MTH281: Probability Chapter 3 Quiz
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Questions and Answers

Which of the following is NOT a type of probability?

  • Classical Probability
  • Empirical Probability
  • Subjective Probability
  • Theoretical Probability (correct)
  • The addition rule states that the probability of the union of two events is equal to the sum of the probabilities of the individual events, minus the probability of their intersection.

    True (A)

    What does the fundamental counting principle state?

    The fundamental counting principle states that if an event can occur in 'm' ways and another independent event can occur in 'n' ways, then the two events can occur in 'm*n' ways.

    Two events are considered ______ if the occurrence of one event does not affect the probability of the occurrence of the other event.

    <p>independent</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Match the following probability concepts with their respective definitions:

    <p>Sample Space = The set of all possible outcomes of a random experiment. Event = A subset of the sample space, representing a specific outcome or set of outcomes. Probability of an Event = The likelihood of an event occurring, expressed as a number between 0 and 1. Conditional Probability = The probability of an event occurring given that another event has already occurred.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the formula for calculating the probability of event A or event B occurring?

    <p>P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B) (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    The Addition Rule always assumes that events A and B are mutually exclusive.

    <p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does the term 'P(A and B)' represent in the Addition Rule formula?

    <p>The probability of both events A and B occurring simultaneously.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    The Addition Rule helps avoid ______ when calculating the probability of events A or B.

    <p>double counting</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Match the following terms with their corresponding descriptions:

    <p>P(A) = Probability of event A happening P(B) = Probability of event B happening P(A and B) = Probability of both event A and event B happening simultaneously P(A or B) = Probability of either event A or event B happening, or both</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following is NOT an example of a probability experiment?

    <p>Calculating the area of a rectangle (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    The sample space of a probability experiment is the set of all possible outcomes of the experiment.

    <p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the sample space for the experiment of rolling a standard six-sided die?

    <p>{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}</p> Signup and view all the answers

    A ____ is any process of observation that has an uncertain outcome.

    <p>probability experiment</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Match the following probability experiments with their corresponding sample spaces:

    <p>Examining a fuse for a defect = {N , D} Examining two fuses in sequence = {N N , N D, DN , DD} Genders of three children from oldest to youngest = {BBB, BBG, BGB, BGG, GBB, GBG, GGB, GGG} Running a computer program = {compiles, does not compile}</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the sample space for the experiment of tossing a coin twice?

    <p>{HH, HT, TH, TT}</p> Signup and view all the answers

    The probability of an event A, denoted as P(A), represents the likelihood of ______ occurring.

    <p>event A</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following situations is NOT a probability experiment?

    <p>Determining the number of students in a class (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    A probability experiment can have more than one possible outcome.

    <p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    The Complement Rule states that the probability of an event occurring plus the probability of that event not occurring is always equal to 1.

    <p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the term used for the outcome of a probability experiment?

    <p>Event</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which type of probability is based on repeated trials or experiments?

    <p>Empirical Probability (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Match the following probability rules with their corresponding formulas:

    <p>Complement Rule = P(A') = 1 - P(A) Addition Rule = P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B) Multiplication Rule = P(A and B) = P(A) * P(B|A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In probability, what does the notation P(A|B) represent?

    <p>Conditional probability of event A given that event B has already occurred</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Two events are considered independent if the occurrence of one event does not affect the probability of the other event.

    <p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    The probability of an event occurring given that another event has already happened is called ______ probability.

    <p>conditional</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Events A and B are considered mutually exclusive if they have no ______ in common.

    <p>outcomes</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following statements correctly describes mutually exclusive events?

    <p>Events that have no outcomes in common. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    If events A and B are not mutually exclusive, then they must have at least one outcome in common.

    <p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In the given example about homeowners purchasing smart devices, what is the probability that a homeowner purchased a smart device to monitor energy consumption OR water usage?

    <p>0.69 (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does 'P(A)' represent in the given example?

    <p>The probability of a homeowner purchasing a smart device to monitor energy consumption</p> Signup and view all the answers

    The formula for calculating the probability of event A or event B occurring, when they are ______, is P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B).

    <p>mutually exclusive</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In the given example, what is the probability that a homeowner did NOT purchase a smart device to monitor energy consumption? Show your calculation.

    <p>P(A') = 1 - P(A) = 1 - 0.45 = 0.55</p> Signup and view all the answers

    A computer program has two blocks, each written by a different programmer. The probability of the first block having an error is 0.25. The second block has an error with a probability of 0.35. What is the probability that the program returns an error?

    <p>0.60 (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    If a doctor makes an incorrect diagnosis and the probability of a patient filing a lawsuit is 0.9, then the probability of the doctor making an incorrect diagnosis and the patient suing is ______.

    <p>0.9</p> Signup and view all the answers

    If three rotator cuff surgeries are performed independently, and each surgery has a 0.9 probability of success, then the probability of all three surgeries being successful is 0.9^3.

    <p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    A system has three computers working independently. The probability of the first computer working is 0.85, the second computer is 0.78, and the third is 0.94. What is the probability that the system works if it requires at least two computers functional?

