Podcast
Questions and Answers
What can happen if two variables are trending over time and a regression of one on the other is performed?
What can happen if two variables are trending over time and a regression of one on the other is performed?
- The regression will always have a low R2 if the variables are unrelated
- The regression will not be affected by the trending variables
- The regression will not be valid due to non-stationarity
- The regression could have a high R2 even if the two variables are totally unrelated (correct)
What happens to the persistence of shocks for nonstationary series?
What happens to the persistence of shocks for nonstationary series?
- The persistence of shocks will be zero
- The persistence of shocks will be infinite (correct)
- The persistence of shocks will decrease over time
- The persistence of shocks will converge to a constant value
Which model characterizes non-stationarity as a random walk with drift?
Which model characterizes non-stationarity as a random walk with drift?
- $y_t = \mu + y_{t-1} + u_t$ (correct)
- $y_t = \alpha + \beta t + u_t$
- $y_t = \alpha + t + u_t$
- $y_t = \mu + y_{t-1} + \varepsilon_t$
What happens to the standard assumptions for asymptotic analysis if the variables in a regression model are not stationary?
What happens to the standard assumptions for asymptotic analysis if the variables in a regression model are not stationary?
In the model $y_t = \mu + \phi y_{t-1} + u_t$, what does it mean if $\phi > 1$?
In the model $y_t = \mu + \phi y_{t-1} + u_t$, what does it mean if $\phi > 1$?
What is the impact of shocks in an AR(1) process with no drift, $y_t = \phi y_{t-1} + u_t$?
What is the impact of shocks in an AR(1) process with no drift, $y_t = \phi y_{t-1} + u_t$?
What is the correct treatment for inducing stationarity in a trend-stationary series?
What is the correct treatment for inducing stationarity in a trend-stationary series?
What is required to induce stationarity in a stochastic non-stationary series?
What is required to induce stationarity in a stochastic non-stationary series?
What structure is introduced into the errors if a trend-stationary series is differenced once?
What structure is introduced into the errors if a trend-stationary series is differenced once?
What happens if we try to detrend a series which has stochastic trend?
What happens if we try to detrend a series which has stochastic trend?
What does it mean if a non-stationary series needs to be differenced d times before it becomes stationary?
What does it mean if a non-stationary series needs to be differenced d times before it becomes stationary?
What does an I(0) series indicate?
What does an I(0) series indicate?
What characteristic differentiates an I(2) series from an I(0) or I(1) series?
What characteristic differentiates an I(2) series from an I(0) or I(1) series?
What did Dickey and Fuller's test aim to test for in time series data?
What did Dickey and Fuller's test aim to test for in time series data?
What is the null hypothesis being tested in Dickey and Fuller's test?
What is the null hypothesis being tested in Dickey and Fuller's test?
What is the impact of non-stationarity on regression analysis?
What is the impact of non-stationarity on regression analysis?
What characterizes non-stationarity as a random walk with drift?
What characterizes non-stationarity as a random walk with drift?
What happens to the standard assumptions for asymptotic analysis if the variables in a regression model are not stationary?
What happens to the standard assumptions for asymptotic analysis if the variables in a regression model are not stationary?
What is the impact of $ ext{AR}(1)$ process with no drift, $y_t = ext{ϕ} y_{t-1} + u_t$?
What is the impact of $ ext{AR}(1)$ process with no drift, $y_t = ext{ϕ} y_{t-1} + u_t$?
What characteristic differentiates an $I(2)$ series from an $I(0)$ or $I(1)$ series?
What characteristic differentiates an $I(2)$ series from an $I(0)$ or $I(1)$ series?
What does it mean if a non-stationary series needs to be differenced $d$ times before it becomes stationary?
What does it mean if a non-stationary series needs to be differenced $d$ times before it becomes stationary?
What happens if we try to detrend a series which has a stochastic trend?
What happens if we try to detrend a series which has a stochastic trend?
What structure is introduced into the errors if a trend-stationary series is differenced once?
What structure is introduced into the errors if a trend-stationary series is differenced once?
What did Dickey and Fuller's test aim to test for in time series data?
What did Dickey and Fuller's test aim to test for in time series data?
Which model characterizes non-stationarity as a random walk with drift?
Which model characterizes non-stationarity as a random walk with drift?
