Stats Finals Chapter 6-8 Flashcards
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What is the probability of getting fewer than 2 days when the surf is at least 6 feet?

0.087

What is the expected number of days when the surf will be at least 6 feet?

3 days

What is the standard deviation of the r-probability distribution?

1.095 days

Can you be fairly confident that the surf will be at least 6 feet high on one of your days off?

<p>True</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the expected number of defective syringes the inspector will find?

<p>0.06 syringes</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the probability that the batch will be accepted?

<p>0.999</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the expected number of friends for whom addresses will be found?

<p>4.8 friends</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the probability none of the tsunamis are nine meters or higher?

<p>0.168</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the probability at least one tsunami is nine meters or higher?

<p>0.832</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the expected number of tsunamis nine meters or higher?

<p>1.5</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the standard deviation of the r-probability distribution of tsunamis?

<p>1.025</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the expected number of vehicles out of 7 that will tailgate?

<p>2.1 vehicles</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the standard deviation of this distribution of tailgating?

<p>1.212 vehicles</p> Signup and view all the answers

What percentage of the area under the normal curve lies to the left of μ?

<p>50%</p> Signup and view all the answers

What percentage of the area under the normal curve lies between μ − 3σ and μ + 3σ?

<p>99.7%</p> Signup and view all the answers

Is the distribution valid? (a) P(x) 0.20 0.61 0.19, (b) P(x) 0.20 0.61 0.29

<p>Yes. The probabilities sum to 1.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does a standard score measure?

<p>the number of standard deviations a measurement is from the mean</p> Signup and view all the answers

The expected value of the distribution is necessarily one of the possible values of x.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Sketch the area under the standard normal curve over the indicated interval and find the specified area.

<p>The area to the right of z = 0 is 0.5, The area to the left of z = 0 is 0.5</p> Signup and view all the answers

Compute the expected value of the distribution for P(x) 0.25 0.70 0.05.

<p>4/5</p> Signup and view all the answers

The expected age of a super shopper is ____.

<p>42.58 yr</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the standard deviation for ages of super shoppers?

<p>13.25</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the total expected cost to Big Rock Insurance for Jim's policy?

<p>$4234</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the probability that Kevin will win the cruise?

<p>0.00811</p> Signup and view all the answers

The outcome of one trial affects the probability of success on any other trial.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which outcomes are possible in a binomial experiment?

<p>Both A and B</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the expected value of a binomial distribution with n trials tell you?

<p>The average number of successes</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a binomial experiment, the probability of success can change from one trial to the next.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is NOT a characteristic of a binomial experiment?

<p>Probability of success varies</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the area to the left of z = -1.32?

<p>0.0934</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the area to the left of z = -0.40?

<p>0.3446</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the area to the left of z = 0.54?

<p>0.7054</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the area to the left of z = 0.78?

<p>0.7823</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the area to the right of z = 1.63?

<p>0.0516</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the area to the right of z = -1.14?

<p>0.8729</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the area to the right of z = -2.12?

<p>0.983</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the area between z = 0 and z = 2.46?

<p>0.4931</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the area between z = 0 and z = -1.97?

<p>0.4756</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the area between z = -2.29 and z = 1.33?

<p>0.8972</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the area between z = -1.46 and z = 1.93?

<p>0.9011</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the area between z = 0.31 and z = 1.84?

<p>0.3454</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the area between z = 1.32 and z = 2.15?

<p>0.0776</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the probability that P(z ≤ 0) for a standard normal variable?

<p>0.5</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the probability that P(z ≤ -0.12) for a standard normal variable?

<p>0.4522</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the probability that P(z ≤ -2.04) for a standard normal variable?

<p>0.0207</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the probability that P(z ≤ 1.24) for a standard normal variable?

<p>0.8925</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the probability that P(z ≥ 1.44) for a standard normal variable?

<p>0.0749</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the probability that P(z ≥ 2.09) for a standard normal variable?

<p>0.0183</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the probability that P(z ≥ -1.27) for a standard normal variable?

<p>0.8979</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the probability that P(-1.10 ≤ z ≤ 2.64) for a standard normal variable?

<p>0.8602</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the probability that P(-2.02 ≤ z ≤ 1.08) for a standard normal variable?

<p>0.8382</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the probability that P(-2.13 ≤ z ≤ -0.36) for a standard normal variable?

<p>0.3428</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the z-score corresponding to x = 19 for a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 24 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 5?

<p>-1</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the z-score corresponding to x = 37 for a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 24 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 5?

<p>2.6</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the final exam score for Robert if the mean score is 𝜇 = 148 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 17 with a z-score of 1.24?

<p>168.74</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the final exam score for Juan if the mean score is 𝜇 = 148 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 17 with a z-score of 1.64?

<p>175.54</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the final exam score for Haley if the mean score is 𝜇 = 148 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 17 with a z-score of -1.82?

<p>117.06</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the final exam score for Joel if the mean score is 𝜇 = 148?

<p>148</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the final exam score for Jan if the mean score is 𝜇 = 148 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 17?

