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What is the probability of getting fewer than 2 days when the surf is at least 6 feet?
What is the probability of getting fewer than 2 days when the surf is at least 6 feet?
0.087
What is the expected number of days when the surf will be at least 6 feet?
What is the expected number of days when the surf will be at least 6 feet?
3 days
What is the standard deviation of the r-probability distribution?
What is the standard deviation of the r-probability distribution?
1.095 days
Can you be fairly confident that the surf will be at least 6 feet high on one of your days off?
Can you be fairly confident that the surf will be at least 6 feet high on one of your days off?
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What is the expected number of defective syringes the inspector will find?
What is the expected number of defective syringes the inspector will find?
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What is the probability that the batch will be accepted?
What is the probability that the batch will be accepted?
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What is the expected number of friends for whom addresses will be found?
What is the expected number of friends for whom addresses will be found?
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What is the probability none of the tsunamis are nine meters or higher?
What is the probability none of the tsunamis are nine meters or higher?
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What is the probability at least one tsunami is nine meters or higher?
What is the probability at least one tsunami is nine meters or higher?
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What is the expected number of tsunamis nine meters or higher?
What is the expected number of tsunamis nine meters or higher?
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What is the standard deviation of the r-probability distribution of tsunamis?
What is the standard deviation of the r-probability distribution of tsunamis?
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What is the expected number of vehicles out of 7 that will tailgate?
What is the expected number of vehicles out of 7 that will tailgate?
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What is the standard deviation of this distribution of tailgating?
What is the standard deviation of this distribution of tailgating?
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What percentage of the area under the normal curve lies to the left of μ?
What percentage of the area under the normal curve lies to the left of μ?
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What percentage of the area under the normal curve lies between μ − 3σ and μ + 3σ?
What percentage of the area under the normal curve lies between μ − 3σ and μ + 3σ?
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Is the distribution valid? (a) P(x) 0.20 0.61 0.19, (b) P(x) 0.20 0.61 0.29
Is the distribution valid? (a) P(x) 0.20 0.61 0.19, (b) P(x) 0.20 0.61 0.29
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What does a standard score measure?
What does a standard score measure?
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The expected value of the distribution is necessarily one of the possible values of x.
The expected value of the distribution is necessarily one of the possible values of x.
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Sketch the area under the standard normal curve over the indicated interval and find the specified area.
Sketch the area under the standard normal curve over the indicated interval and find the specified area.
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Compute the expected value of the distribution for P(x) 0.25 0.70 0.05.
Compute the expected value of the distribution for P(x) 0.25 0.70 0.05.
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The expected age of a super shopper is ____.
The expected age of a super shopper is ____.
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What is the standard deviation for ages of super shoppers?
What is the standard deviation for ages of super shoppers?
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What is the total expected cost to Big Rock Insurance for Jim's policy?
What is the total expected cost to Big Rock Insurance for Jim's policy?
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What is the probability that Kevin will win the cruise?
What is the probability that Kevin will win the cruise?
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The outcome of one trial affects the probability of success on any other trial.
The outcome of one trial affects the probability of success on any other trial.
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Which outcomes are possible in a binomial experiment?
Which outcomes are possible in a binomial experiment?
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What does the expected value of a binomial distribution with n trials tell you?
What does the expected value of a binomial distribution with n trials tell you?
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In a binomial experiment, the probability of success can change from one trial to the next.
In a binomial experiment, the probability of success can change from one trial to the next.
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Which of the following is NOT a characteristic of a binomial experiment?
Which of the following is NOT a characteristic of a binomial experiment?
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What is the area to the left of z = -1.32?
What is the area to the left of z = -1.32?
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What is the area to the left of z = -0.40?
What is the area to the left of z = -0.40?
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What is the area to the left of z = 0.54?
What is the area to the left of z = 0.54?
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What is the area to the left of z = 0.78?
What is the area to the left of z = 0.78?
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What is the area to the right of z = 1.63?
What is the area to the right of z = 1.63?
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What is the area to the right of z = -1.14?
What is the area to the right of z = -1.14?
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What is the area to the right of z = -2.12?
What is the area to the right of z = -2.12?
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What is the area between z = 0 and z = 2.46?
What is the area between z = 0 and z = 2.46?
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What is the area between z = 0 and z = -1.97?
What is the area between z = 0 and z = -1.97?
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What is the area between z = -2.29 and z = 1.33?
What is the area between z = -2.29 and z = 1.33?
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What is the area between z = -1.46 and z = 1.93?
What is the area between z = -1.46 and z = 1.93?
