Models of Innovation: Linear Model

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Questions and Answers

Within the Arrow's model framework, which entity possesses the LEAST incentive to innovate, considering only private incentives and neglecting potential spillover effects?

  • A vertically integrated firm, capturing upstream and downstream profits.
  • A firm operating in a perfectly competitive market where innovation benefits are quickly disseminated. (correct)
  • A monopolist operating under conditions that ensure complete appropriation of innovation benefits.
  • A central planning authority directly incorporating social welfare gains into its incentive structure.

In the context of Arrow's (1962) framework on incentives to innovate, what critical assumption, when relaxed, most significantly alters the relative incentives between a monopolist and a perfectly competitive firm?

  • The assumption that innovation can be introduced by spending a lump-sum R in R&D, irrespective of initial market structure.
  • The assumption of non-drastic process innovation, where $c_1 < c_0$ and $p_{monopoly}(c_1) > c_0$.
  • The assumption of constant average costs for the existing technology.
  • The assumption of full appropriability of innovation, wherein no imitation is possible due to infinite patent length. (correct)

Under the assumptions of Arrow's model, what is the primary reason for the potential underinvestment in innovation when left solely to the private sector?

  • The inherent uncertainty in determining the optimal level of R&D investment.
  • The excessive bureaucracy associated with managing large-scale R&D projects.
  • The inability of firms to fully capture the social benefits of their innovations, generating market failures. (correct)
  • The high barriers to entry in monopolistic markets prevent competitive innovation.

Within the context of Nelson’s (1959) analysis of basic research, what factor most strongly differentiates the investment decisions of large multi-product firms from those of smaller, competitive firms?

<p>The capacity of larger firms to internalize the wider-ranging and more uncertain benefits of basic research across diverse product lines. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to Nelson (1959), why might some countries deliberately sacrifice static efficiency to allow significant market power to large firms, particularly in the context of basic research?

<p>To leverage the greater capacity of these firms to capture and exploit the broad and uncertain outcomes of basic research, fostering dynamic efficiency. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does Nelson's (1959) argument regarding the incentives to invest in basic research differ most significantly from Arrow's (1962) perspective on innovation incentives?

<p>Nelson highlights the greater potential benefits of basic research for larger, diversified firms, whereas Arrow focuses on failures in the application of scientific knowledge. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of the chain-linked model of innovation, what is the most critical role of the feedback loops (represented by 'f' and 'F')?

<p>To facilitate iterative adjustments and improvements to the product or service by integrating market needs and technological possibilities. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the chain-linked model, what condition primarily triggers the need for engaging in formal scientific research, rather than relying on existing scientific knowledge?

<p>Failure of readily available scientific knowledge to resolve technical obstacles during the innovation process. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Within the framework of the chain-linked model, how does 'radical innovation' most directly contribute to the interconnected science-technology dynamic?

<p>By catalyzing advancements in scientific knowledge through the introduction of revolutionary tools and methods. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which assertion regarding the 'Linear Model' of innovation is LEAST accurate, given modern innovation studies?

<p>The Linear Model accurately describes the dynamic cyclical, interactive relationship between science, technology and market needs, supported by empirical evidence. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What critical element, often observed in real-world R&D ecosystems, is notably absent in the idealized assumptions underlying Arrow's 1962 analysis of innovation incentives?

<p>The possibility of firms generating multiple distinct innovations from a single R&amp;D effort. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to Nelson’s 1959 perspective, what is the most significant implication of 'Uncertainty' dominating R&D in basic research?

<p>Underinvestment by the private sector due to the inability to accurately quantify and capture potential returns. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Within the context of innovation studies, what does the term "appropriability" specifically refer to, as it relates to private sector R&D investment?

<p>The degree to which a firm can legally exclude others from using an innovation, typically through patent protection. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Based on the chain-linked model, how do advancements in scientific instrumentation (e.g., powerful microscopes or advanced telescopes) primarily influence the trajectory of innovation?

<p>By enabling feedback loops from product innovation to scientific research, leading to new scientific discoveries and paradigms. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How might a central government optimally intervene to correct the underinvestment in basic research, considering the conclusions drawn from both Arrow (1962) and Nelson (1959)?

