Exchange Rates & Currency Valuation
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Questions and Answers

Define the term exchange rate.

The price of one currency in terms of another.

Explain how increased tourism from Europe to the USA affects the Euro/USD exchange rate.

It increases demand for USD and increases the supply of Euros, leading to the appreciation of the USD and depreciation of the Euro.

Describe one advantage and one disadvantage of a fixed exchange rate system.

Advantage: Provides certainty for firms in agreeing on prices. Disadvantage: Requires regular intervention by the Central Bank, which can be expensive.

What is the difference between a revaluation and a devaluation?

<p>A revaluation is when a central bank increases the value of its currency in a fixed exchange rate system. A devaluation is when a central bank decreases the value of its currency in a fixed exchange rate system.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain how a depreciating currency can lead to cost-push inflation.

<p>A depreciating currency increases the cost of imported raw materials, leading to higher production costs for firms, which they then pass on to consumers in the form of higher prices.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain how a currency depreciation may improve a country's current account balance.

<p>Currency depreciation makes a country's exports cheaper and imports more expensive, leading to increased export sales and decreased import purchases, improving the current account balance.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How might a fixed exchange rate system negatively impact domestic consumption and investment?

<p>To maintain the fixed exchange rate, interest rates may need to be adjusted. Raising interest rates to defend the currency can reduce consumption and investment.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Under a fixed exchange rate system, what actions must a central bank take if there is an excess supply of their currency on the forex market and they wish to maintain their peg?

<p>The central bank must buy its own currency using its foreign reserves to increase demand and offset the excess supply, thus maintaining the fixed exchange rate.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Assuming the Marshall-Lerner condition holds, how does the J-curve effect relate to currency depreciation and the trade balance in the short run?

<p>In the short run, after a currency depreciation, the trade balance may initially worsen before improving. This is because import and export volumes take time to adjust to the new relative prices, while the immediate effect is higher import costs.</p> Signup and view all the answers

A country pegs its currency to the US dollar. Due to significant capital flight, the central bank is running low on foreign reserves. Describe a scenario where imposing capital controls might be a more feasible short-term solution than devaluing the currency, and what are the potential drawbacks?

<p>If the capital flight is speculative and expected to be temporary, capital controls can prevent further reserve depletion and maintain the peg. However, capital controls can distort markets, discourage foreign investment, and may not be effective in the long run if the underlying economic problems persist.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Exchange Rate

The price of one currency expressed in terms of another currency, for example, £1 = €1.18.

Currency Appreciation

When there is more demand than supply for a currency on the forex market, its price increases.

Currency Depreciation

When there is more supply than demand for a currency on the forex market, its price decreases.

Fixed Exchange Rate System

A system where a country's central bank intervenes in the currency market to maintain a fixed exchange rate relative to another currency.

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Revaluation

When a central bank decides to increase the fixed value of its currency.

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Devaluation

When a central bank decides to decrease the fixed value of its currency.

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Impact of Currency Depreciation

A fall in the value of a currency causes exports to increase and imports to decrease.

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Impact of Currency Appreciation

A rise in the value of a currency may allow costs of imported raw materials to decrease which may help lower prices in the economy

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Central Bank Intervention

To maintain a fixed exchange rate, a central bank buys or sells its own currency on the forex market. This can be an expensive policy to maintain.

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Interest Rate Influence

Changing the interest rate to maintain a fixed exchange rate can have negative consequences on consumption, investment, lending, saving and borrowing.

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Study Notes

  • An exchange rate represents the price of one currency in terms of another.
  • A country's Central Bank controls the exchange rate system to determine the value of its currency.
  • Two main exchange rate systems exist.
  • Excess demand for a currency on the forex market leads to price increases (appreciation).
  • Excess supply of a currency on the forex market leads to price decreases (depreciation).
  • The Euro/US$ market involves two diagrams: one for the USD and one for the Euro.
  • Initial equilibrium is at P1Q1 in both markets.
  • When Europeans visit the USA, they demand US$ and supply Euros.
  • Increased US$ demand shifts the demand curve right, appreciating the $ from P1 to P2, forming a new equilibrium at P2Q2.
  • Increased Euro supply shifts the supply curve right, depreciating the Euro from P1 to P2, forming a new equilibrium at P2Q2.

Fixed Exchange Rates

  • Involves a Central Bank intervening to fix (peg) the exchange rate to another currency.
  • To appreciate its currency, the Central Bank buys it on forex markets using foreign reserves, increasing demand.
  • To depreciate its currency, the Central Bank sells it on forex markets, increasing supply.
  • Sometimes pegged at parity.
  • Often the peg is not at parity
  • A revaluation occurs when the Central Bank increases the currency's strength.
  • A devaluation occurs when the Central Bank decreases the currency's strength.

Advantages of Floating Exchange Rates

  • Natural fluctuations maintain stable current account balances.
  • Currency depreciation increases exports and reduces imports.
  • Currency appreciation may decrease costs of raw materials, which may help lower prices in the economy

Disadvantages of Floating Exchange Rates

  • Fluctuations create uncertainty for firms, potentially reducing investment.
  • Currency depreciation may cause costs of raw materials to increase resulting in cost push inflation

Advantages of Fixed Exchange Rates

  • Even with rising export demand, export prices remain fixed as the currency won't appreciate, potentially boosting sales over time.
  • Central Bank intervention is necessary to maintain the rate, which can be expensive.
  • Firms benefit from price certainty due to stable exchange rates.

Disadvantages of Fixed Exchange Rates

  • Interest rate changes can influence the exchange rate.
  • Interest rate adjustments to maintain a fixed rate can negatively impact consumption, investment, lending, saving, and borrowing.

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Understand exchange rates, their determination, and the impact of supply and demand. Learn about fixed exchange rates and central bank intervention in currency markets. Explore the dynamics of currency appreciation and depreciation.

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