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What is the area between z = 0.31 and z = 1.84?
What is the area between z = 0.31 and z = 1.84?
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What is the area between z = 1.32 and z = 2.15?
What is the area between z = 1.32 and z = 2.15?
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What is the probability that P(z ≤ 0) for a standard normal variable?
What is the probability that P(z ≤ 0) for a standard normal variable?
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What is the probability that P(z ≤ -0.12) for a standard normal variable?
What is the probability that P(z ≤ -0.12) for a standard normal variable?
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What is the probability that P(z ≤ -2.04) for a standard normal variable?
What is the probability that P(z ≤ -2.04) for a standard normal variable?
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What is the probability that P(z ≤ 1.24) for a standard normal variable?
What is the probability that P(z ≤ 1.24) for a standard normal variable?
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What is the probability that P(z ≥ 1.44) for a standard normal variable?
What is the probability that P(z ≥ 1.44) for a standard normal variable?
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What is the probability that P(z ≥ 2.09) for a standard normal variable?
What is the probability that P(z ≥ 2.09) for a standard normal variable?
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What is the probability that P(z ≥ -1.27) for a standard normal variable?
What is the probability that P(z ≥ -1.27) for a standard normal variable?
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What is the probability that P(-1.10 ≤ z ≤ 2.64) for a standard normal variable?
What is the probability that P(-1.10 ≤ z ≤ 2.64) for a standard normal variable?
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What is the probability that P(-2.02 ≤ z ≤ 1.08) for a standard normal variable?
What is the probability that P(-2.02 ≤ z ≤ 1.08) for a standard normal variable?
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What is the probability that P(-2.13 ≤ z ≤ -0.36) for a standard normal variable?
What is the probability that P(-2.13 ≤ z ≤ -0.36) for a standard normal variable?
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What is the z-score corresponding to x = 19 for a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 24 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 5?
What is the z-score corresponding to x = 19 for a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 24 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 5?
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What is the z-score corresponding to x = 37 for a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 24 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 5?
What is the z-score corresponding to x = 37 for a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 24 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 5?
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What is the final exam score for Robert if the mean score is 𝜇 = 148 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 17 with a z-score of 1.24?
What is the final exam score for Robert if the mean score is 𝜇 = 148 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 17 with a z-score of 1.24?
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What is the final exam score for Juan if the mean score is 𝜇 = 148 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 17 with a z-score of 1.64?
What is the final exam score for Juan if the mean score is 𝜇 = 148 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 17 with a z-score of 1.64?
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What is the final exam score for Haley if the mean score is 𝜇 = 148 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 17 with a z-score of -1.82?
What is the final exam score for Haley if the mean score is 𝜇 = 148 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 17 with a z-score of -1.82?
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What is the final exam score for Joel if the mean score is 𝜇 = 148?
What is the final exam score for Joel if the mean score is 𝜇 = 148?
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What is the final exam score for Jan if the mean score is 𝜇 = 148 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 17?
What is the final exam score for Jan if the mean score is 𝜇 = 148 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 17?
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What is the final exam score for Linda if the mean score is 𝜇 = 148 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 17?
What is the final exam score for Linda if the mean score is 𝜇 = 148 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 17?
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Convert the x interval x < 30 to a z interval for a fawn weight distribution with mean 𝜇 = 29.0 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 3.4.
Convert the x interval x < 30 to a z interval for a fawn weight distribution with mean 𝜇 = 29.0 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 3.4.
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Convert the x interval 19 < x to a z interval for a fawn weight distribution with mean 𝜇 = 29.0 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 3.4.
Convert the x interval 19 < x to a z interval for a fawn weight distribution with mean 𝜇 = 29.0 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 3.4.
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Convert the x interval 32 < x < 35 to a z interval for a fawn weight distribution with mean 𝜇 = 29.0 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 3.4.
Convert the x interval 32 < x < 35 to a z interval for a fawn weight distribution with mean 𝜇 = 29.0 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 3.4.
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If a fawn weighs 14 kilograms, would you say it is an unusually small animal?
If a fawn weighs 14 kilograms, would you say it is an unusually small animal?
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If a fawn is unusually large, what kind of z value would you expect?
If a fawn is unusually large, what kind of z value would you expect?
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What is the probability of selecting a value greater than 26 from a normal distribution with mean 26 and standard deviation 7?
What is the probability of selecting a value greater than 26 from a normal distribution with mean 26 and standard deviation 7?
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If 90% of the area under the standard normal curve lies to the right of z, then z is positive.
If 90% of the area under the standard normal curve lies to the right of z, then z is positive.