What is required to induce stationarity in a stochastic non-stationary series?
What is required to induce stationarity in a stochastic non-stationary series?
Non-stationary series can strongly influence its behavior and properties - e.g. persistence of shocks will be infinite for ______ series
Non-stationary series can strongly influence its behavior and properties - e.g. persistence of shocks will be infinite for ______ series
The random walk model with drift: $y_t = \mu + y_{t-1} + u_t$ and the deterministic trend process: $y_t = \alpha + \beta t + u_t$ are used to characterize ______
The random walk model with drift: $y_t = \mu + y_{t-1} + u_t$ and the deterministic trend process: $y_t = \alpha + \beta t + u_t$ are used to characterize ______
If two variables are trending over time, a regression of one on the other could have a high R2 even if the two are totally unrelated. This is known as a ______ regression
If two variables are trending over time, a regression of one on the other could have a high R2 even if the two are totally unrelated. This is known as a ______ regression
In the model $y_t = \mu + \phi y_{t-1} + u_t$, if $\phi > 1$, it characterizes non-stationarity as a ______ with drift
In the model $y_t = \mu + \phi y_{t-1} + u_t$, if $\phi > 1$, it characterizes non-stationarity as a ______ with drift
An I(0) series is a ______ series
An I(0) series is a ______ series
An I(1) series contains one unit root, e.g. yt = yt-1 + ut
An I(1) series contains one unit root, e.g. yt = yt-1 + ut
An I(2) series contains two unit roots and so would require differencing twice to induce stationarity. I(1) and I(2) series can wander a long way from their mean value and cross this mean value ______.
An I(2) series contains two unit roots and so would require differencing twice to induce stationarity. I(1) and I(2) series can wander a long way from their mean value and cross this mean value ______.
The general case of an AR(1) with no drift: yt = yt-1 + ut can be written as: ______ = (yt-2 + ut-1) + ut
The general case of an AR(1) with no drift: yt = yt-1 + ut can be written as: ______ = (yt-2 + ut-1) + ut
If a non-stationary series, yt must be differenced d times before it becomes stationary, then it is said to be integrated of order ______. We write yt I(d).
If a non-stationary series, yt must be differenced d times before it becomes stationary, then it is said to be integrated of order ______. We write yt I(d).
The two will require different treatments to induce stationarity. The second case is known as deterministic non-stationarity and what is required is ______.
The two will require different treatments to induce stationarity. The second case is known as deterministic non-stationarity and what is required is ______.
The early and pioneering work on testing for a unit root in time series was done by Dickey and Fuller (Dickey and Fuller 1979, Fuller 1976). The basic objective of the test is to test the null hypothesis that =1 in: yt = yt-1 + ut against the one-sided alternative ______.
The early and pioneering work on testing for a unit root in time series was done by Dickey and Fuller (Dickey and Fuller 1979, Fuller 1976). The basic objective of the test is to test the null hypothesis that =1 in: yt = yt-1 + ut against the one-sided alternative ______.
We say that we have induced stationarity by “differencing ______”
We say that we have induced stationarity by “differencing ______”
If we take the model yt = yt-1 + ut and subtract yt-1 from both sides, we get: yt = ______ + ut
If we take the model yt = yt-1 + ut and subtract yt-1 from both sides, we get: yt = ______ + ut
The first case is known as stochastic non-stationarity. If we let yt = yt - yt-1 and L yt = yt-1 so (1-L) yt = yt - L yt, then we can write yt - yt-1 = + ut as: yt = ______ + ut
The first case is known as stochastic non-stationarity. If we let yt = yt - yt-1 and L yt = yt-1 so (1-L) yt = yt - L yt, then we can write yt - yt-1 = + ut as: yt = ______ + ut
The explosive case is ignored and we use = 1 to characterize the non-stationarity because – > 1 does not describe many data series in economics and finance. – > 1 has an intuitively unappealing property: shocks to the system are not only persistent through time, they are propagated so that a given shock will have an increasingly large ______.
The explosive case is ignored and we use = 1 to characterize the non-stationarity because – > 1 does not describe many data series in economics and finance. – > 1 has an intuitively unappealing property: shocks to the system are not only persistent through time, they are propagated so that a given shock will have an increasingly large ______.
