BIOSTATS 4.5 - MORBIDITY & MORTALITY

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Questions and Answers

What distinguishes cumulative incidence from incidence rate?

  • Incidence rate is used for fixed populations, while cumulative incidence is used for dynamic populations.
  • Incidence rate is expressed as a proportion, while cumulative incidence is expressed per person-time.
  • Cumulative incidence accounts for loss to follow-up, while incidence rate does not.
  • Cumulative incidence is a measure of risk, while incidence rate is a measure of speed. (correct)

Why is person-time used in calculating incidence rate?

  • To simplify the calculation of prevalence.
  • To exclude individuals who develop the disease early in the study.
  • To account for varying lengths of observation for individuals in the study. (correct)
  • To standardize cumulative incidence across different populations.

In epidemiology, which scenario would indicate that cumulative incidence might be less accurate than incidence rate?

  • A study where the disease develops rapidly and uniformly across the population.
  • A study where the population is dynamic, with individuals entering and leaving over time. (correct)
  • A study focusing on a disease with a long latency period.
  • A study with a complete follow-up of all participants over a short period.

What is the key difference between point prevalence and period prevalence?

<p>Point prevalence measures existing cases at a specific time, while period prevalence measures cases over a defined period. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does a high prevalence of a disease indicate, and how does it relate to incidence?

<p>A high prevalence suggests a high incidence or long disease duration. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a new treatment dramatically increases the survival time of individuals with a disease without preventing new cases, what would be the expected impact on prevalence and incidence?

<p>Prevalence would increase, incidence would remain the same. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which measure is most useful for assessing the potential impact of an infectious disease outbreak in a narrowly defined population over a limited time?

<p>Attack rate. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why might the cumulative incidence be misleading when studying a disease with a long incubation period and significant in-migration to the study area?

<p>The 'fixed population' assumption is violated, as new individuals are added, which affects the accuracy. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does calculating Years of Potential Life Lost (YPLL) contribute to understanding the impact of different diseases on public health?

<p>YPLL helps identify diseases that disproportionately affect younger populations. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary limitation of using proportionate mortality to compare the health status of different populations?

<p>It does not account for the overall mortality rate in each population. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the critical assumption when calculating incidence rate?

<p>The incidence rate is constant over different periods of time. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does case-fatality rate (CFR) differ from mortality rate?

<p>CFR measures deaths among those with the disease, mortality rate measures deaths in the entire population. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What do Years of Potential Life Lost (YPLL) measure, and what does it reflect?

<p>YPLL measures premature death and reflects both the number of death due to a cause and the age at death (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If the crude mortality rate in two populations are the same, but one population is significantly older, what can be inferred about the age-specific mortality rates?

<p>The younger population likely has higher age-specific mortality rates than the older population. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

When analyzing mortality trends, what does a disease-specific mortality rate provide that a crude mortality rate does not?

<p>The morality related to a specific cause. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary use of factor-specific mortality rates in epidemiological studies?

<p>To identify disparities in mortality among subgroups within a population. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How might a public health agency use infant mortality rate (IMR) data to improve community health?

<p>To evaluate the effectiveness of prenatal care and identify health disparities. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

When is using cumulative incidence most appropriate?

<p>When the population at risk is fixed. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

During an epidemic, 200 people in a village of 1,000 got sick with a new illness. What is the attack rate?

<p>20% (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a town of 50,000, there are 500 existing cases of diabetes at the start of the year. Over the year, 50 new cases are diagnosed. What is the prevalence of diabetes at the start of the year?

<p>1% (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A study follows 1000 people for 5 years. 20 people develop a disease. What is the cummulative incidence for the study period?

<p>2% (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which measure is useful for assessing the burden of mortality?

<p>Mortality Rate (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If better roads lead to an increased incidence of accidents but lower case fatality due to rapid access to better medical help, how will proportionate mortality due to accidents change?

<p>The change in proportionate mortality cannot be determined (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A study measures the number of new cases of influenza reported in a city each week over a year. Which epidemiologic measure is being used?

<p>Incidence Rate (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Incidence

The number of new cases of a disease in a population at risk over a period of time.

Cumulative Incidence

A measure of risk; the probability an individual will develop a disease during a specific time period.

Cumulative Incidence (Incidence Proportion)

The proportion of a population that becomes diseased over a specified period of time.

Incidence Rate (Incidence Density)

The number of new cases of a disease that occur in a population at risk per person-time of observation.

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Person-Time

A more exact expression of the population at risk, during the period of time when the change from non-disease to disease is measured.

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Attack Rate

A variant of incidence, applied to a narrowly defined population observed for a limited time, such as during an epidemic.

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Prevalence

Measure of persons in a population who have a particular disease at a specified point in time or over a specified period of time.

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Point Prevalence

the number of people who have a disease at a point in time.

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Period Prevalence

The number of people who have a disease at any time during a certain period of time.

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Mortality Rate

The measure of the incidence of death in a population during a specific period of time.

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Crude Mortality Rate

Measures all deaths in a population during a specific time period; Also referred to as the overall or all-cause mortality rate.

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Disease-Specific Mortality Rate

Measures deaths from a certain disease in a population during a specific time period.

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Factor-Specific Mortality Rate

Measures deaths in a population restricted by a factor during a specific time period. Common factors are: age, gender, and race/ethnicity.

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Infant Mortality Rate

Measures mortality rate in children during the first year of life; Often used to summarize healthiness in a community.

