Voter Turnout and Rationality Quiz

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Questions and Answers

What is the relationship between the probability of a vote making a difference (p) and the size of the electorate?

  • p is unaffected by the size of the electorate
  • p increases as the size of the electorate increases
  • p decreases as the size of the electorate increases (correct)
  • p stays constant regardless of the electorate size

Which factor is considered the most important in determining voters' behavior?

  • Candidate charisma
  • Campaign ads
  • Voter demographics
  • Party ID (correct)

What effect does an increase in voter education generally have on voter turnout?

  • It generally increases voter turnout (correct)
  • It decreases voter turnout
  • It makes voters more apathetic
  • It has no impact on voter turnout

What variable is added to the voting utility equation to account for civic responsibility?

<p>D (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a common reason identified for low voter turnout among young people, particularly after the voting age was lowered to 18?

<p>Less likelihood to be well-informed (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What happens to voting turnout in closer races?

<p>It significantly increases (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What initial calculation indicated that most people obtain a negative value for voting (V)?

<p>V = p * B - C (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What factor contributes to higher voter turnout, according to the information provided?

<p>High-stakes elections (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What characterizes the 'normal vote' in elections?

<p>It represents the expected voting behavior of partisans and independents. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How do campaigns typically approach less-informed voters?

<p>By offering simplistic arguments to appeal to them. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the relationship between partisanship and voting behavior according to the content?

<p>Partisanship significantly influences voting behavior, alongside other factors. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What factor tends to lead to increased campaign spending and activity?

<p>Close elections. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why might voters stick with their existing beliefs despite campaign efforts?

<p>They revert to partisanship when information is low. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following statements best reflects how less-informed voters react to high information campaigns?

<p>They tend to be swayed by campaign messages. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What role do psychological factors play in voting behavior?

<p>They often result in voters rationalizing their preferences regardless of facts. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was one significant factor mentioned in relation to Trump's electoral success?

<p>Factors surrounding race and immigration attitudes. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What impact do irrational factors, such as weather, have on elections?

<p>They can decrease voter turnout without direct connection to candidates. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is often necessary for voters to base their decisions on policy issues?

<p>Voters must be informed and care about the policy issues. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What effect does the majoritarian electoral system tend to have on small parties?

<p>It tends to penalize them and contributes to wasted votes. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which electoral system is characterized by voters selecting parties rather than individual candidates?

<p>Party list system (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a common issue with elections as an incentive mechanism for legislators?

<p>Influence of large donors on election outcomes. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which system is described as having higher electoral turnout?

<p>Proportional representation systems (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a likely consequence of plurality electoral systems?

<p>Favoring of two-party systems. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does Duverger’s law suggest about electoral systems?

<p>Plurality rule favors two-party systems. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In which electoral system do voters rank candidates, allowing for a re-do if no majority is achieved?

<p>Alternative vote system (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which characteristic is associated with majoritarian systems in terms of government stability?

<p>They generally lead to strong, single-party governments. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a notable difference between parliamentary and presidential electoral systems?

<p>Parliamentary systems usually allow the winning party to choose the head of government. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What role do elections play regarding agency loss in a principal-agent framework?

<p>They act as a mechanism to mitigate agency loss. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the term 'sociotropic voting' refer to?

<p>Evaluating candidates based on economic conditions affecting society as a whole. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the impact of 'racial resentment' on voting patterns?

<p>It correlates positively with sociotropic economic evaluations. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What tendency do established parties in government show towards electoral systems?

<p>They show a preference for maintaining the current electoral system. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

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Flashcards

Normal Vote

The expected outcome of an election if 90% of partisans vote for their party and independents split evenly.

Floating Voters

Voters who are not strongly committed to a specific party and may switch their vote based on factors like candidate performance or current events.

Cognitive Dissonance

The tendency of voters to maintain consistency between their opinions and actions, often leading them to vote for candidates whose policy positions align with their own.

Projection

When voters assume a candidate shares their values or policy positions even if they don't have enough information to know for sure.

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Rationalization

The process where voters adopt the same policy preferences as the candidate they support, even if they previously held different views.

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Partisanship

The influence that a voter's party affiliation has on their voting decision.

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Less Informed Voters

Voters who are less informed about political issues and candidates may be more easily influenced by simple campaign messages or events.

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Candidate Attractiveness

The effect of a candidate's perceived attractiveness on their vote share.

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Issue Proximity

The extent to which a candidate's policy positions align with the voter's own views.

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Campaign Strategies

Strategies employed by campaigns to reach and influence voters.

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Rational Voting

The idea that voters make rational decisions when voting, meaning they choose the candidate whose policies most closely align with their own beliefs and who is most likely to fulfill their campaign promises.

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Voter Turnout

A measure of how many eligible voters participate in an election. It's calculated as the percentage of eligible voters who cast a ballot.

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Civic Duty

The psychological or social factors that motivate people to vote, even if they don't expect their individual vote to change the outcome of the election.

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Differential Benefit (B)

The difference in benefit a voter receives if their preferred candidate wins compared to the benefit they would receive if the other candidate wins.

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Probability of Making a Difference (p)

The likelihood that an individual vote will actually determine the outcome of an election. Generally, this probability is very low in large elections.

