Podcast
Questions and Answers
Which of the following best defines predictable variability in a supply chain?
Which of the following best defines predictable variability in a supply chain?
Which of the following is NOT a method of managing supply in response to predictable variability?
Which of the following is NOT a method of managing supply in response to predictable variability?
What is a key trade-off to consider when managing inventory and capacity in a supply chain experiencing predictable variability?
What is a key trade-off to consider when managing inventory and capacity in a supply chain experiencing predictable variability?
According to the content, which of the following is NOT a factor that leads to increased demand when promotions are used?
According to the content, which of the following is NOT a factor that leads to increased demand when promotions are used?
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Which of the following is a key consideration when deciding the timing of a promotion?
Which of the following is a key consideration when deciding the timing of a promotion?
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According to the provided material, when is a promotion favored during low-demand periods?
According to the provided material, when is a promotion favored during low-demand periods?
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Which situation favors promotions during peak-demand periods?
Which situation favors promotions during peak-demand periods?
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What impact does high retailer holding cost have on forward buying?
What impact does high retailer holding cost have on forward buying?
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According to the provided information, what is the impact on average inventory if a promotion is run during the off-peak period?
According to the provided information, what is the impact on average inventory if a promotion is run during the off-peak period?
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Under what conditions is promoting during a peak-demand month likely to decrease overall profitability, as mentioned in the text?
Under what conditions is promoting during a peak-demand month likely to decrease overall profitability, as mentioned in the text?
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What is the effect on profitability as the product margin declines in relation to promoting during the peak-demand period?
What is the effect on profitability as the product margin declines in relation to promoting during the peak-demand period?
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What should a company use when faced with seasonal demand to improve profitability?
What should a company use when faced with seasonal demand to improve profitability?
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What is necessary to maximize profitability for a company, according to the text?
What is necessary to maximize profitability for a company, according to the text?
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Study Notes
Predictable Variability in Supply Chains
- Predictable variability in demand can be forecasted, but it can negatively affect supply chain costs and responsiveness.
- Two main approaches to managing predictable variability:
- Manage supply: Adjust capacity, inventory, subcontracting, and backlogs.
- Manage demand: Employ short-term price discounts and promotions.
Managing Supply
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Capacity:
- Flexible workforce scheduling (time flexibility, seasonal hiring).
- Dual facilities (specialized and general-purpose).
- Subcontracting.
- Design flexibility into product production processes.
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Inventory:
- Use common components across multiple products.
- Build inventory for items with high demand or predictable demand.
Inventory/Capacity Trade-Off
- Maintaining consistent capacity levels leads to higher inventory levels to meet seasonal demand variations.
- Low inventory levels require high capacity adjustments to handle peak demand periods.
Managing Demand
- Promotions can drive demand growth via:
- Market expansion.
- Competitive advantage.
- Forward buying (customers stock up).
- Timing promotion factors:
- Promotion's impact on demand.
- Inventory holding costs.
- Capacity adjustment costs.
- Product margins.
- Promotion timing table (Table 9-1):
- High forward buying: promote during low demand.
- Strong market share gain: promote during peak demand.
- Large overall market increase: promote during peak demand.
- High margin: promote during peak demand.
- Low margin: promote during low demand.
- High manufacturer/retailer holding costs: promote during low demand.
- High capacity change costs: promote during low demand.
- Promotion effectiveness: Analyze promotion impact on demand, and develop optimal aggregate plan.
- When to promote: better to promote during peak or off-peak?
Supply Chain Performance (Table 9-3)
- Promotion during peak demand can lead to increased inventory if the demand boost is affected mostly by inventory stocking rather than genuine customer demand.
- Profitability can decrease if a promotion only marginally increases customer consumption but causes a significant forward buy.
- Profitability increases as promotion increases consumer usage, with the proportion of forward buy decreasing.
- Lower product margins make promoting during peak demand less desirable.
Conclusions about Promotion
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Average inventory increases with promotions during peak periods and decreases during off-peak periods.
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Promoting during peak demand can decrease profit if large forward buying occurs.
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More profitable to promote during peak if the demand increase is primarily from customer usage (not forward buys).
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Lower margins make peak demand promotions less profitable.
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Optimizing profitability requires a coordinated approach involving pricing, production, and inventory management.
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Achieving the best outcome requires the alignment and coordinated effort of the entire supply chain.
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Strong organizational support and early warning alerts in the sales and operations planning (S&OP) process are crucial.
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Description
This quiz explores the concepts of predictable variability in supply chains, including approaches to manage supply and demand. It covers strategies like flexible workforce scheduling, inventory management, and the trade-offs between inventory and capacity. Test your understanding of these key supply chain principles.