Podcast
Questions and Answers
What is Machine Learning?
What is Machine Learning?
Algorithmic decisions or predictions that are based on data
What is the main difference between Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence?
What is the main difference between Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence?
- Machine Learning is a broader concept that encompasses Artificial Intelligence, as it deals with the creation of machines that can mimic human cognitive functions.
- Machine Learning is a subset of Artificial Intelligence that focuses on building algorithms that can learn from data to perform specific tasks. (correct)
- Machine Learning focuses on analyzing data to make predictions, while Artificial Intelligence is concerned with creating machines that can reason and think independently.
- Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence are essentially the same thing, with no real distinction between them.
Deep Learning is a type of machine learning that relies on artificial neural networks to perform complex tasks.
Deep Learning is a type of machine learning that relies on artificial neural networks to perform complex tasks.
True (A)
What are some of the major applications of Machine Learning in the business context?
What are some of the major applications of Machine Learning in the business context?
Which of the following is NOT a basic machine learning problem?
Which of the following is NOT a basic machine learning problem?
Which type of machine learning problem deals with predicting a continuous output based on historical data?
Which type of machine learning problem deals with predicting a continuous output based on historical data?
Which type of machine learning problem deals with identifying groups or patterns in unlabeled data?
Which type of machine learning problem deals with identifying groups or patterns in unlabeled data?
What are the three types of features used in Machine Learning?
What are the three types of features used in Machine Learning?
Categorical features have a natural ordering, allowing for comparisons between different categories.
Categorical features have a natural ordering, allowing for comparisons between different categories.
Ordinal features are typically encoded as numbers to represent their ordering, and comparisons between these numbers (<, >, =) are meaningful
Ordinal features are typically encoded as numbers to represent their ordering, and comparisons between these numbers (<, >, =) are meaningful
Normalizing numerical features helps ensure that all features have similar scales, preventing one feature from dominating during training and improving the model's performance.
Normalizing numerical features helps ensure that all features have similar scales, preventing one feature from dominating during training and improving the model's performance.
Which type of machine learning problem is particularly relevant when dealing with predicting whether a patient has a particular disease based on their characteristics?
Which type of machine learning problem is particularly relevant when dealing with predicting whether a patient has a particular disease based on their characteristics?
Which type of machine learning algorithm is often used in recommendation systems to suggest items that similar users have liked?
Which type of machine learning algorithm is often used in recommendation systems to suggest items that similar users have liked?
Which type of machine learning problem is most relevant in identifying communities or groups of users with similar interests or connections within a social network?
Which type of machine learning problem is most relevant in identifying communities or groups of users with similar interests or connections within a social network?
Which type of machine learning algorithm is particularly effective in reducing the dimensionality of high-dimensional data for pattern recognition?
Which type of machine learning algorithm is particularly effective in reducing the dimensionality of high-dimensional data for pattern recognition?
Overfitting occurs when a model is too complex and learns the training data too well, resulting in poor performance on new data.
Overfitting occurs when a model is too complex and learns the training data too well, resulting in poor performance on new data.
What are some ways to mitigate overfitting in machine learning models?
What are some ways to mitigate overfitting in machine learning models?
What is the purpose of a validation set in machine learning?
What is the purpose of a validation set in machine learning?
What is the purpose of a test set in machine learning?
What is the purpose of a test set in machine learning?
What is the main idea behind k-fold cross-validation, and why is it important in Machine Learning?
What is the main idea behind k-fold cross-validation, and why is it important in Machine Learning?
When dealing with unbalanced classes, accuracy is a robust metric for evaluating the performance of a classifier.
When dealing with unbalanced classes, accuracy is a robust metric for evaluating the performance of a classifier.
Which of the following metrics is best suited for evaluating the performance of a model in cases where the costs of false positives and false negatives are unequal or when the classes are unbalanced?
Which of the following metrics is best suited for evaluating the performance of a model in cases where the costs of false positives and false negatives are unequal or when the classes are unbalanced?
