Podcast
Questions and Answers
What is the main reason for the anti-French sentiment in the Sahel region?
What is the main reason for the anti-French sentiment in the Sahel region?
- The failure of the long French military intervention to stop jihadist violence (correct)
- The replacement of the French flag with Chad's flag
- The increase in deaths in conflict from 2016 to 2021
- The spate of coups sweeping across the region
Where is the headquarters for France’s operations in Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso located?
Where is the headquarters for France’s operations in Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso located?
- The French army base in Chad
- Chad’s capital, N’Djamena (correct)
- Mali's capital, Bamako
- Abeche, eastern Chad
What was the response of the protesters in Abeche towards the French base?
What was the response of the protesters in Abeche towards the French base?
- Demanded more French troops to be stationed in Abeche
- Ignored the presence of the French base
- Tried to break into the base and replaced the French flag with Chad’s (correct)
- Expressed gratitude towards the French base
What is the perception of Mohamed Adam, a taxi driver, regarding France’s role in Chad?
What is the perception of Mohamed Adam, a taxi driver, regarding France’s role in Chad?
What has been the trend in the number of deaths in conflict from 2016 to 2021?
What has been the trend in the number of deaths in conflict from 2016 to 2021?
What is the main concern for Mr Déby regarding Sudan's civil war?
What is the main concern for Mr Déby regarding Sudan's civil war?
Why have Western governments turned a blind eye to Mr Déby’s authoritarianism?
Why have Western governments turned a blind eye to Mr Déby’s authoritarianism?
What is the attitude of France towards pushing Mr Déby to hold a free election?
What is the attitude of France towards pushing Mr Déby to hold a free election?
What is Faustin-Archange Touadéra's relationship with Mr Déby?
What is Faustin-Archange Touadéra's relationship with Mr Déby?
What does Mr Masra demand regarding the expectations of the people in Chad?
What does Mr Masra demand regarding the expectations of the people in Chad?
What is the reason for the arrival of large French army convoys in Chad's city?
What is the reason for the arrival of large French army convoys in Chad's city?
What has been the trend in support for France and Russia in recent polling in Chad?
What has been the trend in support for France and Russia in recent polling in Chad?
Who has been leading Chad since April 2021?
Who has been leading Chad since April 2021?
What did leaked American intelligence cables suggest about southern Chadian rebels in the CAR?
What did leaked American intelligence cables suggest about southern Chadian rebels in the CAR?
What is the purpose of Hungary’s parliament approving the deployment of up to 200 soldiers to Chad?
What is the purpose of Hungary’s parliament approving the deployment of up to 200 soldiers to Chad?
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Study Notes
Chad's Political Instability and Geopolitical Significance
- Large French army convoys retreating from Niger are now arriving in Chad's city
- Recent polling shows support for France falling and popularity for Russia rising
- Political tension and threats on Chad’s border could burst into civil war
- Chad is a firebreak between several conflagrations in the wider region
- Chad has been run by Mahamat Idriss Déby since April 2021, after his father was killed on the battlefield by rebels
- France has long backed dictators in Chad in exchange for military support and bases
- The younger Mr Déby initially promised a transition to elections but later extended the transition and declared his eligibility to run
- Outraged opposition groups took to the streets resulting in violence and hundreds locked up
- Few expect a free election and a palace coup may be a greater threat to Mr Déby than the ballot box
- Mr Déby's leadership faces many internal and external threats
- Rebels could invade from abroad and leaked American intelligence cables suggested Wagner mercenaries were helping southern Chadian rebels in the CAR
- Hungary’s parliament approved the deployment of up to 200 soldiers to Chad, possibly to counter terrorism, protect gold fields, or secure Mr Déby from a coup
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