Foreign Exchange Quiz
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Questions and Answers

What term describes the difference between the buying price and selling price in foreign exchange transactions?

  • Commission
  • Markup
  • Fee
  • Spread (correct)

Market makers sell foreign exchange at the same price they buy it.

False (B)

What is the buying price for British pounds if a broker is willing to sell them at $1.9077?

$1.9072

Car dealers generate profit from the difference between the buying price of €______ and the selling price of €10,000.

<p>9,000</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the following entities with their market roles:

<p>Market Makers = Provide liquidity by buying and selling FX Car Dealers = Act as market makers for second-hand cars Brokers = Facilitate transactions between buyers and sellers Banks = Institutions that may act as market makers in FX</p> Signup and view all the answers

What happens to the demand for US dollars when the price of US goods increases for EU importers?

<p>It decreases (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The supply of US dollars is influenced by the demand for US goods by EU importers.

<p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the yield on one-year Swiss Franc government bonds?

<p>4% (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary factor that determines the spot rate S(€/$)?

<p>The interaction of demand and supply of US dollars</p> Signup and view all the answers

When the exchange rate in the market is €1.5/$1, the demand for US dollars by EU importers will _____ due to higher prices of US goods.

<p>decrease</p> Signup and view all the answers

The Swiss Franc /USD spot rate was 1.8.

<p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How much will the arbitrageur have to repay after borrowing CHF10 million at a yield of 4%?

<p>CHF10,400,000</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the following exchange rates with their corresponding effects on the demand for US dollars:

<p>€1.2/$1 = Stable demand for US dollars €1.4/$1 = Increased demand for US dollars €1.5/$1 = Decreased demand for US dollars €1/$1 = Highest supply of US dollars available</p> Signup and view all the answers

If the one-year forward market rate is CHF1.75/$, the amount of dollars needed to repay CHF10,400,000 is $______.

<p>5,942,857</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the following steps in the arbitrage process with their respective amounts:

<p>Borrow CHF = 10,000,000 Repay amount after one year = 10,400,000 Convert to dollars = 5,555,556 Investment returns in dollars = 6,000,000</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the main aim of the Kyoto Protocol?

<p>To reduce greenhouse gas emissions (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The Paris Agreement imposes legally binding emission reduction targets on all signatory countries.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) in the context of the Paris Agreement?

<p>Targets set by countries to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.</p> Signup and view all the answers

The _______ Convention controls the transboundary movements of hazardous wastes.

<p>Basel</p> Signup and view all the answers

How often must countries report their progress under the Paris Agreement?

<p>Every five years (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the following agreements with their key focus areas:

<p>Kyoto Protocol = Binding emission reductions for developed countries Paris Agreement = Global temperature rise limitation Basel Convention = Hazardous waste movement control</p> Signup and view all the answers

Multinational firms must factor ______ costs into their operations due to carbon pricing mechanisms.

<p>carbon</p> Signup and view all the answers

The Paris Agreement encourages countries to lower their greenhouse gas emissions without requiring them to increase energy efficiency.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to Relative PPP, what happens to a currency when a country experiences high inflation relative to another country?

<p>It depreciates (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The Relative PPP formula indicates that the rate of change in exchange rates is equal to the difference in inflation rates.

<p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the expected depreciation of the Turkish Lira if the inflation is 20% for Turkey and 2% for the Euro area?

<p>18%</p> Signup and view all the answers

If high inflation is experienced relative to the UK, exports to the UK will eventually ______.

<p>decrease</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was the original attribution of the ideas behind PPP?

<p>David Cassel (B), Gustav Ricardo (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Actual exchange rates always conform to the predicted rates from the PPP theory in the short term.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the following inflation rates with their corresponding expected currency behavior for the Turkish Lira against the Euro:

<p>20% (Turkey) - 2% (Euro) = Depreciate by 18% 10% (Turkey) - 5% (Euro) = Depreciate by 5% 15% (Turkey) - 1% (Euro) = Depreciate by 14% 8% (Turkey) - 3% (Euro) = Depreciate by 5%</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the Relative PPP state about the exchange rate based on inflation differences?

