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Questions and Answers
According to the definition provided, how is the real exchange rate ($q_{D/F}$) calculated?
According to the definition provided, how is the real exchange rate ($q_{D/F}$) calculated?
$q_{D/F} = \frac{E_{D/F}P_F}{P_D}$ where $E_{D/F}$ is the nominal exchange rate, $P_F$ is the price of the foreign consumption basket, and $P_D$ is the price of the domestic consumption basket.
Explain how an increase in the money supply affects the real exchange rate in the long run. Why does this occur?
Explain how an increase in the money supply affects the real exchange rate in the long run. Why does this occur?
An increase in the money supply has no effect on the real exchange rate in the long run. This is because the increase in money supply leads to proportional increases in domestic prices and the nominal exchange rate, offsetting each other in the real exchange rate calculation.
List the two main factors that determine the real exchange rate.
List the two main factors that determine the real exchange rate.
The real exchange rate is determined by the relative supply of foreign and domestic goods in the world economy, and the relative demand for foreign and domestic goods in the world economy.
Explain how an increase in the relative supply of domestic goods affects the real exchange rate ($q_{D/F}$).
Explain how an increase in the relative supply of domestic goods affects the real exchange rate ($q_{D/F}$).
Explain the relationship between PPP and the real exchange rate. When is the real exchange rate equal to 1 according to PPP?
Explain the relationship between PPP and the real exchange rate. When is the real exchange rate equal to 1 according to PPP?
Why is the real exchange rate theory considered a generalization or extension of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)?
Why is the real exchange rate theory considered a generalization or extension of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)?
List three simplifying assumptions made by the PPP model that the real exchange rate theory relaxes.
List three simplifying assumptions made by the PPP model that the real exchange rate theory relaxes.
Explain how an increase in the relative demand for domestic goods impacts the real exchange rate ($q_{D/F}$).
Explain how an increase in the relative demand for domestic goods impacts the real exchange rate ($q_{D/F}$).
According to the information provided, what does it mean if the real exchange rate ($q_{D/F}$) is not equal to 1?
According to the information provided, what does it mean if the real exchange rate ($q_{D/F}$) is not equal to 1?
What is the effect of a one-time increase in the domestic money supply on the nominal exchange rate ($E_{D/F}$) according to the RER model presented?
What is the effect of a one-time increase in the domestic money supply on the nominal exchange rate ($E_{D/F}$) according to the RER model presented?
If a country experiences an increase in the growth rate of its money supply ($π^e_D$), how does this immediately impact the nominal interest rate ($R_D$)?
If a country experiences an increase in the growth rate of its money supply ($π^e_D$), how does this immediately impact the nominal interest rate ($R_D$)?
Following an increase in the money growth rate, what happens to the rate at which the domestic currency depreciates?
Following an increase in the money growth rate, what happens to the rate at which the domestic currency depreciates?
Explain real interest rate parity and how it relates to the expected depreciation of domestic currency.
Explain real interest rate parity and how it relates to the expected depreciation of domestic currency.
How does an increase in domestic output ($Y_D$) affect the domestic price level ($P_D$), assuming the money supply and interest rate are unchanged?
How does an increase in domestic output ($Y_D$) affect the domestic price level ($P_D$), assuming the money supply and interest rate are unchanged?
Explain the impact of long-run domestic output being determined solely by the endowment of factors in the domestic economy.
Explain the impact of long-run domestic output being determined solely by the endowment of factors in the domestic economy.
Explain the conditions for a country to be in equilibrium according to the Real Exchange Rate (RER) model.
Explain the conditions for a country to be in equilibrium according to the Real Exchange Rate (RER) model.
Differentiate between nominal and real values in the context of economics, particularly in reference to exchange rates.
Differentiate between nominal and real values in the context of economics, particularly in reference to exchange rates.
Describe how the relative demand curve is sloped and what it measures in the context of real exchange rate determination.