<p>By funding cooperative industry-university research initiatives and guaranteeing intellectual property rights for all participants. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is a primary critique of the Linear Model of innovation?

<p>A lack of feedback loops. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the main implication of the Bayh-Dole Act for university-industry collaboration in the United States?

<p>It incentivizes university faculty to patent federally funded research outputs. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a potential drawback of countries prioritizing dynamic efficiency over static efficiency in the context of R&D?

<p>Increased market power of large firms leading to potential anti-competitive behavior. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the chain-linked model of innovation, what does the D (Direct Link) represent?

<p>Radical innovations like lasers and semiconductors that become their own product category. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the role of the 'K' element of the chain-linked model?

<p>Existing stocks of scientific and engineering knowledge available. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the chain-linked model, what is the 'central-chain' innovation path primarily focused on?

<p>Connecting basic scientific principles with market applications through various processes. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the difference between 'invention' and 'analytic design'?

<p>Analytic design refers to new means to achieve functions, while invention reconfigures known components. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why might a public planner have greater inventive incentive than a firm in a perfectly competitive industry?

<p>The planner can include not only the producer and consumer surplus, a combination which creates greater returns. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

From the perspective of the chain-linked model, how does science factor into the innovation process?

<p>Science may exert influence on the innovation process throughout the entire development process. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a critical assumption that Arrow makes when modeling the returns to research?

<p>That research results only in a single innovation at a time. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

From the perspective of the linear model, why may research into JET fusion, mRNA, and nuclear power attract state attention?

<p>These inventions require such substantial funding that it may not be privately financed. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a potential drawback of the chain-linked model?

<p>Inadequate description of R&amp;D due to being hard to model mathematically. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a core principle in Nelson’s model of basic research (1959)?

<p>Research has diminishing marginal value. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to Nelson, why will basic research be primarily conducted by large, diversified firms, and not small firms?

<p>Larger firms can capture more benefits from successful returns due to diversified nature. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Suppose the chain-linked model is right. What policies follow?

<p>Scientists and firms should interact in frequent dialogue. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does Nelson's (1959) framework imply about R&D spending during national emergencies?

<p>Spending should increase in a targeted manner. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the linear model of scientific progress, what is the role of Universities?

<p>Providing basic scientific foundations that the state may want to use. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Based on the models presented, which of the following policies may be best to fix issues of science under allocation?

<p>Subsidies to private investment. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why may it sometimes be hard to model economic change correctly?

<p>The rate of inventive power changes over time. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What factors influence different spending on R&D between different countries?

<p>Differences in military power and the education level of scientists. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to Nelson, what would be the socially optimal amount of investment in basic research?

<p>The point at which the welfare of the society is maximized through its R&amp;D spending. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why might some countries scarify static efficiency for the dynamic efficiency?

<p>Big companies may have more resources to invest in basic research. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Based on the content of this document, why do we see the state 'doing' the basic research.

<p>The state wants to conduct basic research. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Within the framework of Arrow's 1962 model, assuming a non-drastic innovation, under what precise condition would both a monopolist and a perfectly competitive firm exhibit identical incentives to innovate, thereby neutralizing differences in their market structures?

<p>When the perfectly competitive firm can perfectly and immediately appropriate <em>all</em> consumer surplus generated by the innovation, thereby replicating the monopolist’s total surplus capture. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Considering Nelson's (1959) arguments on basic research, what specific mechanism most effectively mitigates the underinvestment problem arising from uncertainty and low appropriability, especially in sectors characterized by long-term research horizons?

<p>The deliberate cultivation of large, diversified firms with internal mechanisms for absorbing the risks of basic research while cross-subsidizing research efforts across multiple product lines. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Under conditions where both Arrow's appropriability concerns and Nelson's uncertainty considerations are simultaneously relevant, what policy intervention would theoretically achieve the Pareto-optimal level of basic research funding, accounting for both knowledge spillovers and inherent project risk?

<p>A centralized 'innovation fund' managed by an AI-driven algorithm constantly reallocating resources based on Bayesian estimates of scientific potential and spillover effects, adjusted for evolving technological landscapes. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Within the chain-linked model, if market feedback ('F') reveals a critical performance bottleneck in a mature technology, what iterative pathway is MOST likely to yield a disruptive innovation capable of circumventing the limitation?