<p>The rate of change in exchange rate must be equal to the differences in inflation rates.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Under what condition can there be an opportunity for covered interest arbitrage?

<p>The forward/spot rate difference is either larger or smaller in percentage terms than the difference in the interest rates on the two currencies (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A rise in the Home interest rate today will lead to a stronger Home currency today.

<p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the formula for the theoretical PPP-based exchange rate?

<p>S($/£) = P$ / P£</p> Signup and view all the answers

The price of a standard commodity basket in the US is represented as P$ and in the UK as P£. According to PPP, these must be equal when converted using the exchange rate: P$ = S($/£) · P£. This represents the _____ of one price.

<p>law</p> Signup and view all the answers

If the US interest rate is 4% per year and the UK interest rate is 9% per year, which of the following is true?

<p>The dollar will depreciate 5% in one year (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to purchasing power parity, the cost of a haircut in the US should be exactly the same as the cost in Hong Kong.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does PPP stand for in economics?

<p>Purchasing Power Parity</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Spread

The difference between the buying price and selling price of a currency by a market maker.

Market Maker

A financial intermediary that provides liquidity in the market by actively buying and selling currencies.

Sell Rate

The price at which a market maker is willing to sell a currency.

Buy Rate

The price at which a market maker is willing to buy a currency.

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Indirect Quote

The practice of quoting a currency pair in terms of how much of the base currency is required to buy one unit of the quote currency.

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Demand for a Currency

The relationship between the price of a currency and the demand for it. When the price of a currency increases, the demand for it decreases, leading to a downward sloping demand curve.

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Supply of a Currency

The amount of a currency that individuals and businesses are willing to supply at different exchange rates.

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Spot rate

The exchange rate at which currencies are traded at a particular point in time.

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Dynamic Exchange Rates

Changes in the exchange rate occur constantly due to shifts in demand and supply forces.

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Exchange rate equilibrium

The exchange rate is determined by the interaction of forces of demand and supply in the market.

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Kyoto Protocol

An international agreement aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions by setting targets and promoting carbon trading.

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Paris Agreement

An international agreement focused on limiting global temperature rise by encouraging countries to reduce emissions and requiring firms to set and report emission targets.

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Basel Convention

A convention that regulates the international transport and disposal of hazardous waste.

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Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs)

A commitment made by each country under the Paris Agreement outlining their actions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

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Carbon Pricing

A system that puts a price on carbon emissions, either through taxes or cap-and-trade schemes.

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Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy

Companies are encouraged to use less energy and switch to renewable sources like solar or wind. This could involve upgrading equipment or investing in greener technology.

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Sustainable Supply Chains

Companies are expected to make sure their suppliers and operations are environmentally responsible.

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Impact on Multinational Firms

Companies must adapt their operations to comply with environmental standards set by different countries, potentially impacting their costs and processes.

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Covered Interest Arbitrage

The opportunity to profit from interest rate differentials between two currencies, by borrowing in the currency with the lower interest rate and investing in the currency with the higher interest rate.

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Covered Interest Arbitrage Condition

The forward/spot rate difference must be larger or smaller in percentage terms than the difference in the interest rates on the two currencies. This allows for a profit to be made by exploiting the interest rate differences.

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Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)

The Law of One Price (LOOP) applied internationally to a standard commodity basket. It states that the price of a commodity basket must be the same across countries when measured in a common currency.

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PPP-Based Exchange Rate

The theoretical exchange rate between two currencies that would equalize the price of a standard commodity basket in both countries. It is calculated as the ratio of the price levels of the two countries.

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PPP and Exchange Rate Determination

The idea that the exchange rate between two currencies should equal the ratio of the countries' price levels. It implies that changes in relative price levels will lead to changes in the exchange rate.

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What is a forward rate?

The forward rate is the price at which two parties agree to exchange currencies at a future date. It is determined by the current spot rate and the interest rate differential between the two currencies. The formula for calculating the forward rate is: Forward Rate = Spot Rate * (1 + Foreign Interest Rate) / (1 + Domestic Interest Rate).

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What is arbitrage?

