Exchange Rate Systems
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Questions and Answers

What happens in a floating exchange rate system when there is excess demand for a currency?

  • The currency depreciates.
  • The Central Bank intervenes.
  • The currency appreciates. (correct)
  • The exchange rate is fixed.
  • In a fixed exchange rate system, the Central Bank does not negotiate with the IMF.

    False (B)

    What is the term used for the decrease in the value of a currency in a floating exchange rate system?

    depreciation

    The price of one currency in terms of another is known as an __________.

    <p>exchange rate</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Match the following exchange rate systems with their descriptions:

    <p>Floating = Currency value changes with market demand and supply. Fixed = Central Bank pegs currency to another currency. Managed = Central Bank intervenes to stabilize the currency. Appreciation = Increase in the value of a currency.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the current peg rate of the Hong Kong dollar to the US dollar?

    <p>HK$ 7.75 = US$ 1 (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    A revaluation occurs when the Central Bank decreases the strength of its currency.

    <p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the primary function of a Central Bank in a managed exchange rate system?

    <p>To determine the preferred currency value and intervene in forex markets.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    If the Central Bank wants to increase the strength of the currency, it would ______ its interest rates.

    <p>raise</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following factors does NOT influence floating exchange rates?

    <p>Political stability (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Quantitative easing is a method used to decrease the money supply.

    <p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What happens to a currency when it is subject to competitive devaluation?

    <p>Its exports become cheaper.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    If a country has an increasing trade surplus, it will likely result in a(n) ______ of its currency.

    <p>appreciation</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Match the following terms with their definitions:

    <p>Devaluation = Decrease in the strength of a currency Interest rate increase = Currency appreciation through attracting foreign currency Speculation = Buying currency in expectation of its future value increase Managed exchange rate = Combination of fixed and floating mechanisms</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) on a country's currency?

    <p>Creates demand for the currency, leading to appreciation.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a potential consequence of intentional currency depreciation?

    <p>Increase in import prices (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Countries that appreciate their currency will generally see an increase in unemployment.

    <p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the Marshall-Lerner condition?

    <p>It states that for a depreciation to improve the current account balance, the combined elasticity of exports and imports must be greater than 1.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Depreciation of a currency can lead to __________ inflation due to higher costs of imported raw materials.

    <p>cost push</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Match the economic indicators with their respective impacts of currency depreciation:

    <p>Current Account = Imports become more expensive Economic Growth = Increase in net exports Inflation = Cost push inflation likely occurs Living Standards = Higher prices and less choice</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What happens to foreign direct investment (FDI) when a currency depreciates?

    <p>FDI increases as foreign firms find investments cheaper (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    A depreciation in currency will lead to an immediate increase in exports.

    <p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the J-Curve effect?

    <p>It describes the time lag between currency depreciation and improvement in the current account balance.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    An appreciation of a country's currency leads to a decrease in __________ due to a higher cost of exports.

    <p>exports</p> Signup and view all the answers

    If the combined elasticity of exports and imports is less than 1, what is the likely result of currency depreciation?

    <p>Worsening of the current account balance (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Flashcards

    Exchange rate

    The price of one currency in terms of another. For example, £1 = €1.18.

    Floating exchange rate

    A system where the value of a currency is determined by supply and demand in the foreign exchange market.

    Appreciation

    An increase in the value of a currency in a floating exchange rate system.

    Depreciation

    A decrease in the value of a currency in a floating exchange rate system.

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    Fixed exchange rate

    A system where a country's central bank sets a fixed value for its currency against another currency, usually a major currency like the US dollar.

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    Currency Devaluation

    The deliberate lowering of a country's currency value to make its exports cheaper and imports more expensive.

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    Currency Appreciation

    A situation where a country's currency value rises, making its exports more expensive and imports cheaper.

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    Marshall-Lerner Condition

    The idea that a currency depreciation will only improve a country's trade balance if the combined elasticity of demand for exports and imports is greater than 1.

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    Revenue Rule

    The principle stating that lowering prices for products with price-elastic demand (sensitive to price changes) can increase total revenue (exports in this case).

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    J-Curve Effect

    The time lag between a currency depreciation and the improvement in a country's trade balance.

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    Current Account

    The component of a country's balance of payments that tracks the flow of goods, services, and income.

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    Aggregate Demand (AD)

    The combined effect of all goods and services produced within a country's borders over a specific period.

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    Cost-Push Inflation

    A situation where prices rise due to increased production cost.

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    Demand-Pull Inflation

    A situation where prices rise due to increased demand.

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    Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)

    Investment from foreign companies into a country.

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    Managed exchange rate system

    A system where the central bank sets a target exchange rate for its currency against another currency, but allows it to fluctuate within a specific range. The central bank intervenes buying or selling its currency in the forex market to keep the rate within the range.

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    Devaluation

    When a central bank intentionally weakens its currency against another currency by setting a new, lower exchange rate.

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    Revaluation

    When a central bank intentionally strengthens its currency against another currency by setting a new, higher exchange rate.

