Decision-Making Errors and Biases
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Questions and Answers

What does the overconfidence bias primarily involve?

  • Holding positive yet unrealistic beliefs about oneself (correct)
  • Avoiding costs associated with decision making
  • Believing past outcomes could have been predicted
  • Underestimating the challenges faced in decision making

Which bias involves focusing on the most recent events to make decisions?

  • Hindsight Bias
  • Anchoring Effect
  • Availability Bias (correct)
  • Framing Bias

What is the primary characteristic of the confirmation bias?

  • Seeking information to support previous decisions (correct)
  • Ignoring initial information during decision making
  • Focusing on random events without evidence
  • Evaluating past choices critically

How does the framing bias affect decision making?

<p>By emphasizing certain information over other pertinent data (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following biases can lead to significant errors in evaluating past decisions?

<p>Hindsight Bias (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the sunk cost error pertain to in decision making?

<p>Ignoring future implications based on past investments (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which bias involves creating meaning from random events without substantial evidence?

<p>Randomness Bias (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the effect of the self-serving bias in an individual's assessments of their actions?

<p>Claiming credit for achievements while blaming failures on others (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is primarily involved in the representation bias?

<p>Drawing parallels between different situations that are not truly comparable. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which bias is characterized by focusing on information that supports previous decisions?

<p>Confirmation bias (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the availability bias primarily influence in decision making?

<p>How recent information is perceived as more relevant. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which bias results in mistakenly believing that an event was predictable after its outcome is known?

<p>Hindsight bias (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following biases involves the behavior of discounting unfavorable circumstances when evaluating performance?

<p>Self-serving bias (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the main consequence of the anchoring effect in decision-making?

<p>Disregarding subsequent relevant information. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a primary characteristic of the immediate gratification bias?

<p>Preferring choices that yield short-term rewards over those with delayed benefits. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which bias involves interpreting situations according to what one already believes or expects?

<p>Selective perception bias (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Heuristics

Using simplified rules to make decisions quickly, often based on past experiences.

Overconfidence Bias

Overly positive view of oneself and their abilities, leading to underestimation of risks.

Immediate Gratification Bias

Choosing options that offer immediate rewards, even if long-term consequences are negative.

Anchoring Effect

Focusing on initial information and ignoring later information, even if it contradicts the initial data.

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Selective Perception Bias

Interpreting events based on personal biases, selectively focusing on confirming information.

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Confirmation Bias

Seeking information that confirms existing beliefs, ignoring contradicting evidence.

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Framing Bias

Highlighting certain aspects of a situation while ignoring others, influencing a decision.

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Availability Bias

Focusing on recent events and overestimating their importance in decision making.

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Self-Serving Bias

Attributing successes to oneself and blaming failures on external factors.

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Sunk Cost Error

The feeling of regret for past actions and sticking to the original decision even if it's wrong.

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Hindsight Bias

The belief that an event is more predictable after it happened.

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Representation Bias

Drawing conclusions based on limited information, ignoring patterns.

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Study Notes

Decision-Making Errors and Biases

  • Heuristics: Using simplified rules of thumb to make decisions.
  • Overconfidence Bias: Holding unrealistically positive views of oneself and one's performance.
  • Immediate Gratification Bias: Choosing alternatives that offer immediate rewards and avoiding immediate costs.
  • Anchoring Effect: Fixating on initial information and ignoring subsequent information.
  • Selective Perception Bias: Selecting, organizing, and interpreting events based on the decision-maker's biased perceptions.
  • Confirmation Bias: Seeking out information that reaffirms past choices and discounting contradictory information.
  • Framing Bias: Selecting and highlighting certain aspects of a situation while ignoring other aspects.
  • Availability Bias: Losing decision-making objectivity by focusing on the most recent events.
  • Representativeness Bias: Drawing analogies and seeing identical situations when none exist.
  • Randomness Bias: Creating unfounded meaning out of random events.
  • Sunk Costs Error: Forgetting that current actions cannot influence past events and relate only to future consequences.
  • Self-Serving Bias: Taking quick credit for successes and blaming outside factors for failures.
  • Hindsight Bias: Mistakenly believing that an event could have been predicted once the actual outcome is known (after-the-fact).

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Description

Explore the various decision-making errors and biases that can affect our choices. This quiz covers key concepts such as heuristics, overconfidence bias, and more, helping you understand how these influences shape our decisions. Test your knowledge and improve your critical thinking skills.

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