Monetary Policy and Exchange Rates
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Questions and Answers

What is one of the measures included in an austerity package to cure a financial crisis?

  • Promote wage increases
  • Lower interest rates
  • Increase government spending
  • Devaluate the currency (correct)
  • What does contagion in financial terms refer to?

  • Successful international trade relationships
  • Reduction of investment risk
  • A stable economic growth across nations
  • Propagation of shocks exceeding fundamentals (correct)
  • What consequence did the depreciation of the Thai Baht have during the Asian Flu?

  • Increased investments in Thailand
  • Stabilized the Asian economy
  • Boosted investor confidence in Asia
  • Investors withdrew funds from Asia (correct)
  • What was one of the initial actions taken in Brazil's Real Plan?

    <p>Cut current government spending</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which event is credited with causing a lack of confidence in the cruzeiro in Brazil?

    <p>Political corruption leading to a presidency change</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Why is there a need for international financial support during a contagion?

    <p>To provide credible announcements</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What percentage of inflation did Brazil experience in the early 1990s?

    <p>3,000%</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What was a significant feature of the Real Plan established in Brazil?

    <p>Pegging the new currency to the US dollar</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What happens to nominal variables in the long run according to the classical dichotomy?

    <p>They are impacted by monetary shocks.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What happens to expectations when the money supply increases permanently?

    <p>Expectations shift permanently.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In the short run, which interest rate is affected by monetary policy changes?

    <p>Real interest rate</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In the asset approach, what is the initial effect of an increase in the money supply on real returns?

    <p>Real returns on assets decrease.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following is true about nominal exchange rates after a monetary shock?

    <p>They are among the most volatile variables.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is meant by the term 'overshooting' in the context of exchange rates?

    <p>The initial adjustment of exchange rates is more pronounced than the long-run equilibrium.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the effect of a sterilization policy by a central bank?

    <p>It limits the effect of capital inflows and outflows on the money supply.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which model does not exhibit overshooting due to its backward nature?

    <p>Mundell-Fleming model</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In the context of the Euro area, what type of policy is the ECB likely to implement during economic slowdown?

    <p>Active permanent monetary policy</p> Signup and view all the answers

    After a permanent increase in the money supply, what happens to nominal interest rates?

    <p>They decrease, then increase back to previous levels.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the immediate result on the money supply when the monetary policy shifts to the right on the IS-MP graph?

    <p>Money supply shifts to the right.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which statement regarding capital flows under fixed exchange rates is accurate?

    <p>Outflow of reserves leads to a contraction of the money supply.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What indicates that exchange rates are very volatile according to the discussion?

    <p>Significant adjustments based on expected changes.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the expected change in interest rates when the ECB adopts an expansionary monetary policy?

    <p>Interest rates decrease.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What happens to the price level as a result of a permanent increase in the money supply?

    <p>Price level increases over time.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the consequence of an increase in the nominal money supply on the exchange rate?

    <p>Exchange rate increases initially before stabilizing.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What happens to the nominal interest rate after an increase in the level of the money supply in the long run?

    <p>It remains unchanged.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How does the aggregate price level respond to an increase in the money supply in the long run?

    <p>It increases.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the result of differences in adjustment processes in different markets regarding the exchange rate?

    <p>There is an overshooting of the exchange rate.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Why is it difficult to forecast the exchange rate after a change in economic policy?

    <p>Due to exchange rate volatility.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What occurs under a fixed exchange rate when the overshooting effect is translated through changes in reserve?

    <p>The country experiences a currency crisis.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does the 'impossible trinity' concept imply?

    <p>Only two out of three of exchange rate stability, capital mobility, and monetary policy can be controlled at the same time.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How do monetary restriction policies fare under flexible versus fixed exchange rates?

    <p>More efficient when the exchange rate is flexible.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Does a monetary expansion impact the real and nominal exchange rates in the long run?

    <p>Does not always impact both rates.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the expected outcome of an increase in the domestic money supply in the short run?

    <p>Depreciation of the domestic currency</p> Signup and view all the answers

    According to the Fisher's rule, how are the domestic inflation rate and foreign inflation rate related to domestic and foreign interest rates?

