally allocate their assets in a market with competing investors.

Signup and view all the flashcards

CAPM Assumptions

The CAPM assumes that all investors base their investment decisions solely on expected returns and risk, measured by variance.

Signup and view all the flashcards

New Information and Portfolio Adjustments

New information in the market causes investors to reevaluate their portfolios, leading to buying and selling activities.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Market Equilibrium and Price Changes

When investors adjust their portfolios, it leads to price changes in the market, driving towards a new equilibrium.

Signup and view all the flashcards

CAPM Equilibrium: Risk and Return

The CAPM equilibrium is reached when all investors hold portfolios that reflect the market's risk and return characteristics.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Zero-Sum Nature of the Market

For one investor to outperform the market, another investor must underperform. This is a consequence of the zero-sum nature of the market.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Individual Investor Mistakes

Individual investors often make mistakes like overreacting to news, chasing trends, or being overly confident, impacting their returns negatively.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Professional Fund Managers and Investor Mistakes

Some professional fund managers are able to capitalize on the mistakes of individual investors and generate profits, but the benefits of this may not always reach the fund holders.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Study Notes

Investor Behavior and Capital Market Efficiency

  • William H. Miller, a renowned investor, experienced significant underperformance in 2007-2008, resulting in a loss of nearly 65% in the Legg Mason Value Trust fund.
  • The fund manager's prior success was attributed to skillful investment strategies.
  • The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) posits that consistently outperforming the market portfolio requires bearing more risk.
  • Competition among investors is a driving force behind CAPM results; some investors must underperform to enable others to outperform.
  • Individual investors often make errors, impacting their returns; however, many skilled fund managers exploit these mistakes.
  • Some styles of investment, such as small-stock, value-stock, and high-return stock strategies, seem to yield returns exceeding CAPM projections, suggesting market inefficiencies.
  • Investors often overestimate their knowledge of stock prices. Some studies show men trade more frequently and less profitably compared to women.
  • The “disposition effect” is a tendency to hold losing investments and sell winning investments, potentially impacting returns.
  • Investors tend to herd, copying other investors' behaviors, which can create correlated mistakes.
  • There is evidence of systematic biases in individual investor behavior potentially impacting market prices, particularly through overconfidence.
  • In efficient markets, prices should adjust rapidly to new information to reflect efficient expectations. However, this may not be always true.
  • Factors like news announcements, takeovers, or stock recommendations can affect stock prices, leading to opportunities for profit or loss.
  • Even sophisticated investors have difficulties consistently outperforming the market.

Studying That Suits You

Use AI to generate personalized quizzes and flashcards to suit your learning preferences.

Quiz Team

Related Documents

More Like This

Managing Investment Portfolios
5 questions
2. Introduction -  global perspective
48 questions
Efficient frontier and CML
20 questions
Tökéletes tőkepiaci árazás és hatékonyság
78 questions
Use Quizgecko on...
Browser
Browser