Multiple Linear Regression

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Questions and Answers

Based on the regression output, which interpretation of the intercept is most accurate?

  • The intercept is always a meaningful value that can be directly interpreted.
  • The intercept represents the predicted value of the response variable when all predictors are at their average values.
  • The intercept should always be excluded from the regression model.
  • The intercept represents the predicted value of the response variable when all predictors are zero. (correct)

In a multiple regression model predicting children's test scores, one of the predictors is whether the child's mother has a high school diploma (mom_hs). The coefficient for mom_hs:yes is 5.09. What is the correct interpretation of this coefficient?

  • A child whose mother has a high school diploma is predicted to score 5.09 points higher on the test, regardless of other factors.
  • A child whose mother has a high school diploma is predicted to score 5.09 points higher on the test, all else being equal. (correct)
  • A child whose mother does not have a high school diploma is predicted to score 5.09 points higher on the test.
  • A child whose mother has a high school diploma is predicted to score 5.09 points lower on the test, all else being equal.

In a multiple regression model, the coefficient for 'mother's IQ' (mom_iq) is 0.56. Which of the following is the correct interpretation of the slope for mom_iq?

  • Kids whose mothers IQ's are one point higher tend to score on average 0.56 points higher. (correct)
  • Kids whose mothers IQ's are one point lower tend to score on average 0.56 points higher.
  • Kids whose mothers IQ's are zero tend to score on average 0.56 points higher.
  • Kids whose mothers all have the same IQ score on average 0.56 points higher.

In a regression model, 'collinearity' refers to what condition?

<p>When predictor variables are highly correlated with each other. (A)</p>
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Why is adjusted R often preferred over R when comparing multiple regression models?

<p>Adjusted R penalizes the inclusion of irrelevant predictors, providing a better measure of model fit. (B)</p>
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In a regression model, what is the correct formula for calculating R based on the sums of squares?

<p>$R^2 = \frac{SSTotal - SSError}{SSTotal}$ (C)</p>
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A regression model predicts poverty using the percentage of female-headed households. The R is 0.28. A second model is created that adds the percentage of the population that is white as a second predictor. The new R is 0.29, and the adjusted R is 0.26. What does this suggest?

<p>The percentage of the population that is white provides little to no additional explanatory power beyond the percentage of female-headed households. (C)</p>
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In multiple regression, how does the interpretation of a predictor variable's coefficient change compared to simple linear regression?

<p>The coefficient represents the change in the response variable for each unit change in the specific predictor, holding all other predictors constant. (C)</p>
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Which factor contributes to multicollinearity between explanatory variables?

<p>High Correlation (D)</p>
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According to the data chart, which region is the reference level?

<p>Northeast (C)</p>
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Based on data charts, which region has the lowest poverty percentage?

<p>Northeast (B)</p>
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If weights of 80% of books can be predicted accurately, what are we using?

<p>Weights Model (C)</p>
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Based on scatterplot and weights, if Books are 10 $cm^3$ over average, what can we expect?

<p>Books will weigh 7g over average (B)</p>
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What does the relationship tell us between volume and weight?

<p>Volumes increase, weights increase (C)</p>
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Which book is underestimated based on volume?

<p>Book with highest Volume (A)</p>
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What is the volume of the hardcover book?

<p>The volume can be different but is typically more. (B)</p>
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When determining reference level for books, what is the paperback book symbol?

<p>cover: pb (A)</p>
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Based on the Coefficients and the data, what is true about estimating the cover when given the volume?

<p>Volume matters, intercept matters (D)</p>
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What roles should the variable cover type and the volume have in the regression model?

<p>response: weight, explanatory: volume, cover type (C)</p>
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According to the slopes of volume, what do they express?

<p>Books that are 1 more cubic centimeter in volume tend to weigh about 0.72 grams more. (B)</p>
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According to this data, if hardcover books have no volume what do we expect?

<p>We expect to have 198 grams (D)</p>
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When predicting a weight what does this expression estimate? $\widehat{weight} = 197.96 + 0.72 volume 184.05 cover : pb$

<p>Book Cover with Paper Weight (C)</p>
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Based on all equals, kids who work score less with, or more to moms that do not work. What is the correct one?

