Time Series Analysis - STS 201/STS Dept - Dr. A.A.Akintunde

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Questions and Answers

What is the purpose of dividing each quarterly moving total by 4 in column 4?

  • To compute the moving averages for all quarters
  • To determine the four-quarter moving total (correct)
  • To find the centered moving average in column 6
  • To calculate the specific seasonal for each quarter

How is the specific seasonal for each quarter computed?

  • By dividing the sales in column 3 by the centered moving average in column 6 (correct)
  • By multiplying the sales in column 3 with the centered moving average in column 6
  • By finding the average of all the sales in column 3
  • By subtracting the sales in column 3 from the centered moving average in column 6

What does the specific seasonal value represent?

  • The sum of all sales in a quarter
  • The ratio of the original time series value to the moving average (correct)
  • The average of all moving averages
  • The difference between the actual sales and the moving average

How is the first centered moving average calculated?

<p>(8.500 + 8.450) / 2 (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the purpose of the moving-average method in time series analysis?

<p>To measure the seasonal fluctuation and smooth the trend (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Where are centered moving averages positioned according to the text?

<p>On a particular quarter (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a disadvantage of the moving-average method in time series analysis?

<p>It generates cycles or movements not present in the original data (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

When applying the moving-average method to a time series, what kind of data pattern should be present?

<p>A definite rhythmic pattern of fluctuations (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In time series analysis, what does the least squares method do?

<p>Expresses the trend in terms of a mathematical equation (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which computation method involves 'moving' arithmetic mean values through a time series?

<p>Moving-average method (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What effect does applying the moving-average method have on data at the beginning and end of a time series?

<p>Data at the beginning and end are lost (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a time series?

<p>A set of quantitative observations collected over a period of time (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is an example of time series data?

<p>Average scores in STS 201 for the past 10 years (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is meant by secular trend or regular variation in a time series?

<p>General direction of a time series over a long period of time (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which component of a time series represents the long-term movement of the data?

<p>Trend (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are some factors that may contribute to variations in a time series?

<p>Social, economic, climatic, psychological, or accidental factors (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a time series has an increasing long-term movement, what type of trend does it exhibit?

<p>Upward trend (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How is the three-period moving average calculated?

<p>By finding the average of the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd numbers (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the process to calculate the five-period moving average?

<p>Summing the first 5 numbers and dividing by 5 to find the average (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a challenge when calculating even-numbered moving averages?

<p>Centering the moving totals with no central time period (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the process of 'exhausting the numbers' refer to in moving average calculations?

<p>Using all available data points to calculate a single average (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a three-period moving average, what numbers are used for calculating the second moving average?

<p>2nd, 3rd, and 4th numbers (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary difference between three-period and five-period moving averages in terms of calculation process?

<p>Three-period averages consider fewer data points than five-period averages (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the four-quarter moving average for sales in the year 2017?

<p>$9.463 million (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In which season of 2019 did the sales reach their highest point?

<p>Summer (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was the specific seasonal value for Fall in 2018?

<p>0.801 (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was the total sales amount during Spring and Summer of 2017?

<p>$29.7 million (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was the centered moving average for sales in Winter of 2016?

<p>$8.450 million (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which year had the highest total sales amount among 2016, 2017, 2018, and 2019?

<p>2019 (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

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