Time Series Forecasting Models Quiz

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Questions and Answers

What is the main assumption underlying time series models?

  • The variable being forecast is related to other variables in the environment
  • Forecasting involves a linear regression model
  • All necessary information is contained within the time series data (correct)
  • Random variations are the key factor in forecasting accuracy

Which pattern of data involves a constant level over time?

  • Seasonality
  • Trend
  • Cycles
  • Level or horizontal (correct)

What type of model is linear regression with respect to forecasting?

  • Causal model (correct)
  • Time series model
  • Exponential model
  • Naïve model

Which measure assesses the strength of the linear relationship between two variables in forecasting?

<p>Correlation (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

When selecting a forecasting model, which factor is NOT typically considered?

<p>Presence of seasonality in the data (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which forecasting method gives more weight to the most recent time periods?

<p>Moving Averages (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) measure?

<p>Average absolute error (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of forecasting accuracy metrics, what does MSE stand for?

<p>Mean Squared Error (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which forecasting method uses a smoothing constant to adjust the forecast?

<p>Exponential Smoothing (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary advantage of Moving Averages as a forecasting technique?

<p>Easy to compute (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

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