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If 25% of the area under the standard normal curve lies to the left of z, then z is positive.
If 25% of the area under the standard normal curve lies to the left of z, then z is positive.
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For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 8 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 2, what is P(7 ≤ x ≤ 10)?
For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 8 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 2, what is P(7 ≤ x ≤ 10)?
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For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 16.0 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 4.5, what is P(10 ≤ x ≤ 26)?
For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 16.0 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 4.5, what is P(10 ≤ x ≤ 26)?
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For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 40 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 15, what is P(50 ≤ x ≤ 70)?
For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 40 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 15, what is P(50 ≤ x ≤ 70)?
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For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 5.1 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 1.7, what is P(7 ≤ x ≤ 9)?
For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 5.1 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 1.7, what is P(7 ≤ x ≤ 9)?
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For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 28 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 4.2, what is P(x ≥ 30)?
For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 28 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 4.2, what is P(x ≥ 30)?
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For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 104 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 11, what is P(x ≥ 120)?
For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 104 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 11, what is P(x ≥ 120)?
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For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 100 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 19, what is P(x ≥ 90)?
For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 100 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 19, what is P(x ≥ 90)?
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For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 2.1 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 0.33, what is P(x ≥ 2)?
For a normal distribution with mean 𝜇 = 2.1 and standard deviation 𝜎 = 0.33, what is P(x ≥ 2)?
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Find z such that 70% of the standard normal curve lies to the left of z.
Find z such that 70% of the standard normal curve lies to the left of z.
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Study Notes
Probability Distributions
- A valid probability distribution requires that the sum of probabilities equals 1.
- Example valid distribution: P(x) = {0.20, 0.61, 0.19} sums to 1.
- Example invalid distribution: P(x) = {0.20, 0.61, 0.29} sums to 1.10.
Expected Value and Standard Deviation
- The expected value is not necessarily one of the possible values in the distribution and can be a different value.
- Example of expected value calculation: For P(x) = {0.25, 0.70, 0.05}, expected value = 0.8, standard deviation is approximately 0.5099.
Age and Income Distributions of Super Shoppers
- Age distribution: 10% (18-28), 41% (29-39), 25% (40-50), 9% (51-61), 15% (62+); expected age = 42.58 years.
- Income distribution: 20% (5-15k), 15% (15-25k), 20% (25-35k), 16% (35-45k), 19% (45-55k), 10% (55k+); expected income = $32.9k.
Historical Context of Nurses' Age Distribution
- In 1851, 25,466 nurses in Great Britain were aged as follows: 5.7% (20-29), 9.1% (30-39), etc.
- Probability of a nurse being 60+ years was calculated at 36.6%.
- Expected age of nurses = 53.99 years, with a standard deviation of 13.65 years.
Parole Repeat Offenders
- Probability of one or more offenders among five parolees was calculated at 78%.
- Expected number of repeat offenders = 1.423; standard deviation = 1.1.
Continuous vs Discrete Variables
- Discrete variables count distinct outcomes (e.g., number of traffic fatalities).
- Continuous variables measure quantities (e.g., distance a golf ball travels).
Binomial Experiments
- Binomial experiments measure the number of successes over n trials, with each trial having only two outcomes.
- Trials are independent, and the probability of success remains constant across trials.
Sampling Without Replacement
- Sampling without replacement can affect the independence of trials; a hypergeometric model is more suitable when the population size is small.
Life Insurance Expected Costs
- For Jim, the total expected cost over 5 years was calculated at $4,234, requiring a premium over that to ensure profit.
- Sara's total expected cost was $2,184.
Probability of Hurricane or Tsunami Events
- Probability modeling is employed in assessing disaster risks, considering historical data and environmental factors.
Conclusion on Expectations and Standard Deviations
- The expected value gives the average outcome for a probability distribution, while standard deviation measures variability.### Tsunamis and Earthquakes
- Approximately 30% of recorded tsunamis reach a height of nine meters or more.
- Statistical profile of tsunamis in Hawaii can be inferred from recent Pacific Rim earthquakes.
- For 6 randomly selected earthquakes:
- Probability of no tsunamis reaching nine meters: 0.118
- Probability of at least one tsunami of nine meters or higher: 0.882
- Expected number of tsunamis nine meters or higher: 1.8
- Standard deviation of the probability distribution: 1.122
Illiteracy in the U.S.
- About 20% of the U.S. population is reported to be illiterate.
- For a sample of 8 randomly selected individuals:
- Mean number of illiterate individuals: 1.6
- Standard deviation: 1.131
- Expected number of illiterate individuals: 1.6
Parolee Recidivism
- Roughly 50% of all prison parolees are repeat offenders.
