Podcast
Questions and Answers
What is the primary focus of risk management in a project?
What is the primary focus of risk management in a project?
Which of the following is NOT considered a benefit of risk management?
Which of the following is NOT considered a benefit of risk management?
What is the purpose of analyzing the impact of risk?
What is the purpose of analyzing the impact of risk?
Which risk management approach focuses on mitigating impact?
Which risk management approach focuses on mitigating impact?
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What should be arranged to implement risk mitigation effectively?
What should be arranged to implement risk mitigation effectively?
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Which step in risk management involves sorting and prioritizing risks?
Which step in risk management involves sorting and prioritizing risks?
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The key principle of managing risk does NOT include which of the following?
The key principle of managing risk does NOT include which of the following?
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What is the desired outcome of risk mitigation strategies?
What is the desired outcome of risk mitigation strategies?
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What is the primary goal of risk management in project management?
What is the primary goal of risk management in project management?
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Who is primarily responsible for monitoring and managing risk in a project?
Who is primarily responsible for monitoring and managing risk in a project?
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What might be an unexpected impact on a project due to unforeseen incidents?
What might be an unexpected impact on a project due to unforeseen incidents?
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What phenomenon describes how small changes can lead to significant effects on a project?
What phenomenon describes how small changes can lead to significant effects on a project?
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What does effective risk management contribute to?
What does effective risk management contribute to?
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Which of the following is NOT an aspect of risk management?
Which of the following is NOT an aspect of risk management?
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What does the term 'collective responsibility' imply in the context of risk management?
What does the term 'collective responsibility' imply in the context of risk management?
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How can monitoring risks effectively impact a project?
How can monitoring risks effectively impact a project?
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What is one of the advantages of probabilistic methods in project management?
What is one of the advantages of probabilistic methods in project management?
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Which of the following is NOT a form of risk mitigation?
Which of the following is NOT a form of risk mitigation?
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What does risk evaluation primarily allow project managers to do?
What does risk evaluation primarily allow project managers to do?
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Why is risk management described as a team sport?
Why is risk management described as a team sport?
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What is one action that should be taken throughout the project to aid in risk management?
What is one action that should be taken throughout the project to aid in risk management?
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Which of the following options refers to a method for concluding risks?
Which of the following options refers to a method for concluding risks?
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What should be done with identified risks during a project?
What should be done with identified risks during a project?
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Which strategy involves bearing the consequences of a risk?
Which strategy involves bearing the consequences of a risk?
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What is the primary purpose of risk avoidance in project management?
What is the primary purpose of risk avoidance in project management?
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When is risk retention or acceptance typically used?
When is risk retention or acceptance typically used?
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Which risk mitigation strategy involves sharing the risk with others?
Which risk mitigation strategy involves sharing the risk with others?
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What characterizes the risk control/reduction strategy?
What characterizes the risk control/reduction strategy?
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What is the role of contingency in risk mitigation?
What is the role of contingency in risk mitigation?
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In which situation is risk deflection most applicable?
In which situation is risk deflection most applicable?
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Which risk treatment is typically a conscious decision made by the project entity?
Which risk treatment is typically a conscious decision made by the project entity?
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Which strategy should be used as a last resort option to manage project risk?
Which strategy should be used as a last resort option to manage project risk?
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What is the primary purpose of a risk register in project management?
What is the primary purpose of a risk register in project management?
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What common misconception do stakeholders have regarding documentation of risks?
What common misconception do stakeholders have regarding documentation of risks?
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How do facilitated workshops help in risk assessment?
How do facilitated workshops help in risk assessment?
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What aspect of risk management is critical according to the project team?
What aspect of risk management is critical according to the project team?
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Why might stakeholders be resistant to formal risk management processes?
Why might stakeholders be resistant to formal risk management processes?
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Which method is identified as a common approach for gathering input in risk management?
Which method is identified as a common approach for gathering input in risk management?
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What is the risk of not discussing risks regularly within a project?
What is the risk of not discussing risks regularly within a project?
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What simulation technique is mentioned in the context of risk management?
What simulation technique is mentioned in the context of risk management?
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What is a characteristic of contingency risk?
What is a characteristic of contingency risk?
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What does risk avoidance typically involve?
What does risk avoidance typically involve?
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Which of the following accurately describes risk retention?
Which of the following accurately describes risk retention?
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What is a critical aspect of risk control/reduction?
What is a critical aspect of risk control/reduction?
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Why might cost and schedule mitigation strategies be unreliable?
Why might cost and schedule mitigation strategies be unreliable?
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What is a possible outcome of a probabilistic evaluation related to risks?
What is a possible outcome of a probabilistic evaluation related to risks?
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What does effective contingency planning involve?
What does effective contingency planning involve?