Arbitrage is the practice of taking advantage of price differences in different markets to make a profit. It involves buying an asset in one market and selling it in another where it is priced higher, exploiting a temporary price discrepancy.

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What is interest rate parity (IRP)?

Interest rate parity (IRP) is a theory that states that the forward exchange rate should be equal to the spot exchange rate adjusted for the interest rate differential between two currencies. In other words, it implies that there should be no arbitrage opportunity based solely on interest rate differences.

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How does the arbitrageur profit in this scenario?

The arbitrageur in this scenario profits by exploiting the difference between the calculated forward rate based on IRP (CHF 1.733) and the actual forward rate in the market (CHF 1.75). The arbitrageur borrows Swiss Francs at a lower interest rate, converts them to dollars, invests at a higher interest rate, and then uses the forward contract to buy back Swiss Francs at a favorable rate, locking in a profit.

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What is the arbitrageur's profit?

In this scenario, the arbitrageur's total profit is approximately CHF 500,000. This is calculated by converting the dollars received from the investment back into Swiss francs using the forward contract and then subtracting the amount needed to repay the CHF loan.

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Relative PPP

A version of PPP that focuses on changes in exchange rates and inflation rates. It states that the percentage change in the exchange rate should equal the difference in inflation rates between the two countries. For example, if the US inflation is 5% and the UK inflation is 8%, the pound should depreciate by 3%.

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High Inflation and Currency Depreciation

Under Relative PPP, if a country's inflation rate is higher than that of its trading partner, its currency will depreciate.

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Impact of Inflation on Trade

If a country experiences high inflation relative to its trading partner, its exports become less competitive, leading to a decrease in exports. Its imports become cheaper, increasing imports.

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PPP in the Short Term

Empirical evidence suggests that PPP does not hold in the short term. This means that exchange rates do not always reflect differences in price levels immediately.

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Factors Affecting PPP

Factors such as trade barriers, transport costs, non-tradable goods, and differences in preferences can cause deviations from PPP.

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Long-Term PPP

The theory that the exchange rate will eventually adjust to reflect the differences in price levels between two countries.

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Empirical Tests of PPP

The use of historical data to assess the validity of PPP in explaining exchange rate movements.

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Study Notes

International Finance 2024-2025 Course Objectives

  • Help students prepare for increasingly globalized financial and product markets.

Course Topics

  • FX Markets
  • Direct vs. Indirect Quotations, Spot vs. Forward Quotations
  • Bid-ask Spreads
  • Demand and Supply Model
  • International Monetary Arrangements
  • Balance of Payments
  • FX Forward Contracts
  • Currency Options
  • Interest Rate Parity
  • Purchasing Power Parity

Reference Textbook

  • International Financial Management (8th edition)
  • Authors: Eun C., Resnick B., & Tuugi Chuluun
  • Publisher: McGraw-Hill
  • Available at IESEG's library

Course Organization

  • Syllabus available from IESEG-online
  • Course Progression:
    • Day 1-3: Basic exchange rate markets
    • Day 4-6: Exchange rate risk hedging
    • Day 7-8: Long-term exchange rate determinants
    • Day 9: Presentations

Assessment

  • Final unseen exam (35%)
  • Three in-class quizzes (45%)
    • 45 minutes each
    • Tentatively scheduled on class 3, 6, and 9
  • Group presentation (20%)
    • Work in groups of 3 or 4
    • Presentation format: 20-30 minutes in-class presentation on topics provided on MyCourses
    • Presentation dates: Starting from session 2
    • Topics must be selected by the end of the second session (see MyCourses)

Lecturers

  • Hamid Babaei/CENGIZ, Umur/VUONG, Hung-Cuong

Day One/Two/Three Topics

  • FX markets
  • Quotations
  • Balance of Payments (BoP)

Foreign Exchange News

  • Swiss franc soars, stocks tank as euro peg scrapped
  • Latest threat to the UK's economy is its crumbling currency
  • Euro falls to equal the US dollar for the first time in 20 years

MNC Expansion Motivation

  • Multinational corporations (MNCs) expand internationally for various reasons:
    • Size and growth potential of the market
    • Fear of future protectionism
    • Desire to compete with and learn from rivals on their home ground
    • Lower relative production costs in some countries
    • Access to new technology to improve global competitiveness
    • Hedging currency risk

