Investment Analysis - Problem Set 10
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Questions and Answers

What is the market risk premium calculated in the content?

  • 11.5%
  • 20.30%
  • 4.5%
  • 7% (correct)

Which company's required return was calculated using the CAPM to be 23.9%?

  • Southwest Airlines
  • Eastman Kodak
  • Praxair (correct)
  • US Bancorp

What is the portfolio beta calculated in the content?

  • 1.833 (correct)
  • 2.9
  • 0.7
  • 1.5

Which required return model provided a higher estimate for US Bancorp?

<p>CAPM (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the risk premium for Southwest Airlines calculated using its beta?

<p>4.9% (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Can a market be semi-strong-form efficient but not weak-form efficient?

<p>No, weak-form efficiency is a requirement for semi-strong-form efficiency. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If the market usually overreacts to bad news, what is a potential strategy for making a profit?

<p>Buying stocks after bad news to benefit from price recovery. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why is the shareholders' required return important for corporate managers?

<p>It indicates the minimum return needed to meet capital costs. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the required return if the risk-free rate is 3 percent and the risk premium is 5 percent?

<p>8 percent (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is Hastings' required return if it has a beta of 0.65, the market return is expected at 11 percent, and the risk-free rate is 4 percent?

<p>8.55 percent (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If you have a portfolio with a beta of 1.35, what will the new portfolio beta be if you invest 85 percent in it and 15 percent in a stock with a beta of 0.78?

<p>1.26 (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What happens to the required return if the risk-free rate decreases while holding the risk premium constant?

<p>The required return will decrease. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which statement about market efficiency is accurate?

<p>Semi-strong-form efficiency incorporates all public information. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What distinguishes average return from expected return?

<p>Average return is calculated from historical data only, whereas expected return incorporates probabilities. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why do investors accept market risk when investing?

<p>Investors expect to earn a risk premium, leading to greater wealth accumulation. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the significance of portfolios on the capital market line compared to those on the efficient frontier?

<p>Portfolios on the capital market line provide higher expected return for the same risk level. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is one reason a firm’s beta might be considered too low?

<p>The firm operates in a competitive industry with constant market battles. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which method is used to measure both historical and expected risk?

<p>Standard deviation (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which firm mentioned seems to have an appropriate beta reflecting its market risk?

<p>Procter &amp; Gamble, because of its diversified product range. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What type of average is used to compute average return?

<p>Simple average (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does a higher beta value indicate about a firm?

<p>It is more sensitive to market movements and carries greater risk. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is Paccar's required return based on the projected dividend and growth rate?

<p>10.46% (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the expected return from the given economic state probability distribution?

<p>8.5% (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the portfolio beta of an investor with $10,000 in Olympic Steel, $7,000 in Rent-a-Center, and $8,000 in Lincoln Educational?

<p>1.46 (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which component is NOT involved in calculating the standard deviation of expected return?

<p>Actual market return (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How do you calculate the weight of Olympic Steel in the portfolio?

<p>$10,000 divided by $25,000 (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following values represents the risk-free rate mentioned in the problems?

<p>4.5% (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the market risk premium if the market return is 11.5% and the risk-free rate is 4.5%?

<p>7.0% (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the overall portfolio value calculated from the investments listed?

<p>$25,000 (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Average Return vs. Expected Return

Average return is calculated using historical data, while expected return is a forward-looking estimate based on probabilities of future returns.

Risk Premium

The extra return investors expect to earn for taking on the risk of investing in the market compared to investing in a risk-free asset.

Capital Market Line (CML)

A line representing the best possible risk-return combinations for portfolios that include the market portfolio and the risk-free asset.

Efficient Frontier

A curve representing the set of all possible portfolios with the highest expected return for each level of risk.

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Beta

Measures a stock's volatility relative to the overall market. A beta of 1 means the stock moves with the market, a beta greater than 1 means it's more volatile, and a beta less than 1 means it's less volatile.

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Diversified Firms

Companies with operations in various industries, making them less vulnerable to economic downturns.

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Market Share Battle

A competitive situation where companies strive to gain a larger share of the market.

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Financial Firm

A company that provides financial services, such as investing, lending, and banking.

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Market Risk Premium

The difference between the expected return on the market portfolio and the risk-free rate. It reflects the additional return investors demand for bearing systematic risk.

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Company Risk Premium

The additional return investors demand for investing in a specific company compared to the market portfolio. This is influenced by the company's beta, which measures its volatility relative to the market.

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CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model)

A formula used to calculate the expected return on an asset based on its risk and the market's expected return. It considers the risk-free rate, beta, and market risk premium.

