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The Great Divergence and Deindustrialization Thesis
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The Great Divergence and Deindustrialization Thesis

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Questions and Answers

What was a deliberate effort made by countries to catch up with Britain in the standard model of development?

  • Integration of domestic market (correct)
  • Promotion of mass education
  • Finance industrialization
  • Protection of domestic industry
  • What was the main reason for the delay in the onset of modern economic growth in many regions?

  • Poverty traps
  • Import competition and deindustrialization
  • Lack of accessible coal and relatively high wages (correct)
  • Fragmentary railway system
  • Which regions were the first to transition to modern economic growth after Britain?

  • Western Europe and North America (correct)
  • Eastern Europe and Asia
  • South America and Africa
  • Oceania and Middle East
  • What were the key elements of the standard model of development?

    <p>Railways, schools, banks, tariffs</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What was still fragmentary in Germany in the mid-1800s compared to Britain?

    <p>Railway system</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What explains the wide difference in incomes across the globe today?

    <p>The Great Divergence</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is one of the direct effects of geography on per capita income, as discussed in the text?

    <p>Lower levels of trust in relatives/neighbors/local officials</p> Signup and view all the answers

    According to the Engerman-Sokoloff thesis, what does Latin America's geography favor, leading to inequality in wealth, education, and political power?

    <p>Large slave plantations and exclusive institutions</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What did Roy (2008) argue about informal institutions in C19th India?

    <p>They hindered knowledge diffusion across social groups</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a key factor contributing to the low per capita incomes of ethnic groups severely affected by the Atlantic and Indian Ocean slave trades?

    <p>Lower levels of trust and higher transaction costs</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What did Galor, Moav, and Vollrath (2009) link to the emergence of human-capital promoting institutions in the U.S. during 1900-1940?

    <p>Inequality in landownership</p> Signup and view all the answers

    'The long-term effects of Africa’s slave trades' by Nunn (2008) and Wantchekon (2011) highlight what as a consequence of the slave trades?

    <p>'Low levels of trust in relatives/neighbors/local officials' and 'lower per capita incomes'</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which event marked the beginning of the Great Divergence in GDP per capita?

    <p>The Industrial Revolution</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What was a significant factor contributing to the benefits for primary goods exporters?

    <p>Terms of trade effects</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What challenge hindered Japan's modernization in agriculture?

    <p>Technology transfer challenges</p> Signup and view all the answers

    According to the Hayami-Ruttan thesis, what is required for agricultural development?

    <p>Different technologies for different endowments</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a key requirement for transitioning to modern economic growth?

    <p>Capacity to innovate</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What influences societies' trade-off between anarchy and despotism?

    <p>Different societal fundamentals leading to different institutions</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which factor may delay the transition to modern economic growth?

    <p>Lack of infrastructure and savings</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a potential risk associated with close informal relations between government, banks, and firms in Big Push policies?

    <p>Corruption risks</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which historical events are cited as examples of Big Pushes gone wrong?

    <p>Stalinist industrialization in the USSR and the Great Leap Forward in China</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does the California School argue may explain the Great Divergence between Europe and China?

    <p>Geographic differences such as coal supply and access to complementary resources</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What factor may halve the institutional effect estimate on growth according to the text?

    <p>Disease burden and present-day Malaria risk</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What may contribute to delaying the onset of modern economic growth in some regions?

    <p>Differences in geographic endowments, institutions, and culture</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which factor contributed to the dominance of Western textiles in world markets?

    <p>Increased total factor productivity</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What led to deindustrialization in non-Western parts of the world?

    <p>Import competition</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What drove the Great Specialization and Great Divergence in the 19th century?

    <p>Increasing returns to scale and transportation advancements</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What contributed to Ottoman deindustrialization?

    <p>Shift in comparative advantage to primary goods production</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What was a characteristic of railway networks by the early 20th century in Europe-China comparison?

    <p>Differences in railway network development</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What was a peculiar characteristic of tariffs in the West?

    <p>Comparatively high tariffs due to a peculiar Western characteristic</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What led to deindustrialization in non-Western parts of the world?

    <p>Import competition</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What was a consequence of Ottoman deindustrialization?

    <p>Shift in comparative advantage to primary goods production</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What were the driving forces behind the Great Specialization and Great Divergence in the 19th century?

    <p>Increasing returns to scale and transportation advancements</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What contributed to the dominance of Western textiles in world markets?

    <p>Steamships and railways</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What was a peculiar characteristic of tariffs in the West?

    <p>Comparatively high due to a peculiar Western characteristic</p> Signup and view all the answers

    'Europe-China comparison' shows differences in which aspect by the early 20th century?

    <p>'Railway network'</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What are the direct effects of geography on per capita income as discussed in the text?

    <p>Influence on cultural and institutional legacy</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What did Roy (2008) argue about informal institutions in C19th India?

