Statistics: Models and Distributions
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Questions and Answers

Models are a simplified representation of a ______, but not an exact replica.

system

Most useful types of models take ______ form.

numerical

The shape of a normal distribution is often referred to as a ______ curve.

bell

In a normal distribution, data is centered symmetrically around the ______.

<p>mean</p> Signup and view all the answers

Empirically observed distributions are based on actual ______.

<p>observations</p> Signup and view all the answers

The area under the curve of a probability density function will always add up to ______.

<p>1</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a uniform distribution, the probability is uniformly spread across all possible ______.

<p>outcomes</p> Signup and view all the answers

Discrete variables have a fixed number of possible ______ for the observations.

<p>outcomes</p> Signup and view all the answers

Changing the ______ moves the distribution along the x axis.

<p>mean</p> Signup and view all the answers

Continuous variables have outcomes that can differ by arbitrarily small ______.

<p>amounts</p> Signup and view all the answers

Samples are taken from a population to estimate the population ______.

<p>parameters</p> Signup and view all the answers

Theoretical distributions assume a generating 'process' that follows a particular ______.

<p>distribution</p> Signup and view all the answers

The median is the value for which half the data in the distribution fall ______ this value.

<p>above</p> Signup and view all the answers

Frequency distributions can be represented in a ______.

<p>histogram</p> Signup and view all the answers

Descriptive statistics are used to summarize ______.

<p>data</p> Signup and view all the answers

Inferential statistics allow for making inferences about ______ of interest.

<p>populations</p> Signup and view all the answers

The effect size is a standardized measure used to evaluate the strength of a difference between two ______.

<p>means</p> Signup and view all the answers

A larger difference between groups suggests that there is a greater likelihood of a difference in the ______.

<p>population</p> Signup and view all the answers

The precision of an estimate is indicated by the ______, which combines variability and sample size.

<p>standard error</p> Signup and view all the answers

To measure strong effects, one needs either a larger difference or ______ variability within the sample.

<p>less</p> Signup and view all the answers

Smaller standard errors indicate that one is more ______ about their estimates.

<p>certain</p> Signup and view all the answers

Confidence intervals generated using standard error allow for a degree of ______ concerning population parameters.

<p>confidence</p> Signup and view all the answers

For a well-estimated mean, it is helpful to have a large sample size or ______ variability in the data.

<p>small</p> Signup and view all the answers

Effect sizes can be categorized as small if they are less than or equal to ______.

<p>0.5</p> Signup and view all the answers

The T-test is sensitive to sample size while ______ isn't.

<p>Cohen's d</p> Signup and view all the answers

T-distribution has heavier ______ indicating the probability of particular t-values if the null hypothesis were true.

<p>tails</p> Signup and view all the answers

T-values closer to ______ are more probable if there are no group differences.

<p>zero</p> Signup and view all the answers

A ______ is the area under the curve for values more extreme than the measured t-value.

<p>p-value</p> Signup and view all the answers

The alpha level is the threshold below which p-values are considered ______ evidence against the null hypothesis.

<p>good-enough</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a two-tailed test, the sign of the test statistic is ______ and makes no assumptions about the direction of the effect.

<p>ignored</p> Signup and view all the answers

One should always mention some ______ measure along with the corresponding significance testing output.

<p>effect size</p> Signup and view all the answers

Computing a ______ based on the samples is one of the steps in hypothesis testing.

<p>t-value</p> Signup and view all the answers

A Type II error is failing to obtain a statistically significant effect even though the ______ is false.

<p>null hypothesis</p> Signup and view all the answers

The probability of missing a real effect in the population is represented by ______.

<p>beta (β)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The complement of beta (β) is known as statistical ______.

<p>power</p> Signup and view all the answers

Statistical power can be increased by increasing the magnitude of the effect, decreasing the ______ in the sample, and increasing the sample size.

<p>variability</p> Signup and view all the answers

A Type M error occurs when there is an error in estimating the ______ of an effect.

<p>magnitude</p> Signup and view all the answers

Type S error is defined as the failure to capture the correct ______ of an effect.

<p>sign</p> Signup and view all the answers

Increasing statistical power reduces the risk of Type II, Type M, and Type ______ errors.

<p>S</p> Signup and view all the answers

Small sample sizes should be avoided whenever possible as they increase the risk of Type II, Type M, and Type ______ errors.

<p>S</p> Signup and view all the answers

The data should be roughly normally distributed for the ______ test assumptions.

<p>t</p> Signup and view all the answers

The variance should be roughly equivalent for the groups being compared in the ______ assumption.

<p>homoscedasticity</p> Signup and view all the answers

A dependence is any form of connection between ______ points.

<p>data</p> Signup and view all the answers

For an independent t-test, every data point should come from a different ______.

<p>participant</p> Signup and view all the answers

Subtracting the mean from each data point is known as ______.

<p>centering</p> Signup and view all the answers

Standardizing expresses each value in a distribution in terms of how many standard ______ it is away from the mean.

