Correlation analysis

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Questions and Answers

Explain how a scatter plot can be used to visually assess the strength and direction of a linear relationship between two variables.

A scatter plot displays data points for two variables, where the pattern indicates the relationship's strength and direction. Tightly clustered points suggest a strong relationship, while scattered points indicate a weak one. An upward trend shows a positive relationship, and a downward trend shows a negative relationship.

Describe a scenario where two variables might appear to have a strong positive correlation but are not causally related. What is this phenomenon called?

A city's ice cream sales and crime rates might both rise during the summer. This does not mean that ice cream causes crime, or vice versa, but rather that a third variable (e.g., hot weather) influences both. This is known as a spurious correlation.

Explain why correlation does not equal causation.

Correlation indicates the extent to which two variables are related or tend to vary together, but it doesn't prove that one variable causes changes in the other. There could be confounding variables influencing both, or the direction of causality could be reversed or non-existent.

How might outliers influence the interpretation of correlational data, and what steps can be taken to mitigate their impact?

<p>Outliers can disproportionately affect the correlation coefficient, potentially skewing the perceived strength and direction of the relationship. To mitigate this, researchers can use robust statistical methods less sensitive to outliers, transform the data, or, if justified, remove the outliers after careful consideration and documentation.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does a Pearson's r value of 0 indicate about the relationship between two variables?

<p>A Pearson's <em>r</em> value of 0 indicates there is no linear relationship between the two variables. However, it does not rule out the possibility of a non-linear relationship.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain the difference between a positive and a negative correlation, providing an example of each.

<p>A positive correlation means that as one variable increases, the other also increases (e.g., study time and test scores). A negative correlation means that as one variable increases, the other decreases (e.g., hours of sleep deprivation and alertness level).</p> Signup and view all the answers

Describe a research scenario where investigating the relationship between two variables using correlational methods would be more appropriate than conducting an experimental study. Explain why.

<p>Studying the relationship between personality traits and job performance is better suited to correlational methods. Manipulating personality traits experimentally is not feasible or ethical, making correlational studies the preferred method.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain the concept of 'restriction of range' and how it can affect the calculated correlation between two variables.

<p>Restriction of range occurs when the sample data does not represent the full range of possible values for one or both variables. This can artificially lower the correlation coefficient, as it reduces the variability needed to detect a relationship.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain how the reliability of measurement can impact observed correlations. What happens to the observed correlation as reliability decreases?

<p>Unreliable measurement introduces error into the data, which attenuates (reduces) the observed correlation. As reliability decreases (i.e., more measurement error), the observed correlation between the variables will tend to decrease.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain how the range of Pearson's r allows for standardized comparison of relationships between different pairs of variables.

<p>By being bounded between -1 and +1, Pearson's <em>r</em> provides a consistent scale to evaluate the strength and direction of linear relationships, irrespective of the variables' original units or scales.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Describe a scenario where a strong negative correlation might not indicate a causal relationship.

<p>A strong negative correlation between ice cream sales and the number of flu cases does not imply that ice cream prevents the flu. Rather, the relationship is likely confounded by temperature: ice cream sales increase in warm weather, while flu cases decrease.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does the spread of data points around the line of best fit on a scatter plot influence Pearson's correlation coefficient?

<p>A wider spread of data points around the line of best fit indicates greater variability and weaker correlation, leading to a correlation coefficient closer to 0. A narrower spread indicates less variability and stronger correlation, leading to a coefficient closer to -1 or +1, depending on the direction of the relationship.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain what a Pearson's r close to zero implies about the relationship between two variables and what it does not imply.

<p>A Pearson's <em>r</em> close to zero suggests a weak or nonexistent <strong>linear</strong> relationship between two variables; <em>however</em>, it does not preclude the possibility of a strong <strong>non-linear</strong> relationship.</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of social sciences, why are perfect correlations (+1.00 or -1.00) rarely observed?

<p>Perfect correlations are rare in social sciences due to the complexity of human behavior and the numerous interacting factors influencing social phenomena. It is nearly impossible to isolate two variables without the influence of other confounding factors.</p> Signup and view all the answers

If variable A consistently increases as variable B decreases, describe the expected value of Pearson’s r and explain why.

<p>The expected value of Pearson’s <em>r</em> would be negative (r &lt; 0). This is because an inverse relationship exists, where higher values of one variable correspond to lower values of the other.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain the difference between correlation and causation, and why it is important to avoid inferring causation from correlation.

