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Efficient Market Hypothesis

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29 Questions

What is a necessary condition for all investors to adjust stock valuations in the same way when news arrives?

All investors receive information in a timely fashion

According to Shleifer, what is a possible outcome when not all investors are rational?

The irrationality of optimists and pessimists will balance out

What is a characteristic of rational investors, according to Shleifer?

They adjust stock valuations in the same way when news arrives

What is the role of rational, professional investors in the market, according to Shleifer?

They push prices to the 'right' level when they see 'wrong' prices

What is a necessary condition for prices to adjust instantly when news arrives?

All investors receive information in a timely fashion

What is the primary purpose of identifying the information set in the context of market efficiency?

To forecast returns on securities based on available information

According to Roberts (1967), what is the term for the information set that includes all public information?

Semi-strong form efficient

What is the primary challenge in testing the efficiency of a stock market?

The joint hypothesis problem

Which asset pricing model is used to calculate abnormal returns in assessing market efficiency?

CAPM

What is required to assess whether a portfolio generates profits?

Both the returns generated and the risk associated with the portfolio

What is the term for the profits earned due to genuine economic trading opportunities?

Excess returns

What is the implication of an informationally efficient market?

Security prices are unaffected by revealing new information to all participants

What is the condition for a market to be considered efficient with respect to an information set 𝝮?

Security prices would be unaffected by revealing 𝝮 to all participants

What is the implication of Jensen's Definition of Efficiency?

An investor cannot make economic profits by trading on available information

What is the implication of Malkiel's Definition of Efficiency?

A capital market is said to be efficient if it fully and correctly reflects all relevant information in determining security prices

What is the condition for a security to be fairly valued in an efficient market?

The security price reflects all relevant information

What is the implication of the efficient market hypothesis?

It is impossible to tell which securities will deliver returns above or below their required returns

What is the main implication of the joint hypothesis when testing efficiency?

That rejecting the null hypothesis can be due to either or both parts of the hypothesis

Why do increased dividend payments not necessarily lead to predictable returns?

Because stock prices adjust instantly to new information

What do tests of efficiency inherently test?

Both the correctness of the asset pricing model and the informational efficiency of the market

What is the primary observation of researchers using Event Studies techniques?

Markets underreact to the news in earnings announcements.

What is the characteristic of companies that issue shares to the public for the first time?

They tend to underperform the market for up to 5 years.

What is the purpose of autocorrelations in testing efficiency?

To test the proposition that future returns are unrelated to past returns

What do event studies examine?

Price reactions to specific types of corporate or economic events

What is the observation of a momentum strategy in the market?

It delivers positive returns on average.

What is the implication of the existence of momentum in the market?

It is hard to consistently profit from security mispricing.

What is a consequence of rejecting the null hypothesis in efficiency tests?

Uncertainty when interpreting test results

What is the duration of the underperformance of companies that issue shares to the public for the first time?

Up to 5 years.

What is the characteristic of the abnormal returns of portfolios of stocks that have released unexpectedly good earnings news?

They are higher than those of portfolios of stocks that have released unexpectedly bad earnings news.

Test your understanding of the Efficient Market Hypothesis, including Jensen's and Malkiel's definitions of efficiency. Learn how markets process information and how prices reflect available data.

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