What is the overall penetration value (p(overall)) for four control devices with 90% efficiency each?

Understand the Problem

The question is asking us to calculate the overall penetration value for four control devices, each having 90% efficiency. The penetration value can be calculated using the formula for independent probabilities.

Answer

The overall penetration value is $0.9999$.
Answer for screen readers

The overall penetration value is $0.9999$.

Steps to Solve

  1. Identify the efficiency of each device Each control device has an efficiency of 90%. In decimal form, this is represented as: $$ p = 0.90 $$

  2. Calculate the probability of failure for each device To find the probability that a device does not function (fails), we subtract the efficiency from 1: $$ q = 1 - p = 1 - 0.90 = 0.10 $$

  3. Find the overall probability of failure for all devices Since the devices operate independently, we can multiply the probabilities of failure for each device. There are four devices: $$ P_{\text{failure}} = q^4 = (0.10)^4 $$

  4. Calculate the overall penetration value To find the overall efficiency (or penetration value), we subtract the overall failure probability from 1: $$ P_{\text{penetration}} = 1 - P_{\text{failure}} $$

  5. Perform the calculations First, calculate the probability of failure: $$ P_{\text{failure}} = (0.10)^4 = 0.0001 $$

Now, calculate the penetration value: $$ P_{\text{penetration}} = 1 - 0.0001 = 0.9999 $$

The overall penetration value is $0.9999$.

More Information

The penetration value of $0.9999$ indicates that there is a 99.99% chance the control devices will function correctly when used together, demonstrating the effectiveness of multiple independent devices even with less than perfect individual efficiencies.

Tips

  • Miscalculating the failure probability: Some may incorrectly subtract from 0.90 or forget to raise it to the power of the number of devices.
  • Assuming dependence between devices: It's crucial to recognize that the devices operate independently.

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