Podcast
Questions and Answers
Match the following growth models with their main predictions or findings:
Match the following growth models with their main predictions or findings:
Solow Growth Model = Poor countries should grow faster than rich countries Barro (1991) = No significant evidence of convergence Lucas et al. (1988) = Impact of human capital on growth Romer (1990) = Role of technology in economic growth
Match the following authors with their contributions to the growth literature:
Match the following authors with their contributions to the growth literature:
Pritchett (1997) = Examined economic growth discrepancies Rodrik (2014) = Discussed factors influencing growth rates Johnson and Papageorgiou (2020) = Reviewed recent growth literature Quah (1993) = Explored convergence clubs in growth
Match the following terms with their definitions:
Match the following terms with their definitions:
Unconditional Convergence = Economic growth characterized by poorer countries catching up σ-convergence = Dispersion in the level of income per capita Conditional Convergence = Growth dependent on controlling for certain factors Convergence Clubs = Groups of economies that grow at similar rates
Match the following years with their significance regarding economic growth:
Match the following years with their significance regarding economic growth:
Match the following years with their corresponding convergence ranges:
Match the following years with their corresponding convergence ranges:
Match the following statements with their implications for growth theory:
Match the following statements with their implications for growth theory:
Match the following statistical terms with their definitions:
Match the following statistical terms with their definitions:
Match the following statistical ranges with their corresponding labels:
Match the following statistical ranges with their corresponding labels:
Match the following regions with their growth performance post-1960s:
Match the following regions with their growth performance post-1960s:
Match the following growth-related concepts with their characteristics:
Match the following growth-related concepts with their characteristics:
Match the following sample exclusions with their implications:
Match the following sample exclusions with their implications:
Match the following findings with their respective studies or theories:
Match the following findings with their respective studies or theories:
Match the following plots with their associated years:
Match the following plots with their associated years:
Match the following convergence concepts with their effects:
Match the following convergence concepts with their effects:
Match the following economic concepts with their real-world concerns:
Match the following economic concepts with their real-world concerns:
Match the following data points with their expected trends:
Match the following data points with their expected trends:
Match the following datasets with their descriptions:
Match the following datasets with their descriptions:
Match the following terms with their definitions:
Match the following terms with their definitions:
Match the following years with their significance in the study:
Match the following years with their significance in the study:
Match the following descriptions with their corresponding observations regarding growth rates:
Match the following descriptions with their corresponding observations regarding growth rates:
Match the following authors with their contributions:
Match the following authors with their contributions:
Match the terms with their implications on convergence:
Match the terms with their implications on convergence:
Match the following results with their years in the study:
Match the following results with their years in the study:
Match the following types of convergence with their characteristics:
Match the following types of convergence with their characteristics:
Match the following parameters with their respective meanings or implications:
Match the following parameters with their respective meanings or implications:
Match the time periods with the observed convergence trends:
Match the time periods with the observed convergence trends:
Match the following researchers or studies with their findings:
Match the following researchers or studies with their findings:
Match the following concepts with their definitions:
Match the following concepts with their definitions:
Match the following statements with whether they reflect convergence or divergence trends:
Match the following statements with whether they reflect convergence or divergence trends:
Match the terms with their correlations to convergence dynamics:
Match the terms with their correlations to convergence dynamics:
Match the terms to their corresponding effects on β-convergence:
Match the terms to their corresponding effects on β-convergence:
Match the economic terms with their context in the discussion of convergence:
Match the economic terms with their context in the discussion of convergence:
Match the following income categories with their respective growth outcomes in the period of convergence:
Match the following income categories with their respective growth outcomes in the period of convergence:
Match the following time periods with their features regarding country growth rates:
Match the following time periods with their features regarding country growth rates:
Match the following statistical measures with the respective income categories they signify:
Match the following statistical measures with the respective income categories they signify:
Match the following researchers with their respective contributions to the discussion of convergence:
Match the following researchers with their respective contributions to the discussion of convergence:
Match the following observations with their respective implications for growth trends:
Match the following observations with their respective implications for growth trends:
Match the following statements with the correct assertions about convergence and divergence:
Match the following statements with the correct assertions about convergence and divergence:
Match the following descriptions with the relevant economic concepts:
Match the following descriptions with the relevant economic concepts:
Match the following economic periods with their growth trajectories:
Match the following economic periods with their growth trajectories:
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Study Notes
Unconditional Convergence in Economic Growth
- The study examines the β parameter, reflecting unconditional convergence in GDP growth, using data from 1960 to 2010, excluding oil exporters and nations with populations below one million.
- Notable decline in the GDP ratio of the U.S. to India, which fell to 9:1 by 2017, indicating significant convergence in economic performance.
- Previous findings of unconditional divergence have reversed, showing that poorer countries are now growing faster relative to richer countries since the mid-1990s.
Key Theoretical Foundations
- The Solow (1956) growth model suggests that poorer countries should grow faster than wealthier ones, given equal technology access and lower capital stock, leading to a higher marginal product of capital.
- Historical analysis indicated no statistically significant evidence of convergence for poorer countries over long horizons, contrary to the Solow model predictions.
Empirical Analysis and Findings
- Using regression analysis, findings refute the notion of unconditional convergence prior to the mid-1990s, where countries did not consistently grow at faster rates proportionate to their poorer status.
- The literature evolved through significant studies (e.g., Barro 1991, Pritchett 1997) exploring various factors influencing growth, notably ones that could lead to conditional convergence.
- Current evidence shows a trend of unconditional convergence with positive growth characterized across low-income countries since the mid-1990s.
Convergence Metrics and Data Analysis
- The β parameter estimates vary across sources (Penn World Tables, World Development Indicators, Maddison Project) but exhibit a consistent shift towards significance post-1995.
- Conditions for convergence measured using an estimated half-life Ï„, initially calculated to be 35 years, is now considerably longer at approximately 170 years based on recent data from 2000-2019.
Dynamics of Growth Disparities
- Convergence observed post-2000 arises from both improved economic performance in poorer countries and declining growth rates in wealthier nations.
- Noteworthy increases in growth for low- and middle-income countries compared to significantly reduced growth in wealthier nations around 1990s onward.
Regional Aspects and Historical Context
- The study notes fewer adverse economic outcomes for poor countries in the era of convergence, with a decrease in the percentage of low-income nations experiencing negative growth from 24%-42% in the 1980s and 1990s to just 16% in the 2010s.
- The analysis highlights stark contrasts in economic performance between regions, notably the dynamic growth in Asia compared to the slower progress in sub-Saharan Africa, contributing to the overall results in conditional convergence.
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