    <p>0.9761</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Match the following scenarios with the corresponding probability calculations.

    <p>Probability of at least one of three rotator cuff surgeries being successful = 1 - P(none of the surgeries are successful) Probability of a system working with three computers, if it requires all three computers to be functional = P(computer 1 works) * P(computer 2 works) * P(computer 3 works) Probability of two fuses being defective, selected without replacement from a box with 20 fuses (5 are defective) = P(first fuse defective) * P(second fuse defective given the first was defective)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    A fuse box contains 20 fuses, with 5 defective. If two fuses are selected without replacement, what is the probability that both are defective?

    <p>5/20 * 4/19 (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    The probability of two independent events happening is the product of the probabilities of each individual event.

    <p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Given that a computer program has two blocks, each with the probability of having an error, the probability of the program returning an error is the sum of the probability of each block having an error minus the probability of ______.

    <p>both blocks having an error</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Flashcards

    Sample Space

    The set of all possible outcomes of a probability experiment.

    Event

    A specific outcome or collection of outcomes from a sample space.

    Complement Rule

    The probability of an event not occurring is 1 minus the probability of the event occurring.

    Conditional Probability

    The probability of an event given that another event has occurred.

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    Independence of Events

    Two events are independent if the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of the other.

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    Addition Rule

    A probability rule for finding the likelihood of A or B occurring.

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    P(A or B)

    The probability that event A or event B occurs.

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    P(A)

    The probability of event A occurring.

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    P(B)

    The probability of event B occurring.

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    P(A and B)

    The probability that both events A and B occur simultaneously.

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    Probability Experiment

    A process of observation with uncertain outcomes, where one outcome occurs each time.

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    Fundamental Counting Principle

    A method to determine the total number of outcomes by multiplying the number of choices for each event.

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    Independence

    Two events are independent if the occurrence of one does not affect the other.

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    Multiplication Rule

    Used to find the joint probability of two independent events both occurring.

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    Probability

    The likelihood of an event occurring, expressed as a number between 0 and 1.

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    Birthday Problem

    The probability that in a group, at least two share a birthday.

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    Vowel-free Password

    A password that contains only consonants, no vowels.

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    Odd Number Probability

    The chance that a selected password includes at least one odd number among the digits.

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    Independent Events

    Two events are independent if the occurrence of one does not affect the other.

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    Mutually Exclusive Events

    Events that cannot happen at the same time; if one occurs, the other cannot.

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    Non-Mutually Exclusive Events

    Events that can occur at the same time; one does not exclude the possibility of the other.

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    Probability of an Event

    The likelihood of an event occurring, usually expressed as a number between 0 and 1.

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    P(A) and P(B)

    The probabilities of events A and B occurring, individually.

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    P(A′)

    The probability that event A does not occur, calculated as 1 - P(A).

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    Addition Rule of Probability

    The rule that helps calculate the probability of either event A or event B occurring.

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    Real-world Example

    Use of probability concepts in relatable situations, like homeowner device purchases.

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    Incorrect Diagnosis Lawsuit Probability

    The probability that a patient sues when diagnosed incorrectly is 0.9.

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    Error Probability in Blocks

    First block error probability is 0.25 and second block is 0.35.

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    Successful Rotator Cuff Surgery Probability

    The probability of successful rotator cuff surgery is 0.9.

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    Probabilities of Success in Three Surgeries

    Calculating success rates for multiple surgeries using independent probabilities.

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    Computer System Working Probability

    Probability that all computers in a system work together is calculated using their individual success rates.

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    At Least One Computer Works

    Probability that at least one computer works in a system of three.

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    Fuse Selection without Replacement

    Calculating the probability that both selected fuses are defective without replacement.

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    Fuse Selection with Replacement

    Calculating the probability that both selected fuses are defective with replacement.

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    Study Notes

    Course Information

    • Course title: MTH281: Probability and Statistics
    • Chapter: 3 Probability
    • University: Zayed University
    • College: College of Natural and Health Sciences
    • Semester: Spring 2025

    Chapter Outline

    • Basic Probability Concepts
      • Probability Experiments
      • Fundamental Counting Principle
      • Types of Probability
    • Elementary Probability Rules
      • Complement Rule
      • Addition Rule
    • Conditional Probability and Independence
      • Conditional Probability
      • Independence
      • Multiplication Rule

    Objectives

    • Describe sample spaces and events.
    • Interpret probabilities and calculate probabilities of events in discrete sample spaces.
    • Calculate probabilities of joint events.
    • Interpret and calculate conditional probabilities of events.
    • Determine the independence of events.
    • Count the number of outcomes in an event and the sample space using permutations and combinations.

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    Description

    Test your understanding of the fundamental concepts of probability in Chapter 3 of MTH281: Probability and Statistics. This quiz covers basic probability principles, rules, and conditional probability, ensuring you grasp how events are quantified and analyzed. Prepare to apply your knowledge of sample spaces, independence, and counting outcomes.

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