<p>are estimated to score 2.54 points higher (C)</p>
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What are the benefits from 'collinearity' complication of estimation model in Observational data?

<p>Experiments (A)</p>
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Which variable increases in model $R^2$?

<p>Any (A)</p>
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If a variable isn't unrelated, what increases in data?

<p>Adjusted $R^2$ (C)</p>
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Why should we choose models with higher $R^2_{adj}$ over others?

<p>Therefore, we choose models with higher $R^2_{adj}$ over others. (C)</p>
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What statement is correct for sum of squares of $x$?

<p>$SSModel = SSTotal - SSError$ (C)</p>
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How do we calculate $R^2$?

<p>$R^2 = \frac{explained variability}{total variability}$ (C)</p>
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When calculating $R^2$, what should never be negative?

<p>p (D)</p>
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When looking at poverty percentages, which variable does not add information previously?

<p>white (A)</p>
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If using ANOVA function, what are we testing in variability?

<p>explained (B)</p>
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If we have three ways of calculating a single-predictor linear regression model, this would be considered what?

<p>Overkill (B)</p>
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What are other measure for 'adj' and what does it stand for?

<p>Explained Variability (B)</p>
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When is the intercept important to examine?

<p>It serve's to adjust the height of the line (A)</p>
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What will Adjusted R-squared penalize?

<p>number of predictors included (A)</p>
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In a scenario where you are predicting a child's test score using multiple regression with mother's IQ (mom_iq), mother's work status (mom_work), and mother's education, how would you best describe the relationship between these variables?

<p><code>mom_iq</code>, <code>mom_work</code>, and mother's education are all explanatory variables used to predict the response variable, the child's test score. (A)</p>
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Suppose you are building a multiple regression model and find that two of your predictor variables, 'percentage of the population that is white' and 'percentage of female-headed households', are highly correlated. What is the primary concern with this situation?

<p>Collinearity can lead to unstable coefficient estimates, making it difficult to determine the individual effect of each predictor. (B)</p>
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In a multiple regression model, after adding a new variable, you observe that the adjusted R-squared value decreases. What does this indicate about the added variable?

<p>The added variable does not provide enough new information to offset the penalty for increased model complexity. (D)</p>
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Why is calculating explained variability and total variability useful, especially when we can directly calculate $R^2$ as the square of the correlation coefficient in simple linear regression?

<p>It allows for the calculation of adjusted $R^2$, which accounts for model complexity, and is essential in multiple regression where we cannot directly calculate $R^2$ as the square of the correlation. (B)</p>
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In a multiple regression model predicting book weight from volume and cover type (hardcover or paperback), what is the most accurate interpretation of the intercept?

<p>The intercept represents the predicted weight of a hardcover book with zero volume. (A)</p>
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When interpreting the slope of a predictor variable in a multiple regression model, what crucial assumption must be made?

<p>All other predictor variables in the model are held constant. (C)</p>
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What is the main purpose of including a reference level when dealing with categorical variables (like region: Northeast, Midwest, South, West) in a regression model?

<p>To avoid perfect collinearity and ensure the model is identifiable. (A)</p>
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According to the formula $R_{adj}^2 = 1 - (\frac{SS_{Error}}{SS_{Total}} \times \frac{n-1}{n-p-1})$, what relationship is represented?

<p>Adjusted $R^2$ will always be smaller than $R^2$. (D)</p>
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What is the purpose of a model with a single predictor, and having three ways to calculate?

<p>Using multiple calculations may seem like overkill. (B)</p>
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Variables such as female head of household and _ white_ may be valuable for poverty, but do they suggest anything of the collinearity?

<p>With the added variables, collinearity is complicated. (D)</p>
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Flashcards

Multiple Regression

A statistical method using multiple variables to predict an outcome.

Explanatory Variable

In regression, it's the variable used to predict the outcome.

Reference Level

The baseline or starting point to which other categories are compared

Intercept

The point where the regression line crosses the y-axis, representing the predicted value of the dependent variable when all independent variables are zero.

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Slope

The rate of change in the dependent variable for each unit change in the independent variable.