<p>135.08</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the final exam score for Linda if the mean score is 𝜇 = 148 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 17?

<p>178.6</p> Signup and view all the answers

Convert the x interval x < 30 to a z interval for a fawn weight distribution with mean 𝜇 = 29.0 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 3.4.

<p>z &lt; -0.29</p> Signup and view all the answers

Convert the x interval 19 < x to a z interval for a fawn weight distribution with mean 𝜇 = 29.0 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 3.4.

<p>z &gt; -2.94</p> Signup and view all the answers

Convert the x interval 32 < x < 35 to a z interval for a fawn weight distribution with mean 𝜇 = 29.0 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 3.4.

<p>0.88 &lt; z &lt; 1.76</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a fawn weighs 14 kilograms, would you say it is an unusually small animal?

<p>Yes.</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a fawn is unusually large, what kind of z value would you expect?

<p>It would have a large positive z, such as 3.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the probability of selecting a value greater than 26 from a normal distribution with mean 26 and standard deviation 7?

<p>0.5</p> Signup and view all the answers

If 90% of the area under the standard normal curve lies to the right of z, then z is positive.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

If 25% of the area under the standard normal curve lies to the left of z, then z is positive.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 8 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 2, what is P(7 ≤ x ≤ 10)?

<p>0.5328</p> Signup and view all the answers

For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 16.0 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 4.5, what is P(10 ≤ x ≤ 26)?

<p>0.895</p> Signup and view all the answers

For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 40 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 15, what is P(50 ≤ x ≤ 70)?

<p>0.2286</p> Signup and view all the answers

For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 5.1 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 1.7, what is P(7 ≤ x ≤ 9)?

<p>0.1204</p> Signup and view all the answers

For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 28 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 4.2, what is P(x ≥ 30)?

<p>0.3156</p> Signup and view all the answers

For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 104 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 11, what is P(x ≥ 120)?

<p>0.0735</p> Signup and view all the answers

For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 100 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 19, what is P(x ≥ 90)?

<p>0.7019</p> Signup and view all the answers

For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 2.1 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 0.33, what is P(x ≥ 2)?

<p>0.6179</p> Signup and view all the answers

Find z such that 70% of the standard normal curve lies to the left of z.

<p>z = 0.52</p> Signup and view all the answers

Study Notes

Probability Distributions

  • A valid probability distribution requires that the sum of probabilities equals 1.
  • Example valid distribution: P(x) = {0.20, 0.61, 0.19} sums to 1.
  • Example invalid distribution: P(x) = {0.20, 0.61, 0.29} sums to 1.10.

Expected Value and Standard Deviation

  • The expected value is not necessarily one of the possible values in the distribution and can be a different value.
  • Example of expected value calculation: For P(x) = {0.25, 0.70, 0.05}, expected value = 0.8, standard deviation is approximately 0.5099.

Age and Income Distributions of Super Shoppers

  • Age distribution: 10% (18-28), 41% (29-39), 25% (40-50), 9% (51-61), 15% (62+); expected age = 42.58 years.
  • Income distribution: 20% (5-15k), 15% (15-25k), 20% (25-35k), 16% (35-45k), 19% (45-55k), 10% (55k+); expected income = $32.9k.

Historical Context of Nurses' Age Distribution

  • In 1851, 25,466 nurses in Great Britain were aged as follows: 5.7% (20-29), 9.1% (30-39), etc.
  • Probability of a nurse being 60+ years was calculated at 36.6%.
  • Expected age of nurses = 53.99 years, with a standard deviation of 13.65 years.

Parole Repeat Offenders

  • Probability of one or more offenders among five parolees was calculated at 78%.
  • Expected number of repeat offenders = 1.423; standard deviation = 1.1.

Continuous vs Discrete Variables

  • Discrete variables count distinct outcomes (e.g., number of traffic fatalities).
  • Continuous variables measure quantities (e.g., distance a golf ball travels).

Binomial Experiments

  • Binomial experiments measure the number of successes over n trials, with each trial having only two outcomes.
  • Trials are independent, and the probability of success remains constant across trials.

Sampling Without Replacement

  • Sampling without replacement can affect the independence of trials; a hypergeometric model is more suitable when the population size is small.

Life Insurance Expected Costs

  • For Jim, the total expected cost over 5 years was calculated at $4,234, requiring a premium over that to ensure profit.
  • Sara's total expected cost was $2,184.

Probability of Hurricane or Tsunami Events

  • Probability modeling is employed in assessing disaster risks, considering historical data and environmental factors.

Conclusion on Expectations and Standard Deviations

  • The expected value gives the average outcome for a probability distribution, while standard deviation measures variability.### Tsunamis and Earthquakes
  • Approximately 30% of recorded tsunamis reach a height of nine meters or more.
  • Statistical profile of tsunamis in Hawaii can be inferred from recent Pacific Rim earthquakes.
  • For 6 randomly selected earthquakes:
    • Probability of no tsunamis reaching nine meters: 0.118
    • Probability of at least one tsunami of nine meters or higher: 0.882
    • Expected number of tsunamis nine meters or higher: 1.8
    • Standard deviation of the probability distribution: 1.122

Illiteracy in the U.S.