Describe how the relative demand curve is sloped and what it measures in the context of real exchange rate determination.
Which markets are included in the Real Exchange Rate (RER) Model?
Which markets are included in the Real Exchange Rate (RER) Model?
Consider a scenario where there's an improvement in the educational system that leads to increased productivity. What ambiguities arise in the overall effect on the nominal exchange rate?
Consider a scenario where there's an improvement in the educational system that leads to increased productivity. What ambiguities arise in the overall effect on the nominal exchange rate?
Flashcards
Real Exchange Rate
Real Exchange Rate
The price of a foreign consumption basket expressed in domestic currency, relative to the price of a domestic consumption basket.
E(D/F)
E(D/F)
The nominal exchange rate between domestic and foreign currency.
P(D) and P(F)
P(D) and P(F)
The prices of domestic and foreign consumption baskets, respectively.
Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)
Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)
PPP suggests the exchange rate should equalize the price of a basket of goods between countries.
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PPP Theory Assumption
PPP Theory Assumption
The theory that the relative price of domestic and foreign consumption baskets is constant and always equal to 1.
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Real Exchange Rate Theory
Real Exchange Rate Theory
Real exchange rate theory allows the relative price of consumption baskets to vary.
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Flexibility of RER
Flexibility of RER
Theory is more flexible and explains nominal exchange rate movements without relative price level changes.
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PPP Model Assumptions
PPP Model Assumptions
All goods are traded, consumption bundles are the same across countries and shipping is costless.
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Monetary Policy
Monetary Policy
Monetary changes do not affect the real exchange rate.
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Real Exchange Rate Factors
Real Exchange Rate Factors
The relative supply and demand for foreign and domestic goods in the world economy.
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Relative Demand Curve
Relative Demand Curve
The relative demand curve measures demand for domestic and foreign goods and slopes upwards.
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Relative Supply Curve
Relative Supply Curve
The supply of domestic goods in the long run at YD while the supply of foreign goods is fixed in the long run at YF.
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Increased Demand for Domestic Goods
Increased Demand for Domestic Goods
Shifts the RD curve to the right and appreciates the real exchange rate.
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Increase in Domestic Output
Increase in Domestic Output
Leads to a real depreciation of domestic currency and pushes the nominal exchange rate down.
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Real Interest Rate Parity
Real Interest Rate Parity
A no-arbitrage condition in terms of consumption baskets.
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Change in Money Growth
Change in Money Growth
Indicates an increase in the future expected inflation and translates into an increase in the higher interest rate today.
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Definition of Real Exchange Rate
- The real exchange rate (qD/F) is the price of a foreign consumption basket in terms of domestic currency, relative to the price of a domestic consumption basket.
- qD/F = (ED/F * PF) / PD, where ED/F is the nominal exchange rate, PD is the price of the domestic basket, and PF is the price of the foreign basket.
- The real exchange rate represents the rate at which one can exchange a foreign consumption basket for a domestic one.
- Owning one foreign consumption basket is equivalent to owning (ED/F * PF) / PD domestic consumption baskets.
- If the real exchange rate is 1, one domestic consumption basket can be exchanged for one foreign consumption basket.
Real Exchange Rate as a Generalization of PPP
- PPP (Purchasing Power Parity) suggests ED/F = PD / PF.
- Under PPP, the real exchange rate is always 1, meaning one domestic consumption basket is always worth one foreign consumption basket.
- The real exchange rate allows for any value, not just 1
- Any theory allowing the real exchange rate to move is an extension of PPP.
- PPP assumes the relative price of domestic and foreign consumption baskets is constant and equal to 1.
- Theory of real exchange rate relaxes both assumptions.
- Real exchange rate theory is more flexible and explains movements in nominal exchange rates without changes in relative price levels.
Economics Behind the Real Exchange Rate (RER) Concept
- RER theory captures economic forces ignored by PPP theory.