International Transactions Motivation

  • Ability to access diverse capital sources
  • Reduced tax liabilities by diversifying investments across countries
  • Diversified investment/product portfolios
  • Increased potential for higher, less risky returns than domestic investments

International Monetary System

  • Bimetallism (Pre-1875)
  • Classical Gold Standard (1875-1914)
  • Interwar Period (1915-1944)
  • Bretton Woods System (1945-1972)
  • Flexible Exchange Rate Regime (1973-Present)

European Monetary System

  • Aim to establish a zone of monetary stability in Europe
  • Coordinate exchange rate policies with non-EMS currencies
  • Pave the way for eventual European monetary union

FOREX Markets Learning Objectives

  • Understanding the function and structure of the FOREX Market
  • Ability to read market quotations
  • Derive cross-rate quotations
  • Analysis of the FOREX forward market
  • Definition of forward premium

FOREX Market Function and Structure

  • Foreign exchange (FOREX) markets enable the conversion of foreign purchasing power
  • Trading of options, forward, and futures contracts
  • Over-the-counter (OTC) market
  • Network of bank currency traders, dealers, and brokers using electronic dealing systems.

FOREX Market Characteristics

  • Largest financial market globally
  • Open 365 days/year, 24/7
  • Major transaction hubs: UK and US
  • Structure: Commercial banks, foreign exchange brokers, individuals, MNCs, speculators, institutional investors, and central banks.
  • OTC Markets vs. Exchanges
### Spot Market

- Quotations can be direct or indirect
- Direct: How many units of foreign currency are required to purchase one unit of domestic currency
- Indirect: How many units of domestic currency are required to purchase one unit of foreign currency
- Notation:  S(j/k) = price of one unit of currency k in terms of currency j
- Example: S(£/$) = 0.5 (indirect) and S($/£) = 2 (direct)

Spot Rate Quotations

  • Table of spot rate quotations for various currencies (multiple variations across pages)
  • Direct and indirect quotations examples
  • Forward rate data (multiple variations across pages)
### Bid-Ask Spread

- Bid price: Highest price a market maker will pay to buy an asset, such as a currency
- Ask price: Lowest price a market maker will sell an asset
- Spread:Difference between bid and ask prices (percentage variations across the pages)

### The FX Bid-Ask Spread

- Market makers earn profits from the difference between the buy and sell prices


### FX Spot Market Analysis


- How market makers conduct buy/sell FX transactions
- Profit from spreads,  influencing market activity due to liquidity provision
- Similarities between FX market makers and car dealers


Forward Exchange Rates

  • Agreements to buy or sell foreign currency at a specific future date.
### Forward Rate Quotations

- Spot rate and forward rate for various currency pairs.

Currency Options

  • Rights, but not obligations, to buy/sell a currency later at a predetermined price.
  • European vs. American options
  • Options cost; option premium
  • Profit/loss profiles (long and short positions)
  • Option exercise prices
  • Example and computation of option profits and losses
### Future Contracts

- Exchange contracts for the delivery of assets, commodities, or currencies.
- Daily resettlement of gains/losses.


BoP and Exchange Rate

  • Balance of Payments (BoP): Record of a country's int'l transactions over a period
  • Breakdown of BoP components: -Current Account (BCA): Imports/exports; unilateral transfers -Capital Account (BKA): Investment into and out of the country -Statistical Discrepancy, Official Reserves Account
  • Relationship between BoP and exchange rates
  • Examples of BoP calculations for the United States and its impact on currency.
### PPP

- Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) suggests that the price of a basket of goods and services should be the same across countries when converted to a common currency.
- Absolute and relative PPP theories
- Evidence for how PPP does and doesn't hold in the real world
- Charts visualizing historical data across various currencies
- Empirical examples of PPP discrepancies among national currencies

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Description

Test your knowledge on key concepts in foreign exchange, including buying and selling prices, market roles of entities, and the impact of demand on currency values. This quiz covers essential topics that are crucial for understanding the dynamics of foreign currency transactions.

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