<p>Correlation indicates a statistical association between variables. Causation implies that one variable directly influences another. Inferring causation from correlation is a logical fallacy because the relationship may be due to a confounding variable or reverse causality.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Describe a scenario where you might expect a positive correlation between two variables in a social science context.

<p>A positive correlation might be expected between years of education and annual income. Generally, as the number of years of education increases, annual income also tends to increase.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Describe the implications of a correlation coefficient of +1.00. Can this be seen in social science?

<p>A correlation coefficient of +1.00 indicates a perfect positive correlation, meaning that as one variable increases, the other increases proportionally for every member of the population, there is a direct correlation. It will be unlikely in social science due to the intricacies of sociological factors.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Describe why correlation is an invaluable tool for researchers.

<p>Correlation serves as an invaluable initial investigative tool, helping researchers identify potential relationships between variables, forming the groundwork for future explorations into causation or specific phenomenon.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain how a 'ceiling effect' can lead to an underestimation of the true correlation between two variables.

<p>A ceiling effect occurs when a large proportion of participants score at or near the maximum possible score on a variable. This restriction in range reduces the variability in the data, which can artificially lower the calculated correlation coefficient, leading to an underestimation of the true relationship between the variables.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Describe a scenario where two variables might exhibit a strong correlation, but changes in one variable do not cause changes in the other. What is this phenomenon called?

<p>Imagine ice cream sales and crime rates both increase during the summer. The heat causes both, but ice cream sales don't cause crime, nor vice versa. This is called a spurious correlation.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain why the Pearson correlation coefficient might not be an appropriate measure of association when examining the relationship between anxiety levels and performance on a complex task.

<p>The relationship between anxiety and performance is often curvilinear, such that performance improves with increasing anxiety up to a point, after which further increases in anxiety lead to declines in performance. Pearson's r only measures the <em>linear</em> association between two variables. Therefore it is not appropriate.</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a study examining the relationship between hours of sleep and exam performance, researchers suspect that student stress levels might influence both variables. How could partial correlation be used to address this concern?

<p>Partial correlation could be used to control for the effects of student stress levels. The researchers would calculate the correlation between hours of sleep and exam performance while statistically removing the influence of stress, providing a clearer picture of the direct relationship between sleep and exam performance.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain what the difference is between the 'sign' and the 'number' in a correlation coefficient.

<p>The sign (+ or -) indicates the direction of the relationship (positive or negative). The number (absolute value) indicates the strength of the relationship, ranging from 0 (no correlation) to 1 (perfect correlation).</p> Signup and view all the answers

A study finds a correlation of r = -0.75 between exercise frequency and body mass index (BMI) in adults. Interpret this correlation in terms of the strength and direction of the association, and discuss one potential limitation in drawing causal inferences from this result.

<p>The correlation of -0.75 indicates a strong, negative association between exercise frequency and BMI. As exercise frequency increases, BMI tends to decrease. However, causation cannot be determined. People with lower BMIs may be more likely to exercise. It could also be other factors that influence both.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Correlation Coefficient (r)

A measure of the strength and direction of a linear relationship between two variables, ranging from -1 to +1.

Weak Correlation

r between 0 and ±0.29 indicates a weak or no linear relationship between variables.

Moderate Correlation

r between ±0.3 and ±0.59 suggests a moderate linear relationship between variables.

Strong Correlation

r between ±0.6 and ±1.00 indicates a strong linear relationship between variables.

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Spurious Correlation

A correlation between two variables that appears statistically significant but is due to chance or other confounding factors.

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Ceiling/Floor Effect

When data tends to cluster at the high end (ceiling) or low end (floor) of a measurement scale, limiting variability.

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Correlation

A statistical method used to analyze the degree to which two scores are related.

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Linear Relationship

A relationship between two variables that can be represented by a straight line.

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Positive Linear Relationship

As one variable increases, the other variable also increases. They move in the same direction.

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Negative Linear Relationship

As one variable increases, the other variable decreases. They move in opposite directions.

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Scatter Plot

A visual representation of the relationship between two variables using dots on a graph.

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Purpose of Scatter Plots

Examine relationships between variables.

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Scatter Plot Data Points

Each point represents one individual's scores on two different variables.

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Scatter Plot Construction

A graph with an X-axis (horizontal) and a Y-axis (vertical) used to plot the relationship between two variables.

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No Relationship

Data points are scattered with no clear pattern, and no line of best fit can be drawn.

