Forecasting and Demand Planning Overview
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Questions and Answers

What is the primary purpose of demand planning?

  • To forecast sales based on past performance
  • To analyze and manage demand forecasts to optimize supply chains (correct)
  • To develop new products based on customer feedback
  • To estimate future market conditions
  • Which type of forecasting relies primarily on market research and customer feedback?

  • Quantitative Forecasting
  • Qualitative Forecasting (correct)
  • Causal Forecasting
  • Time-Series Analysis
  • What is the difference between observed and forecasted values called?

  • Forecast Bias
  • Forecast Deviation
  • Forecast Variance
  • Forecast Error (correct)
  • Which of the following is NOT a goal of demand planning?

    <p>Increase production capacity</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which forecasting approach considers external factors such as economic conditions?

    <p>Causal Forecasting</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does the term 'planning horizon' refer to in forecasting?

    <p>The forecast’s timeframe</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which characteristic of time series indicates a consistent increase or decrease over time?

    <p>Trend</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the main benefit of using Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) systems?

    <p>To automate and integrate business processes across functions</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does Deming emphasize as essential for fostering quality improvement?

    <p>An open organizational culture</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following is one of Juran's steps to quality improvement?

    <p>Identify customers and their needs</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Philip Crosby's approach to quality emphasizes which of the following principles?

    <p>Commitment to quality improvement</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What aspect does Total Quality Management (TQM) use the cost of quality to measure?

    <p>Non-quality, failing to meet customer expectations</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is one of the enabling mechanisms promoted by Deming?

    <p>Providing recognition and feedback</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does Continuous Quality Improvement emphasize according to the key TQM principles?

    <p>Strategic planning and employee involvement</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following steps is NOT part of Juran's Trilogy?

    <p>Quality Screening</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which key point is central to Deming's management philosophy?

    <p>Integration of quality from the beginning of production</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a key objective of capacity management?

    <p>Minimize waste and underutilization</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which type of variation describes unpredictable fluctuations in demand?

    <p>Random Variation</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which capacity represents the maximum output under normal conditions?

    <p>Effective Capacity</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the primary purpose of inventory management?

    <p>To meet customer demand effectively</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following is NOT a type of inventory?

    <p>Excess Capacity</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is one of the key activities in capacity management?

    <p>Effective forecasting of demand</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which factor does NOT influence capacity management?

    <p>Employee aesthetic preferences</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the time between order placement and receipt known as?

    <p>Lead Time</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the primary goal of Total Quality Management (TQM)?

    <p>To ensure continuous improvement in the quality of goods and services.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which inventory management technique helps in optimizing stock levels based on demand and supply variability?

    <p>Economic Order Quantity (EOQ)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does the concept of Vendor-Managed Inventory (VMI) primarily involve?

    <p>Suppliers control the inventory levels for the buyer.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following is NOT a challenge faced in inventory management?

    <p>Optimizing transportation routes</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What aspect of supply chain management focuses on coordinating activities to fulfill orders efficiently?

    <p>Supply Chain Integration</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does Green Sustainable Supply Chain refer to?

    <p>Using environmentally sustainable inputs and processes.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which organizational function is NOT part of the product lifecycle in TQM?

    <p>Marketing</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a primary focus of the logistics aspect of supply chain management?

    <p>Managing transportation, inventory, and customer service costs effectively.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Study Notes

    Forecasting and Demand Planning

    • Forecasting is the process of predicting future values of one or more variables.
    • Qualitative forecasting uses market research and customer feedback.
    • Quantitative forecasting uses historical data, trends, and seasonal patterns.
    • Time-series analysis focuses on patterns in historical data.
    • Causal forecasting considers external factors like economic conditions.
    • Planning horizon is the timeframe of a forecast.
    • Time bucket is the unit of measure for a forecast period.
    • Time series shows observations at successive points or periods.
    • Time series characteristics include trends, seasonality, cyclical patterns, and random variation.
    • Forecast error is the difference between observed and forecasted values.
    • Demand planning analyzes and manages demand forecasts to optimize supply chains.
    • Demand planning goals include improving forecast accuracy, optimizing inventory, reducing overstocking, enhancing supply chain efficiency, and improving customer satisfaction.
    • Demand planning benefits include improved forecast accuracy, lower inventory costs, flexible supply chains, better decision-making, and higher customer satisfaction.

    Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP)

    • ERP is software that automates and integrates business processes across departments.
    • ERP examples include Cogsy, Kinaxis, Rapid Response, Atlas Planning Platform, Oracle Cloud Supply Chain Planning, and Pecan AI.

    Capacity Management

    • Capacity management is the planning, monitoring, and controlling of an organization's resources to meet changing demands.
    • Capacity management aims to use resources efficiently in response to changing demands.

    Inventory Management

    • Inventory management plans, coordinates, and controls the acquisition, storage, and distribution of inventory to meet customer needs.
    • Key inventory aspects include the number of items and time periods, lead time, and stockouts.
    • Key inventory activities include forecasting demand, setting inventory levels, managing replenishment, tracking inventory, optimizing inventory allocation, and monitoring levels.
    • Inventory types include raw materials, components, work-in-progress (WIP), finished goods, maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO), and seasonal inventory.
    • Inventory management techniques include Just-in-Time (JIT), Economic Order Quantity (EOQ), reorder point (ROP), material requirements planning (MRP), vendor-managed inventory (VMI), and drop shipping.

    Total Quality Management (TQM)

    • TQM integrates all organizational functions and processes to ensure continuous improvement in the quality of goods and services for customer satisfaction.
    • Key features of TQM include cultural change, enabling mechanisms, and implementation steps.
    • Cultural change focuses on meeting customer requirements, embracing continuous improvement, and encouraging employee involvement and teamwork.
    • Enabling mechanisms include training and education, effective communication, recognition, and feedback, and a supportive environment for continuous quality improvements.
    • Implementation steps include defining the organization's mission, identifying customer needs, developing specifications to meet objectives, and establishing activities to meet customer goals.
    • Quality pioneers and their frameworks include Deming's 14 points, Juran's 10 steps to quality improvement, and Crosby's 14 steps to quality.
    • TQM principles include emphasis on customer-centric approaches, continuous improvement, and strategic planning, using structured methodologies and statistical tools.

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    Description

    This quiz covers key concepts in forecasting and demand planning, highlighting methods such as qualitative and quantitative forecasting. It delves into time-series analysis, causal forecasting, and the importance of understanding forecast errors and demand planning goals. Test your understanding of these essential concepts in supply chain management.

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