International Banking and Capital Markets - Lesson 3
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Questions and Answers

What is the purpose of the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP)?

  • To counter the risks to the monetary policy transmission mechanism and the outlook for the euro area (correct)
  • To implement structural reforms in the euro area
  • To provide liquidity to European banks
  • To increase the yields of government bonds
  • What is the main factor influencing the effectiveness of monetary policy according to M. Draghi?

  • Confidence in the economy
  • Government bond yields
  • Liquidity in the banking system
  • Implementation of structural reforms (correct)
  • What is the condition for securities to be eligible under the PEPP?

  • They must meet the existing eligibility requirements of the APP (correct)
  • They must have a residual maturity of at least 1 year
  • They must be issued by the Greek government
  • They must be denominated in euros
  • What is the relationship between interest rates and exchange rates according to the equation?

    <p>Higher interest rates lead to an appreciation of the currency</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the goal of the ECB's monetary policy according to the content?

    <p>To create the basis for growth</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the main limitation of the QE programme according to the content?

    <p>It is limited by the low yields of government bonds</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the role of the ECB in implementing the investment plan?

    <p>The ECB has taken a very expansionary measure, but it's now up to the governments to implement the structural reforms</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the impact of the PEPP on the European Capital Markets?

    <p>It has a limited impact on the investment decisions</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the reason for the ECB's decision to increase the envelope for the PEPP?

    <p>To counter the risks to the monetary policy transmission mechanism</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the limitation of the European banks according to the content?

    <p>They are short of capital</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the ECB's primary role in the economy?

    <p>Creating the basis for growth</p> Signup and view all the answers

    The PEPP is a permanent asset purchase programme.

    <p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Who is the ECB Governor quoted in the content?

    <p>M. Draghi</p> Signup and view all the answers

    The ECB's pandemic emergency purchase programme was initiated on ____________________.

    <p>24 March 2020</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Match the following variables with their definitions:

    <p>Cra/f = Forward exchange rate with maturity equal to T, between currency d and f Cpd/f = Spot exchange rate between currencies d and f i* = Interest rate for an interbank deposit denominated in currency f, with maturity equal to T id = Interest rate for an interbank deposit denominated in currency d, with maturity equal to T</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the main limitation of the European banks according to M. Draghi?

    <p>Lack of capital</p> Signup and view all the answers

    The ECB's monetary policy measures can directly lead to economic growth.

    <p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the total envelope for the PEPP?

    <p>€1,350 billion</p> Signup and view all the answers

    The interest rate differential between two currencies affects the ____________________.

    <p>exchange rate</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the main reason for the ECB's decision to increase the envelope for the PEPP?

    <p>To counter the risks posed by the COVID-19 outbreak</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Study Notes

    Monetary Policy and Sovereign Risk

    • Monetary policy deals with the determination of the money supply and its growth rate, affecting interest rates and the economy.
    • The goals of monetary policy are:
      • Growth
      • Employment
      • Inflation control
      • Exchange rate stability
    • Monetary policy is run by a central bank, which is independent from the government and its political targets.

    Instruments and Transmission Channels of Monetary Policy

    • Expansionary monetary policy aims to increase the money supply, reducing short-term interest rates and boosting private borrowing, investments, and consumption.
    • Contractionary monetary policy aims to reduce the money supply, raising short-term interest rates and reducing private borrowing, investments, and consumption.
    • The money multiplier reflects the preferences of banks and consumers with regards to financial assets and can be influenced by interest rates and technology changes.
    • Central banks use four main instruments to run monetary policy:
      • Open market operations
      • Discount rate changes
      • Reserve requirements changes
      • Changes in foreign reserves
    • Quantitative easing is an extension of open market operations, involving the purchase of securities from banks to reduce long-term interest rates.

    Central Banks and Interest Rates

    • Central banks operate on the foreign exchange market to move or stabilize exchange rates.
    • The main key rates of central banks are:
      • Federal Reserve (Fed)
      • European Central Bank (ECB)
      • Bank of England (BOE)
    • The total assets of major central banks have increased significantly since 2007.

    Transmission Channels of Monetary Policy

    • The transmission channels of monetary policy are:
      • Interest rate channel
      • Credit channel
      • Exchange rate channel
    • The interest rate channel affects the cost of capital, household purchases, and firm investment.
    • The credit channel affects the availability of bank loans and aggregate spending.
    • The exchange rate channel affects net exports and the trade balance.