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Pearson's r

A statistic (r) that quantifies the strength and direction of a linear relationship between two variables, ranging from -1 to +1.

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Positive Correlation

Indicates that as one variable increases, the other variable also tends to increase (r > 0).

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Negative Correlation

Indicates that as one variable increases, the other variable tends to decrease (r < 0).

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Zero Correlation

Indicates no linear relationship between the two variables; the variables do not vary together in a predictable way (r = 0).

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Perfect Positive Correlation

A correlation coefficient of +1.00, indicating a perfect positive relationship.

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Zero Correlation

A correlation coefficient of 0, indicating that there is no relationship between two variables.

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Correlation Strength

The closer to -1 or 1 it is, the stronger the relationship.

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Correlation Range

In social sciences, perfect or zero correlation are not found.

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Study Notes

  • Statistical methods can analyze differences between samples
  • Research questions explore the degree to which two scores are related
  • Linear relationships are central to correlation analysis and can be represented by a straight line

Positive Linear Relationship

  • Indicates values on two variables move in the same direction
  • As scores on one variable increase, scores on the other variable also increase, and vice versa

Negative Linear Relationship

  • Shows values on two variables move in opposite directions
  • As scores on one variable increase, scores on the other variable decrease, and vice versa

Zero Correlation

  • Data points are widely scattered without a specific trend
  • It's not possible to draw a line of best fit

Scatter Plots

  • A scatter plot examines the relationship between two variables
  • It visually represents how individual scores are scattered over a range
  • Each point on the plot represents an individual's scores on two variables
  • Scatter plots help in visualizing the relationship between variables
  • A graph is constructed with one variable on the X axis (horizontal) and the other on the Y axis (vertical)
  • Scores from each subject are plotted on the graph
  • Each subject's score on one variable provides the X co-ordinate, and the score on the second variable provides the Y co-ordinate

Quantifying Relationships

  • A scatter plot helps identify a positive or negative relationship
  • Mathematical methods measure the relationship between variables, using correlation
  • Correlation statistics can be used to compare relationships between variables

Correlation

  • Pearson's r is the main statistic to measure the correlation of two variables
  • The correlation coefficient (r) provides a standard measure of how correlated two variables are
  • Correlation coefficients range between -1 and +1
  • The (+ or -) sign indicates the relationship's direction
  • When r > 0 (+), the relationship is positive
  • When r < 0 (-), the relationship is negative, signifying an inverse relationship
  • When r = 0, there is no relationship between the two variables
  • Correlation coefficient value closer to -1.00 or +1.00 indicates a stronger relationship
  • A perfect positive correlation (+1.00) means higher scores on one variable relate to higher scores on the other for every subject
  • Perfect relationships aren't usually found in social sciences
  • A correlation of 0 rarely occurs
  • Wider spread of scores around the line indicates a lower correlation coefficient

Correlation Strength

  • Weak correlation: r between 0 and ± 0.29
  • Moderate correlation: r between ± 0.3 and ± 0.59
  • Strong correlation: r between ± 0.6 and ± 1.00
  • Correlation coefficient value comprises two components:
    • Sign (+/-) indicates direction
    • Number indicates strength
  • For example -0.4 is a stronger correlation than +0.3

Correlation and Causation

  • Correlation coefficients determine whether values on one variable are associated with values on a second variable
  • Correlation and causation are often confused
  • Spurious correlation describes a chance correlation between two variables without one causing the other

Examples of Spurious Correlation

  • High school graduates vs. donut consumption
  • Global average temperature vs. number of pirates
  • Per capita cheese consumption correlates with the number of people who died by becoming tangled in their bedsheets with r = 0.95
  • Number of people who drowned by falling into a pool correlates with number of Films Nicolas Cage appeared in with r = 0.67
  • The Relationship Between Stork Populations and Human Birth in rates of r = 0.62

Non-Linear Relationships

  • The Pearson correlation coefficient measures linear associations
  • Not all relations between variables are linear

Ceiling and Floor Effects

  • Occur when a large percentage of participants score at the higher end (ceiling) or lower end (floor) of a variable
  • Ceiling and floor effects skew correlation coefficient values
  • For example on an easy exam, many students may achieve full marks regardless of study time (a ceiling effect)

Partial Correlation

  • Aims to address the third variable problem
  • Looks at relationship between two variables while controlling for the effect of a third variable statistically
  • For example, research might look at the association between viewing violent TV and violent behavior, while controlling for exposure to violence in the home

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