Podcast
Questions and Answers
What is the relationship between the probability of a vote making a difference (p) and the size of the electorate?
What is the relationship between the probability of a vote making a difference (p) and the size of the electorate?
- p is unaffected by the size of the electorate
- p increases as the size of the electorate increases
- p decreases as the size of the electorate increases (correct)
- p stays constant regardless of the electorate size
Which factor is considered the most important in determining voters' behavior?
Which factor is considered the most important in determining voters' behavior?
- Candidate charisma
- Campaign ads
- Voter demographics
- Party ID (correct)
What effect does an increase in voter education generally have on voter turnout?
What effect does an increase in voter education generally have on voter turnout?
- It generally increases voter turnout (correct)
- It decreases voter turnout
- It makes voters more apathetic
- It has no impact on voter turnout
What variable is added to the voting utility equation to account for civic responsibility?
What variable is added to the voting utility equation to account for civic responsibility?
What is a common reason identified for low voter turnout among young people, particularly after the voting age was lowered to 18?
What is a common reason identified for low voter turnout among young people, particularly after the voting age was lowered to 18?
What happens to voting turnout in closer races?
What happens to voting turnout in closer races?
What initial calculation indicated that most people obtain a negative value for voting (V)?
What initial calculation indicated that most people obtain a negative value for voting (V)?
What factor contributes to higher voter turnout, according to the information provided?
What factor contributes to higher voter turnout, according to the information provided?
What characterizes the 'normal vote' in elections?
What characterizes the 'normal vote' in elections?
How do campaigns typically approach less-informed voters?
How do campaigns typically approach less-informed voters?
What is the relationship between partisanship and voting behavior according to the content?
What is the relationship between partisanship and voting behavior according to the content?
What factor tends to lead to increased campaign spending and activity?
What factor tends to lead to increased campaign spending and activity?
Why might voters stick with their existing beliefs despite campaign efforts?
Why might voters stick with their existing beliefs despite campaign efforts?
Which of the following statements best reflects how less-informed voters react to high information campaigns?
Which of the following statements best reflects how less-informed voters react to high information campaigns?
What role do psychological factors play in voting behavior?
What role do psychological factors play in voting behavior?
What was one significant factor mentioned in relation to Trump's electoral success?
What was one significant factor mentioned in relation to Trump's electoral success?
What impact do irrational factors, such as weather, have on elections?
What impact do irrational factors, such as weather, have on elections?
What is often necessary for voters to base their decisions on policy issues?
What is often necessary for voters to base their decisions on policy issues?
What effect does the majoritarian electoral system tend to have on small parties?
What effect does the majoritarian electoral system tend to have on small parties?
Which electoral system is characterized by voters selecting parties rather than individual candidates?
Which electoral system is characterized by voters selecting parties rather than individual candidates?
What is a common issue with elections as an incentive mechanism for legislators?
What is a common issue with elections as an incentive mechanism for legislators?
Which system is described as having higher electoral turnout?
Which system is described as having higher electoral turnout?
What is a likely consequence of plurality electoral systems?
What is a likely consequence of plurality electoral systems?
What does Duverger’s law suggest about electoral systems?
What does Duverger’s law suggest about electoral systems?
In which electoral system do voters rank candidates, allowing for a re-do if no majority is achieved?
In which electoral system do voters rank candidates, allowing for a re-do if no majority is achieved?
Which characteristic is associated with majoritarian systems in terms of government stability?
Which characteristic is associated with majoritarian systems in terms of government stability?
What is a notable difference between parliamentary and presidential electoral systems?
What is a notable difference between parliamentary and presidential electoral systems?
What role do elections play regarding agency loss in a principal-agent framework?
What role do elections play regarding agency loss in a principal-agent framework?
What does the term 'sociotropic voting' refer to?
What does the term 'sociotropic voting' refer to?
What is the impact of 'racial resentment' on voting patterns?
What is the impact of 'racial resentment' on voting patterns?
What tendency do established parties in government show towards electoral systems?
What tendency do established parties in government show towards electoral systems?
Flashcards
Normal Vote
Normal Vote
The expected outcome of an election if 90% of partisans vote for their party and independents split evenly.
Floating Voters
Floating Voters
Voters who are not strongly committed to a specific party and may switch their vote based on factors like candidate performance or current events.
Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance
The tendency of voters to maintain consistency between their opinions and actions, often leading them to vote for candidates whose policy positions align with their own.