  • About 20% of the U.S. population is reported to be illiterate.
  • For a sample of 8 randomly selected individuals:
    • Mean number of illiterate individuals: 1.6
    • Standard deviation: 1.131
    • Expected number of illiterate individuals: 1.6

Parolee Recidivism

  • Roughly 50% of all prison parolees are repeat offenders.
  • For a group of 4 parolees:
    • Probability of 0 successes (not reoffending): 0.0623
    • Probability for 1, 2, 3 successes: 0.25, 0.375, 0.25, respectively
    • Expected number of parolees not reoffending: 2
    • Standard deviation: 1

Binomial Distributions

  • A binomial distribution of 200 trials shows an expected value of 80 and standard deviation of 6.9.
    • More than 120 successes is unusual (above 2.5 SD).
    • Fewer than 40 successes is also unusual (below 2.5 SD).
    • 70 to 90 successes is typical (within 2.5 SD).

Symmetry in Binomial Distributions

  • A binomial distribution is symmetric when p = 0.50.
  • The expected value for p = 0.50 in 10 trials: 5
  • Small p leads to a right-skewed distribution; large p leads to a left-skew.

Days with Surf in Hawaii

  • January surf conditions in Hawaii: 60% of days have at least 6 feet of surf.
  • For 5 randomly chosen days:
    • Probability of 3 or more days with surf: 0.683
    • Probability of fewer than 2 days with surf: 0.087
    • Standard deviation: 1.095 days
    • High confidence that at least one day will have surf at least 6 feet.

Normal Distribution Properties

  • Percentages of areas under the normal curve:
    • 50% lies to the left of the mean.
    • 68% lies within one standard deviation.
    • 99.7% lies within three standard deviations.

Measurement Comparisons

  • Standard scores measure the distance of a value from the mean in terms of standard deviations.
  • Raw scores below mean result in negative standard scores, while those above result in positive scores.

Normal Distribution of RBC Count

  • Female RBC count follows a normal distribution: mean = 4.3 million, standard deviation = 0.7 million.
  • Understanding z-scores helps in comparing RBC counts to the healthy population.

Empirical Rule

  • About 68% of a normally distributed data set falls within one standard deviation from the mean.
  • About 95% falls within two standard deviations; nearly all (99.7%) falls within three standard deviations.### Z Interval Conversions
  • For the interval 4.5 < x, the converted z interval is 0.29 < z.
  • For the interval x < 4.2, the converted z interval is z < -0.14.
  • For the interval 4.0 < x < 5.5, the converted z interval is -0.43 < z < 1.71.
  • For the z interval z < -1.44, the converted x interval is x < 3.3.
  • For the z interval 1.28 < z, the converted x interval is 5.2 < x.
  • For the z interval -2.25 < z < -1.00, the converted x interval is 2.7 < x < 3.6.

RBC Count Analysis

  • An RBC count of 5.9 or higher is not considered unusually high; a z score of 2.29 indicates normality.

Tree-Ring Dating at Burnt Mesa Pueblo

  • Two archaeological sites produced tree-ring dates with distinct means and standard deviations.
    • Site 1: Mean date (μ1) = year 1294, Standard deviation (σ1) = 30 years.
    • Site 2: Mean date (μ2) = year 1149, Standard deviation (σ2) = 43 years.
  • Object from Site 1 dated x1 = year 1175; calculated z1 = -3.97.
  • Object from Site 2 dated x2 = year 1200; calculated z2 = 1.19.
  • x1 (Site 1) is deemed more unusual due to its further z value from zero.

Normal Distribution Probability Insights

  • In a normal distribution where the mean is 26 and standard deviation is 7, the probability of selecting a value greater than 26 is 0.5.
  • If 90% of the area under the normal curve lies to the right of z, then z is negative.
  • If 25% of the area lies to the left of z, then z is also negative.

Probability Calculations for Various Normal Distributions

  • P(7 ≤ x ≤ 10) given μ = 8 and σ = 2 is 0.5328.
  • P(10 ≤ x ≤ 26) given μ = 16.0 and σ = 4.5 is 0.895.
  • P(50 ≤ x ≤ 70) given μ = 40 and σ = 15 is 0.2286.
  • P(7 ≤ x ≤ 9) given μ = 5.1 and σ = 1.7 is 0.1204.
  • P(x ≥ 30) given μ = 28 and σ = 4.2 is 0.3156.
  • P(x ≥ 120) given μ = 104 and σ = 11 is 0.0735.
  • P(x ≥ 90) given μ = 100 and σ = 19 is 0.7019.
  • P(x ≥ 2) given μ = 2.1 and σ = 0.33 is 0.6179.

Finding z Values

  • The z value such that 70% of the standard normal curve lies to the left is z = 0.52.

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Test your understanding of probability distributions with these flashcards covering Chapters 6 to 8 of your statistics course. Determine the validity of given distributions and explore expected values for random variables. Perfect for final exam preparation!

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