Outliers are data points that have unusual values compared to other data points and can significantly affect a model's performance.
Outliers are data points that have unusual values compared to other data points and can significantly affect a model's performance.
What is 'Survivor Bias'?
What is 'Survivor Bias'?
Feature Engineering involves transforming raw data into a set of meaningful and informative features that can be used as input for machine learning models.
Feature Engineering involves transforming raw data into a set of meaningful and informative features that can be used as input for machine learning models.
What is the main goal of Feature Engineering?
What is the main goal of Feature Engineering?
What is the main idea behind machine learning?
What is the main idea behind machine learning?
Define artificial intelligence (AI) and its relationship with machine learning (ML).
Define artificial intelligence (AI) and its relationship with machine learning (ML).
What is the term used for the set of data used to train the model in machine learning?
What is the term used for the set of data used to train the model in machine learning?
Which of the following is NOT a core ML problem?
Which of the following is NOT a core ML problem?
What type of ML is used to predict continuous-valued outputs based on historical data?
What type of ML is used to predict continuous-valued outputs based on historical data?
Which of the following is NOT a common application of ML in a business context?
Which of the following is NOT a common application of ML in a business context?
What is the difference between descriptive analytics and predictive Analytics?
What is the difference between descriptive analytics and predictive Analytics?
Define the term 'feature' and 'target variable' in ML.
Define the term 'feature' and 'target variable' in ML.
Which type of feature represents instances that fall into one category of a set of categories?
Which type of feature represents instances that fall into one category of a set of categories?
Which type of feature has a natural ordering among its categories?
Which type of feature has a natural ordering among its categories?
Why is normalization often applied to target variables in ML?
Why is normalization often applied to target variables in ML?
What is the main purpose of 'overfitting' in ML?
What is the main purpose of 'overfitting' in ML?
Which of the following is NOT a solution to mitigate overfitting?
Which of the following is NOT a solution to mitigate overfitting?
What is the main role of the 'validation set' in ML?
What is the main role of the 'validation set' in ML?
What is the main difference between accuracy and precision in ML?
What is the main difference between accuracy and precision in ML?
Which metric is used to measure the proportion of actual positive instances correctly identified as positive?
Which metric is used to measure the proportion of actual positive instances correctly identified as positive?
What are 'outliers' in ML data?
What are 'outliers' in ML data?
Which of the following is NOT a common method to handle outliers in ML data?
Which of the following is NOT a common method to handle outliers in ML data?
Define 'Survivor Bias' in ML.
Define 'Survivor Bias' in ML.
How are 'features' used in machine learning?
How are 'features' used in machine learning?
Explain the main difference in the independence assumption between Naive Bayes and Bayesian networks.
Explain the main difference in the independence assumption between Naive Bayes and Bayesian networks.
The chain rule of probability allows us to express a joint distribution as a product of local distributions in Bayesian networks.
The chain rule of probability allows us to express a joint distribution as a product of local distributions in Bayesian networks.
What are the key components of Bayesian networks?
What are the key components of Bayesian networks?
What are the key benefits of Bayesian networks over Naive Bayes models?
What are the key benefits of Bayesian networks over Naive Bayes models?
What is the primary challenge associated with learning Bayesian networks?
What is the primary challenge associated with learning Bayesian networks?
Which of the following is NOT a key takeaway from the summary of the lecture on Naïve Bayes and Bayesian networks?
Which of the following is NOT a key takeaway from the summary of the lecture on Naïve Bayes and Bayesian networks?
What is the main difference between Naive Bayes and Bayesian networks in terms of handling dependencies?
What is the main difference between Naive Bayes and Bayesian networks in terms of handling dependencies?
Which of the following ML families is best suited for dealing with complex relationships and dependencies between features?
Which of the following ML families is best suited for dealing with complex relationships and dependencies between features?
Explain the role of data preparation in machine learning.
