Machine Learning Fundamentals Quiz

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Questions and Answers

What is the primary source of machine learning's practical value today?

  • Unsupervised learning
  • Reinforcement learning
  • Semi-supervised learning
  • Supervised learning (correct)

What is one reason why deep learning ideas are gaining traction now?

  • Reduced complexity in algorithms
  • Decreased computational power
  • Declining data generation
  • Increased data availability (correct)

What happens to the performance of older learning algorithms, like logistic regression, as more data is added?

  • Performance diminishes
  • Performance continuously improves
  • Performance plateaus (correct)
  • Performance improves linearly

What is a reliable method to enhance an algorithm's performance according to the content?

<p>Train a larger neural network and gather more data (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does the performance of a small neural network compare to that of older algorithms when tasked with large datasets?

<p>It can achieve slightly better performance (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What relationship is implied between the size of neural networks and their performance?

<p>Larger networks generally lead to better performance (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a critical factor for optimizing performance in machine learning algorithms besides the size of the dataset?

<p>The intricacy of the neural network architecture (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which statement accurately reflects the learning curve of older algorithms as more data is introduced?

<p>They show a diminishing return on learning (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is meant by treating N-1 criteria as satisficing metrics in the context of model optimization?

<p>N-1 criteria are minimized while optimizing the last one. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the example provided, what is the role of false negatives in the wakeword detection system?

<p>It needs to be minimized as part of the optimizing metric. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why is accuracy considered the optimizing metric in the context of the wakeword detection system?

<p>It directly influences user experience and system responsiveness. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does the iterative process in machine learning enhance system development?

<p>It allows for gradual refinement based on continuous learning. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a reasonable goal for the performance of a wakeword detection system regarding false positives?

<p>No more than one false positive every 24 hours. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a key benefit of having a dev set and metric during machine learning iterations?

<p>It speeds up learning about the effectiveness of ideas. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What common approach does Andrew Ng suggest when developing a machine learning system?

<p>Generating ideas, coding, and experimenting in rapid cycles. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which statement correctly characterizes the relationship between the optimizing and satisficing metrics?

<p>Satisficing metrics set boundaries, while the optimizing metric is maximized. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does it indicate if the performance on the development set is significantly better than the performance on the test set?

<p>The model has overfit to the dev set. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How can you track a team's progress without risking overfitting to the test set?

<p>Regularly evaluate on the test set without making decisions. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What should be done if a chosen metric fails to accurately represent the project's requirements?

<p>Change the evaluation metric to better suit the project's needs. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What might indicate that adding more training data will not help achieve the desired error rate?

<p>The dev error curve has plateaued. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a potential downside of relying solely on the dev error curve for performance estimation?

<p>It may be challenging to predict behavior with more data. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why is it important not to make decisions based on test set performance during algorithm development?

<p>It may result in a biased estimate of system performance. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does it mean if classifier A ranks higher than classifier B based on classification accuracy, yet allows inappropriate content through?

<p>The accuracy metric may not align with the project's priorities. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why might training error increase as the training set size grows?

<p>More data leads to increased complexity and potential mislabeling. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the impact of overfitting to the dev set on future evaluations?

<p>It can result in misleadingly high performance on the dev set. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What would typically happen to the dev set error as the training set size increases?

<p>It tends to decrease as the training set size grows. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In what scenario might a team need to change their evaluation metrics?

<p>When the initial metrics do not provide a clear goal for the algorithm development. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How can one estimate the effect of adding more data on the training error?

<p>By analyzing patterns in the training error plot. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a common consequence of failing to update dev/test sets during a project?

<p>It leads to the team becoming overly reliant on initial assumptions. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What should be considered when determining the 'desired error rate' for a learning algorithm?

<p>The level of performance users consider satisfactory. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is suggested if doubling the training set size appears plausible for reaching desired performance?

<p>Your dev error curve likely shows consistent improvement. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What factor can influence the intuition about progress in performance over time?

<p>The amount of past experience in the application area. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the main consequence of having different distributions for dev and test sets?

<p>It might lead to confusion about performance issues. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why should dev and test sets reflect the same distribution?

<p>To facilitate clear diagnosis of overfitting. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which statement reflects a potential outcome of developing a model that succeeds on the dev set but fails on the test set?

<p>There may be multiple reasons for the discrepancy in performance. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a key recommendation for creating dev and test sets?