<p>A multi-stage iterative cycle: 'F' -&gt; 'C' stimulating 'Invent and/or produce analytic design', then progressing to 'R' (Scientific Research) for fundamental scientific inquiry. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Suppose a firm exclusively adopts the 'Linear Model' in its R&D strategy. What organizational capability would it MOST likely under-develop, leading to potential strategic vulnerabilities?

<p>Systems for capturing and integrating tacit knowledge generated by internal designers and external users of the firm’s technology. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What intrinsic limitation of the Linear Model MOST severely restricts its applicability in explaining the emergence and diffusion of 'combinatorial innovations,' such as smartphones or advanced materials?

<p>Its strict sequential nature and dependence on basic scientific breakthroughs, failing to account for value creation through novel combinations of pre-existing technologies. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Assume a policy maker seeks to promote radical innovation using insights from the chain-linked model. Which financial incentive would be most effective at accelerating cross-disciplinary interactions?

<p>A ‘science-brokering’ grant, directed to interdisciplinary research teams conditional on co-authorship across disparate academic departments. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does the chain-linked model refine the classic distinction between 'invention' and 'design,' particularly in contexts demanding high levels of system integration (e.g., aerospace or biomedical engineering)?

<p>By blurring the distinction such that invention and design become interwoven and co-dependent through iterative feedback loops between R&amp;D and market response. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to Nelson (1959), what specific condition in basic research makes it difficult to determine the optimal level of public support?

<p>The inherent difficulty in forecasting the precise timing and magnitude of scientific breakthroughs, rendering cost-benefit analyses unreliable. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Within the context of Arrow’s 1962 framework, fully appropriable innovations are modeled using patents of infinite length. Which scenario BEST illustrates the economic trade-off related to the social welfare implications of this assumption?

<p>The balancing act between incentivizing initial innovation with indefinitely extended monopoly rights and promoting maximal downstream innovation and competition. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Consider a scenario where a government agency mandates open access to all publicly funded research findings. How would this policy alteration MOST directly challenge Arrow's (1962) initial assumptions concerning appropriability and innovation incentives?

<p>By undermining the incentive for firms to engage in original research, as they would be able to free-ride on the discoveries of publicly funded entities, decreasing private R&amp;D investment. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a public planner solely emphasizes static efficiency, according to Nelson (1959), how does the effect on overall R&D spending compare to the effect from a dynamic efficiency perspective?

<p>Dynamic efficiency emphasizes innovation; therefore, favoring static efficiency will tend to result in lower overall R&amp;D spending than the optimum amount. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Assume a developing country prioritizes dynamic efficiency by granting monopolies to domestic firms. How might this strategic decision affect long-run economic development given the risk factors associated with innovation?

<p>Suboptimal development in local industries may occur if local monopolies crowd out competition, leading to technological lock-in and reduced long-run growth. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the chain-linked model, under what circumstances would a firm MOST likely transition from relying primarily on 'K' (existing scientific knowledge) to engaging in 'R' (original scientific research)?

<p>Known scientific principles are inadequate to resolve design problems encountered during the 'analytic design' and testing phases. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Within the chain-linked model, what is the most significant effect on the innovation process of 'Arrow D' (Radical Innovation -> Science)?

<p>Provides new instrumentation and tools that open up avenues of scientific exploration. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Linear Model of Innovation

A model where innovation progresses linearly from research to development, production, and marketing.

Chain-Linked Model of Innovation

A model acknowledging feedback loops and interactions between different stages of innovation, including science, design, manufacturing and marketing.

Drawback of Linear Model

The belief that technological innovation has a lack of key feedback loops.

Exogenous View of Science

The view that technology is simply the application of scientific knowledge.

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The State's Role

In the linear model, the view that innovation policies must address market failures.

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Market Failure

A situation where private investment in innovation is less than socially optimal.

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Bayh-Dole Act

The authorization for universities to patent federally funded research outputs.

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Uncertainty

Domination of R&D results that leads to maximum uncertainty with basic/scientific research.

