Can the manager conclude from the data that the belief is correct? The sample mean is 460.38 and the sample standard deviation is 38.89.

Understand the Problem
The question is asking whether the manager can conclude from the data that the average number of packages processed by the trainees is greater than 450 packages per hour, given the provided sample mean and standard deviation.
Answer
The manager cannot conclude that the average number of packages processed by trainees is greater than 450 packages per hour.
Answer for screen readers
The calculated test statistic is approximately $t = 1.62$. The critical t-value for 49 degrees of freedom at a significance level of 0.05 is approximately $1.676$. Since $1.62 < 1.676$, we do not reject the null hypothesis.
Steps to Solve
- State the Hypotheses We need to formulate our null and alternative hypotheses.
- Null Hypothesis ($H_0$): The average number of packages processed by trainees is less than or equal to 450 packages per hour.
- Alternative Hypothesis ($H_a$): The average number of packages processed by trainees is greater than 450 packages per hour.
- Determine the Sample Statistics From the provided data, we have:
- Sample mean ($\bar{x}$) = 460.38
- Sample standard deviation ($s$) = 38.89
- Sample size ($n$) = 50
- Calculate the Test Statistic We will use the t-test formula to calculate the test statistic since the sample size is less than 30: $$ t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{s / \sqrt{n}} $$ Where:
- $\mu_0$ = 450 (the value under the null hypothesis)
Plugging in the values: $$ t = \frac{460.38 - 450}{38.89 / \sqrt{50}} $$
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Calculate the Critical Value Using a t-distribution table, find the critical t-value for one-tailed test at a significance level ($\alpha$) of 0.05 with $n - 1 = 49$ degrees of freedom.
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Decision Rule If the calculated test statistic is greater than the critical value from the t-table, we reject the null hypothesis.
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Compare and Conclude Compare the calculated t-value with the critical t-value to make a conclusion about the average number of packages processed.
The calculated test statistic is approximately $t = 1.62$. The critical t-value for 49 degrees of freedom at a significance level of 0.05 is approximately $1.676$. Since $1.62 < 1.676$, we do not reject the null hypothesis.
More Information
In this case, the manager cannot conclude that the average number of packages processed by trainees is greater than 450 packages per hour based on the sample data. The average is still below the expected level.
Tips
- Not using the correct hypothesis tests: Make sure you choose a one-tailed or two-tailed test appropriately based on the questions posed.
- Forgetting to clearly define $\mu_0$: Ensure you accurately state your null hypothesis for clarity before calculations.
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