<p>Select segments that ensure the dev set contributes to improving all geographic performances. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a dev set is performing well, what is a possible interpretation if the test set performance is poor?

<p>The test set distribution may simply be harder. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is one of the suggested solutions to improve dev set performance if overfitting is suspected?

<p>Acquiring more data for the dev set. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is a potential issue with working on dev set performance improvement when distributions are mismatched?

<p>It introduces uncertainty about test performance outcomes. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the likely scenario if a team has a model that is well optimized for the dev set but underperforms on the test set?

<p>The team may have overfit to the dev set. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In which scenario would a neural network generally be favored over traditional algorithms?

<p>When the dataset contains a million examples (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What can significantly affect the performance of traditional algorithms in the small data regime?

<p>How features are hand-engineered (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was one major issue identified when deploying the cat picture classifier?

<p>The images in the training set differed significantly from user-uploaded images (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the phrase 'generalization' in machine learning refer to?

<p>A model's performance on unseen data (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a common rule for splitting datasets prior to the modern era of big data?

<p>70% for training and 30% for testing (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How might the complexity of developing machine learning models be described?

<p>Solutions require elaborate strategies for both traditional and modern algorithms (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What aspect of user-uploaded images caused a performance drop for the cat classifier?

<p>Images taken with mobile phones had lower resolution and poor lighting (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the author imply about the role of dataset size in model performance?

<p>The effect of datasets size varies greatly between traditional algorithms and neural networks (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Deep Learning

The term "deep learning" refers to the use of artificial neural networks, which are complex structures inspired by the human brain, for learning tasks.

Supervised Learning

Supervised learning is a type of machine learning where the algorithm is trained on labeled data, meaning each data point has a corresponding output or target value. This allows the algorithm to learn the relationship between inputs and outputs and predict outcomes for new data.

Data Availability

The availability of vast amounts of data generated by digital activities on devices like smartphones and computers has fueled the growth of machine learning.

Computational Scale

The ability to train large and complex neural networks, with increasing computational power, has significantly contributed to the progress of deep learning.

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Performance Plateau

The performance of older machine learning algorithms like logistic regression often plateaus, meaning they stop improving even with more data. This happens because they might not be designed to effectively handle the complexity of large datasets.

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Limits of Older Algorithms

Even with more data, older algorithms can sometimes fall short of the performance achieved by deep learning models, especially when dealing with complex patterns.

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Larger Neural Networks

Larger neural networks, with more hidden layers and parameters, can often achieve better performance on complex tasks by capturing intricate patterns and relationships.

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Data and Network Size

The performance improvements achieved by increasing the size of neural networks are often accompanied by a need for larger datasets to train them effectively.

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Data distribution

Your training data should represent the real-world scenarios you want your model to perform well on.

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Dev and test sets

Your 'dev set' and 'test set' should be drawn from the same distribution as the real-world data you want to model.

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Mismatched distributions

If your 'dev set' and 'test set' have different distributions, your model might perform well on one but not the other.

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Overfitting the dev set

When you're focused on improving dev set performance, ensure you are not simply overfitting to the specific data in the dev set.

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Harder test set

The test set might be inherently more challenging than the dev set, making it difficult to improve model performance.

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Different test set

The dev set and test set might have different characteristics that lead to different model performance, even if the test set isn't inherently harder.

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Uncertainty in performance

When dev and test sets come from different distributions, it's hard to tell if improvements on the dev set actually translate to improved performance on the test set.

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Real-world performance

Focus on improving your model's performance on the real-world data distribution, not just on a specific dev set.

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Dataset Size and Algorithm Choice

The performance of machine learning models can vary significantly depending on the size of the training dataset. In general, neural networks excel with massive datasets, while traditional algorithms may perform well with smaller datasets, particularly if features are carefully engineered.

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Overfitting

When a machine learning model performs well on the training data but poorly on unseen data, it indicates that the model has not generalized well. This means it has learned specific patterns from the training data, but struggles to apply these patterns to new, real-world scenarios.

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Hand-Engineered Features

Hand-engineered features are manually crafted representations of data that highlight important characteristics relevant to the task. These features require domain expertise and can significantly improve the performance of traditional algorithms.