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Hardcover

The level of cover, used to compare against paperback

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Collinearity

Two predictor variables being highly correlated.

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Parsimonious Model

A lean approach using the simplest best model.

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Adjusted R-squared

A measure of how well the model fits the data, penalized for model complexity.

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Study Notes

  • Simple linear regression is bivariate, involving two variables, y and x.
  • Multiple linear regression involves multiple variables represented as y, x1, x2, and so on.

Poverty vs. Region

  • Region is the explanatory variable with the east as the reference level
  • Intercept represents the estimated average poverty percentage in eastern states, at 11.17%.
  • Plugging in 0 for the explanatory variable yields the intercept value.
  • Slope indicates that the estimated average poverty percentage in western states is 0.38% higher than in eastern states.
  • The estimated average poverty percentage in western states is 11.55% (11.17 + 0.38).
  • Plugging in 1 for the explanatory variable yields the slope value.
  • Northeast is the reference level for poverty vs. region (northeast, midwest, west, south).
  • Northeast has the lowest poverty percentage.

Weights of Books

  • Weights of 80% of books can be accurately predicted using the regression model.
  • Books that are 10 cm³ over average are expected to weigh 7g over average.
  • The correlation between weight and volume is R = 0.802 = 0.64.
  • The model underestimates the weight of the book with the highest volume.

Modeling Book Weights with Volume

  • The intercept is 107.67931.
  • Volume is 0.70864.
  • Residual standard error is 123.9, based on 13 degrees of freedom.
  • Multiple R-squared is 0.8026, with an adjusted R-squared of 0.7875.
  • F-statistic is 52.87 on 1 and 13 DF, and the p-value is 6.262e-06.
  • Paperbacks generally weigh less than hardcover books after taking volume into account.
  • In a model of book weights using volume and cover type, the intercept is 197.96284.
  • Volume is 0.71795.
  • Cover: PB(Paper Back) is -184.04727.
  • The residual standard error is 78.2 on 12 degrees of freedom.
  • Multiple R-squared is 0.9275, and adjusted R-squared is 0.9154.
  • The F-statistic is 76.73 with 2 and 12 DF, and the p-value is 1.455e-07.
  • Hardcover is the reference level, paperback book (pb:paperback) is noted.
  • The roles of variables in this regression model are: response: weight, explanatory: volume, cover type.

Linear Model for Book Weight

  • For hardcover books (cover = 0): weight = 197.96 + 0.72 * volume.
  • For paperback books (cover = 1): weight = 13.91 + 0.72 * volume.
  • Books with 1 more cubic centimeter in volume tend to weigh about 0.72 grams more, all else being constant.
  • The model predicts that paperback books weigh 184 grams less than hardcover books, all else being constant.
  • Hardcover books with no volume are expected on average to weigh about 198 grams, which doesn't necessarily make sense in context.

Linear Model prediction

  • The correct calculation for predicting the weight of a paperback book that is 600 cm3 is 197.96 + 0.72 * 600 - 184.05 * 1.

Modeling Kid's Test Scores

  • Kids with mothers whose IQs are one point higher tend to score on average 0.56 points higher, all else held constant.
  • Kids whose moms have not attended high school, did three years of the kid's life, have an IQ of 0 expected on average to score 19.59, which doesn't necessarily make sense in context.
  • Kids whose moms worked during the first three years of the kid's life are estimated to score 2.54 points higher than those whose moms did not work, keeping all else equal.
  • Two predictor variables are collinear when they are correlated.
  • Collinearity complicates model estimation.
  • Predictors are also called explanatory or independent variables and ideally, they would be independent of each other.

R2

  • The addition of a variable in a model will ensure R2 increases
  • The third approach, uses the ratio of explained and unexplained variability

Adjusted R2

  • The adjusted R2 equation is R2adj = 1 - (SSError / SSTotal) * (n-1 / n-p-1)
  • n = number of cases
  • p = number of predictors (explanatory variables) in the model
  • R2adj will always be smaller than R2 because p is never negative
  • Applying R2adj includes a penalty for the number of predictors included in the model.
  • Models with higher R2adj over others are prefered.

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