<p>deviations</p> Signup and view all the answers

Violations of independence can lead to inflation of type ______ error rate.

<p>I</p> Signup and view all the answers

A z-score indicates how far away a data point is from the mean in ______ units.

<p>standard deviation</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Normal Distribution

A theoretical distribution characterized by a bell-shaped curve, often used to represent continuous data that is symmetrical around the mean.

Mean

A measure that indicates where the center of a distribution of data lies. It represents the average value of a dataset.

Standard Deviation

A measure of how spread out data is around the mean.

Probability Density

The area under the curve of the normal distribution that represents the probability of a given value occurring.

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Sample

A set of observations taken from a larger population. Used to estimate population parameters.

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Population

The entire group of possible observations related to a particular topic.

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Descriptive Statistics

Statistics used to summarize and describe the characteristics of a dataset.

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Inferential Statistics

Statistics used to make inferences about a population based on a sample.

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Model

A simplified representation of a system, focusing on key aspects while omitting unnecessary details.

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Distribution

A way to describe how often different values occur in a dataset.

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Empirical Distribution

A distribution based on collected data, showing the actual frequencies of each outcome.

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Theoretical Distribution

A distribution based on theoretical assumptions and probabilities, depicting the expected frequency of outcomes.

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Discrete Variable

A variable that can only take a fixed number of values.

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Continuous Variable

A variable that can take any value within a given range.

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Type I Error

A type I error occurs when you reject the null hypothesis, even though it is actually true. In other words, you conclude there is an effect, but in reality, there isn't.

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Alpha (α)

The probability of making a type I error in a statistical test. It's the risk of rejecting a true null hypothesis. Often denoted by the Greek letter alpha (α).

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Type II Error

A type II error occurs when you fail to reject the null hypothesis, even though it is false. In other words, you miss an effect that really exists.

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Beta (β)

The probability of making a type II error in a statistical test. It's the risk of accepting a false null hypothesis. Often denoted by the Greek letter beta (β).

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Statistical Power

Power is the probability of detecting a true effect in your statistical test. It is the complement of beta (1 - β).

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Type M Error

An error in estimating the magnitude of an effect, where the sample suggests a much larger effect than is actually present in the population.

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Type S Error

An error where the direction of an effect in the sample contradicts the direction of the actual effect in the population.

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Effect Magnitude

A measure of the size or strength of an effect. A larger effect size makes it easier to detect a statistically significant result.

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T-test

A statistical test that compares the means of two groups. It is sensitive to sample size but does not provide information about the magnitude of the effect.

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Cohen's d

A measure of effect size that indicates the standardized difference between two means. It is independent of sample size and provides a better understanding of the effect's magnitude.

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P-value

The probability of obtaining a particular t-value if the null hypothesis is true.

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Test statistic

A statistical concept used to assess the strength of an effect. It considers the effect size, sample size, and variability.

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Two-tailed test

A statistical test that ignores the direction of the effect.

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Alpha level

A threshold used in hypothesis testing to determine if the obtained P-value is statistically significant. Commonly set at 0.05, indicating that only results below this threshold are considered strong evidence against the null hypothesis.

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Null hypothesis

A statement that assumes no difference or relationship between groups or variables being tested.

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Alternative hypothesis

A statement that posits a difference or relationship between groups or variables being tested.

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T-test Assumptions

Assumptions regarding the data distribution and relationships between observations, essential for the validity of the t-test.

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Normality Assumption

The data should roughly follow a bell-shaped curve, with the mean being the most frequent value.

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Homoscedasticity Assumption

Variances (spread) of the groups being compared should be similar.

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Independence Assumption

Data points should be independent, meaning no connection between them.

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Linear Transformation

A transformation that shifts data points but doesn't change the relationships between them. Examples: adding a constant, multiplying by a constant.

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Centering

A linear transformation that expresses each data point relative to the mean, showcasing its distance.

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Standardizing (Z-score)

A linear transformation expressing each data point as its distance from the mean, in standard deviation units.

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Z-score

Represents how many standard deviations a data point is away from the mean. Helps compare different variables.

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Effect Size

A standardized effect size measure that captures the strength of a difference between two means. It's calculated by dividing the difference between the means by a measure of variability in the sample to standardize the effect size across different studies.

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Lower Variability (Smaller Standard Deviation)

The smaller the standard deviation, the more precise the measure of variability. This means that the data points are clustered more closely together, and the sample mean is a more accurate representation of the true population mean.

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Standard Error

A measure used to estimate the precision of a statistical parameter, like the mean. It's calculated by dividing the standard deviation by the square root of the sample size.

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Confidence Interval

A measure that allows you to quantify the uncertainty of a statistical estimate. It represents the range of values within which the true population parameter is likely to fall.

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Larger Difference (Greater Certainty)

The bigger the difference between groups, the more likely it is that a true difference exists in the population. A large difference makes it easier to detect a statistically significant result.

