Decision Making: Support Systems and Disciplines

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Questions and Answers

Evaluating what-if scenarios is not a vital part of decision making.

False (B)

Experimentation with a real system will not give useful insights during decision making.

False (B)

Changes in the decision-making environment are static and predictable.

False (B)

Time pressure can impact the thoroughness of the decision-making process.

<p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Analyzing a problem involves zero costs in time or money.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The central concepts of a Decision Support System (DSS) include support and system components but not decision-making processes.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Building a successful DSS depends on a superficial understanding of its main ideas.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Managerial decision-making and management processes are completely independent.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Mathematics as a discipline, does not contribute to the science of decision making.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In decision making, there is no trade-off between accuracy and speed.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Efficiency in decision-making relates to 'goodness' and 'accuracy'.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A balanced approach isn't necessary for sound decision making.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Individual decision-makers follow almost identical decision-making protocols when faced with the same problem.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In medium-to-large organizations, consensus is always easily achieved, which streamlines decision-making processes.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Simon's decision-making process includes only the phases of intelligence and choice.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to Simon, the first phase in the decision-making process involves the implementation of a solution.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In Simon's decision-making model, 'design' focuses solely on implementing the chosen solution without creating different approaches.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Data mining and OLAP are only used during the design phase of decision support.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Standalone, integrated, and Web-based are all descriptors of the intelligence phase.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A Model base management system (MBMS) is used in the Data Management Subsystem.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

What is Groupthink?

A psychological phenomenon where a group values harmony and consensus, leading to irrational or dysfunctional decision-making outcomes.

What are "What-if" Scenarios?

A way of exploring potential outcomes by testing different assumptions and variables.

What is Decision Making?

Choosing between multiple options to achieve a specific objective.

What is the Decision-Making Process?

Systematic process involving intelligence, design, choice, implementation and monitoring.

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What is Decision Style?

The approach people use to think about and react to problems during decision-making.

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What are Decision Makers in Small Organizations?

Organizations where decisions are made by single individuals with potentially conflicting objectives.

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What are Decision Makers in Large Organizations?

Organizations where groups face different backgrounds, objectives and difficulties with consensus.

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What is a Decision Support System (DSS)?

A system designed to aid managerial decisions in semi-structured and unstructured situations.

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What are the different DSS classifications?

Communication-driven, data-driven, document-driven, knowledge-driven and model-driven.

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What are the main components of a DSS?

Data management, model management, user interface and knowledgebase management.

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What is the Data Management Subsystem?

The subsystem that includes the database, DBMS, and data warehouse connections.

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What is the Model Management Subsystem?

The subsystem that includes the model base management system (MBMS).

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Study Notes

Characteristics of Decision Making

  • Groupthink and evaluating "what-if" scenarios factor into decision-making.
  • Decision-making involves experimenting with a real system.
  • The decision-making environment faces continuous changes.
  • Decision-makers often face time constraints.
  • Analyzing a problem involves incurring time and monetary costs.

Decision Support Systems (DSS)

  • DSS dissects into main concepts: support, system, and decision-making
  • Building a successful DSS requires a thorough understanding of these concepts and models and data.

Decision Making Defined

  • Decision making describes a process of choosing between two or more options to attain a goal
  • Managerial decision making describes the entire management process.
  • Planning involves contemplating what needs to be done by whom, when, where, why, and how.

Decision-Making Disciplines

  • Behavioral disciplines: anthropology, law, philosophy, political science, psychology, social psychology, and sociology.
  • Scientific disciplines: computer science, decision analysis, economics, engineering, the hard sciences (e.g., biology, chemistry, physics), management science/operations research, mathematics, and statistics.
  • Each discipline has its own assumptions and contributions to how people make decisions.
  • Better decisions require tradeoffs between accuracy and speed.
  • Fast decisions may be detrimental and many areas suffer from them.
  • "Effectiveness" means "goodness" or "accuracy" while "efficiency" means "speed" using "less resources."
  • A fine balance between effectiveness and efficiency is needed.

Decision Style

  • Decision style defines the manner in which decision-makers think and react to problems including perceiving a problem, cognitive response, values, and beliefs.
  • When making decisions, people follow different steps in a particular sequence, and emphasis, time allotment, and priority to each step.

Decision Makers

  • Small organizations are often run by individuals, who can face conflicting objectives.
  • Medium-to-large organizations are often run by groups comprised of different styles, backgrounds, and expectations.
  • Large organizations face conflicting objectives, where consensus is often difficult to reach.
  • Computer support and GSS help with decision making in larger organizations.

Phases of Decision-Making Process

  • Humans consciously or subconsciously follow a systematic decision-making process.
  • The decision-making process involves intelligence, design, choice, implementation, and monitoring.
  • Simon (1977) describes the decision-making structure.

Simon's Decision-Making Process

  • Organization objectives, search and scanning procedures, data collection, problem identification, problem ownership, problem classification, and problem statement are all examples related to intelligence
  • Formulating a model, setting choice criteria, searching for alternatives, and predicting/measuring outcomes are all examples related to design
  • Solution to the model, sensitivity analysis, selecting the best alternative(s), and planning for implementation are all examples related to choice
  • During implementation the solution can result in success or failure

How Decisions are Supported

  • Intelligence: ANN, MIS, Data Mining, OLAP, ES, and ERP
  • Design: ESS, ES, SCM
  • Choice: CRM, ERP, KVS, Management Science, and ANN
  • Implementation: ESS, ES, KMS, and ERP
  • DSS and ES are examples of Phase
  • CRM and SCM are examples of Implementation

DSS Capabilities

  • DSS are intended to support managerial decisions in semistructured and unstructured decision situations.
  • DSS are designed as adjuncts to decision-makers that extend their capabilities.
  • DSS are computer-based, operate interactively online, and have graphical output capabilities.
  • Current-day DSS is simplified via Web browsers and mobile devices.
  • DSS systems may be semistructured or unstructured.
  • DSS help support managers at all levels.
  • DSS helps support individuals and groups.
  • DSS allows interdependent or sequential decisions.
  • DSS supports intelligence, design, choice and implementation.
  • DSS supports a variety of decision processes and styles.
  • DSS is designed to be adaptable and flexible.
  • DSS gives the user interactive ease of use.
  • DSS should have effectiveness and efficiency.
  • DSS gives humans control of the process.
  • DSS improves the ease of development by end users.
  • DSS allows data access.
  • DSS allows modeling and analysis.
  • DSS can be standalone, integrated, and web-based.

DSS Classifications

  • AIS SIGDSS classifies DSS into communication-driven and group DSS, data-driven DSS, document-driven DSS, knowledge-driven DSS, and model-driven DSS.
  • Generally, DSS is a hybrid of many classes.

Components of DSS

  • Data: can be internal and/or external.
  • The process involves Organizational Knowledgebase, manager (user), user interface, knowledge-based subsystems, legacy web interfaces, external models, Model Management, and Data Management.
  • There are other computer-based systems, internet, intranet, and extranet systems involved.
  • Data Management Subsystem: includes the database that contains the data.
  • A database management system (DBMS) can be connected to a data warehouse.
  • Model Management Subsystem: Model base management system (MBMS)
  • User Interface Subsystem.
  • Knowledgebase Management Subsystem: Organizational knowledge base.

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