- For a group of 4 parolees:
- Probability of 0 successes (not reoffending): 0.0623
- Probability for 1, 2, 3 successes: 0.25, 0.375, 0.25, respectively
- Expected number of parolees not reoffending: 2
- Standard deviation: 1
Binomial Distributions
- A binomial distribution of 200 trials shows an expected value of 80 and standard deviation of 6.9.
- More than 120 successes is unusual (above 2.5 SD).
- Fewer than 40 successes is also unusual (below 2.5 SD).
- 70 to 90 successes is typical (within 2.5 SD).
Symmetry in Binomial Distributions
- A binomial distribution is symmetric when p = 0.50.
- The expected value for p = 0.50 in 10 trials: 5
- Small p leads to a right-skewed distribution; large p leads to a left-skew.
Days with Surf in Hawaii
- January surf conditions in Hawaii: 60% of days have at least 6 feet of surf.
- For 5 randomly chosen days:
- Probability of 3 or more days with surf: 0.683
- Probability of fewer than 2 days with surf: 0.087
- Standard deviation: 1.095 days
- High confidence that at least one day will have surf at least 6 feet.
Normal Distribution Properties
- Percentages of areas under the normal curve:
- 50% lies to the left of the mean.
- 68% lies within one standard deviation.
- 99.7% lies within three standard deviations.
Measurement Comparisons
- Standard scores measure the distance of a value from the mean in terms of standard deviations.
- Raw scores below mean result in negative standard scores, while those above result in positive scores.
Normal Distribution of RBC Count
- Female RBC count follows a normal distribution: mean = 4.3 million, standard deviation = 0.7 million.
- Understanding z-scores helps in comparing RBC counts to the healthy population.
Empirical Rule
- About 68% of a normally distributed data set falls within one standard deviation from the mean.
- About 95% falls within two standard deviations; nearly all (99.7%) falls within three standard deviations.### Z Interval Conversions
- For the interval 4.5 < x, the converted z interval is 0.29 < z.
- For the interval x < 4.2, the converted z interval is z < -0.14.
- For the interval 4.0 < x < 5.5, the converted z interval is -0.43 < z < 1.71.
- For the z interval z < -1.44, the converted x interval is x < 3.3.
- For the z interval 1.28 < z, the converted x interval is 5.2 < x.
- For the z interval -2.25 < z < -1.00, the converted x interval is 2.7 < x < 3.6.
RBC Count Analysis
- An RBC count of 5.9 or higher is not considered unusually high; a z score of 2.29 indicates normality.
Tree-Ring Dating at Burnt Mesa Pueblo
- Two archaeological sites produced tree-ring dates with distinct means and standard deviations.
- Site 1: Mean date (μ1) = year 1294, Standard deviation (σ1) = 30 years.
- Site 2: Mean date (μ2) = year 1149, Standard deviation (σ2) = 43 years.
- Object from Site 1 dated x1 = year 1175; calculated z1 = -3.97.
- Object from Site 2 dated x2 = year 1200; calculated z2 = 1.19.
- x1 (Site 1) is deemed more unusual due to its further z value from zero.
Normal Distribution Probability Insights
- In a normal distribution where the mean is 26 and standard deviation is 7, the probability of selecting a value greater than 26 is 0.5.
- If 90% of the area under the normal curve lies to the right of z, then z is negative.
- If 25% of the area lies to the left of z, then z is also negative.
Probability Calculations for Various Normal Distributions
- P(7 ≤ x ≤ 10) given μ = 8 and σ = 2 is 0.5328.
- P(10 ≤ x ≤ 26) given μ = 16.0 and σ = 4.5 is 0.895.
- P(50 ≤ x ≤ 70) given μ = 40 and σ = 15 is 0.2286.
- P(7 ≤ x ≤ 9) given μ = 5.1 and σ = 1.7 is 0.1204.
- P(x ≥ 30) given μ = 28 and σ = 4.2 is 0.3156.
- P(x ≥ 120) given μ = 104 and σ = 11 is 0.0735.
- P(x ≥ 90) given μ = 100 and σ = 19 is 0.7019.
- P(x ≥ 2) given μ = 2.1 and σ = 0.33 is 0.6179.
Finding z Values
- The z value such that 70% of the standard normal curve lies to the left is z = 0.52.
Studying That Suits You
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Test your understanding of probability distributions with these flashcards covering Chapters 6 to 8 of your statistics course. Determine the validity of given distributions and explore expected values for random variables. Perfect for final exam preparation!