Podcast
Questions and Answers
What is U-3 in the Bureau of Labor Statistics' unemployment numbers?
What is U-3 in the Bureau of Labor Statistics' unemployment numbers?
What does Nick Bunker believe about U-3?
What does Nick Bunker believe about U-3?
Which unemployment numbers does Nick Bunker pay attention to?
Which unemployment numbers does Nick Bunker pay attention to?
What is Nick's U blend?
What is Nick's U blend?
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How did Nick's U blend perform in June?
How did Nick's U blend perform in June?
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What does the fact that Nick's U blend is close to the U-3 number likely indicate?
What does the fact that Nick's U blend is close to the U-3 number likely indicate?
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How many jobs were lost due to the pandemic?
How many jobs were lost due to the pandemic?
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How long will it take to create all the jobs that were lost?
How long will it take to create all the jobs that were lost?
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What is the current state of the economy?
What is the current state of the economy?
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What is the main focus of the article?
What is the main focus of the article?
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Study Notes
- The US economy added 850,000 jobs in June, but the unemployment rate still went up from 5.8% in May to 5.9% in June.
- The Bureau of Labor Statistics puts out six unemployment numbers every month, from U-1 to U-6.
- U-3 is the unemployment rate that is commonly reported, but labor economist Nick Bunker believes U-3 is not a good measure of what's happening in the labor market right now.
- Nick is paying attention to U-4, U-5, and U-6, which count discouraged workers, marginally attached workers, and underemployed workers.
- Nick has created a U blend that includes U-3, U-4, and U-5 but excludes furloughed workers.
- Nick's U blend peaked at just over 6% and was 5.8% in June.
- Nick believes the labor market is in a pretty good place right now.
- The fact that Nick's U blend is close to the U-3 number probably means most furloughed workers are back at work and not being counted as unemployed.
- However, there are still 9.5 million jobs that would exist right now if the pandemic had not happened.
- The economy is not in a terrible state, but the flatlining of the unemployment rate is not great news.
- The economy has lost millions of jobs due to the pandemic.
- Unemployment rates have skyrocketed.
- The economy is slowly recovering but still has a long way to go.
- Millions of jobs have been added back, but there are still millions more to go.
- It will take two or three years to create all the jobs that were lost.
- Nick is waiting for the economy to fully recover.
- The unemployment numbers are currently a topic of interest to labor economists.
- Nick wants to live in a universe where unemployment numbers are not a concern.
- The article focuses on the impact of the pandemic on the economy and job market.
- The economy is on a path to recovery, but it will take time to fully bounce back.
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