Currency Futures Contracts

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Questions and Answers

How does daily resettlement, as seen in futures contracts, impact market participants?

  • It requires participants to physically exchange the underlying asset daily, increasing transaction costs.
  • It allows participants to realize their profit or loss on a day-to-day basis, effectively creating a new contract each day at the new price. (correct)
  • It consolidates all profit/loss calculations until the contract's maturity date, reducing daily volatility.
  • It delays the realization of profits or losses until the end of the contract, encouraging longer-term speculation.

In the context of currency futures contracts, what is the key distinction between speculators and hedgers?

  • Speculators aim to profit from anticipated price changes, while hedgers seek to avoid price variation by locking in a purchase or sales price. (correct)
  • Speculators aim to mitigate price variation by locking in future prices, while hedgers profit from expected currency depreciations.
  • Speculators are primarily concerned with the physical delivery of the currency, whereas hedgers focus on financial settlements.
  • Speculators operate exclusively in forward markets, while hedgers utilize futures markets for their risk management strategies.

What is the role of initial performance bond/margin in a futures contract?

  • It serves as a prepayment for the underlying asset to be delivered at the contract's maturity.
  • It is a 'good faith money' ensuring that the contract will be fulfilled, typically around 2% of the contract value. (correct)
  • It represents the total profit or loss that the contract holder expects to realize at the end of the contract.
  • It is a fee paid to the exchange for facilitating the trading of the futures contract.

If a trader holds a long position in a currency futures contract and the price of the currency decreases, what action occurs as part of the daily resettlement process?

<p>The trader pays the short position an amount reflecting the decrease in price. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How do currency futures differ from forward contracts?

<p>Futures are standardized contracts traded on exchanges with daily resettlement, while forwards are tailor-made agreements. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does it mean when a currency call option is described as 'in the money'?

<p>The underlying asset's spot price is greater than the option's strike price. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A currency trader wants to protect against a potential decline in the value of the British pound (GBP) they expect to receive in three months. Which strategy would best achieve this?

<p>Purchasing GBP put options. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is a standardizing feature of futures contracts?

<p>Contract size as defined by the exchange (e.g., CME) (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In reading currency futures quotes, 'open interest' indicates:

<p>The number of contracts outstanding for a particular delivery month. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What distinguishes European options from American options?

<p>European options can only be exercised on the expiration date, while American options can be exercised at any time up to expiration. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A speculator believes the Euro will depreciate against the U.S. dollar. According to the content, which action is most aligned with this belief?

<p>Selling Euros in the forward market. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What scenario would most likely lead a holder of a short futures position to receive a margin call?

<p>A significant increase in the price of the underlying asset. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In futures terminology, what term describes the seller of a futures contract?

<p>The Short (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A trader holds a long position in a currency futures contract. How can they exit the market prior to the delivery date?

<p>By entering into an offsetting short position. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the maximum loss a purchaser of a call option faces?

<p>Limited to the amount of the initial premium paid for the option. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A trader who is 'long' a currency future will profit if:

<p>The currency's value rises during the contract period. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A firm wants to protect against the risk of the Canadian dollar appreciating. Should they write a call or a put option?

<p>Write a call option. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the difference between future contracts and option contracts?

<p>Future contracts give the buyer the <em>obligation</em> to buy or sell, while an option provides the <em>right</em>, but not the <em>obligation</em> to buy or sell. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Assuming that theoretical future rate does not equal to the actual future rate, what does that imply?

<p>Interest Rate Parity (IRP) is not holding. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If one were to buy a currency forward contracts rather than a currency future, what are they likely trying to achieve?

<p>They require a tailor-made solution to meet their needs. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Currency Future

A contract obligating the buyer to purchase, or seller to sell, a specific amount of currency for another at a predetermined exchange rate on a specific future date.

Initial Performance Bond / Margin

A deposit made to a clearinghouse to cover potential losses; ensures the contract will be fulfilled.

Maintenance Performance Bond

The minimum amount that market participants must maintain in their account.

Daily Resettlement

The process where market participants realize their profit/loss on a day-to-day basis, rather than one big settlement at maturity.

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Speculators

Those who attempt to profit from a change in the futures price by taking a short or long position.

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Hedgers

Those who seek to avoid price variation by locking in a purchase price of the underlying asset.

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Option Contract

Gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy/sell a given quantity of an asset in the future at prices agreed upon today

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Call Option

Give the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy a given quantity of some asset at some time in the future at prices agreed upon today.

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Put Option

Give the holder the right, but not the obligation, to sell a given quantity of some asset at some time in the future at prices agreed upon today.

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Exercise/Strike Price

The exchange rate at which someone can buy or sell the currency if they exercise the option

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Premium

The price of an option contract.

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Long

Someone who purchases options.

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Short/Writer

Someone who sells options

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Call Option: In the Money

When exercising would be profitable, the exercise price is less than the spot price of the underlying asset.

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Call Option: Out of the Money

When exercising would not be profitable, the exercise price is greater than the current spot price of the underlying asset

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Put Option: In the Money

The exercise price is less than the spot price.

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Put Option: Out of the Money

The exercise price is greater than the spot price.