    <p>They hindered knowledge diffusion across social groups</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does the Engerman-Sokoloff thesis suggest about Latin America's geography?

    <p>Favors large slave plantations leading to inequality in wealth, education, and political power</p> Signup and view all the answers

    According to Galor, Moav, and Vollrath (2009), what was linked to the emergence of human-capital promoting institutions in the U.S. during 1900-1940?

    <p>Inequality in landownership</p> Signup and view all the answers

    'The long-term effects of Africa’s slave trades' by Nunn (2008) and Wantchekon (2011) highlight what as a consequence of the slave trades?

    <p>Lower levels of trust in relatives/neighbors/local officials and lower per capita incomes</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a key factor contributing to the low per capita incomes of ethnic groups severely affected by the Atlantic and Indian Ocean slave trades?

    <p>Lower levels of trust in relatives/neighbors/local officials</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which factor hindered Japan's modernization in agriculture?

    <p>U.S. agricultural technology was not useful in Japan due to different land-labor ratios</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does the Hayami-Ruttan thesis suggest about agricultural development?

    <p>Different endowments require different technologies for agricultural development</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What do institutions represent in the context of societal choices?

    <p>Endogenous choices made by societies to navigate between undesirable extremes</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the significance of the Great Divergence in GDP per capita?

    <p>It began around 1820 and marked a divergence in economic growth among regions</p> Signup and view all the answers

    'Transition to modern economic growth often requires the capacity to innovate' - What does this statement imply?

    <p>Innovation is a crucial factor for transitioning to modern economic growth</p> Signup and view all the answers

    'Societies' trade-off between anarchy and despotism depends on their institutional possibility frontier' - What does this statement suggest?

    <p>Different societal fundamentals lead to different institutions that minimize social losses due to expropriation</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Study Notes

    Economic Growth, Deep Root Problems, and Big Push Policies

    • Big Push policies may lead to rapid transitory growth, as seen in East Asian convergence after 1950
    • Poverty traps, such as lack of infrastructure, savings, or necessary industries, can delay the transition to modern economic growth
    • Late-industrializing countries may require greater state initiative, as heavy government involvement in East Asian industrialization suggests
    • Close informal relations between government, banks, and firms in Big Push policies can lead to corruption risks
    • Central planning in the Soviet Union coped with mass production but failed in late 20th-century frontier developments
    • Examples of Big Pushes gone wrong include Stalinist industrialization in the USSR and the Great Leap Forward in China
    • The California School argues that geographic differences, such as coal supply and access to complementary resources, can explain the Great Divergence between Europe and China
    • Institutional legacy effects from colonization policies, such as checks and balances and property rights protection, can impact long-run growth
    • European settlers' institutions, cultural factors, and disease environments all play a role in long-run growth, making it hard to isolate institutional effects
    • Disease burden and present-day Malaria risk can halve the institutional effect estimate on growth
    • Differences in geographic endowments, institutions, and culture may contribute to delaying the onset of modern economic growth in some regions
    • The transition to modern economic growth may require a "Big Push" and involve overcoming deep root factors such as geographic endowments and institutional legacies

    Railway Networks, Trade Liberalization, and Industrialization in the 19th Century

    • Germany's railway network caught up with Britain's by 1880
    • Europe-China comparison shows early 20th-century railway network differences
    • Mass education spread quickly in the West by the early 20th century
    • Tariffs were comparatively high in the West due to a peculiar Western characteristic
    • Asymmetric free trade treaties and military imbalances emerged in the 19th century
    • Import competition led to deindustrialization in non-Western parts of the world
    • The British cotton textile industry became competitive due to increased total factor productivity
    • Western textiles began dominating world markets, leading to deindustrialization in other regions
    • Ottoman deindustrialization led to a shift in comparative advantage to primary goods production
    • The Great Specialization and Great Divergence were driven by increasing returns to scale and transportation advancements
    • New Economic Geography models explain trade specialization and income divergence in the 19th century
    • Steamships and railways led to the Great Specialization and Great Divergence in the 19th century

    The Great Divergence and Economic Growth Challenges

    • The Great Divergence in GDP per capita began around 1820
    • Some regions transitioned to modern economic growth while specializing in primary production
    • Terms of trade effects led to benefits for primary goods exporters
    • China and India experienced long-run declines in per capita incomes
    • Japan's technology transfer challenges in agriculture hindered its modernization
    • U.S. agricultural technology was not useful in Japan due to different land-labor ratios
    • The Hayami-Ruttan thesis suggests different endowments require different technologies for agricultural development
    • Transition to modern economic growth often requires the capacity to innovate
    • Institutions are endogenous choices that societies make to navigate between undesirable extremes
    • Societies' trade-off between anarchy and despotism depends on their institutional possibility frontier
    • Different societal fundamentals lead to different institutions that minimize social losses due to expropriation
    • Rwanda's steep institutional possibility frontier is influenced by a history of ethnic conflict

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