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Larger Sample Size

Large samples allow you to get more accurate estimates of population parameters. The larger the sample, the closer the sample mean is likely to be to the true population mean.

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Evaluation of Effect Sizes

A term often used in statistical analysis. It's not a measure itself, but rather a general concept that encompasses the elements that contribute to the strength of a statistical effect, including the size of the difference, the variability in the data, and the sample size.

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Two-Sample t-test

A statistical test that compares two groups or conditions to determine if there is a statistically significant difference between them.

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Study Notes

Models

  • Models are simplified representations of a system, not exact replicas.
  • Models summarize complex systems using descriptive features.
  • Examples include maps, restaurant menus, and agendas.
  • Most useful models are numerical.

Means and Standard Deviations

  • Means and standard deviations summarize distributions.
  • They provide key details about distribution features.

Distributions

  • Distributions describe the position, arrangement, and frequency of occurrence within a space or time unit.

Empirically Observed Distributions

  • Based on actual observations.
  • All observations can be summed to create frequency distributions.
  • Frequency distributions can be depicted in histograms.
  • Each outcome is associated with a specific frequency value.

Theoretical Distributions

  • Based entirely on theoretical considerations, not data.
  • Represented by probabilities, not frequencies.
  • Based on infinite observations.
  • Examples include the discrete uniform distribution.

Uniform Distribution

  • Discrete version of a uniform distribution.
  • Probability is evenly spread across all possible outcomes.

Variables

  • Characteristics that change between individuals within a study.

Qualitative Research

  • Answers questions using descriptive words or phrases (e.g., marital status).
  • Alternatively, responses can be numerical (e.g., number of houses owned.
  • Discrete variables have a fixed number of possible outcomes.
  • Continuous variables have an infinite number of possible outcomes.

Theoretical Distributions: Tools and Assumptions

  • Tools for modelling empirically observed data.
  • Assumes a generating process that follows a particular distribution.
  • Discovering or estimating distribution properties allows for predictions of future observations.
  • Different distributions are useful for modelling different processes.

Normal Distribution (Gaussian Distribution)

  • A theoretical distribution depicted by a bell curve.
  • Continuous data, with mean indicating the central tendency.
  • Data are symmetrically centered around the mean where most data points are near the mean.
  • Parameters like mean and standard deviation describe the distribution's characteristics.
  • Changing the mean shifts the distribution on the x-axis.
  • Changing the standard deviation stretches or squeezes the distribution.
  • Mean and median are identical for normally distributed data.
  • The area under the curve sums to 1.
  • A given proportion (e.g., 68%) of the data falls within a particular standard deviation range.

Descriptive Statistics

  • Used to summarize data.

Inferential Statistics

  • Used to make inferences about populations based on samples.

Samples and Populations

  • Samples are representative observations from a larger population.
  • Populations are all possible observations of a particular phenomenon.
  • Samples are derived from populations to estimate population parameters.

Median

  • A summary statistic to divide a distribution.
  • Half of the data falls above and below the median.
  • Less sensitive to extreme values compared to the mean.

Range

  • A summary statistic indicating the difference between the minimum and maximum values.
  • Less informative as a measure of spread than other methods.

Standard Deviation

  • A measure of spread in a distribution.
  • Represents the average distance from the mean for data within a distribution.
  • Higher standard deviations indicate greater data spread.

Boxplots

  • Graphical representations summarizing data distribution.
  • Displays the median, quartiles, and potential outliers.

Hypothesis Testing

  • Evaluating whether differences in observations are likely due to chance.
  • Key to interpret results and draw conclusions (e.g., Null Hypothesis Significance Testing).

Effect Sizes

  • Quantify the magnitude of differences between groups or samples.
  • Taking into account group variability and sample size increases accuracy.
  • Factors like larger differences and low variability within the group increase the confidence that the measure is accurate.

Standard Error

Calculates the precision of a measured parameter.

  • Combines the variability of data and sample size.

Statistical Errors

  • Type I error (false positive): rejecting a true null hypothesis (falsely identifying an effect).
  • Type II error (false negative): failing to reject a false null hypothesis (missing a true effect).
  • Type M error: misestimating the magnitude of an effect.
  • Type S error: observing an effect with the incorrect direction (opposite of the expected effect).

Multiple Comparisons

  • Adjustments for testing many hypotheses, increasing the probability of type I error.

Statistical Methods for data analysis

  • Independent samples t-tests: comparing means from two independent samples.
  • Paired samples t-test: comparing means from two related samples (e.g., before and after).
  • One-sample t-test: comparing a sample mean to a known reference.

Standardizing Data

  • Z-scores (standardized scores): transform data to common units (e.g., standard deviations).
  • Removing the metric of the variable allows the comparison of different variables.

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Description

Explore the essential concepts of models and distributions in statistics. This quiz covers both empirical and theoretical distributions, means, and standard deviations. Understand how these concepts summarize complex data and their applications in real-world scenarios.

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