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    Central bank intervention to decrease currency value

    The central bank intervenes by selling its own currency in the forex market. This increases the supply of its currency and reduces its value, bringing it back within the targeted range.

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    Central bank intervention to increase currency value

    The central bank intervenes by buying its own currency in the forex market using its foreign reserves. This increases the demand for its currency and increases its value, bringing it back within the targeted range.

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    Impact of interest rates on exchange rates (appreciation)

    Interest rates can be used to influence the value of a currency. Raising interest rates makes a currency more attractive to foreign investors, which increases demand and appreciates the currency.

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    Impact of interest rates on exchange rates (depreciation)

    Interest rates can also be used to influence the value of a currency. Lowering interest rates makes a currency less attractive to foreign investors, which reduces demand and depreciates the currency.

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    Relative inflation rates

    The relative inflation rates between two countries can affect exchange rates. If a country experiences higher inflation than its trading partners, its exports become more expensive, reducing demand and causing the currency to depreciate.

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    Influence of Net investment on exchange rates

    Foreign direct investment (FDI) into a country increases demand for its currency. This can lead to appreciation, while FDI by companies within the country creating a supply of their currency can lead to depreciation.

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    Speculation in currency markets

    Currency speculation occurs when traders buy or sell a currency in the expectation that its value will increase or decrease, allowing them to make a profit.

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    Study Notes

    Exchange Rate Systems

    • An exchange rate is the price of one currency in terms of another (e.g., £1 = €1.18)
    • International currencies are traded on the foreign exchange market (forex).
    • Central banks control the exchange rate system, determining a nation's currency value.
    • Three exchange rate systems exist: floating, fixed, and managed.

    Floating Exchange Rate

    • Determined by market forces (supply and demand).
    • Appreciation (currency worth more) occurs with excess demand.
    • Depreciation (currency worth less) occurs with excess supply.

    Fixed Exchange Rate

    • Central banks negotiate with the IMF to peg their currency to another.
    • Pegging can be at parity (e.g., 1 Brunei Dollar = 1 Singapore Dollar) or not (e.g., HK$ 7.75 = US$ 1).
    • Revaluation increases currency strength; devaluation decreases it.

    Managed Exchange Rate

    • Combines fixed and floating elements.
    • Central banks set a preferred currency value with a fluctuation band (e.g., 0.75%).
    • Market intervention (buying/selling currency) occurs to maintain this band.
    • Interest rates can influence currency values.
      • Higher interest rates attract foreign investment, increasing demand and appreciation.
      • Lower interest rates decrease attractiveness, decreasing demand and causing depreciation.

    Factors Influencing Floating Exchange Rates

    • Relative interest rates: Higher UK interest rates attract foreign investment, increasing £ demand and appreciation. Conversely, lower interest rates result in £ depreciation.
    • Relative inflation rates: Higher UK inflation makes UK exports more expensive, decreasing demand and depreciating the £.
    • Net investment (Foreign Direct Investment): FDI into the UK increases £ demand, causing appreciation. UK FDI abroad supplies £, causing depreciation.
    • Current account: A trade surplus leads to £ appreciation; a deficit leads to depreciation.
    • Speculation: Traders buy/sell currencies based on short-term/medium-term value expectations.
    • Quantitative easing (QE): Increasing the money supply (used for gilt buybacks) causes a supply of £s, resulting in depreciation.

    Intervention in Markets

    • Using fx transactions & interest rates:
      • Interest rate adjustments—increasing rates appreciate the currency, lowering them depreciate.
      • Central bank buying/selling currency—buying to bolster the currency's value, selling to depreciate it.

    Consequences of Competitive Devaluation/Depreciation

    • Makes exports cheaper, potentially leading to increased export volumes and higher export revenue (if demand is price elastic).
    • Anti-competitive; larger economies manipulate markets, gaining unfair advantages.
    • Other countries may retaliate, reducing effectiveness.
    • Costs of imports increase, often offsetting gains, resulting in lower profits.

    Impacts of Changes in Exchange Rates

    • Current account: Currency depreciation makes exports cheaper and imports more expensive, affecting current account balance. This depends on the Marshall-Lerner condition (combined elasticity of exports/imports):
      • If < 1 (inelastic), depreciation worsens the current account (time lag "J-Curve").
      • If > 1 (elastic), depreciation improves the current account; firms/consumers react to price changes over time.
    • Economic growth: Increased net exports (due to depreciation) lead to economic growth.
      • Increase in aggregate demand leads to potential demand-pull inflation.
    • Inflation: Imported raw material costs increase with currency depreciation (cost-push inflation).
    • Unemployment: Increased exports (due to depreciation) lead to job creation, decreasing unemployment.
    • Living standards: Depreciation increases import costs, impacting households; however, increased exports can lead to wage increases and higher living standards.
    • Foreign Direct Investment (FDI): Currency depreciation makes investment cheaper, increasing FDI.

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    Description

    Explore the various types of exchange rate systems including floating, fixed, and managed rates. Understand how currencies are valued and the role of central banks in setting these rates. Test your knowledge on international currency trading and exchange mechanisms.

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