- PPP theory assumes: all goods are traded, consumption bundles are the same across countries, and shipping is costless.
- Relaxing these assumptions implies (ED/F * PF) / PD ≠ 1
- The real exchange rate theory relaxes these unrealistic assumptions.
- Nominal exchange rate is measured in currency units, while the real exchange rate is measured in units of consumption bundles.
Exchange Rate: Determination
- Purely monetary changes do not affect the real exchange rate.
- Identical increases in ED/F and PD leave qD/F unchanged.
- An increase in money supply in the long run translates to a proportional increase in all prices but has no effect on domestic long-run interest rate RD or domestic long-run output.
- The real exchange rate is independent of changes in monetary policy.
- The real exchange rate is determined by: the relative supply of foreign and domestic goods and the relative demand for foreign and domestic goods.
- "Relative" refers to comparing the supply/demand of domestic goods to that of foreign goods.
- The real exchange rate is the price determined by the supply and demand in the relevant market.
- qD/F is a relative price, and what matters are "relative supply" and "relative demand".
Graphical Analysis
- The determination of the real exchange rate is depicted graphically, with the relative supply/demand for domestic goods on the horizontal axis and the real exchange rate on the vertical axis.
- The RS curve denotes relative supply, and the RD curve denotes relative demand.
- The relative supply curve is vertical because long-run domestic output (YD) and foreign output (YF) are fixed
- YD/YF is independent of qD/F.
- The relative demand curve measures the relative demand for domestic and foreign goods and is upward sloping.
- An increase in qD/F represents a fall in the price of domestic goods relative to foreign goods, increasing the relative demand for domestic goods.
- The real exchange rate is affected by shocks to relative output (relative supply shocks) and shocks to relative demand (relative demand shocks).
Real Exchange Rate Model
- The long-run model incorporating the real exchange rate is based on three markets: money market, foreign exchange (FX) market, and output market.
- A given economy is in equilibrium only if all these markets clear.
- For the money market: MD/PD = L(YD, RD)
- For the output market: RS(qD/F) = RD(qD/F)
- For the FX market: ED/F = qD/F * (PD/PF)
- Uncovered interest rate parity is satisfied to prevent arbitrage opportunities in the FX market: RD = RF + (EeD/F - ED/F) / ED/F
Real Interest Rate Parity
- Real interest rate parity is a no-arbitrage condition in terms of consumption baskets and ensures one cannot make profits by investing in a specific consumption basket.
- rD = rF + (qeD/F - qD/F) / qD/F, where rD is the expected domestic real interest rate, rF is the expected foreign real interest rate, and (qeD/F - qD/F) / qD/F is the expected real depreciation of domestic currency.
Analysis of Monetary Shocks
- One-Time Increase in Money Supply:
- Leads to a proportional increase in the domestic price level (PD) and the exchange rate (ED/F).
- This outcome aligns with predictions from the PPP model.
- Increase in the Growth Rate of Money:
- The domestic central bank decides to increase the rate of money growth from π♭ to πο.
- Output market: qD/F remains unchanged.
- Money market: An increase in the RD increases domestic price level.
- Following the change, the growth rate of prices increases from π♭ to πξ.
- FX market: There is an upward jump in ED/F.
- Immediately after the announcement, RD, PD, and ED/F jump upwards. Afterwards, RD remains constant, while ED/F and PD grow at a higher rate than before.
Analysis of Shocks to Output Market
- A sudden increase in the relative demand for domestic goods shifts the RD curve to the right, causing the real exchange rate (qD/F) to depreciate.
- The domestic price level (PD) remains constant, and the nominal exchange rate (ED/F) decreases, leading to domestic currency appreciation.
- An increase in the supply of domestic output shifts the RS curve to the right, leading to real depreciation of domestic currency.
- Equilibrium adjustments in the output market push the nominal exchange rate down, while adjustments in the money market push it up.
- The overall effect on the nominal exchange rate depends on which effect is stronger.
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