One Sample Estimation

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Questions and Answers

The difference between an estimator's expected value and the true value of the parameter being estimated is called ______.

bias

Unbiased estimators guarantee that the sample mean ($\overline{x}$) will always be exactly equal to the population mean ($μ$).

False (B)

Which of the following statements best describes the relationship between confidence level and interval width?

  • Higher confidence levels lead to narrower intervals.
  • Lower confidence levels lead to wider intervals.
  • Higher confidence levels lead to wider intervals. (correct)
  • Confidence level and interval width are unrelated.

State the Central Limit Theorem in your own words.

<p>The distribution of sample means approaches a normal distribution as the sample size increases, regardless of the population's distribution.</p> Signup and view all the answers

When calculating the required sample size for estimating a population mean, which of the following factors does NOT affect the result?

<p>Population size (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What happens to the width of a confidence interval as the sample size increases, assuming all other factors remain constant?

<p>The width decreases. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

When is it appropriate to use the t-distribution instead of the z-distribution when constructing a confidence interval for a population mean?

<p>When the population standard deviation is unknown and the sample size is small (n &lt; 30). (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of confidence intervals for proportions, what condition must be met to justify using the normal approximation?

<p>Both $np$ and $n(1-p)$ must be greater than or equal to $10$. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain the difference between a 'prediction interval' and a 'confidence interval'.

<p>A confidence interval estimates a population parameter, while a prediction interval estimates a single future value.</p> Signup and view all the answers

A ______ is an interval that is likely to contain a specified proportion of the population.

<p>tolerance interval</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is the correct way to calculate the confidence interval for the standard deviation ($\sigma$) of a normal population?

<p>Take the square root of the confidence bounds for the variance ($\sigma^2$). (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In hypothesis testing, the primary goal of researchers is to:

<p>Reject, nullify, or disprove the null hypothesis. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A one-tailed hypothesis test is used exclusively when the alternative hypothesis states ''.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the significance level ($\alpha$) represent in hypothesis testing?

<p>The probability of committing a Type I error. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following reduces the probability of committing a Type II error?

<p>Increasing the sample size. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The probability of avoiding a Type II error is referred to as ______.

<p>statistical power</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following assumptions is essential for conducting a one-sample z-test?

<p>The data follow a normal probability distribution. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Describe the difference between a null and alternative hypotheses.

<p>Null hypothesis states that an absence of relationship, Alternative hypothesis states there is a relationship.</p> Signup and view all the answers

When should a one-sample t-test be used instead of a one-sample z-test?

<p>When the population standard deviation is unknown and the sample size is small. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which distribution is approximated when conducting One Sample z-test for Proportions?

<p>Normal Distribution (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the assumption when conducting Two Sample z-test?

<p>Two samples are independent (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How to test if data has equal variances?

<p>Levene's Test (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match is the following:

<p>Hypothesis = Assumption about population parameter One-Tailed Hypothesis Testing = Alternative hypothesis being stated as &lt; or &gt; Statistical Power = Probability of avoiding a Type II error Central Limit Theorem = Distribution of the sample mean is approximately normal, no matter what population the sample was drawn from</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does a point estimate represent in statistical inference?

<p>A single value used to estimate the population parameter. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following describes 'Inferential Statistics'?

<p>Uses data to make inferences and predictions about a population (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Estimation accuracy increases with large samples, but there is still no reason we should expect a point estimate from a given sample to be exactly equal to the population parameter it is supposed to estimate.

<p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

______ is an interval within which the value of a parameter of a population has a stated probability of occurring.

<p>Interval Estimate</p> Signup and view all the answers

Ideally, we prefer a _____ interval with a ______ degree of confidence.

<p>Shorter, higher (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Central Limit Theorem is only used if the population is normally distributed.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A ______ is likely to contain the value of an item sampled from a population at a future time.

<p>Prediction interval</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following distribution applies to Paired Sample t-test?

<p>The data are continuous (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The null hypothesis is the hypothesis that the researcher is trying to prove.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is another name for Type I error?

<p>False Positive (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the purpose of the homogeneity of variances test (e.g., Levene's test) in the context of a two-sample t-test?

<p>To determine whether the two samples have equal variances. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A paired sample t-test is appropriate when the two samples are independent of each other.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is the correct formula for computing Z test?

<p>z = (x ) / (/n) (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The claim that the students in his school are above average intelligence is also known as?

<p>The alternative hypothesis (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Inferential Statistics

Methods for making generalizations about a population from a sample.

Point Estimate

A single value estimate representing a population parameter.

