Machine Learning Fundamentals Quiz
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Questions and Answers

What is the primary source of machine learning's practical value today?

  • Unsupervised learning
  • Reinforcement learning
  • Semi-supervised learning
  • Supervised learning (correct)
  • What is one reason why deep learning ideas are gaining traction now?

  • Reduced complexity in algorithms
  • Decreased computational power
  • Declining data generation
  • Increased data availability (correct)
  • What happens to the performance of older learning algorithms, like logistic regression, as more data is added?

  • Performance diminishes
  • Performance continuously improves
  • Performance plateaus (correct)
  • Performance improves linearly
  • What is a reliable method to enhance an algorithm's performance according to the content?

    <p>Train a larger neural network and gather more data</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How does the performance of a small neural network compare to that of older algorithms when tasked with large datasets?

    <p>It can achieve slightly better performance</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What relationship is implied between the size of neural networks and their performance?

    <p>Larger networks generally lead to better performance</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a critical factor for optimizing performance in machine learning algorithms besides the size of the dataset?

    <p>The intricacy of the neural network architecture</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which statement accurately reflects the learning curve of older algorithms as more data is introduced?

    <p>They show a diminishing return on learning</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is meant by treating N-1 criteria as satisficing metrics in the context of model optimization?

    <p>N-1 criteria are minimized while optimizing the last one.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In the example provided, what is the role of false negatives in the wakeword detection system?

    <p>It needs to be minimized as part of the optimizing metric.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Why is accuracy considered the optimizing metric in the context of the wakeword detection system?

    <p>It directly influences user experience and system responsiveness.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How does the iterative process in machine learning enhance system development?

    <p>It allows for gradual refinement based on continuous learning.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a reasonable goal for the performance of a wakeword detection system regarding false positives?

    <p>No more than one false positive every 24 hours.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a key benefit of having a dev set and metric during machine learning iterations?

    <p>It speeds up learning about the effectiveness of ideas.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What common approach does Andrew Ng suggest when developing a machine learning system?

    <p>Generating ideas, coding, and experimenting in rapid cycles.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which statement correctly characterizes the relationship between the optimizing and satisficing metrics?

    <p>Satisficing metrics set boundaries, while the optimizing metric is maximized.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does it indicate if the performance on the development set is significantly better than the performance on the test set?

    <p>The model has overfit to the dev set.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How can you track a team's progress without risking overfitting to the test set?

    <p>Regularly evaluate on the test set without making decisions.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What should be done if a chosen metric fails to accurately represent the project's requirements?

    <p>Change the evaluation metric to better suit the project's needs.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What might indicate that adding more training data will not help achieve the desired error rate?

    <p>The dev error curve has plateaued.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a potential downside of relying solely on the dev error curve for performance estimation?

    <p>It may be challenging to predict behavior with more data.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Why is it important not to make decisions based on test set performance during algorithm development?

    <p>It may result in a biased estimate of system performance.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does it mean if classifier A ranks higher than classifier B based on classification accuracy, yet allows inappropriate content through?

    <p>The accuracy metric may not align with the project's priorities.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Why might training error increase as the training set size grows?

    <p>More data leads to increased complexity and potential mislabeling.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the impact of overfitting to the dev set on future evaluations?

    <p>It can result in misleadingly high performance on the dev set.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What would typically happen to the dev set error as the training set size increases?

    <p>It tends to decrease as the training set size grows.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In what scenario might a team need to change their evaluation metrics?

    <p>When the initial metrics do not provide a clear goal for the algorithm development.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How can one estimate the effect of adding more data on the training error?

    <p>By analyzing patterns in the training error plot.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a common consequence of failing to update dev/test sets during a project?

    <p>It leads to the team becoming overly reliant on initial assumptions.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What should be considered when determining the 'desired error rate' for a learning algorithm?

    <p>The level of performance users consider satisfactory.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is suggested if doubling the training set size appears plausible for reaching desired performance?

    <p>Your dev error curve likely shows consistent improvement.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What factor can influence the intuition about progress in performance over time?

    <p>The amount of past experience in the application area.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the main consequence of having different distributions for dev and test sets?

    <p>It might lead to confusion about performance issues.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Why should dev and test sets reflect the same distribution?

    <p>To facilitate clear diagnosis of overfitting.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which statement reflects a potential outcome of developing a model that succeeds on the dev set but fails on the test set?

    <p>There may be multiple reasons for the discrepancy in performance.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a key recommendation for creating dev and test sets?

    <p>Select segments that ensure the dev set contributes to improving all geographic performances.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    If a dev set is performing well, what is a possible interpretation if the test set performance is poor?

    <p>The test set distribution may simply be harder.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is one of the suggested solutions to improve dev set performance if overfitting is suspected?

    <p>Acquiring more data for the dev set.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following is a potential issue with working on dev set performance improvement when distributions are mismatched?

    <p>It introduces uncertainty about test performance outcomes.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the likely scenario if a team has a model that is well optimized for the dev set but underperforms on the test set?

    <p>The team may have overfit to the dev set.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In which scenario would a neural network generally be favored over traditional algorithms?

    <p>When the dataset contains a million examples</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What can significantly affect the performance of traditional algorithms in the small data regime?

    <p>How features are hand-engineered</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What was one major issue identified when deploying the cat picture classifier?

    <p>The images in the training set differed significantly from user-uploaded images</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does the phrase 'generalization' in machine learning refer to?

    <p>A model's performance on unseen data</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a common rule for splitting datasets prior to the modern era of big data?

    <p>70% for training and 30% for testing</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How might the complexity of developing machine learning models be described?

    <p>Solutions require elaborate strategies for both traditional and modern algorithms</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What aspect of user-uploaded images caused a performance drop for the cat classifier?

