T3WB Understanding Statistical Power (PSYC2010)

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Questions and Answers

Which of the following actions decreases the likelihood of committing a Type II error?

  • Using a one-tailed test instead of a two-tailed test when the direction of the effect is uncertain
  • Decreasing the alpha level
  • Increasing the effect size (correct)
  • Decreasing the sample size

Power is the probability of failing to reject a false null hypothesis.

False (B)

Define statistical power in the context of hypothesis testing. Explain its significance in research.

Statistical power is the probability that a statistical test will detect a true effect when one exists. It reflects the sensitivity of the test and is crucial for ensuring that studies can reliably find meaningful results, reducing the risk of Type II errors (false negatives).

The statistical effect, denoted as ______, combines effect size and sample size to determine how easy it will be to find a real difference in a study.

<p>δ (delta)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the following terms with their definitions.

<p>Effect Size (d) = A measure of the magnitude of a phenomenon Statistical Power = The probability of correctly rejecting a false null hypothesis Alpha Level (α) = The probability of rejecting a true null hypothesis Sample Size (N) = The number of observations in a study</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does increasing the alpha level (e.g., from 0.01 to 0.05) typically affect statistical power, assuming all other factors remain constant?

<p>Statistical power increases. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A smaller effect size necessitates a larger sample size to achieve the same level of statistical power, assuming all other factors are held constant.

<p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain how the concept of overlap between the null and alternative distributions relates to effect size and statistical power.

<p>Overlap between the null and alternative distributions indicates a smaller effect size. Greater overlap makes it harder to distinguish between the two distributions, reducing statistical power. To maintain adequate power with greater overlap, a larger sample size is required.</p> Signup and view all the answers

An effect size of d = 0.8 is conventionally considered a ______ effect size, according to Cohen's benchmarks.

<p>large</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the following effect sizes (Cohen's d) with their corresponding % overlap between the null and alternative distributions.

<p>d = 0.2 (Small) = 85% Overlap d = 0.5 (Medium) = 67% Overlap d = 0.8 (Large) = 53% Overlap</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to Cohen's conventions, what is the primary advantage of effect size as a measure in research?

<p>It does not depend on sample size, allowing for comparisons across studies. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The statistical effect (δ) is solely determined by the effect size (d) and does not take sample size (N) into account.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain the role of power tables in determining the required sample size for a study. What values are typically needed to use a power table effectively?

<p>Power tables help researchers determine the sample size needed to achieve a desired level of power for a given alpha level and estimated effect size. To use a power table, one typically needs the desired power level (e.g., 80%), the alpha level (e.g., 0.05), and an estimate of the expected effect size (d).</p> Signup and view all the answers

To calculate the sample size (N) needed to achieve a given power, one must first estimate the ______ and look up the corresponding statistical effect (δ) in a power table.

<p>effect size (d)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match each step with the correct order to calculate power:

<ol> <li>Estimate the effect size d = A. First step</li> <li>Establish the sample size N = B. Second step</li> <li>Calculate the statistical effect δ = C. Third step</li> <li>Look up power in power tables = D. Fourth step</li> </ol> Signup and view all the answers

Why is it important to round up to the next whole number when calculating the required sample size for each group in a study?

<p>Because you cannot have a fraction of a participant. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In an independent samples t-test, the effect size is calculated differently than in a single-sample t-test, requiring a different formula.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain the importance of considering the number of tails (one-tailed vs. two-tailed) when using power tables, and how it affects the required sample size.

<p>The number of tails affects the critical value used to determine statistical significance. A one-tailed test has a lower critical value in the specified direction, making it easier to reject the null hypothesis and requiring a smaller sample size for the same power. A two-tailed test requires a larger sample size because the critical region is split between both tails.</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the statistical effect formula, $ \delta = d \sqrt{N} $, 'd' represents the ______, while 'N' signifies the number of participants.

<p>effect size</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the researcher’s action to the respective experimental impact.

<p>Increasing sample size = Increases statistical power Reducing variability in data = Increases statistical power Looking for/finding larger effects = Increases statistical power</p> Signup and view all the answers

In statistical hypothesis testing, what does a high power indicate about a study?

<p>It indicates a high likelihood of finding real results when they exist. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a study has low statistical power, it is more likely to produce real effects because the threshold for significance is lower.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does the overlap between the null and alternative distributions relate to a study's ability to detect a real effect, and how might this be influenced by sample size?