    Interest Rate Determination

    • Interest rates are affected by several factors, including:
      • Maturity
      • Market liquidity
      • Risk
      • Clauses and provisions
      • Lending costs
    • The term structure of interest rates is the relationship between yields on comparable securities with different maturities.
    • The yield curve is the graphical depiction of the term structure of interest rates.
    • Yield curves can take different shapes, including:
      • Normal (positively sloped)
      • Inverted (negatively sloped)
      • Humped
      • Flat
    • Yield curves can undergo parallel shifts, nonparallel shifts, and butterfly shifts.

    Theories of Term Structure of Interest Rates

    • There are four main theories explaining the term structure of interest rates:

      • Expectation hypothesis
      • Market segmentation theory
      • Preferred habitat theory
      • Liquidity premium theory### Goals of Monetary Policy and Role of the Central Bank
    • The primary objective of the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy is to maintain price stability.

    • Price stability is defined as a year-on-year increase in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for the euro area of below 2%.

    • The ECB aims to maintain inflation rates below, but close to, 2% over the medium term.

    European Central Bank vs. Federal Reserve Objectives

    • The ECB's primary objective is to maintain price stability, with a clear hierarchy of objectives.
    • The Federal Reserve has a multiple-objective mandate, including maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates.

    European Central Bank: Instruments

    • The ECB uses open market operations, standing facilities, and minimum reserves to implement its monetary policy.
    • Open market operations include:
      • Main refinancing operations (one-week maturity)
      • Longer-term refinancing operations (three months to 48 months)
      • Fine-tuning operations (ad hoc basis to smooth interest rates)
      • Structural operations (adjust the Eurosystem's structural position)
    • Standing facilities include:
      • Marginal lending facility (overnight liquidity)
      • Deposit facility (overnight deposits)
    • Minimum reserves are used to stabilize money market interest rates and create a structural liquidity shortage.

    European Central Bank: Interest Rates

    • The ECB sets key interest rates, including:
      • Main refinancing operations (MRO) rate
      • Deposit facility rate (floor)
      • Marginal lending facility rate (ceiling)
    • The ECB exercises its monetary policy power through forward guidance, disclosing its forecasts to influence market expectations.

    European Central Bank: Unconventional Instruments (Quantitative Easing)

    • The ECB launched its Expanded Asset Purchase Programme (QE) in January 2015 to revive the euro area economy.
    • The QE aims to positively impact the economy's growth and raise inflation back to the desired level.
    • The programme is expected to perform through four main channels:
      • Signaling to market the ECB's commitment to keep interest rates low
      • Lowering government bonds yields, leading to a currency depreciation that boosts exports
      • Providing extra money to banks to finance more loans
      • Encouraging insurance companies and pension funds to rebalance their portfolios into riskier assets

    Criticisms and Concerns on European Quantitative Easing

    • Legality problems: is it a monetary policy measure falling within the scope of the ECB's mandate?
    • Reduced scope of QE: government bonds yields already very low
    • Limited development of European capital markets: scarce impact of lower cost of capital on investment decisions
    • European banks short of capital, not liquidity: are they not willing to lend?

    Monetary Policies Impact on the Real Economy

    • The ECB's pandemic emergency purchase programme (PEPP) was initiated in March 2020 to counter the risks to the monetary policy transmission mechanism posed by the COVID-19 outbreak.
    • The PEPP is a temporary asset purchase programme of private and public sector securities.

    Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Determination

    • The impact of interest rate differentials on exchange rates can be represented by the formula: Cra/f = Cpd/f * (1 + i¿ *t) / (1 + i, *t)

    Monetary Policy and Sovereign Risk

    • Monetary policy deals with the determination of the money supply and its growth rate, affecting interest rates and the economy.
    • The goals of monetary policy are:
      • Growth
      • Employment
      • Inflation control
      • Exchange rate stability
    • Monetary policy is run by a central bank, which is independent from the government and its political targets.

    Instruments and Transmission Channels of Monetary Policy

    • Expansionary monetary policy aims to increase the money supply, reducing short-term interest rates and boosting private borrowing, investments, and consumption.
    • Contractionary monetary policy aims to reduce the money supply, raising short-term interest rates and reducing private borrowing, investments, and consumption.
    • The money multiplier reflects the preferences of banks and consumers with regards to financial assets and can be influenced by interest rates and technology changes.
    • Central banks use four main instruments to run monetary policy:
      • Open market operations
      • Discount rate changes
      • Reserve requirements changes
      • Changes in foreign reserves
    • Quantitative easing is an extension of open market operations, involving the purchase of securities from banks to reduce long-term interest rates.