Explain the role of data preparation in machine learning.
Flashcards
What is machine learning?
What is machine learning?
Algorithmic decisions or predictions based on data, involving training on historical data and applying the learned model to new data.
What is machine learning (ML)?
What is machine learning (ML)?
A subfield of AI that uses trained algorithms on data to create adaptable models for specific tasks.
What is the "AI Winter"?
What is the "AI Winter"?
A period of reduced funding and interest in AI research due to unmet expectations and limited computing power.
What is supervised learning?
What is supervised learning?
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What is classification?
What is classification?
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What is regression?
What is regression?
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What is unsupervised learning?
What is unsupervised learning?
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What is clustering?
What is clustering?
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What is feature engineering?
What is feature engineering?
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What is overfitting?
What is overfitting?
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What is underfitting?
What is underfitting?
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What is the training set?
What is the training set?
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What is the validation set?
What is the validation set?
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What is the test set?
What is the test set?
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What is cross-validation?
What is cross-validation?
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What is a false negative?
What is a false negative?
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What is a false positive?
What is a false positive?
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What is precision?
What is precision?
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What is recall?
What is recall?
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What is the F1-score?
What is the F1-score?
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What are outliers?
What are outliers?
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What is survivor bias?
What is survivor bias?
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What is model evaluation?
What is model evaluation?
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What is binary classification?
What is binary classification?
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What is multi-class classification?
What is multi-class classification?
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What is a linear model?
What is a linear model?
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What is normalization?
What is normalization?
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What is the y-axis intercept?
What is the y-axis intercept?
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What is the slope?
What is the slope?
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What is the residual error?
What is the residual error?
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Probabilistic Models
Probabilistic Models
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Probability
Probability
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Conditional Probability
Conditional Probability
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Independent Events
Independent Events
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Dependent Events
Dependent Events
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Bayes' Theorem
Bayes' Theorem
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Naïve Bayes Classifier
Naïve Bayes Classifier
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Independence Assumption
Independence Assumption
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Laplace Smoothing
Laplace Smoothing
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Bayesian Belief Network
Bayesian Belief Network
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Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG)
Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG)
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Posterior Probability
Posterior Probability
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Conditional Probability Table (CPT)
Conditional Probability Table (CPT)
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Zero-frequency Problem
Zero-frequency Problem
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Conditional Independence Assumption for Missing Values
Conditional Independence Assumption for Missing Values
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Assumed Independence in Naïve Bayes
Assumed Independence in Naïve Bayes
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Feature Modelling
Feature Modelling
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Generalization
Generalization
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Precision
Precision
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Recall
Recall
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F1 Score
F1 Score
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Cross-validation
Cross-validation
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False Negative
False Negative
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False Positive
False Positive
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Sample Space
Sample Space
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Relative Frequency
Relative Frequency
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Standard Deviation
Standard Deviation
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Linear Model
Linear Model
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Study Notes
Course Information
- Course title: Machine Learning for Business Applications
- Lecture: Introduction to ML for BA – Lecture A.0
- Instructor: Prof. Dr. Maximilian Schiffer
- Department: Professorship of Business Analytics & Intelligent Systems, TUM School of Management
- Institute: Munich Data Science Institute
- Semester: Winter 2024/25
Agenda
- Motivation
- Basics of Machine Learning
- Essentials & Training Strategies
What is Machine Learning?
