Podcast
Questions and Answers
What is a marginal probability?
What is a marginal probability?
- Probability of a single event occurring only (correct)
- Probability of two events occurring together
- Probability of multiple outcomes from separate events
- Probability given that another event has occurred
Which type of probability represents the intersection of two events?
Which type of probability represents the intersection of two events?
- Marginal probability
- Independent probability
- Joint probability (correct)
- Conditional probability
How is conditional probability represented mathematically?
How is conditional probability represented mathematically?
- P(A ∩ B)
- P(A + B)
- P(A|B) (correct)
- P(A - B)
What type of table is typically used to find joint probabilities?
What type of table is typically used to find joint probabilities?
In the example given, what is the probability of being female and belonging to blood group O?
In the example given, what is the probability of being female and belonging to blood group O?
Which statement correctly defines joint probability?
Which statement correctly defines joint probability?
Why is marginal probability called 'marginal'?
Why is marginal probability called 'marginal'?
What does conditional probability require?
What does conditional probability require?
What is the range of probability values for any event?
What is the range of probability values for any event?
What does a probability of 0 signify?
What does a probability of 0 signify?
What is the sum of probabilities of all possible events in a sample space?
What is the sum of probabilities of all possible events in a sample space?
If the probability of event A occurring is 0.6, what is the probability of it not occurring?
If the probability of event A occurring is 0.6, what is the probability of it not occurring?
Which of the following is a property of mutually exclusive events?
Which of the following is a property of mutually exclusive events?
What is complementary probability?
What is complementary probability?
Which of the following defines
Which of the following defines
What does it mean for events to be collectively exhaustive?
What does it mean for events to be collectively exhaustive?
What is the value of $5!$?
What is the value of $5!$?
How many distinct arrangements can be made with 5 speakers?
How many distinct arrangements can be made with 5 speakers?
In selecting a captain and vice-captain from 5 speakers, how many different pairs can be formed?
In selecting a captain and vice-captain from 5 speakers, how many different pairs can be formed?
Which formula represents the number of permutations of selecting $r$ objects from $n$ objects?
Which formula represents the number of permutations of selecting $r$ objects from $n$ objects?
What distinguishes a permutation from a combination?
What distinguishes a permutation from a combination?
What is the formula for calculating combinations?
What is the formula for calculating combinations?
If a process has 3 outcomes for event 1 and 4 outcomes for event 2, what is the total number of outcomes?
If a process has 3 outcomes for event 1 and 4 outcomes for event 2, what is the total number of outcomes?
How many ways can you choose 2 objects from a set of 5 when the order does not matter?
How many ways can you choose 2 objects from a set of 5 when the order does not matter?
What is the probability of selecting a female from the population?
What is the probability of selecting a female from the population?
What is the probability that an individual has blood group AB?
What is the probability that an individual has blood group AB?
If events A (Female) and B (Blood group AB) are not mutually exclusive, what is the formula used to find the probability of either event occurring?
If events A (Female) and B (Blood group AB) are not mutually exclusive, what is the formula used to find the probability of either event occurring?
What would the probability be if events A (Blood group O) and B (Blood group AB) are mutually exclusive?
What would the probability be if events A (Blood group O) and B (Blood group AB) are mutually exclusive?
If the joint probability of events A and B is desired for dependent events, which rule should be applied?
If the joint probability of events A and B is desired for dependent events, which rule should be applied?
What is the correct interpretation of mutually exclusive events?
What is the correct interpretation of mutually exclusive events?
What is the intersection probability for events A (Female) and B (Blood group AB)?
What is the intersection probability for events A (Female) and B (Blood group AB)?
Which of the following statements is TRUE regarding the probability of selecting a person with blood group AB or a female?
Which of the following statements is TRUE regarding the probability of selecting a person with blood group AB or a female?
How many ways can a basketball team of 5 players be chosen from 9 players?
How many ways can a basketball team of 5 players be chosen from 9 players?
What defines a discrete random variable?
What defines a discrete random variable?
Which of the following is an example of a discrete probability distribution?
Which of the following is an example of a discrete probability distribution?
What is a characteristic of continuous probability distributions?
What is a characteristic of continuous probability distributions?
What is a probability distribution?
What is a probability distribution?
Which type of probability distribution is classified as continuous?
Which type of probability distribution is classified as continuous?
Which of the following represents a discrete random variable?
Which of the following represents a discrete random variable?
Which of the following statements is true regarding discrete probability distributions?
Which of the following statements is true regarding discrete probability distributions?
What is the characteristics of occurrences in a Poisson process?
What is the characteristics of occurrences in a Poisson process?
Which of the following examples is NOT typically modeled as a Poisson process?
Which of the following examples is NOT typically modeled as a Poisson process?
What does the symbol λ represent in the Poisson probability distribution formula?
What does the symbol λ represent in the Poisson probability distribution formula?
In the Poisson probability distribution, what is the probability of observing 0 occurrences when λ = 1.9?
In the Poisson probability distribution, what is the probability of observing 0 occurrences when λ = 1.9?
Which statement is true about the occurrences in a Poisson process?
Which statement is true about the occurrences in a Poisson process?
What type of distribution does the number of typographical errors in a dissertation follow?
What type of distribution does the number of typographical errors in a dissertation follow?