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What scenario might necessitate using risk acceptance?
What scenario might necessitate using risk acceptance?
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Study Notes
Construction Contract and Risk Management
- This presentation covers construction contract and risk management.
- The material is part of a Project Management Institute (PMI) course.
- Copyright ©2024 Project Management Institute, Inc.
Avocet Island Project
- The presentation uses a hypothetical project, Avocet Island Project.
- The text highlights the importance of anticipating the unexpected and evaluating its impact on the project.
The Butterfly Effect
- Monitoring and managing risk is a collective responsibility within a project.
- Aim to ensure project success.
- Aim to reduce potential for loss within projects
Objectives
- Classify, prioritize, and mitigate risks.
- Introduce a risk management process.
- Review risk management tools and techniques.
Historical Context: Asipu People
- The presentation shows historical context in the Asipu people with focus on:
- Risky business ventures
- Marriage arrangements
- Suitable building sites.
The Four Revolutions
- Slides show the four revolutions (Steam, Electricity, Computer, Technology).
- Key characteristics of each revolution, including the technologies of each are detailed.
Innovations in Risk Management
- Formalization and standardization of risk management.
- Analysis to understand and categorize risks.
- Holistic risk management.
Risk Management Is the Process of ...
- Risk management is a continuous and cyclical process.
- Identifying risks
- Classifying risks
- Analyzing risks
- Prioritizing risk
- Mitigating risk
Key Principles
- Identify potential project risks.
- Analyze and determine impact of risk
- Reduce or offset proven risks
- Plan how to implement risk mitigation strategies
Risk Management Benefits
- Increased safety
- Increased productivity
- Increased quality
- Reduced time
- Reduced cost
Sorting Activity: Approaches to Risk
- A sorting activity is available for the user to interact
Approaches to Risk
- The slide outlines approaches to risk for Owners, Designers, and Contractors.
Real or Perceived Risk?
- Lists of potential factors considered as real or perceived risks:
- Availability of information
- Experience of project participants
- Understanding risk factors
- Knowledge of local conditions
- Stability of risk factors
- Reliability of assumptions
Types of Risk
- Strategic risk
- Program risk
- Subprogram risk
- Project risk
- Contractor risk
- The slide shows a hierarchy of risk, with risk types becoming narrower.
Causes of Risk
- The possible sources of risk within a project include:
- Project-related
- Competitiveness
- Contractual
- Financial
- Stakeholder-based
- Occupational
- Environmental
Identifying and Classifying Risk
- Stay objective.
- Introduce structured techniques for risk identification and classification.
- Enables risk tracking and mitigation.
Risk Assessment
- Time and/or cost impact
- Occurrence of risk
- Likelihood
- Probability.
Generating Risk Estimates
- Identify all potential risks
- Determine necessary mitigation methods
- Consider likelihood and frequency of risk occurrence.
Risk Prioritization
- Define the value of risk.
- Likelihood of risk occurrence
- Relative impact
- Availability of quantifiable evidence.
- Identify and address gaps in information.
Consider Risk Assessment
- The slides prompt consideration of whether an incident (Avo) is negligible or impactful, and the risks associated.
Risk Analysis
- Probability of impact.
- Probabilistic analysis models
- Identifying possible outcomes (best and worst case scenarios).
- Estimating cost and schedule contingency estimates.
Advantages of Probabilistic Methods
- Management of project costs, schedules, and risks.
- Improved confidence in decision-making
- Improved collaboration within project.
Risk Mitigation
- Risk avoidance (prevent the risk from occurring).
- Risk acceptance (accept/embrace a risk).
- Risk control (reduce likelihood/impact of a risk).
- Risk transfer (transfer a risk to another party).
- Contingency planning.
Risk Evaluation
- Evaluate risks, mitigation, and opportunities (threats and benefits).
- Determine which risks can be closed.
- Enable contingencies to be executed
- Allows for management of risk using resources and expertise
Risk Management Is a Team Sport
- Risk mitigation and awareness.
- Risk tracking and closing associated processes.
- Conducting risk workshops.
- Formal risk workshops help the team focus on risk management.
Risk Management Process Summarized
- Risk identification
- Risk mitigation
- Team member responsibilities.
Avocet Island Project: Risk Management Process
- Presents questions for project risk management:
- Which risk has the greatest impact?
- What ramifications might result from the risk?
- Which solutions might you consider?
- How will you evaluate your choices?
Capacity for Risk
- Amount and type of risk stakeholders can support.
- Access to financing.
- Projected project returns.
- Project type and expected outcomes are key elements to building risk capacity.
Understanding Risk Appetite
- Strategy
- Incentivization and performance management
- Risk Management Approach
- Funding structure and budget — critical factors to understanding and accepting levels of risk.