    <p>The difference in inflation rates equals the difference in interest rates</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What occurs in the long run after an increase in the money supply according to the classical dichotomy?

    <p>Prices adjust such that money demand equals money supply</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What assumption was made regarding exchange rate expectations in the discussion of overshooting?

    <p>Exchange rate expectations are constant</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What happens to interest rates immediately after an increase in the US money supply in the short run?

    <p>Interest rates decrease</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What effect does an informed investor expect when the money supply increases and they revise their expectations?

    <p>An upward shift of the UIP</p> Signup and view all the answers

    If monetary policy is not efficient in the long run, what can be concluded about price adjustment?

    <p>Prices adjust completely and quickly</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In the context of exchange rates, what does UIP stand for?

    <p>Uncovered Interest Parity</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What happens to the dollar ($) if the money supply in the US increases at the actual exchange rate?

    <p>The dollar depreciates.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    If the money supply in the Eurozone increases, what effect does it have on the dollar's value?

    <p>The dollar appreciates.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In the context of the monetary approach of the balance of payments, how is the exchange rate determined?

    <p>As a consequence of monetary policy.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    According to the monetary approach of exchange rates, what does the exchange rate equal when assuming Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) holds?

    <p>The price level of domestic goods to foreign goods.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What effect does tightening monetary policy have on the exchange rate in the short run when prices are fixed?

    <p>The exchange rate appreciates.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the relationship between money supply and money demand at equilibrium in the money market?

    <p>Money supply equals money demand.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the impact of monetary policy on the interest rate in the short run?

    <p>Interest rates are influenced by the demand and supply of money.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What happens to the effective exchange rate when monetary policy changes but expectations remain unchanged?

    <p>It does not change at equilibrium.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Study Notes

    Monetary Policy and Exchange Rates

    • Monetary policy's impact on exchange rates is dynamic, not immediate.
    • Changes in money supply affect interest rates, impacting the return on assets denominated in different currencies leading to currency appreciation or depreciation (UIP).
    • Money market equilibrium is determined by money supply and demand. This gives an equilibrium interest rate which is related to exchange rates.
    • Relative Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) and the Interest Rate Parity (IRP) are factors in how exchange rates are impacted. The exchange rate is linked to monetary policy through the money market.
    • In the short run (fixed prices), a tighter monetary policy leads to currency appreciation.
    • In the long run (adjusting prices), monetary policy has no effect on the exchange rate.
    • Overshooting of exchange rates occurs when the initial reaction to a change in monetary policy exceeds the long-run equilibrium value due to expectations.

    Overshooting of Exchange Rates

    • Exchange rate changes are more volatile than other variables.
    • Exchange rate overshooting is driven by expectations and the effect on prices.
    • In the Dornbusch-Fisher model, expectations play a substantial role in the overshooting phenomenon.
    • A change in monetary policy affects real variables, but in the long run, only nominal variables are impacted.
    • The overshooting effect implies that short-run fluctuations in exchange rates are larger than long-run equilibrium adjustments.
    • The long-run effects of monetary policy on exchange rates will primarily differ in adjustment in prices and not nominal variables.

    Impossible Trinity

    • Independent monetary policy, free capital movements, and fixed exchange rate cannot all be simultaneously maintained.
    • Countries choosing fixed exchange rates must forgo either independent monetary policy or free capital movement.

    Currency Crises

    • Currency crises happen with high volatility as a result of pegged or fixed exchange rates.
    • Currency crisis involves a devaluation or abandonment of the pegged rate.
    • Currency crises can be precipitated by factors like unsustainable macroeconomic policies, speculative attacks, and contagion.
    • Banking and financial crises often occur with currency crises.
    • The global financial crisis of 2008 was a prime example of crises that affected both banking and financial markets.
    • Policy actions used to respond to currency crises often involve stabilizing the currency, restoring investor confidence, and fixing underlying macroeconomic problems.

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    Description

    Explore the relationship between monetary policy and exchange rates in this quiz. Understand how factors like money supply and interest rates influence currency appreciation and depreciation. Learn about concepts such as Purchasing Power Parity and Interest Rate Parity and their effects on exchange rate dynamics.

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