<p>Greater overlap indicates a smaller effect size, making it harder to distinguish between the distributions and reducing the study's statistical power. Increasing the sample size can help mitigate this by providing more information and sharpening the distinction between the groups, improving the study's ability to detect a real effect.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Effect size measures how ______ the difference is between groups using standard deviation units.

<p>big</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match each measure with what it reflects in research:

<p>Effect size (d) = How big the difference is Statistical effect ($\delta$) = How much statistical oomph do I have</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a memory pill study, if the control group averages 70, the pill group averages 75, and the standard deviation is 10, what is the effect size (d)?

<p>0.5 (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to Cohen’s guidelines, a d-value of 0.5 is considered a small effect.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a researcher is testing a new memory pill and wants to ensure that they have an 80% chance of finding the effect if it is really there, what does this statement mean in terms of statistical power?

<p>This statement implies that the researcher wants their study to have a statistical power of 80%. Statistical power measures the probability that a study will correctly reject the null hypothesis when it is false.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Power is defined as the probability of making a decision to correctly ______ the null hypothesis and accept the alternative hypothesis when a real difference or relationship exists.

<p>reject</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the following effect sizes with their description

<p>Small = People who took the memory pill only score a little bit better-maybe just 2 points higher on average Large = People who took the pill score much higher-like 8 points more on average</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is NOT a factor that affects statistical power?

<p>The researcher's personal bias (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Effect size (d) is a measure of the degree to which Ho and H₁ are expected to differ and depends on the sample size.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain how increasing sample size influences statistical power, considering the relationship between Type II error and the detection of real effects.

<p>Increasing the sample size increases statistical power. Enhancing statistical power reduces the probability of committing a Type II error, also known as a false negative. Specifically, it makes it more likely to correctly reject the null hypothesis and detect a real effect when one exists.</p> Signup and view all the answers

If you don’t know the real effect size, use ______'s guidelines.

<p>Cohen</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match effect size guidelines to sample size for one-sample t test (alpha=0.05, two-tailed, power=0.80)

<p>Small = 196 Medium = 32 Large = 13</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to Cohen’s guidelines for effect sizes, which of the following indicates the amount the null and alternative groups overlap the least?

<p>Large (0.80) (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Estimating the probability to reject/accept the null hypothesis doesn’t depend on sample size.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Describe three key factors influencing statistical power and explain how each factor can be adjusted to enhance a study's ability to detect a true effect.

<ol> <li>Alpha Level (α): Specifies the probability of rejecting a true null hypothesis (Type I error). Raising the alpha level (e.g., from 0.01 to 0.05) increases power by widening the rejection region, at the cost of a higher risk of false positives.</li> <li>Effect Size (d): Quantifies the magnitude of the true difference between groups or the strength of a relationship. A larger effect size increases power. This can be enhanced through careful experimental design and manipulation of independent variables.</li> <li>Sample Size (N): Indicates the number of observations in the study. Increasing sample size directly increases power as it provides more data for detecting true effects. It reduces the likelihood of a Type II error.</li> </ol> Signup and view all the answers

The statistical effect, often symbolized by the symbol ______, is a crucial element in determining probability.

<p>δ</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the following steps to calculate power:

<p>Effect size d = µ1 - µ0 / σ Statistical effect δ = d√N</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a researcher aims to design a study with 80% power to detect a medium effect size using an independent groups t-test, and has a two-tailed alpha of 0.05, approximately how many participants per group would be required according to Cohen's conventions?

<p>63 participants (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Statistical power represents the probability of failing to reject a false null hypothesis.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A researcher is planning a study and wants to ensure it has sufficient power. List three factors the researcher should consider that directly influence the power of a statistical test.

<p>alpha level, effect size, sample size, variance</p> Signup and view all the answers

The statistical effect, often denoted as ______, combines effect size and sample size to determine the ease of finding a real difference in a study.

<p>delta</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the following effect sizes (Cohen's d) with their corresponding percentage of overlap between the null and alternative distributions:

<p>Small (d=0.20) = 85% Medium (d=0.50) = 67% Large (d=0.80) = 53%</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Power (Statistical)

The probability of correctly rejecting the null hypothesis when a real difference or relationship exists.

Alpha Level

The significance level chosen for the statistical test.

True Difference

The true difference between the null and alternative distributions.

Sample Size & Variance

The size of the sample and the variance of scores in the population.

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Effect Size (d)

A measure of the degree to which the null and alternative hypotheses are expected to differ, in terms of standard deviations.

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Calculate Expected Effect Size

Expressing the expected difference between means as a proportion of the standard deviation of scores in the population.