Bias (in estimation)

The difference between an estimator's expected value and the true parameter value.

Unbiased Estimator

An estimator with zero bias.

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Interval Estimate

A range within which a population parameter is likely to fall with a certain probability.

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Standard Error

The standard deviation of the sampling distribution of a statistic.

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Margin of Error

The extent of interval on either side of x-bar.

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Central Limit Theorem

The distribution of sample means approaches a normal distribution as sample size increases.

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Prediction Interval

The interval likely to contain the value of a future sample.

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Tolerance Interval

An interval that contains a specified proportion of the population.

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Hypothesis

An assumption about a population parameter.

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Null Hypothesis (Ho)

The hypothesis of no effect or no difference.

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Alternative Hypothesis (Ha)

The hypothesis that contradicts the null hypothesis.

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One-Tailed Hypothesis Testing

A test where the alternative hypothesis specifies a direction (greater than or less than).

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Two-Tailed Hypothesis Testing

A test where the alternative hypothesis does not specify a direction (not equal to).

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Type I Error (False Positive or α)

Rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true.

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Type II Error (False Negative or β)

Failing to reject the null hypothesis when it is false.

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Statistical Power

The probability of correctly rejecting a false null hypothesis.

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One Sample z-test

A statistical test to compare a sample mean to a population mean when the population standard deviation is known or the sample size is large.

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One Sample t-test

A statistical test to compare a sample mean to a population mean when the population standard deviation is unknown and the sample size is small.

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One Sample z-test for Proportions

A statistical test to compare a sample proportion to a population proportion.

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Two Sample z-test

Compare means of two independent groups when population standard deviations are known.

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Two Sample t-test (Equal Variance)

Compare means of two independent groups when population standard deviations are unknown but assumed equal.

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Two Sample t-test (Unequal Variance)

Compare means of two independent groups when population standard deviations are unknown and assumed unequal.

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Test for Homogeneity of Variances

A test to determine if the variances of two or more populations are equal.

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Paired Sample t-test

Checks to see if paired samples are dependent.

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Two Sample z-test for Proportions

Test to observe if two populations follow a binomial distribution.

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Study Notes

One Sample Estimation

  • Inferential statistics involves making inferences or generalizations about a population based on samples.
  • A point estimate is a single value estimating a population parameter, like using the sample mean (𝑥ҧ) to estimate the population mean (μ).
  • Estimators are not expected to be perfectly accurate.
  • Bias refers to the difference between the estimator's expected value and the true parameter value.
  • An unbiased estimator has zero bias, examples include μ = xത and σ2 = s2.
  • Estimation accuracy typically increases with larger samples.
  • A point estimate from a given sample is unlikely to exactly match the population parameter.

Interval Estimate

  • An interval estimate is a range within which a population parameter is likely to occur with a stated probability.
  • Confidence intervals with σ known are calculated using the formula: xത − z α/2 (σ/√n) < μ < xത + z α/2 (σ/√n).
  • Where σ/√n is the Standard Error, and z α/2 (σ/√n) is the Margin of Error

Common Confidence Level and Z scores

  • For a 95% confidence interval, the z-score is 1.96.
  • For a 99% confidence interval, the z-score is 2.58.
  • A shorter interval with a high degree of confidence is preferable.

Confidence Intervals with σ unknown but n ≥ 30

  • Confidence intervals are calculated using: xത − z α/2 (s/√n) < μ < xത + z α/2 (s/√n).
  • As sample size increases, the distribution of frequencies approximates a normal distribution curve according to the Central Limit Theorem. The central Limit Theorem is applicable regardless of the population distribution.

Central Limit Theorem

  • If a large enough sample is drawn from a population, the distribution of the sample mean is approximately normal.

Sample Size Determination

  • To estimate μ with 100(1 − α)% confidence, the error should not exceed a specified amount e, the sample size is calculated as: n = (Zα/2 * σ / e)^2.
  • Always round fractional sample sizes up to the next whole number to maintain the desired confidence level.

Confidence Intervals with σ unknown but n ≥ 30

  • Confidence intervals are calculated using: xത − z α/2 (s/√n) < μ < xത + z α/2 (s/√n).

Confidence Intervals with σ unknown but n < 30

  • Confidence intervals are calculated using: xത − t α/2 (s/√n) < μ < xത + t α/2 (s/√n).
  • William Sealy Gosset, known as "Student," discovered the t-distribution and its use.

