Podcast
Questions and Answers
What is a potential issue when placing a market order based on an SPX entry price?
What is a potential issue when placing a market order based on an SPX entry price?
- Market orders are always more cost-effective than limit orders.
- Market orders guarantee the best possible entry price.
- Market orders can lead to instant execution at the current price.
- There could be inefficiencies due to market fluctuations. (correct)
What alternative method may improve option pricing predictions over Black Scholes?
What alternative method may improve option pricing predictions over Black Scholes?
- Using linear regression models exclusively.
- Utilizing basic technical analysis indicators.
- Implementing a more complex machine learning model like XGBoost. (correct)
- Relying solely on historical average prices.
Which of the following is a concern related to obtaining historical data from Yahoo Finance?
Which of the following is a concern related to obtaining historical data from Yahoo Finance?
- Yahoo Finance only provides data in text file formats.
- There is now a charge of approximately $500/year for data access. (correct)
- Yahoo Finance is completely shutting down its services.
- The data accuracy from Yahoo Finance has been questioned.
What is the primary goal of the proposed project described?
What is the primary goal of the proposed project described?
What is a suggested characteristic of the dataset suitable for a thesis combining ML and economics?
What is a suggested characteristic of the dataset suitable for a thesis combining ML and economics?
What is a possible step to enhance data retrieval skills for options trading?
What is a possible step to enhance data retrieval skills for options trading?
Which of the following activities is explicitly prohibited in the content marketing guidelines?
Which of the following activities is explicitly prohibited in the content marketing guidelines?
What will happen if a post is considered low quality in the content marketing context?
What will happen if a post is considered low quality in the content marketing context?
What should be included if someone posts their account profit/loss?
What should be included if someone posts their account profit/loss?
What is a potential risk mentioned regarding abusive posts in the content?
What is a potential risk mentioned regarding abusive posts in the content?
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Study Notes
Choosing an Entry Price for Options
- Consider waiting for SPX to meet your desired entry price before placing a market order on options.
- Be aware of potential inefficiencies when executing trades after the underlying signal is reached.
- Calculating option pricing based on the SPX entry price to set a limit order may yield better results.
Challenges with Option Pricing Models
- Black-Scholes model has proven inaccurate for your needs.
- Previous attempts using XGBoost ML for pricing prediction yielded disappointing accuracy compared to actual results.
- Explore alternative methods to implement entry for options derived from the underlying's signal.
Data Acquisition Challenges
- Yahoo Finance now charges approximately $500/year for historical data downloads, impacting continuity of data access.
- Need for free or lower-cost alternatives for acquiring historical data in a preferred CSV format.
- Consider learning skills to utilize APIs for data retrieval to enhance trading systems.
Interest in Machine Learning and Economics
- Exploring research opportunities that blend ML with economics for a bachelor’s thesis.
- Dataset available from Harvard Dataverse focuses on market growth projects and complexity rankings, with over 3500 entries.
- Project goal: Use market analysis and a Natural Language Processing algorithm to forecast growth projections and identify market opportunities.
Content Moderation Guidelines
- Posts of low quality may be removed and could lead to account bans.
- Prohibition of product/service promotions and affiliate marketing within the community.
- Emphasis on detailed, quality contributions regarding trading performance and question postings.
- Engaging in personal disputes or insults can lead to bans; community members should report abusive behavior.
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