    <p>Images taken with mobile phones had lower resolution and poor lighting</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does the author imply about the role of dataset size in model performance?

    <p>The effect of datasets size varies greatly between traditional algorithms and neural networks</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Study Notes

    Machine Learning Yearning

    • Machine learning is central to many applications (e.g., web search, email anti-spam)
    • The book aims to help teams make rapid progress in machine learning projects
    • Data availability (more digital activity = more data) & computational scale are key recent drivers of progress in deep learning.
    • Older algorithms plateau, but deep learning models improve as the dataset grows.
    • Effective machine learning projects require careful setup of development (dev) and test sets, reflecting future data distributions.
    • Dev/test sets should ideally match future data distribution; this might require creating a dev/test set, and modifying the training and test sets to reflect the distribution.
    • Single number evaluation metrics, like accuracy, facilitate choosing between two algorithms.
    • Using multiple metrics might be less effective, but combining into an aggregate metric (e.g., average) is a common technique.
    • Multiple performance metrics should be considered and weighed to reflect the tradeoffs needed.
    • Having a dev set and a defined evaluation metric helps teams iterate quickly by focusing on actionable data, rather than wasting time.

    Prerequisites and Notation

    • Familiarity with supervised learning and neural networks is assumed
    • Referencing Andrew Ng's Coursera course is encouraged.

    Scale drives machine learning progress

    • Data availability and computational scale drive recent progress.
    • Increasing amounts of data usually leads to plateaus in performance for older algorithms.
    • Training larger neural networks generally leads to better performance with larger datasets.

    Setting up dev and test sets

    • Dev sets should reflect future data, not necessarily match the training set.
    • The dev set should be large enough to detect subtle differences between algorithms, and test sets should be large enough to give confidence in the system's reliability.
    • Choose dev sets to reflect data you expect to get and want to do well on.

    Your dev and test sets should come from the same distribution

    • Inconsistent dev and test sets can lead to poor generalization and wasted effort.
    • Dev/test sets should ideally match the distribution of data the model will see in the future.
    • Test sets should be a sample from the distribution of data that the model will see in the future.
    • It is fine to test or change your expectations on your models, or the data distributions your models might use, but be consistent and explicit about this.
    • If the dev/test sets come from different distributions, it may be harder to identify the cause of underperformance.

    Establish a single-number evaluation metric

    • Single-number evaluation metrics (e.g., accuracy) help in comparing algorithms.
    • Multiple metrics can be combined into a single metric (e.g., weighted average).
    • The most important performance metrics should be used as evaluation metrics, then a clear preference is defined.

    Optimizing and satisficing metrics

    • "Satisficing metrics" provide acceptable performance thresholds for certain criteria.
    • "Optimizing metrics" focus on achieving the best performance possible.
    • Metrics are combined to prioritize what to work on and get the most improvements.
    • The correct optimization metric should balance the need for rapid iterations and accurate identification of potential improvements.

    Having a dev set and metric speeds up iterations

    • An iterative process is recommended for creating an ML system that quickly measures performance.
    • Use of dev set and metrics is a valuable technique for quickly evaluating an idea's efficacy.

    When to change dev/test sets and metrics

    • If the initial dev/test set or metric no longer aligns with the project goals, then change them.
    • Ideally, the dev and test sets should reflect the data distribution that you expect in the future.

    Basic Error Analysis

    • Analyze misclassified examples to understand patterns and causes of errors.
    • This analysis helps focus optimization efforts effectively.

    Build your first system quickly, then iterate

    • Start with a basic system and iterate based on error analysis feedback, quickly improving performance.

    Evaluating multiple ideas in parallel during error analysis

    • Evaluating multiple ideas in parallel allows teams to make rapid progress.

    Bias and Variance

    • Bias and variance are the two main sources of error in machine learning models.
    • Bias is the difference between the training set prediction errors, and the true errors (i.e., ideal error rate).
    • Variance measures the difference between the training set error and the development set error.
    • Learning curve plots visualize the trade-off between bias and variance as the size of the training set grows.

    Comparing to the optimal error rate

    • Compare algorithm performance to the optimal error rate ("unavoidable bias") to differentiate "bias sources" and "variance sources".
    • This will help in prioritizing improvement areas effectively, rather than assuming everything needs improvement.

    Addressing Bias and Variance

    • Techniques to address high bias: Increase model size, modify input features, reduce/remove regularization
    • Techniques to address high variance: Add more training data, add regularization, modify model architecture.

    Learning curves

    • Learning curves plot algorithm performance on training data against size of the training set.
    • This provides insight into improving the model's ability to generalize to unseen data.
    • Learning curves can be combined to show the bias and variance in your algorithm as it learns.

    Error analysis on the training set

    • Examine the algorithm's performance on the training set to understand any shortcomings before introducing new optimization techniques.

    Techniques for reducing variance

    • Adding more training data is usually helpful for reducing variance.
    • Regularization techniques can usually reduce variance, but may increase bias
    • Modifying the model architecture may reduce bias, but can increase variance.
    • Selecting the appropriate techniques will depend on a range of factors.

    Error analysis by parts

    • Attributing errors to specific components (A, B, C) of the pipeline makes the optimization process clearer.
    • Analyzing error by parts can reveal which part of a pipeline is lacking, or insufficient, and highlight why the algorithm performs differently on different parts.

    Directly learning rich outputs

    • Deep learning allows more complex outputs than simple numbers (e.g., images, sentences, audio), rather than a simple number, or integer.
    • Outputting entire sentences, or images, as opposed to a single number, can improve system performance in specific cases.

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    Test your understanding of key concepts in machine learning, including the value of deep learning, the performance of algorithms with more data, and optimizing model performance. This quiz covers essential topics relevant to current trends in the field.

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