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Marginal Benefits of Research

Dependence upon the number of innovations (how many, how far in time, in what sectors?).

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Stored Scientific Knowledge

Scientific knowledge that's readily available.

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Scientific research (university)

Creation of New Knowledge.

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Invention

New ways to achieve function.

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Analytical Design

Innovation by re-configuration, putting base components together.

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Assumption 1

A chain linked model of innovation where existing technology allows for constant average costs.

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Assumption 2

A chain linked model of innovation where non-drastic (incremental) process innovation is available.

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Study Notes

Models of Innovation

  • Economists considered technological innovation a "black box," focusing only on inputs and outputs
  • Innovation policies rely on understanding how innovation works
  • The linear model and the chain-linked model are two different takes on innovation

The Linear Model

  • This model flows in a linear direction with steps of research, development, production, and marketing
  • Examples include medicine, JET, Nuclear power and mRNA

Linear Model Origins

  • The linear model had origins in the success of WWII science programs, like the Manhattan Project
  • It also takes into account top-down (Fordist) managerial approaches

Linear Model: Key Objectives

  • A key objective of the linear model was supporting "big science" policies in the US and UK in the 1940s-60s

Influence Today

  • Justification for "public support to science" exists
  • There is a classification scheme for R&D statistics

Drawbacks of the Linear Model

  • Innovation design isn't optimized without feedback and trials; shortcomings and failures are part of learning
  • An example of using feedback occurred with the Boeing 707 and DC-8 where the success of the 707 involved Boeing correcting the aircraft size and flight range
  • Other sources of innovation, like learning by doing, are neglected
  • Technology is merely applied science
  • The problems of flow opened a new scientific discipline: asymptotic perturbation theory
  • Important inventions occur when science is inadequate
  • When the asymptotic perturbation theory wasn't advanced, engineers could still design airplane wings
  • Often, the knowledge to innovate already exists, however new research is needed when existing knowledge falls short

Linear Model Role of State

  • According to the linear model, these are the 2 market failures in the production of knowledge
  • Suboptimal private provision of innovation
  • Arrow addresses this in 1962
  • Suboptimal private provision of basic science
  • Nelson addresses this in 1959
  • An uncertainty exists in the application of scientific knowledge
  • Countries are active R&D actors

Economic Welfare and Allocation of Resources for Invention: Assumptions

  • Arrow states existing technology allows for constant average costs: c0
  • Non-drastic (incremental) process innovation is available:c1 < c0 AND pmonopoly(c1 ) > c0
  • Innovation can be introduced by spending a lump-sum R in R&D
  • Once introduced, the innovation is fully appropriable (no imitation) -> patent of infinite length

Arrow (1962): Question

  • Who has the greatest incentive to innovate?
  • Monopolist
  • Perfectly competitive firm
  • Public planner -> state

Arrow (1962): Monopolist Incentive

  • INCENTIVE = P(c1) – P (c0) (sake of simplicity: discount rate over time = 1)
  • P(c0) = total revenues – costs

Arrow (1962): Perfect Competition

  • The price of the innovative firm is c0-~
  • Innovation incentive = P(c1) – 0 = A+B

Arrow (1962): Public Planner

  • Innovation incentive = Welfare (c1) – Welfare (c0) = A+B+C area

Arrow (1962): Conclusions

  • Incentive to Innovate:
  • Monopolist = A
  • Perfectly competitive firm = A + B
  • Public planner = A + B + C
  • Market Failure: If innovation investment is left to the private sector, it leads to underinvestment
  • Remedies
  • Direct public investment in R&D for public provision of inventions
  • Subsidies to private investment in R&D for private provision of inventions (R&D tax credit in France)
  • Competitive markets give firms more incentives to invest in R&D

Knowledge and Uncertainty

  • Three strong assumptions of Arrow in 1962
  • The innovative effort produces only one innovation
  • Complete appropriability of the innovation
  • There is no uncertainty
  • R&D investments in the real world are the closer to basic research

Simple Economics of Basic Research: Characteristics

  • Research results and especially basic research are uncertain
  • Only big firms bear this
  • Big firms have the « random screening » process
  • There are several innovations from 1 discovery, such as gene editing to create modified plants, disease treatments, drug production, and modified animals