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Development Set

A development set is a subset of data used to evaluate and tune hyperparameters, including the model's architecture and learning rate. It helps to find the optimal configuration for the model before deploying it on the test set.

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Test Set

A test set is a completely unseen dataset used to measure the final performance of a machine learning model. It provides an objective evaluation of the model's ability to generalize to new, unseen data.

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Random Data Split

In machine learning, a common practice is to split data into training and test sets using a random 70%/30% split. This approach assumes a homogeneous data distribution, which might not hold true in real-world scenarios.

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Data Mismatch

When training data and test data differ significantly in their underlying distribution, the model may perform poorly on the test set due to its inability to generalize to the real-world data distribution. This is known as data mismatch or distribution shift.

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Optimizing Metric

The primary metric used to judge the performance of your model. It is the one you strive to optimize by adjusting your system's parameters.

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Satisficing Metric

Criteria that are set to specific, acceptable values, ensuring a certain level of performance. They help constrain optimization efforts.

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Iterative Machine Learning

The process of iteratively designing, implementing, testing, and refining a machine learning system to achieve the desired performance.

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Evaluation Metric

The measure used to evaluate the performance of your machine learning model during training and on the dev set, providing a concrete gauge of its effectiveness.

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False Positive Rate

The frequency with which a system incorrectly activates when the target trigger is not present, often applied to voice recognition systems.

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False Negative Rate

The frequency with which a system fails to detect the target trigger when it is present, often applied to voice recognition systems.

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Optimizing One Metric While Satisficing Others

A process of selecting a specific performance metric to prioritize and optimize while keeping other metrics within acceptable ranges.

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Representative Testing Data

The testing data you use for your machine learning model should closely resemble the real-world data you expect to encounter.

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Appropriate Evaluation Metric

The metric used to evaluate your model should accurately reflect the true goal of your project. Choosing an inappropriate metric can lead to misleading results and decisions.

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Re-Evaluating Metric

When your chosen metric doesn't fully capture the desired outcome of your project, it's important to adjust the metric to better align with your project's goals.

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Iterative Refinement

During the development process, it's common to make adjustments to the development and test sets, as well as the evaluation metric, to ensure they are relevant and useful throughout the lifecycle of your project.

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Initial Dev/Test Setup

An initial development and testing setup, even if not perfect, helps you get started and iterate quickly during the early stages of your project.

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Testing on the Test Set

The practice of assessing your model on the final testing data only after you've completed all your development and tuning.

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Overfitting to Test Set

Constantly evaluating on the same test data during development can lead to overfitting to the test set, making the results less reliable for future performance.

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Desired Error Rate

The desired performance level you hope your machine learning algorithm will reach, for example human-level accuracy or the performance needed for a satisfactory user experience.

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Learning Curve

A visual representation that shows how the performance of your machine learning model changes as the size of the training data increases. It's like a graph that tracks your model's progress.

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Training Error

The error rate calculated on the training data. It typically decreases as the amount of training data increases.

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Dev Error

The error rate calculated on a separate dataset that wasn't used for training. It usually decreases as the amount of training data grows.

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Test Error

The error rate on a completely independent dataset that is not used for training or validation. Serves as a final evaluation of the model's ability to generalize.

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Memorization

When the model sees the same training examples multiple times during training, it can 'memorize' these specific instances, leading to low training error but poor generalization to new data.

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Study Notes

Machine Learning Yearning

  • Machine learning is central to many applications (e.g., web search, email anti-spam)
  • The book aims to help teams make rapid progress in machine learning projects
  • Data availability (more digital activity = more data) & computational scale are key recent drivers of progress in deep learning.
  • Older algorithms plateau, but deep learning models improve as the dataset grows.
  • Effective machine learning projects require careful setup of development (dev) and test sets, reflecting future data distributions.
  • Dev/test sets should ideally match future data distribution; this might require creating a dev/test set, and modifying the training and test sets to reflect the distribution.
  • Single number evaluation metrics, like accuracy, facilitate choosing between two algorithms.
  • Using multiple metrics might be less effective, but combining into an aggregate metric (e.g., average) is a common technique.
  • Multiple performance metrics should be considered and weighed to reflect the tradeoffs needed.
  • Having a dev set and a defined evaluation metric helps teams iterate quickly by focusing on actionable data, rather than wasting time.