Prioritize and Compare Criteria
- The criteria for prioritization and comparison of project elements:
- Budget
- Design
- Risk
- Schedule
- Owner expertise.
Project Delivery Methods and the Capacity for Risk
- Select project delivery method (Design-bid-build, Design-build, Construction manager at risk, Integrated project delivery).
- Articulate and consider project risks associated with the delivery method chosen.
Matching Activity: Project Delivery Methods
- Activity for assessing project delivery methods
Discussion: Project Delivery Methods and Risk Appetite
- Discuss the project delivery methods and their capacity for risk.
- Which method offers the greatest capacity for risk?
Project Delivery Model Selection and Risk Mitigation
- Increased profits and reduced costs.
- On-time project completion
- Reduction in loss to project due to mitigation strategies.
Risk Allocation and Mitigation
- Risk allocation strategies
- Risk mitigation strategies.
Risk Profile
- Action taken to manage risk.
- Unintended consequences.
- Unforeseen events.
Risk Mitigation Factors
- Type of risk.
- Effort.
- Contract terms.
- Delivery model.
Risk Mitigation Treatments
- Risk avoidance
- Risk retention/acceptance
- Risk control/reduction
- Risk transfer/deflection
- Contingency
Contingency Risk Scenarios
- Lack of risk clarity or definition.
- Cost and schedule mitigation cannot be reliably established.
- Accounting for known risks.
- Risks that the team is aware of, but cannot identify.
Matching Activity: Risk Mitigation Treatments
- Matching activity for different risk mitigation treatments.
Risk Management Tools and Techniques
- Tools for risk management include:
- Documentation reviews and experience interviews
- Risk registers
- Brainstorming and facilitation workshops
- Monte Carlo simulations
- The Delphi technique
Benefits of Standardized Techniques and Tools
- Benefit of standardizing in risk management:
- Checklist of potential risks
- Standardized risk terminology
- Risk identification and assessment processes
- Progress monitoring
- Project alignment
- Improved communication
- Risk evaluation and reconciliation
- Training
- Benchmarking
- Capturing lessons learned
Documentation and Experience Interviews
- Documentation helps in identifying risks (contracts, design documents, project plans, risk checklists).
- Project management information systems (PMIS)
- Experience-based interviews.
Risk Matrices
- "Big picture" visualization of problems and opportunities in risk management.
Risk Registers
- Description and cause of risk
- Likelihood of occurrence
- Relative impact
- Mitigation actions
- Responsible parties
- Status of risks
Integrated Project Risk Assessment (IPRA) Tool
- IPRA tool to evaluate risks in a project.
Consider Risk Registers
- Stakeholders' differing viewpoints on recording and managing risks associated with a project event (Avo incident)
Brainstorming
- Bringing together relevant parties
- Creating a risk-free environment.
Facilitated Workshops
- Common approach to gathering input.
- Reduce biases and provide facilitated guidance.
Monte Carlo Simulations
- Continuous distribution (Normal, Uniform, Triangular)
- Discrete distribution methods
- Probability of risk events and their outcomes.
The Delphi Technique
- Questioning technique to get a consensus estimate on the duration or other aspects of a project—how long it will take, how confident are you?
The Delphi Technique in Action
- Example of how the Delphi techniques work on a graph—maximum, expected, and minimum costs with various scenarios.
Tools and Techniques: Summary
- Effective communication.
- Regular risk reviews.
- Sound business planning.
- Pre-project planning and alignment.
- Solid project execution — critical aspects of well-executed risk management.
Consider Tools and Techniques
- The Delphi technique is suggested for risk assessment and outcome prediction, but this must be considered against the benefits and costs of the extra effort.
Adopting Risk Management
- Key aspects in adopting risk management:
- Minimizing project risks
- Increasing predictability of project estimations
- Preventing project disasters
Embedding a Risk-Aware Culture
- Breaches and near misses (incidents).
- Communication effectiveness
- Assessing lessons learned and necessary remedial actions
Implementation Challenges
- Lack of process knowledge
- Changes to project culture
- Lack of policies or procedures
- Lack of transparency
- Lack of resources (people, equipment, finances)
Recommendations for Successful Adoption
- Developing risk management process.
- Implementing a governance structure
- Implementing a process to categorize and assign ownership of risk levels (risk management workflow).
- Documenting all risks.
- Conducting regular risk reviews
Avocet Island Project: Risk Mitigation Treatments
- Questions for risk mitigation/treatment and treatment selection strategy:
- Which risk mitigation strategy applies?
- Which risk assessment tools and techniques can support this choice?
Questions
- Presentation concluded with a Questions section, as expected.
Thank You
- Presentation concluded with a thank you slide.
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