Simple Economics of Basic Research: Appropriability/Innovation

  • There is very low appropriability of basic research
  • Firms cannot patent scientific principles/formulas
  • Firms only patent commercial applications
  • Innovations are far in time
  • Maxwell's equations led to medicine's use of x-rays
  • There is a minimum level of investment in R&D needed to get the right innovation
  • Minimum size of R&D labs is important
  • There is also a need for large budget

Knowledge and Uncertainty Assumptions

  • Uncertainty dominates R&D, particularly with basic/scientific research
  • Marginal Benefits depend upon the number of innovations
  • Marginal costs of research become constant for sake of simplicity

Nelson (1959): Incentive to Invest in Basic R

  • Public planner > Monopolist (Large firm) > Competitive (small firm)
  • Notice the difference from Arrow (1962)
  • Market failure occurs when investment in basic research is left to the sector, because it leads to underinvestment

What Are The Basic R Remedies

  • The state invests in the basic research
  • There is cooperative industry-public basic research
  • Some countries scarify static efficiency for the dynamic efficiency to let big firms have market power to do basic research

The State Does Basic Research

  • It relies on Big National Institutions specializing in basic disciplines:
  • Max-Planck-Institut (D)
  • National Science Foundation (NSF, USA)
  • Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS, F)
  • Centro Nazionale delle Ricerche (CNR, I)
  • Origin: 1st half of XX century
  • Research labs alternative/complementary to universities
  • There are Big National Institutions dedicated to technologies
  • ENEA (ex atomic energy, now environment-energy…)
  • Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori
  • Agenzia Spaziale Italiana
  • Origin: post WWII "Big Science" projects -> linear model of innovation
  • Universities are strong in Anglo-Saxon/Scandinavian countries, but growing everywhere
  • Till late XIX century, they were just teaching institutions

Coop Basic Research/Industry-Public: Bayh-Dole Act

  • In 1980, the Act authorized universities/faculty to patent federally funded research outputs
  • The Bayh-Dole Act led universities to make university research conduct more appropriable and interesting
  • Research units were designed within universities to attract/accept commercial funds
  • This was done by promising transfer of intellectual property rights on discoveries
  • Universities signed research contracts, like the deal between Hoechst and Harvard in 1984

Efficiency Scarification

  • Some countries scarify static efficiency for dynamic efficiency by leaving big firms market power so they can do basic research

Rise of Science

  • Since the 1950's, there have been trends of an explosion of public funding of R&D in the 1950's and 1960's in the United States and Europe
  • There was growth of business R&D and emergence of East Asia

Official Statistics: Key Info

  • There is VERY LARGE cross-country differences in R&D intensity/composition due to:
  • Industrial structure
  • Science policies
  • Military power -> defense industry
  • Educational level of population

The Chain-Linked Model

  • A descriptive model but scarcely tractable by formal analysis
  • Origin
  • Critique in the 1970's, for US and UK science policies
  • Critique for large firms' approach to R&D

Chain-Linked Model Characteristics

  • Endogeneity of science
  • Complexity of science and technology links
  • Highlights "hidden" innovation sources and how science relates
  • Criticizes distinctions between Basic/Applied research
  • The path is called the Central-Chain Innovation. It's labelled with C
  • Feedback links are labeled with f and F, connecting the perceived market needs to potential product/service improvements

Economic Side Importance

  • Concorde is an an example of something that was a technological achievement but an economic failure; fuel per passenger costs 15 times that of a 747
  • Apppeal depends on solar energy's cost relative to others

Innovation Origins

  • Invention is achieving functions that aren't obvious based on skill from prior art
  • i.e., gene editing or transistors
  • Analytic design has innovations from re-configuration with technology of base components
  • The science and innovation link isn't only at the beginning of the innovation process, it also extends alongside the development process
  • Stored scientific knowledge is first used, then scientific research
  • Research is more costly/time consuming

Arrows and Science

  • Arrow D involves radical innovations like lasers, semiconductors, and genetic engineering
  • Arrow I involves technology from product innovation to science
  • Example of this is Microscope -> modern medicine
  • Example of this is Telescope -> astronomy

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