(Quiz 1 ) Week 4 - Module 3 Probability
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Questions and Answers

What does a probability value of 0 signify?

  • Certain to happen
  • No chance of occurring (correct)
  • Equally likely to happen or not
  • Unlikely to happen
  • What defines two events as independent?

  • The occurrence of one event does not influence the other. (correct)
  • The events share a common outcome.
  • Both events cannot occur together.
  • The occurrence of one event impacts the other.
  • Mutually exclusive events can occur at the same time.

    False

    Dependent events have no effect on the probability of each other occurring.

    <p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the sample space in a probability experiment?

    <p>The collection of all possible outcomes.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In a tree diagram for three students asked if they like statistics, the outcomes can be 'Yes' and _____

    <p>No</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How is classical probability assessed?

    <p>By the ratio of the number of favorable outcomes to the total number of outcomes.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    The odds for an event can be expressed as __ to __.

    <p>successes, failures</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Match the following terms with their definitions:

    <p>Probability = The chance that a particular event will occur Experiment = A process that produces a single outcome Sample Space = Collection of all outcomes from an experiment Venn Diagram = Graphical representation of sample space and events</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following is an example of an event of interest?

    <p>The outcome of two students arriving to a tutorial on time.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Match the type of probability assessment with its definition:

    <p>Classical Probability = Ratio of outcomes to total outcomes Relative Frequency Probability = Event occurrences divided by total trials Probability as Odds = Comparison of likelihoods for and against an event</p> Signup and view all the answers

    If a company has 3 male and 7 female employees, what is the probability of selecting a female?

    <p>0.7</p> Signup and view all the answers

    A probability value can exceed 1.

    <p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

    The probability of Audrey passing is 0.4.

    <p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

    The universal set is represented by the symbol _____ and is defined as all numbers less than or equal to 10.

    <p>ℰ</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the probability that both Audrey and Sarah passed their test?

    <p>0.45</p> Signup and view all the answers

    The odds against the removal of import restrictions are expressed as :.

    <p>2, 3</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the combined probability that neither Audrey nor Sarah passed?

    <p>0.10</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Study Notes

    Probability Fundamentals

    • Probability measures the chance of a specific event occurring, ranging from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain).
    • A probability of 1 indicates absolute certainty, while 0 signifies no chance of occurrence.

    Experiments and Sample Spaces

    • An experiment produces outcomes that are not predictable in advance.
    • Sample Space is the collection of all possible outcomes from an experiment.
    • For example, surveying three students about liking statistics leads to outcomes: ‘No’ and ‘Yes’.

    Venn Diagrams

    • Venn diagrams visually express sample spaces and events.
    • The universal set (sample space) is represented as a rectangle, while events are enclosed within circles.
    • Example: A is odd numbers, B includes numbers greater than 5.

    Events of Interest

    • Events represent outcomes from experiments.
    • For instance, in an experiment involving students arriving on time, outcomes could include getting there early, on time, or late.

    Types of Events

    • Mutually Exclusive Events: Two events cannot occur simultaneously (e.g., selecting a black card and a red card is mutually exclusive).
    • Independent Events: The occurrence of one event does not affect the other (e.g., starting a business in different locations).
    • Dependent Events: The outcome of one event impacts the probability of another (e.g., selecting employees impacts the makeup of subsequent selections).

    Probability Assessment Methods

    • Classical Probability: Based on the ratio of successful outcomes to total possible outcomes when events are equally likely.
    • Relative Frequency Probability: Probability derived from historical data, defined as the ratio of the number of times an event occurs to the total trials.

    Probability as Odds

    • Probabilities can be expressed as odds, indicating likelihood for or against an event.
    • Example: In the tyre industry, a 60% probability translates to odds of 3:2 for removal of restrictions and 2:3 against.

    Example Calculation: Audrey and Sarah's Test

    • Independent events are identified based on probabilities:
      • P(Audrey passing) = 0.6, P(Sarah passing) = 0.75.
      • The probability of both passing: 0.6 x 0.75 = 0.45.
      • The probability of neither passing: 0.4 x 0.25 = 0.1.
      • The probability of only Audrey passing: 0.6 x 0.25 = 0.15.
      • The probability of only one passing: (0.6 x 0.25) + (0.4 x 0.75) = 0.45.

    Rules of Probability

    • Logical frameworks guide the calculation and interpretation of probability, ensuring consistency and accuracy.

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    Description

    Test your knowledge on the basics of probability, including essential concepts such as sample spaces and events. This quiz covers the fundamentals that form the foundation of probability theory. Ideal for students looking to solidify their understanding of this important mathematical topic.

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