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Probability Theory MA225 Lecture 05
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Probability Theory MA225 Lecture 05

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Questions and Answers

What defines a random variable?

  • A fixed outcome that is predictable.
  • The average of results over multiple trials.
  • A function that relates a sample space to real numbers. (correct)
  • A measure of a single outcome in an experiment.
  • In the example of tossing a fair coin multiple times, what does the random variable X represent?

  • The sequence of tosses.
  • The number of heads obtained in the tosses. (correct)
  • The total number of tosses.
  • The probability of getting a head in each toss.
  • What is the correct definition of a cumulative distribution function (CDF) for a random variable X?

  • A function describing the likelihood of a single outcome.
  • A function that provides the probability that X is less than or equal to a certain value. (correct)
  • A function indicating the average value of outcomes.
  • A function that gives the absolute probability of all outcomes.
  • For the cumulative distribution function FX(x), what is the value when x is less than 0?

    <p>0</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What property ensures that the cumulative distribution function (CDF) has only jump discontinuities?

    <p>It is non-decreasing.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which limit property must hold true for a CDF as x approaches infinity?

    <p>lim FX(x) = 1</p> Signup and view all the answers

    If FX(x) = 1 - e^{-λx} for x ≥ 0, what type of function is FX(x) being described?

    <p>Continuous CDF</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does the limit lim FX(x - h) = FX(x) - P(X = x) represent?

    <p>The probability mass at x.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How is a function F confirmed to be a cumulative distribution function based on properties (1)-(3)?

    <p>It must be right continuous and non-decreasing.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What impact does a CDF have at points of discontinuity?

    <p>It may have a positive probability mass.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    For a function to remain a CDF while demonstrating non-decreasing behavior, what must its slope not do?

    <p>Become negative.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    When evaluating the limit of a CDF as x approaches negative infinity, what is expected?

    <p>It approaches 0.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Study Notes

    Random Variables

    • A random variable is defined as a function X : S → R.
    • Example of X: Tossing a fair coin n times, where X counts the number of heads.
    • Another example: Throwing a fair die twice, where X is the sum of the outcomes.
    • A reliability test of a battery can define X such that X1(ω) = ω and X2 = 1(2,∞) if focusing on battery life beyond 2 years.

    Probability Distributions

    • Distributions provide probabilities for specific outcomes.
    • Example probabilities for a scenario with n=2 are:
      • P(X = 0) = 1/4, P(X = 1) = 1/2, P(X = 2) = 1/4.
    • Another example outlines probabilities for outcomes from rolling a die multiple times, such as:
      • P(X = 2) = 1/36, P(X = 3) = 2/36, up to P(X = 12) = 1/36.

    Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)

    • The CDF of a random variable X is defined as FX(x) = P(X ≤ x), mapping R → [0, ∞).
    • CDF examples:
      • For a variable with defined ranges:
        • FX(x) = 0 if x < 0,
        • FX(x) = 1/4 if 0 ≤ x < 1,
        • FX(x) = 1 if x ≥ 2.
    • Another variable's CDF example includes probabilities calculated for ranges, culminating in FX(x) = 1 if x ≥ 12.

    Properties of Cumulative Distribution Function

    • The following properties characterize a CDF:
      • FX(·) is non-decreasing, exhibiting only jump discontinuities.
      • As x approaches infinity, the limit of FX(x) approaches 1; as x approaches negative infinity, it approaches 0.
      • CDFs are right-continuous: lim FX(x + h) = FX(x) for all x ∈ R.
      • A left-hand limit property: lim FX(x - h) = FX(x) - P(X = x) for all x ∈ R.

    Theorem on CDF

    • A function F meeting properties (1)-(3) qualifies as a CDF, reinforcing the requirements for valid cumulative distribution functions.

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    Description

    Explore the concept of random variables through practical examples in this lecture of Probability Theory (MA225). Learn how random variables can be defined through functions and illustrated with various scenarios like coin tosses and dice throws. This quiz will test your understanding of these foundational elements in probability.

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