    Central Banks and Interest Rates

    • Central banks operate on the foreign exchange market to move or stabilize exchange rates.
    • The main key rates of central banks are:
      • Federal Reserve (Fed)
      • European Central Bank (ECB)
      • Bank of England (BOE)
    • The total assets of major central banks have increased significantly since 2007.

    Transmission Channels of Monetary Policy

    • The transmission channels of monetary policy are:
      • Interest rate channel
      • Credit channel
      • Exchange rate channel
    • The interest rate channel affects the cost of capital, household purchases, and firm investment.
    • The credit channel affects the availability of bank loans and aggregate spending.
    • The exchange rate channel affects net exports and the trade balance.

    Interest Rate Determination

    • Interest rates are affected by several factors, including:
      • Maturity
      • Market liquidity
      • Risk
      • Clauses and provisions
      • Lending costs
    • The term structure of interest rates is the relationship between yields on comparable securities with different maturities.
    • The yield curve is the graphical depiction of the term structure of interest rates.
    • Yield curves can take different shapes, including:
      • Normal (positively sloped)
      • Inverted (negatively sloped)
      • Humped
      • Flat
    • Yield curves can undergo parallel shifts, nonparallel shifts, and butterfly shifts.

    Theories of Term Structure of Interest Rates

    • There are four main theories explaining the term structure of interest rates:

      • Expectation hypothesis
      • Market segmentation theory
      • Preferred habitat theory
      • Liquidity premium theory### Goals of Monetary Policy and Role of the Central Bank
    • The primary objective of the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy is to maintain price stability.

    • Price stability is defined as a year-on-year increase in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for the euro area of below 2%.

    • The ECB aims to maintain inflation rates below, but close to, 2% over the medium term.

    European Central Bank vs. Federal Reserve Objectives

    • The ECB's primary objective is to maintain price stability, with a clear hierarchy of objectives.
    • The Federal Reserve has a multiple-objective mandate, including maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates.

    European Central Bank: Instruments

    • The ECB uses open market operations, standing facilities, and minimum reserves to implement its monetary policy.
    • Open market operations include:
      • Main refinancing operations (one-week maturity)
      • Longer-term refinancing operations (three months to 48 months)
      • Fine-tuning operations (ad hoc basis to smooth interest rates)
      • Structural operations (adjust the Eurosystem's structural position)
    • Standing facilities include:
      • Marginal lending facility (overnight liquidity)
      • Deposit facility (overnight deposits)
    • Minimum reserves are used to stabilize money market interest rates and create a structural liquidity shortage.

    European Central Bank: Interest Rates

    • The ECB sets key interest rates, including:
      • Main refinancing operations (MRO) rate
      • Deposit facility rate (floor)
      • Marginal lending facility rate (ceiling)
    • The ECB exercises its monetary policy power through forward guidance, disclosing its forecasts to influence market expectations.

    European Central Bank: Unconventional Instruments (Quantitative Easing)

    • The ECB launched its Expanded Asset Purchase Programme (QE) in January 2015 to revive the euro area economy.
    • The QE aims to positively impact the economy's growth and raise inflation back to the desired level.
    • The programme is expected to perform through four main channels:
      • Signaling to market the ECB's commitment to keep interest rates low
      • Lowering government bonds yields, leading to a currency depreciation that boosts exports
      • Providing extra money to banks to finance more loans
      • Encouraging insurance companies and pension funds to rebalance their portfolios into riskier assets

    Criticisms and Concerns on European Quantitative Easing

    • Legality problems: is it a monetary policy measure falling within the scope of the ECB's mandate?
    • Reduced scope of QE: government bonds yields already very low
    • Limited development of European capital markets: scarce impact of lower cost of capital on investment decisions
    • European banks short of capital, not liquidity: are they not willing to lend?

    Monetary Policies Impact on the Real Economy

    • The ECB's pandemic emergency purchase programme (PEPP) was initiated in March 2020 to counter the risks to the monetary policy transmission mechanism posed by the COVID-19 outbreak.
    • The PEPP is a temporary asset purchase programme of private and public sector securities.

    Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Determination

    • The impact of interest rate differentials on exchange rates can be represented by the formula: Cra/f = Cpd/f * (1 + i¿ *t) / (1 + i, *t)

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    Description

    This quiz covers lesson 3 of International Banking and Capital Markets, focusing on monetary policy and sovereign risk. It is designed for students of Sapienza University of Rome, academic year 2023/2024.

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