Confidence Intervals for Proportions with Large Sample Size

  • Confidence intervals are calculated using: pො − z α/2 √(pොqො/n) < μ < pො + z α/2 √(pොqො/n).
  • np and n(1-p) must both be greater than or equal to 10 to justify using the normal approximation.

Prediction Intervals

  • A prediction interval is likely to contain the value of an item sampled from a population at a future time.
  • Calculated as: xത − t α/2 * s * √(1 + 1/n) < μ < xത + t α/2 * s * √(1 + 1/n).
  • This method is sensitive to the assumption that the population is normal.

Tolerance Intervals

  • A tolerance interval is likely to contain a specified proportion of the population.
  • Calculated as: xത − k(n,α,γ)s < μ < xത + k(n,α,γ)s.

Confidence Intervals for the Variance of a Normal Population

  • Confidence intervals for the standard deviation σ are found by taking the square roots of the confidence bounds for the variance.

One Sample Hypothesis Testing

  • A hypothesis is an assumption about a population parameter.
  • Hypothesis testing involves a null hypothesis (Ho) and an alternative hypothesis (Ha).
  • Researchers aim to reject, nullify, or disprove the null hypothesis.

Types of Hypothesis Testing

  • One-tailed hypothesis testing involves an alternative hypothesis stated as < or >.
  • Two-tailed hypothesis testing is used when the alternative hypothesis is expressed as ≠.

Types of Error

  • Type I error (false positive/α) occurs when the null hypothesis is rejected when it is true.
  • The probability of committing a Type I error is the significance level.
  • Type II error (false negative/β) occurs when the null hypothesis is not rejected when it is false.
  • Statistical power is the probability of avoiding a Type II error.
  • Increasing sample size, increasing the significance level, and minimizing random errors can reduce the risk of a Type II error.

One Sample z-test

  • Assumptions include: continuous data, normal distribution, and known population standard deviation or large sample size.
  • Calculated as: 𝑧 = (𝑥ഥ − 𝜇) / (σ/√n) or 𝑧 = (𝑥ഥ − 𝜇) / (s/√n).

One Sample t-test

  • Assumptions include: continuous data, normal distribution, and unknown population standard deviation with a small sample size.
  • Calculated as: 𝑡 = (𝑥ഥ − 𝜇) / (s/√n).

One Sample z-test for Proportions

  • Assumptions include: population follows a binomial distribution, and both mean (np) and variance (n(1-p)) are greater than 10.
  • Calculated as: 𝑧 = (𝑝ො − 𝑝) / √(pq/n).

Two Sample Hypothesis Testing

Two Sample z-test

  • Assumptions include: continuous data, independent samples, normal distribution, and known population standard deviation or large sample size.
  • Calculated as: 𝑍 = (𝑥ҧ1 − 𝑥ҧ2 − (𝜇1 − 𝜇2)) / √(σ1^2/n1 + σ2^2/n2) or 𝑍 = (𝑥ҧ1 − 𝑥ҧ2 − (𝜇1 − 𝜇2)) / √(s1^2/n1 + s2^2/n2).

Two Sample t-test (Equal Variance)

  • Assumptions include: continuous data, independent samples, normal distribution, and unknown population standard deviation with a small sample size.
  • Calculated as: t = (xത1 − xത2 − (μ1 − μ2)) / (Sp * √(1/n1 + 1/n2)).

Two Sample t-test (Unequal Variance)

  • Assumptions include: continuous data, independent samples, normal distribution, and unknown population standard deviation with a small sample size.
  • Calculated as: t = (xത1 − xത2 − (μ1 − μ2)) / √(s1^2/n1 + s2^2/n2).

Test for Homogeneity of Variances

  • Ho: Data has equal variances, Ha: Data has unequal variances.
  • Levene’s Test is used if data is normally distributed, while Bartlett’s Test is used if data is not normally distributed.
  • Determines which type of t-test to use.

Paired Sample t-test

  • Assumptions include: continuous data, dependent samples, normal distribution, and unknown population standard deviation with a small sample size.
  • Calculated as: t = (Dഥ − μD) / (SD/√n).
  • Where Dഥ = (σ D) / n and SD = √(σ D^2 − (σ D)^2 / n ) / (n − 1).

Two Sample z-test for Proportions

  • Assumptions include: population follows a binomial distribution, and both mean (np) and variance (n(1-p)) are greater than 10.
  • Calculated as: Z = (pො1 − pො2 − (p1 − p2)) / √(pq (1/n1 + 1/n2)).
  • Where pത = (x1 + x2) / (n1 + n2), qത = 1 − pത, pො1 = x1 / n1, and pො2 = x2 / n2.

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