What is the overall penetration value (p(overall)) for four control devices with 90% efficiency each?
Understand the Problem
The question is asking us to calculate the overall penetration value for four control devices, each having 90% efficiency. The penetration value can be calculated using the formula for independent probabilities.
Answer
The overall penetration value is $0.9999$.
Answer for screen readers
The overall penetration value is $0.9999$.
Steps to Solve
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Identify the efficiency of each device Each control device has an efficiency of 90%. In decimal form, this is represented as: $$ p = 0.90 $$
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Calculate the probability of failure for each device To find the probability that a device does not function (fails), we subtract the efficiency from 1: $$ q = 1 - p = 1 - 0.90 = 0.10 $$
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Find the overall probability of failure for all devices Since the devices operate independently, we can multiply the probabilities of failure for each device. There are four devices: $$ P_{\text{failure}} = q^4 = (0.10)^4 $$
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Calculate the overall penetration value To find the overall efficiency (or penetration value), we subtract the overall failure probability from 1: $$ P_{\text{penetration}} = 1 - P_{\text{failure}} $$
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Perform the calculations First, calculate the probability of failure: $$ P_{\text{failure}} = (0.10)^4 = 0.0001 $$
Now, calculate the penetration value: $$ P_{\text{penetration}} = 1 - 0.0001 = 0.9999 $$
The overall penetration value is $0.9999$.
More Information
The penetration value of $0.9999$ indicates that there is a 99.99% chance the control devices will function correctly when used together, demonstrating the effectiveness of multiple independent devices even with less than perfect individual efficiencies.
Tips
- Miscalculating the failure probability: Some may incorrectly subtract from 0.90 or forget to raise it to the power of the number of devices.
- Assuming dependence between devices: It's crucial to recognize that the devices operate independently.
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