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Statistical Effect

Helps account for both effect size and sample size when determining power.

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How to calculate power?

Estimate the effect size d, establish the sample size N, calculate the statistical effect δ, and look up the power tables.

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How to calculate the sample size needed to achieve a given power?

Look up the power tables to find the statistical effect (δ) needed for the required power, estimate the effect size d, and calculate the sample size N.

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Effect Size (d)

How big the actual difference is between two groups.

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Sample Size (N)

More people = more information = more power.

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Effect Size (d)

Measures how big the difference is between the groups in standard deviation units.

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Power

Helps you design better experiments because it can help you increase the probability of finding real results when they exist.

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Bigger Effect Sizes or More Participants

It gives a stronger statistical effect, which means a better chance of detecting a real result.

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Statistical Effect (δ)

Tells you how strong your test is at detecting that effect with your sample.

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Statistical Effect (δ)

A statistical measure that combines the size of the difference and the number of people to show how powerful your test is.

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Study Notes

  • Power refers to the chance of correctly detecting a real effect
  • Equivalently, it is the probability a test will reject the null hypothesis when the alternative hypothesis is true

Why Power is Important

  • A study with low power might miss real effects, leading to falsely believing there is no difference when one exists

Dependence of Power

  • Power depends on the alpha level, effect size, and sample size

Alpha Level

  • Alpha level is the risk one is willing to take of being wrong when rejecting the null, usually 0.05

Effect Size

  • Effect size (d) indicates how big the actual difference is between two groups
  • Bigger differences are easier to detect

Sample Size

  • Sample size (N) indicates the number of subjects in the study
  • More people yield more information and therefore more power

Effect Size Defined Further

  • More specifically, effect size measures how big the difference is between groups in standard deviation units
  • d = (μ1 - μ0)/σ where:
    • μ1 is the mean of the group being tested
    • μ0 is the mean under the null hypothesis
    • σ is the standard deviation

Choosing d with Cohen's Guidelines

  • If one doesn't know the real effect size, Cohen's guidelines can be used
  • Small effect size: d = 0.20, 85% overlap, requires 196 people for 1-sample or 784 for 2-sample
  • Medium effect size: d = 0.50, 67% overlap, requires 32 people for 1-sample or 126 for 2-sample
  • Large effect size: d = 0.80, 53% overlap, requires 13 people for 1-sample or 50 for 2-sample

Overlap

  • % Overlap indicates how much the null and alternative groups overlap
  • Less overlap makes it easier to detect a difference
  • Larger effects require fewer participants to detect
  • Smaller effects require more participants to be confident of the results

Bottom Line Summary

  • Power assists in designing better experiments
  • High power studies are more likely to find real results
  • Power can be increased by increasing sample size, looking for larger effects, and reducing variability

Memory Pill Experiment Example

  • A memory pill is tested for improving people's memory scores
  • One group gets the real pill, the other gets a placebo, and everyone takes a memory test

Small Effect Size Scenario

  • People taking the pill score slightly better, about 2 points higher
  • Scores mostly overlap with the placebo group (85% overlap)
  • Requires a large sample (784 people) due to the small difference

Large Effect Size Scenario

  • Pill group scores much higher, about 8 points more
  • Scores clearly stand out from the placebo group (53% overlap)
  • Requires only around 50 people to detect the effect reliably

Significance of Power

  • Having 80% power means having an 80% chance of finding the effect if it’s really there

Takeaway Points

  • Small effects require lots of people to detect
  • Large effects can be spotted with fewer people
  • Power assists in planning how many people are needed so a real effect isn't missed

Statistical Effect Defined

  • Statistical effect (δ) indicates how easy it will be to find a real difference in a study, depending on Effect size (d) and Sample size (N)

Statistical Effect Formula

  • δ = d × √N

Calculate Power

  • Estimate the effect size (d) using past research or Cohen's guidelines
  • Establish the sample size (N) and calculate the statistical effect (δ) using δ = d × √N
  • Look up δ in a power table based on the alpha level

Calculate Sample Size

  • Look up the required δ value (based on the target power) in a power table
  • Estimate the effect size (d) and solve for N using N = (δ / d)^2

Understanding Statistical Effect

  • δ (statistical effect) combines the size of the difference and number of people to determine the power of the test
  • Larger effect sizes or more participants yield a stronger δ, increasing the chance of detecting a real result
  • Power tables can be used to connect δ to actual power (e.g., 80%)

Analogy Visualization

  • d is how loud the whisper is
  • δ is whether you can hear it, dependent on d and the sample size

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