Projection
Projection
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Rationalization
Rationalization
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Partisanship
Partisanship
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Less Informed Voters
Less Informed Voters
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Candidate Attractiveness
Candidate Attractiveness
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Issue Proximity
Issue Proximity
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Campaign Strategies
Campaign Strategies
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Rational Voting
Rational Voting
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Voter Turnout
Voter Turnout
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Civic Duty
Civic Duty
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Differential Benefit (B)
Differential Benefit (B)
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Probability of Making a Difference (p)
Probability of Making a Difference (p)
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Cost of Voting (C)
Cost of Voting (C)
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Social Influence
Social Influence
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Party Identification
Party Identification
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Plurality System
Plurality System
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Alternative Vote
Alternative Vote
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Party List System
Party List System
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Mixed Electoral System
Mixed Electoral System
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Elections as a Mitigating Agency Loss
Elections as a Mitigating Agency Loss
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Status Quo Bias in Electoral Systems
Status Quo Bias in Electoral Systems
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Pocketbook Voting
Pocketbook Voting
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Sociotropic Voting
Sociotropic Voting
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Racial Resentment and Economic Evaluations
Racial Resentment and Economic Evaluations
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Identity Voting
Identity Voting
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Proportional Representation
Proportional Representation
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Social Representation
Social Representation
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Duverger's Law
Duverger's Law
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Casework
Casework
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Electoral Disproportionality
Electoral Disproportionality
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Study Notes
Voter Rationality and Turnout
- Voters' choices are influenced by factors beyond simple rationality.
- Meaningful candidate choices and campaign adherence are crucial.
- Voter knowledge and alignment with candidate positions matter.
- Elected officials are more responsive when voters can remove them.
- Party affiliation is a primary voting factor.
- Voter defection between parties is rare.
- Independents play a significant role.
- Voter turnout (percentage of voting-age population) is essential.
- Turnout varies historically and correlates with education and wealth.
- Motivations for not voting stem from limited perceived impact (low probability of affecting an election outcome) and costs (time and effort).
- Motivations for voting include civic duty and social influence.
- Mobilization and campaigning can encourage voting.
Voter Turnout and the Paradox of Voting
- Turnout is a complex metric, measured in various ways, with the percentage of voting-eligible population being common.
- Probability (p) of a vote influencing an election outcome decreases as the electorate grows.
- Cost (C) considers time, effort, and knowledge required.
- Expected utility (V) for voting is based on (p * B) – C, where B is the potential benefit of a preferred candidate winning.
- A negative V often discourages voting; civic duty (D) can account for some additional motivation for voting.
- Factors influencing turnout include poll opening times, registration processes, and election closeness/stakes.
Reasons Behind Voting Decisions
- Voting decisions are not always solely based on rational choices and are driven by influences like social connections.
- Mobilization efforts and encouragement contribute to higher turnout.
- Civic duty plays a role.
The "Normal" Vote and Deviations
- The normal vote represents the expected outcome based on party affiliation and independent voter splits.
- Short-term partisan shifts and campaign effectiveness can alter this outcome.
- In individual districts, candidate quality impacts the final vote.
Less-Informed Voters and Campaigns
- Campaigns target less-informed voters with simplified arguments.
- Less-informed voters are more susceptible to campaign messaging.
- Televised ads have an immediate but short-lived impact.
- Psychological priming influences voting preferences.
Policy Issues and Irrational Voting
- Voters vote based on policy awareness and interest.
- Cognitive dissonance avoidance (maintaining consistency between beliefs and actions).
- Projection (assuming a candidate shares your policy views).
- Rationalization (adopting candidate's stated policy preferences).
- Irrational voting factors (e.g., unexpected events, weather).
- Partisanship remains a primary influence.
Election of 2016 & Voter Attitudes
- The 2016 election involved factors beyond typical economic considerations.
- Identity concerns (race, immigration) and financial anxieties (pocketbook) significantly affected voting.
- Socio-tropic economic concerns (national outlook) correlated with racial resentment.
- Voter turnout among minority groups may have affected outcomes.
Electoral Systems
- Electoral systems significantly influence election outcomes.
- Proportional representation (PR) better reflects voter preferences and accommodates minority parties.
- Plurality/Majoritarian systems favor larger parties.
- Electoral system characteristics (method to convert votes into seats and the number of candidates per district) greatly affect results.
- Systems like plurality, runoff, and proportional representation each have different advantages.
Public and Elected Leaders
- Elections are a more effective means of political control over random lotteries.
- Legislative incentives and constraints shape behavior in elections.
- Money plays a role that may not align with constituent interests.
- Rule and procedure influence election outcomes, as do intra-party issues and party constraints.
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