Statistics: Lesson 3

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What does probability (P) measure in medical research?

The likeliness that a random event will occur

What is the advantage of expressing uncertainty quantitatively using probabilities?

It provides an explicit interpretation and exactness

In medical research, what is the ratio of the probability of having an event to the probability of not having the event known as?

Odds

What does odds represent in the context of medical research?

The likelihood of an event occurring relative to the likelihood of it not occurring

What is one disadvantage of expressing uncertainty quantitatively using probabilities?

It may force one to be more exact than is justified

How is probability mathematically defined in medical research?

A function that assigns random events numbers between 0 and 1

What is the formula for prevalence in terms of incidence and duration?

Prevalence = Incidence × Duration

What is the correct term for the people who are susceptible to a particular disease?

At-risk population

What is the relationship between prevalence and incidence?

Prevalence is directly proportional to Incidence

What is an important factor in calculating measures of disease occurrence?

Correct estimate of the numbers of people under study

What population should ideally be excluded when calculating the frequency of cervical cancer?

Men

What aspect does prevalence take into account?

Both new cases (Incidence) and recovery rate

In terms of disease occurrence, what does 'population at risk' refer to?

Those potentially susceptible to the disease

Which factor influences the average duration of a condition?

Recovery rate

During which type of event might 'population at risk' be defined by occupational factors?

Workplace activities

In which group does brucellosis mainly occur, defining the population at risk?

People handling infected animals

What is the probability of having the flu if 1 out of 5 patients have the flu?

0.20

What is the odds of having the flu if the probability of having flu is 0.20?

0.25

What is the relationship between probability and odds when probability is 0.67?

2.0

What is the prevalence of a disease if there are 30 cases out of 50,000 people?

0.0006000

What is the incidence rate if there are 3 cases over a period of 6 person-years?

0.14

What is being measured by attack rate?

Incidence rate during an outbreak

What does odds represent in the context of disease occurrence?

Risk of having an event to the risk of not having the event

What is the measure of time used in calculating incidence rate?

Person-time of observation

Test your understanding of measures of disease occurrence and uncertainty in medical research with this quiz based on the lecture by Stefanos Bonovas, MD, MSc, PhD. Explore qualitative and quantitative expressions of uncertainty and their advantages in medical research.

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