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Constant Growth Model

A valuation model that estimates the intrinsic value of a stock based on its current dividend, expected dividend growth rate, and required rate of return.

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Required Return

The minimum return an investor expects to earn on an investment, taking into account its risk and opportunity cost.

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Expected Return

The average return an investment is expected to generate over a period of time, considering all possible outcomes and their probabilities.

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Standard Deviation

A measure of the dispersion or variability of a set of data points around the mean or expected value.

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Portfolio Beta

The weighted average of the betas of the individual assets in a portfolio, reflecting the portfolio's overall sensitivity to market risk.

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Risk Premium of Stock

The additional return investors demand for investing in a specific stock compared to a risk-free asset.

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Risk Premium of Portfolio

The additional return investors demand for holding the entire portfolio compared to a risk-free asset.

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Semi-strong form efficiency

A market is semi-strong form efficient if all publicly available information is reflected in asset prices. This includes historical prices, financial statements, news releases, and analyst reports. It means that investors cannot earn abnormal returns using publicly available information.

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Weak-form efficiency

A market is weak-form efficient if prices reflect all past price and volume information. This means that technical analysis, which seeks to find patterns in historical price data, cannot consistently generate abnormal returns.

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Overreaction to bad news

When the market overreacts to bad news, it means that prices fall too far initially and then partially rebound. This creates an opportunity for investors to buy after the bad news and capture the price bounce.

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Shareholders' required return

The minimum return that shareholders expect to earn on their investment in a company. It is the rate of return necessary to compensate shareholders for the risk they are taking.

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Risk-free rate

The rate of return on a risk-free investment, such as a U.S. Treasury bond. It represents the return investors can earn with no risk.

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Study Notes

Problem Set 10 - Study Notes

  • Problem 1 (a): Average return is calculated by averaging historical returns. Expected return is a forward-looking estimate, weighted by the probability of different outcomes. Both methods use historical data, though expected return is forward-looking. Historical risk and expected risk (both measured in standard deviation) use historical return data.

  • Problem 1 (b): People take investment risk to potentially earn a risk premium (more return than risk-free investment). This allows for significant wealth growth, but investors must have a long-term perspective and acknowledge potential short-term losses.

  • Problem 2 (a): Portfolios on the Capital Market Line (CML) provide better risk-return trade-offs because they offer higher returns at every risk level compared to the efficient frontier.

  • Problem 2 (b): Procter & Gamble and Johnson & Johnson have reasonable betas (0.38, 0.70), indicating appropriate risk for their firm types. Nike's (0.84) beta is potentially too low, hinting at lower risk than expected. Goldman Sachs' beta (1.50) is high, implying a relatively high level of risk compared to competitors like JPMorgan Chase (1.22).

  • Problem 3 (a): A market can be semi-strong-form efficient but not weak-form efficient. This is contradictory - a market cannot be semi-strong-form efficient without also being weak-form efficient because weak-form efficiency is essentially a subset of or part of the semi-strong-form.

  • Problem 3 (b): If the market overreacts to bad news, investors could profit by buying stocks after significant price drop due to bad news, and capitalizing on the rebound.

  • Problem 4: Shareholders' required return is important because managers must ensure the projects they fund (using shareholder resources) achieve a return that exceeds the required return. This is crucial to maintain investor confidence and secure future funding.

  • Problem 5: Required return = risk-free rate + risk premium (3% + 5% = 8%).

  • Problem 6: Hastings Entertainment's required return (using CAPM) is 8.55% (risk-free rate + beta * market risk premium).

  • Problem 7: The new portfolio's beta is found by weighting the old portfolio beta with the new stock beta. (0.85 multiplied by old portfolio Beta + 0.15 multiplied by new beta).

  • Problem 8: Paccar's required return is calculated by using the formula from slide 10-31 (use the formula from the provided slide).

  • Problem 9: Standard Deviation (calculate the standard deviation for the different returns given).

  • Problem 10: This problem involves calculating the portfolio beta. This requires calculating the weight of each stock in the portfolio and then using those weights to calculate the weighted average beta.

  • Problem 11: This problem also involves calculating portfolio beta. Again, find the weight of each stock in the portfolio, and then find the average.

  • Problem 12: Required return for each company is calculated using both CAPM and the constant-growth model. Results are then compared.

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Problem Set 10 QRM 3001 PDF

Description

This quiz covers advanced concepts in investment analysis, including the calculation of average and expected returns, risk premiums, and the Capital Market Line. It explores portfolio efficiency and risk measurements in financial markets. Prepare to test your understanding of these key topics and their implications for investing.

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