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Cost of Voting (C)

The costs associated with voting, including the time and effort required to learn about candidates, register to vote, and actually go to the polls.

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Social Influence

A theory suggesting that people vote because they are influenced by others, such as friends, family, or social groups.

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Party Identification

The tendency for voters to identify strongly with a particular political party and consistently vote for that party's candidates.

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Plurality System

A type of electoral system where the candidate with the most votes wins, even if they don't have a majority.

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Alternative Vote

An electoral system where voters rank candidates in order of preference. If no candidate gets a majority in the first round, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated, and their votes are redistributed until someone has a majority.

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Party List System

A system where voters elect representatives based on their party's platform, not individual candidates.

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Mixed Electoral System

A system that combines elements of both majoritarian and proportional representation, aiming to balance the advantages of each system.

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Elections as a Mitigating Agency Loss

The idea that elections, though imperfect, are essential for ensuring government accountability to the people.

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Status Quo Bias in Electoral Systems

The tendency for political parties in power to favor the electoral system that got them elected, even if it's not the most fair or representative.

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Pocketbook Voting

Voting based on personal economic circumstances, such as income or employment.

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Sociotropic Voting

Voting based on broader societal concerns, such as the economy, national security, or social justice.

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Racial Resentment and Economic Evaluations

The correlation between racial resentment and negative views of the economy.

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Identity Voting

The tendency for voters to choose candidates who align with their own social identity groups, such as race, gender, or religion.

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Proportional Representation

An electoral system that aims to allocate seats in proportion to the number of votes received by each party.

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Social Representation

The idea that representation should reflect the diversity of the population, not just political ideology.

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Duverger's Law

The tendency for a plurality voting system to favor two-party systems, while proportional representation systems encourage multi-party systems.

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Casework

The practice of elected officials helping individual constituents with problems or concerns, often seen as a way to build support.

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Electoral Disproportionality

A situation where there is a large discrepancy between the number of votes a party receives and the number of seats they win in the legislature.

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Study Notes

Voter Rationality and Turnout

  • Voters' choices are influenced by factors beyond simple rationality.
  • Meaningful candidate choices and campaign adherence are crucial.
  • Voter knowledge and alignment with candidate positions matter.
  • Elected officials are more responsive when voters can remove them.
  • Party affiliation is a primary voting factor.
  • Voter defection between parties is rare.
  • Independents play a significant role.
  • Voter turnout (percentage of voting-age population) is essential.
  • Turnout varies historically and correlates with education and wealth.
  • Motivations for not voting stem from limited perceived impact (low probability of affecting an election outcome) and costs (time and effort).
  • Motivations for voting include civic duty and social influence.
  • Mobilization and campaigning can encourage voting.

Voter Turnout and the Paradox of Voting

  • Turnout is a complex metric, measured in various ways, with the percentage of voting-eligible population being common.
  • Probability (p) of a vote influencing an election outcome decreases as the electorate grows.
  • Cost (C) considers time, effort, and knowledge required.
  • Expected utility (V) for voting is based on (p * B) – C, where B is the potential benefit of a preferred candidate winning.
  • A negative V often discourages voting; civic duty (D) can account for some additional motivation for voting.
  • Factors influencing turnout include poll opening times, registration processes, and election closeness/stakes.

Reasons Behind Voting Decisions

  • Voting decisions are not always solely based on rational choices and are driven by influences like social connections.
  • Mobilization efforts and encouragement contribute to higher turnout.
  • Civic duty plays a role.

The "Normal" Vote and Deviations

  • The normal vote represents the expected outcome based on party affiliation and independent voter splits.
  • Short-term partisan shifts and campaign effectiveness can alter this outcome.
  • In individual districts, candidate quality impacts the final vote.

Less-Informed Voters and Campaigns

  • Campaigns target less-informed voters with simplified arguments.
  • Less-informed voters are more susceptible to campaign messaging.
  • Televised ads have an immediate but short-lived impact.
  • Psychological priming influences voting preferences.

Policy Issues and Irrational Voting

  • Voters vote based on policy awareness and interest.
  • Cognitive dissonance avoidance (maintaining consistency between beliefs and actions).
  • Projection (assuming a candidate shares your policy views).
  • Rationalization (adopting candidate's stated policy preferences).
  • Irrational voting factors (e.g., unexpected events, weather).
  • Partisanship remains a primary influence.

Election of 2016 & Voter Attitudes

  • The 2016 election involved factors beyond typical economic considerations.
  • Identity concerns (race, immigration) and financial anxieties (pocketbook) significantly affected voting.
  • Socio-tropic economic concerns (national outlook) correlated with racial resentment.
  • Voter turnout among minority groups may have affected outcomes.

Electoral Systems

  • Electoral systems significantly influence election outcomes.
  • Proportional representation (PR) better reflects voter preferences and accommodates minority parties.
  • Plurality/Majoritarian systems favor larger parties.
  • Electoral system characteristics (method to convert votes into seats and the number of candidates per district) greatly affect results.
  • Systems like plurality, runoff, and proportional representation each have different advantages.

Public and Elected Leaders

  • Elections are a more effective means of political control over random lotteries.
  • Legislative incentives and constraints shape behavior in elections.
  • Money plays a role that may not align with constituent interests.
  • Rule and procedure influence election outcomes, as do intra-party issues and party constraints.

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