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Case-Fatality Rate (CFR)

Represents the proportion of deaths among people with the disease.

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Proportionate Mortality

The proportion of the overall mortality that may be ascribed to a specific cause.

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Years of Potential Life Lost (YPLL)

Based on the life lost through premature death, before some arbitrarily determined age.

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Study Notes

  • Morbidity and Mortality are the focus of the lecture.
  • The goal is to compare rates of incidence, cumulative incidence, and prevalence.
  • Calculating incidence rate and explaining person time is covered.
  • Calculating prevalence and attack rate are key points.
  • Comparing and calculating measures of mortality is a key focus.
  • Analyzing the measures of morbidity and mortality on epidemiology reports is taught.

Measures of Morbidity

  • Incidence is the number of new cases of disease in a population at risk over a period of time.
  • Cumulative incidence is a type of incidence.
  • Incidence rate is a type of incidence.
  • Prevalence is the measure of persons in a population who have a particular disease at a specified point in time or over a specified period of time.
  • Point prevalence is an example of prevalence.
  • Period prevalence is an example of prevalence.

Incidence

  • Incidence is the number of new cases of disease in a population at risk over a period of time.
  • Two types of incidence measures exist.
  • Calculating cumulative Incidence is: No. of new cases of disease occurring during a specified time period/ No. of persons at risk of developing the disease during that time period
  • Cumulative incidence is a measure of risk; how probable is it that an individual will develop a disease during a period of time?
  • Population at risk is calculated using the size of the population at the start, average, or middle of the time period.
  • A critical assumption is that the population at risk is a "fixed population" where all individuals are followed for the entire time period.
  • Problems include: competing risks, loss to follow-up, and in/out migration.

Incidence Rate

  • Incidence rate is the number of new cases of a disease that occur in a population at risk per person-time of observation.
  • Incidence rate = # of new cases of diseases/ person-time of observation in the population at risk of developing the disease
  • Person-time units is a more exact expression of the population at risk during the period of time when the change from non-disease to disease is being measured.
  • An estimate of the actual time-at-risk in years, months, or days that persons at risk contributed.
  • A critical assumption concerning the incidence rate is that it is constant over different periods of time.
  • The following are equivalent: 1 person at risk observed for 1 year = 1 person-year, 1 person at risk observed for 5 years = 5 person-years, 5 persons at risk observed for 1 year = 5 person-years

Attack Rate

  • An attack rate is a variant of incidence, applied to a narrowly defined population observed for a limited time, such as during an epidemic.
  • Calculating the attack rate is : No. of new cases among the the population during the time period/ population at risk at the beginning of the time period × 100%

Summary of Incidence

  • Cumulative incidence is easy to calculate and understand.
  • Cumulative incidence is usually reserved for fixed populations.
  • Less accurate when "fixed population" assumption is not met.
  • Incidence rate is more accurate compared to cumulative incidence.
  • Person-time denominator is difficult to calculate.
  • Incidence rate is most useful for dynamic populations.
  • Less accurate when “constant incidence rate" assumption is not met.

Prevalence

  • Prevalence is the measure of persons in a population who have a particular disease at a specified point in time or over a specified period of time.
  • Prevalence = number of cases of a disease present in the population during a specific time period/ Total no. of persons in the population during the specific time × 10n
  • Point prevalence is the number of people who have a disease at a point in time.
  • Period prevalence is the number of people who have a disease at any time during a certain period of time.
  • Prevalence = Incidence × Duration of Disease expressed as P = I × D

Measures of Mortality

  • Mortality rate expresses the incidence of death in a population during a specific period of time.
  • Case-fatality rate represents the proportion of deaths among people with the disease.
  • Proportionate mortality rate may be ascribed to a specific cause.
  • Years of Potential Life Lost is based on the life lost through premature death, before some arbitrarily determined age.

Mortality Rate types.

  • Crude mortality rate is also referred to as the overall or all-cause mortality rate.
  • Disease- or cause-specific mortality rate measures deaths from a certain disease in a population during a specific period.
  • Factor-specific mortality rate measures deaths in a population restricted by a factor during a specific time period.
  • Calculating mortality rate is : No. of deaths occurring in a population during a period of time/ Total population at risk during that period of time × 10n.
  • Calculating Crude mortality rate is: No. of all deaths occurring in a population during a period of time/ Total population at risk during that period of time × 10n.
  • Disease-special mortality rate=Total no. of deaths from Disease X occurring in /a population during a period of time/ Total population at risk during that period of time * 10^n
  • Factor rate = Total no. of deaths occurring in a population with Factor X during a period of time/ Total population with Factor/ During that period of time * 10^n
  • Infant Mortality Rate measures mortality rate in children during the first year of life.
  • Total no. of deaths of infants <1 year during a period of time / Number of live births during that period of time * 10^n
  • A case-fatality rate represents the proportion of deaths among people with the disease and is expressed as a percent.
  • Total no. of deaths due to a disease during a period of time after disease onset or diagnosis/ No.of persons with the diseases * 100
  • Proportionate mortality is the proportion of the overall mortality that may be ascribed to a specific cause. No. of deaths due to a specific disease during a period of time / Total no.of deaths during that period of time * 100
  • Years of Potential Life Lost (YPLL) is based on the life lost through premature death, before some arbitrarily determined age.
  • Reflects both the number of individuals who die of a particular cause and the age at which death occurred.

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