- Machine Learning = algorithmic decisions or predictions based on data
- Training phase: based on historic data
- Application/Inference phase: based on new data
Artificial Intelligence & Machine Learning
- Artificial Intelligence (AI): umbrella term for computer software mimicking human cognition
- Machine Learning (ML): a subfield of AI using algorithms trained on data to create adaptable models performing specific tasks
Introduction to ML - History
- 1940-1950: Early Days (Boolean circuit model of brain, Turing's "Computing Machinery and Intelligence")
- 1950-1970: Excitement (Early AI programs, Dartmouth meeting, algorithms for logical reasoning)
- 1970-1990: Knowledge-based approaches (AI winter, expert systems)
- 2000-2020: High Performance Computing (Big Data & Deep Learning)
Introduction to ML - Overview
- Supervised Learning: Classification, Regression
- Unsupervised Learning: Clustering
- Reinforcement Learning
Machine Learning in the Business Context
- Fraud Detection
- Recommendations
- Chatbots
- Image Generation
- Customer Segmentation
- Image Recognition
- Demand/Load Prediction
- Predictive Maintenance
- Predictive Supply Chain Management
- Personalized Marketing Campaigns
Scope of the Course
- Introduction to Machine Learning for Business Applications
- Naive Bayes & Bayesian Networks
- Decision Trees
- Clustering
- Regression
- Neural Networks
- Data Preparation, Generalization & Evaluation
- Recap & Exam Preparation
From Data to Information
- Data Consolidation
- Selection and Preprocessing
- Prediction
- Interpretation & Evaluation
Focus of this Course
- Descriptive Analytics (Analysis of historical data)
- Predictive Analytics (Use statistical models to forecast)
- Prescriptive Analytics (Recommend actions to optimize)
Datasets: Features and Target Variables
- Dataset D = {(xᵢ, yᵢ)}₁
- xᵢ: K-dimensional feature vector (independent variable)
- yᵢ: respective target variable (dependent variable)
Feature Types
- Categorical Features
- Ordinal Features
- Numerical Features
Excursion: Normalization
- Rescaling numerical data to similar scales preventing one feature dominating
Credit Scoring - Features and Target Variables
- Numerical Features (Loan Amount, Disposable Income)
- Ordinal Features (Savings, Employment)
- Categorical Features (Purpose of loan, housing)
Three basic ML Problems
- Classification (Predicting categories from existing data)
- Regression (Predicting continuous values from historic data)
- Clustering (Finding patterns in data without associated labels)
Classification - Example
- Creating statistical models to determine label for new observations
Regression - Example
- Creating statistical models that allow predictions for numerical labels based on existing data
Clustering - Example
- Grouping data into clusters
Classification - Notation
- A mapping y = f(x) from input vectors to outputs (binary classification, C = 2)
Regression - Notation
- Mapping y=f(x) with y being continuous values
Clustering - Notation
- Data set D = {xᵢ}₁, set of K clusters, zᵢ ∈ {1, .., K} representing cluster
Feature Engineering - Example
- Describing states using a vector of features (properties), example: Distance to closest ghost
Feature Engineering
- Transforming raw data into meaningful features to improve ML algorithm performance
Overfitting
- Model performs well on training data but poorly on new data
- Model very targeted for training data, hard to generalize.
- Model simplification, regularization, early stopping, pruning, ensemble methods solve this
Training, Validation, and Testing
- Training Set: data used to train the model
- Validation Set: separate subset for tuning parameters and prevent overfitting
- Test Set: for assessing model performance on new data
Excursion: Cross Validation
- Technique used for evaluating model performance with multiple training and test sets
- Usually 10-fold cross validation (Data split into 10 subsets)
Accuracy and Un-balanced Classes
- Accuracy/Error rate is not good measurement for imbalanced classes
- Better metrics include precision, recall, and F1-score
Outliers in the Data
- Isolated instances that are unlike other instances
- Dealing with outliers is very important
- Methods of handling outliers: Removal, identification and fixing
Survivor Bias
- Cognitive bias overlooking observations that did not survive a process
Recap Introduction
- Key takeaways- Machine learning, historical development and types
- Classification, clustering and regression problems and their implementations
- Next topic: basic probabilities, conditional probabilities, and classification of new observations
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Description
This quiz covers the foundational concepts of Machine Learning (ML) and its applications in business. Participants will explore motivation, training strategies, and the relationship between ML and Artificial Intelligence. Get ready to deepen your understanding of these essential topics for today's data-driven environment.