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Options Trading: Speculation

Speculators may purchase call options on a currency they expect to increase in value.

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Options vs. Futures: Obligation

This offers the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy/sell a given quantity of an asset in the future at prices agreed upon today.

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Future contract costs and profit.

Future contracts involve no upfront cost, and the profit/loss is calculated every day (marking to market)

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Study Notes

Currency Futures Contracts

  • A currency future is a contract standardizing the purchase or sale of a currency for another at a specific future date, with a predetermined exchange rate
  • Currency futures are like forward contracts because they specify an exchange of currencies at a specified future date and price
  • Futures are standardized contracts traded on organized exchanges, involving daily resettlement via a clearinghouse

Over-the-Counter (Forwards) vs Exchange-Traded (Futures)

Feature Future Forward
Trading Venue Competitively on organized exchanges Traded by bank dealers
Underlying Asset Amount Standardized Tailor-made to participant's needs
Settlement Daily, through futures clearinghouse using a performance bond account At maturity, buyer/seller exchanges contractual amounts
Delivery Date Standardized Tailored to investor's needs
Asset Delivery Rarely occurs; typically offset by a reversing trade Common
Transaction Cost Bid-ask spread plus broker's commission Bid-ask spread plus indirect bank charges
  • Clients seeking futures must contact a specialized broker

Key Terminology

  • Long refers to the buyer
  • Short refers to the seller
  • Initial performance bond/margin is ~2% of contract value; it is "good faith money" for fulfilling the contract
  • Maintenance performance bond is the minimum account level participants must maintain

Standardized Features of Futures

  • Contract size (CME)
  • Delivery month (March, June, September, December)
  • Daily resettlement

Theoretical Future Rate

  • The IRP equation applies equally to forwards and futures
  • Theoretical future rate = Spot rate x (1 + domestic interest rate) / (1 + foreign interest rate)
  • If the theoretical future rate does not equal the actual future rate, IRP is not holding

Reading Currency Future Quotes

  • Settle is the closing price at the end of the trading day
  • Open interest indicates the number of contracts outstanding for a particular delivery month and is a good indicator of demand
  • Displayed using American terms
  • Prices are specified to four decimal places

Daily Resettlement

  • Daily resettlement involves market participants realizing profit/loss daily rather than at maturity
  • Each party has a a new contract at the new price

Impact of Price Movements

  • If the rates goes down, the long position pays the short position
  • If the rate goes up, the short position pays the long position

Hedging and Speculation

  • Speculators attempt to profit from changing futures prices by taking short or long positions
    • Speculators sell currency expected to depreciate and buy currency expected to appreciate
  • Hedgers avoid price variation by locking in a purchase price or sales price
    • Hedgers use risk management to transfer price variation risk to speculators, who are more willing to bear it

Option Contracts vs Future Contracts

  • An options contract conveys the right, but not the obligation, to buy/sell a given quantity of an asset in the future at prices agreed upon today
  • Available including individual stocks, stock indexes, futures, and foreign exchange
  • Call options grant the holder the right to buy
  • Put options grant the holder the right to sell
  • European options can be exercised only on the expiration date
  • American options can be exercised any time up to and including the expiration date

Option Specifics

  • Premium is the price of the option contract
  • Exercise/strike price is the exchange rate at which the option holder can buy/sell the currency
  • Long refers to the buyer
  • Short/writer refers to the seller

Call Option Expressions

  • Call options-you want the underlying asset to become more expensive so that your option to buy is worth more
    • In the money is when the exercise price is less than the spot price of the underlying asset
    • At the money is when the exercise price equals the spot price of the underlying asset
    • Out of the money is when the exercise price is more than the spot price of the underlying asset

Put Option Expressions

  • Put options-you want the underlying asset to become more expensive so your option to sell it is worth more
    • In the money is when the exercise price is greater than the spot price of the underlying asset
    • At the money is when the exercise price equals the spot price of the underlying asset
    • Out of the money is when the exercise price is less than the spot price of the underlying asset

Currency Options

  • Currency options started trading on exchanges in 1982 and are in seven major currencies against the dollar

Option Values

  • If a call is in the money, it is worth CT = ST −E
  • If a call is out of the money, it is worthless
  • If a put is in the money, it is worth PT = E − ST
  • If a put is out of the money, it is worthless

Option Strategies

  • Speculators purchase call options on currencies they expect to appreciate
    • If correct, speculators realize a profit, and if incorrect, losses are limited to the call premium
  • Speculators sell/write put options on currencies they expect to appreciate
    • If correct, speculators realize profit (the put premium), but if incorrect, large losses may occur
  • Speculators sell/write call options on currencies they expect to depreciate
    • If correct, speculators realize profit (the call premium), but if incorrect, large losses may occur
  • Speculators purchase put options on currencies they expect to depreciate
    • If correct, speculators realize profit, and if incorrect, losses are limited to the put premium

Key Differences: Options vs. Futures

  • Options give the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy/sell
  • Future contracts obligate the buyer to buy, or the seller to sell specific currency
  • Options require a premium, which is the maximum loss
  • Future contracts involve a profit/loss calculated daily with unlimited risk and reward

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