Prerequisites and Notation

  • Familiarity with supervised learning and neural networks is assumed
  • Referencing Andrew Ng's Coursera course is encouraged.

Scale drives machine learning progress

  • Data availability and computational scale drive recent progress.
  • Increasing amounts of data usually leads to plateaus in performance for older algorithms.
  • Training larger neural networks generally leads to better performance with larger datasets.

Setting up dev and test sets

  • Dev sets should reflect future data, not necessarily match the training set.
  • The dev set should be large enough to detect subtle differences between algorithms, and test sets should be large enough to give confidence in the system's reliability.
  • Choose dev sets to reflect data you expect to get and want to do well on.

Your dev and test sets should come from the same distribution

  • Inconsistent dev and test sets can lead to poor generalization and wasted effort.
  • Dev/test sets should ideally match the distribution of data the model will see in the future.
  • Test sets should be a sample from the distribution of data that the model will see in the future.
  • It is fine to test or change your expectations on your models, or the data distributions your models might use, but be consistent and explicit about this.
  • If the dev/test sets come from different distributions, it may be harder to identify the cause of underperformance.

Establish a single-number evaluation metric

  • Single-number evaluation metrics (e.g., accuracy) help in comparing algorithms.
  • Multiple metrics can be combined into a single metric (e.g., weighted average).
  • The most important performance metrics should be used as evaluation metrics, then a clear preference is defined.

Optimizing and satisficing metrics

  • "Satisficing metrics" provide acceptable performance thresholds for certain criteria.
  • "Optimizing metrics" focus on achieving the best performance possible.
  • Metrics are combined to prioritize what to work on and get the most improvements.
  • The correct optimization metric should balance the need for rapid iterations and accurate identification of potential improvements.

Having a dev set and metric speeds up iterations

  • An iterative process is recommended for creating an ML system that quickly measures performance.
  • Use of dev set and metrics is a valuable technique for quickly evaluating an idea's efficacy.

When to change dev/test sets and metrics

  • If the initial dev/test set or metric no longer aligns with the project goals, then change them.
  • Ideally, the dev and test sets should reflect the data distribution that you expect in the future.

Basic Error Analysis

  • Analyze misclassified examples to understand patterns and causes of errors.
  • This analysis helps focus optimization efforts effectively.

Build your first system quickly, then iterate

  • Start with a basic system and iterate based on error analysis feedback, quickly improving performance.

Evaluating multiple ideas in parallel during error analysis

  • Evaluating multiple ideas in parallel allows teams to make rapid progress.

Bias and Variance

  • Bias and variance are the two main sources of error in machine learning models.
  • Bias is the difference between the training set prediction errors, and the true errors (i.e., ideal error rate).
  • Variance measures the difference between the training set error and the development set error.
  • Learning curve plots visualize the trade-off between bias and variance as the size of the training set grows.

Comparing to the optimal error rate

  • Compare algorithm performance to the optimal error rate ("unavoidable bias") to differentiate "bias sources" and "variance sources".
  • This will help in prioritizing improvement areas effectively, rather than assuming everything needs improvement.

Addressing Bias and Variance

  • Techniques to address high bias: Increase model size, modify input features, reduce/remove regularization
  • Techniques to address high variance: Add more training data, add regularization, modify model architecture.

Learning curves

  • Learning curves plot algorithm performance on training data against size of the training set.
  • This provides insight into improving the model's ability to generalize to unseen data.
  • Learning curves can be combined to show the bias and variance in your algorithm as it learns.

Error analysis on the training set

  • Examine the algorithm's performance on the training set to understand any shortcomings before introducing new optimization techniques.

Techniques for reducing variance

  • Adding more training data is usually helpful for reducing variance.
  • Regularization techniques can usually reduce variance, but may increase bias
  • Modifying the model architecture may reduce bias, but can increase variance.
  • Selecting the appropriate techniques will depend on a range of factors.

Error analysis by parts

  • Attributing errors to specific components (A, B, C) of the pipeline makes the optimization process clearer.
  • Analyzing error by parts can reveal which part of a pipeline is lacking, or insufficient, and highlight why the algorithm performs differently on different parts.

Directly learning rich outputs

  • Deep learning allows more complex outputs than simple numbers (e.g., images, sentences, audio), rather than a simple number, or integer.
  • Outputting entire sentences, or images, as opposed to a single number, can improve system performance in specific cases.

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