If λ of a Poisson process is increased, what happens to the probability of observing fewer events?
If λ of a Poisson process is increased, what happens to the probability of observing fewer events?
For the Poisson formula, what does 'e' approximately equal to?
For the Poisson formula, what does 'e' approximately equal to?
Flashcards
Probability Range
Probability Range
A probability value always lies between 0 and 1, inclusive (i.e. 0 ≤ 𝑃(𝐴) ≤ 1).
Impossible Event
Impossible Event
If it is impossible for an event to occur, then 𝑃(𝐴) = 0.
Certain Event
Certain Event
If it is certain that an event will occur, then 𝑃(𝐴) = 1.
Sum of Probabilities
Sum of Probabilities
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Complementary Probability
Complementary Probability
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Intersection of Events
Intersection of Events
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Union of Events
Union of Events
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Mutually Exclusive Events
Mutually Exclusive Events
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Marginal probability
Marginal probability
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Joint probability
Joint probability
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Conditional probability
Conditional probability
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Probability of the Union (Non-Mutually Exclusive Events)
Probability of the Union (Non-Mutually Exclusive Events)
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Conditional Probability (Dependent Events)
Conditional Probability (Dependent Events)
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Joint Probability (Dependent Events)
Joint Probability (Dependent Events)
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Probability of the Union (Mutually Exclusive Events)
Probability of the Union (Mutually Exclusive Events)
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Multiplication Rule (Dependent Events)
Multiplication Rule (Dependent Events)
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Conditional Probability (Independent Events)
Conditional Probability (Independent Events)
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Factorial (n!)
Factorial (n!)
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Permutation
Permutation
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Permutation Formula (nPr)
Permutation Formula (nPr)
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Combination
Combination
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Combination Formula (nCr)
Combination Formula (nCr)
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Combined Events Outcome Rule
Combined Events Outcome Rule
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Combined Events Rule Formula
Combined Events Rule Formula
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Permutation When All Objects Are Arranged
Permutation When All Objects Are Arranged
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Combinations Formula
Combinations Formula
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Probability Distribution
Probability Distribution
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Discrete Probability Distribution
Discrete Probability Distribution
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Continuous Probability Distribution
Continuous Probability Distribution
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Binomial Probability Distribution
Binomial Probability Distribution
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Poisson Probability Distribution
Poisson Probability Distribution
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Normal Probability Distribution
Normal Probability Distribution
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Poisson process
Poisson process
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Poisson probability
Poisson probability
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Lambda (λ) in Poisson
Lambda (λ) in Poisson
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Poisson probability distribution formula
Poisson probability distribution formula
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Range of x in Poisson
Range of x in Poisson
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Constant 'e' in Poisson
Constant 'e' in Poisson
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P(X = 0) in Poisson
P(X = 0) in Poisson
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Examples of Poisson process
Examples of Poisson process
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Study Notes
Quantitative Techniques (COQT111) Unit 3: Foundation of Statistical Inference
- This unit covers the foundations of statistical inference, focusing on probability
- The unit overview discusses estimating proportions of customers favoring a product via surveys, highlighting the inherent uncertainty in survey results and the importance of calculating likelihoods in management decisions
- Learning outcomes emphasize calculating probabilities using contingency tables, Poisson and Binomial formulas, including cumulative probabilities
1. Basic Probability Concepts
- Probability is the likelihood of an event occurring
- An experiment is a process that yields an outcome
- Outcomes are results of an experiment
- An event is a specific outcome or group of outcomes
- The sample space is the set of all possible outcomes
- Probability is expressed as a ratio (number of favorable outcomes/total possible outcomes)
- Probability values range from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain)
1.1 Types of Probability
- Subjective probability relies on personal feelings or insights
- Objective probability uses scientific methods like surveys to determine probabilities
1.2 Properties of Probability
- Probability values always lie between 0 and 1 (inclusive)
- If an event is impossible, its probability is 0
- If an event is certain, its probability is 1
- The sum of probabilities of all possible outcomes equals 1
- Complementary probability: The probability of an event not occurring equals 1 minus the probability of the event occurring
1.3 Probability Concepts
- Intersection: The intersection of events A and B (A ∩ B) includes elements in both A and B
- Union: The union of events A and B (A ∪ B) includes elements in either A, B, or both
- Mutually Exclusive: Events that cannot occur together
- Collectively Exhaustive: Events whose union is the entire sample space
2. Probability Distributions
- Probability distributions list all possible outcomes and their probabilities
- Discrete distributions have countable outcomes (e.g., binomial, Poisson)
- Continuous distributions have uncountable outcomes (e.g., normal)
2.1 Types of Probability Distributions
- Discrete distributions: Binomial, Poisson
- Continuous distribution: Normal
2.2 Discrete Probability Distributions
- Examples: number of enrolled students; faulty machines
- Each outcome in a discrete distribution has a non-zero probability
2.3 Binomial Probability Distribution
- Conditions: n trials; two outcomes (success/failure); constant probability of success
2.4 Poisson Probability Distribution
- Conditions: fixed time/space/volume; independent events; constant average rate of events
3. Unit Summary
- Summarizes unit content, providing a comprehensive overview of probability concepts, probability distributions, and sampling methods
4. References
- Lists sources utilized for the unit information
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