IF lecture 3

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Questions and Answers

What is the Social Discount Rate (SDR) proposed by Stern?

  • 4.5%
  • 10%
  • 2.5%
  • 1.4% (correct)

Which perspective did Nordhaus take regarding the SDR?

  • Positive (correct)
  • Speculative
  • Prescriptive
  • Normative

What is the main implication of Stern's SDR on climate change actions?

  • It supports minimal action.
  • It advocates for strong and immediate action. (correct)
  • It promotes delaying action until future benefits are clearer.
  • It favors long-term investments only.

How much would one have to sacrifice today for a benefit of 1000 CHF in 100 years according to Stern’s SDR?

<p>250 CHF (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does Nordhaus suggest about immediate action on climate change?

<p>The need for extreme immediate action is questionable. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was a significant outcome of the debate over SDR among experts?

<p>Formation of a middle ground among views. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What can explain the larger disagreement among policymakers compared to academics regarding the SDR?

<p>The link between academics and policymakers. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does Nordhaus's SDR imply for today's sacrifice for a future benefit of 1000 CHF?

<p>10 CHF (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the Social Time Preference (STP) approach focus on?

<p>The trade-off between current and future consumption (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following accurately describes the numeraire used in the Social Time Preference approach?

<p>Consumption (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the production-side approach measure?

<p>The social cost of public investment against public funding (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

When do the consumption-side and production-side approaches coincide?

<p>In a perfectly competitive equilibrium (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the focus of the Social Discount Rate (SDR) in relation to societal preferences?

<p>Measuring intergenerational equity (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the Simple Ramsey Rule express regarding the Social Discount Rate (SDR)?

<p>SDR is the sum of the pure time discount factor and the product of ethical considerations. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following represents a challenge in determining the SDR according to the content?

<p>Lack of consensus on how to calibrate the parameters is a problem. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What ethical consideration related to the calibration of δ is mentioned?

<p>Individual patience or altruism can have a positive value. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is indicated about societal weights on future utilities in the discussion of δ?

<p>They are set to zero in normative considerations. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the equation for SDR, which variable represents the per capita growth rate?

<p>g (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The pure time discount factor δ is associated with which of the following concepts?

<p>The consideration of immediate satisfaction over future benefits. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does η represent in the context of the SDR?

<p>The ethical weighting of future generations' utilities. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following statements accurately reflects the debate surrounding δ?

<p>Meta-ethical discussions include risks of extinction as a consideration. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the assumed form of the utility function when η is not equal to 1?

<p>U(Ct) = (Ct^(1−η))/(1−η) (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which assumption is made about the period-consumption growth rate in the social welfare calibration?

<p>It is constant and equal to g. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the variable δ represent in the context of social welfare specification?

<p>The rate at which future benefits are discounted. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How is the current social value of the project denoted in the social welfare calibration?

<p>As p, the social planner's willingness-to-pay. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the elasticity parameter η in the context of the isoelastic utility function?

<p>It indicates the responsiveness of consumption to changes in utility. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

When η equals 1, what form does the utility function take?

<p>U(Ct) = ln(Ct) (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which aspect does the social welfare function account for over time?

<p>The cumulative impact of future consumption through discounting. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary consideration of intergenerational fairness in the social welfare context?

<p>Ensuring that future generations inherit equitable resources. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary purpose of the Social Discount Rate (SDR)?

<p>To convert future costs and benefits into current values (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does the present value relate to the Social Discount Rate (SDR)?

<p>It is extremely sensitive to alterations in the SDR (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of project assessment, what does the term 'present values' refer to?

<p>Current representation of future costs and benefits (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why is intergenerational fairness an important consideration in discounting?

<p>It ensures that future generations are not overly burdened by present-day decisions (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What outcome might result from improperly applying the Social Discount Rate?

<p>Future benefits may appear less significant than they actually are (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which aspect of project analysis is MOST affected by changes in the Social Discount Rate?

<p>Present value of future cash flows (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a potential risk of having a high Social Discount Rate?

<p>Underappreciation of long-term benefits (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How might an inappropriate discount rate influence decision-making in project funding?

<p>It could lead to inadequate funding for important long-term projects (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is Nordhaus' perspective on the urgency of action against climate change?

<p>Only minimal sacrifices are required today. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to Stern's rate, what is the sacrifice required today for a benefit of 1000 CHF in 100 years?

<p>250 CHF (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What do some argue should be included in the derivation of the Social Discount Rate?

<p>Simple Ramsey Rule with risk factors. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a key point of disagreement regarding the Social Discount Rate (SDR)?

<p>The criteria for its calculation. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are market price approaches in the context of SDR?

<p>Calculations that rely on current market valuations. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What kind of extensions are suggested for the Simple Ramsey Rule?

<p>Factors like risk, inequality, and substitutability. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is NOT an argument regarding the Social Discount Rate?

<p>It should prioritize short-term economic gains. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a potential consequence of a higher Social Discount Rate?

<p>Reduction in immediate actions against climate change. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Social Discount Rate (SDR)

A rate used to calculate the present value of costs and benefits that occur in the future.

Discounting

A method of evaluating projects with costs and benefits spread across different periods.

Present Value

The value of a future cost or benefit in today's terms.

Sensitivity of Present Value to SDR

Even small changes in the SDR can significantly affect the calculated present value.

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Intergenerational Fairness

The principle of fairness in considering the well-being of future generations when evaluating long-term projects.

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Converting Costs and Benefits

The process of transforming future costs and benefits into current values.

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Assessing Long-Term Projects

The practice of assessing the worth of projects that involve costs and benefits occurring at different times.

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The Significance of Intergenerational Fairness

It emphasizes the importance of considering the long-term consequences of decisions, particularly for future generations.

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Stern's SDR

The Stern Review argued for a SDR of 1.4%, advocating for strong, immediate action on climate change.

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Nordhaus' SDR

Nordhaus proposed a SDR of 4.5%, suggesting a more lenient approach to climate change mitigation.

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SDR Disagreement

The difference in SDR values between economists and policymakers.

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Normative SDR

A perspective that considers ethical and societal norms when determining the SDR.

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Positive SDR

A perspective that uses economic data and market factors to determine the SDR.

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Middle Ground SDR

Reflecting a consensus among experts on the appropriate SDR, bridging the gap between different viewpoints.

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Link Between Academics and Policymakers

The relationship between academic and policymaking perspectives on the SDR, influencing policy decisions.

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Social Time Preference (STP)

The rate at which society is willing to trade off consumption today for consumption tomorrow. It considers the preference for immediate gratification versus long-term gains.

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Production-Side Approach

A measure representing the social cost of public investment compared to the social cost of public funding. It weighs the opportunity cost of investing in the future against the cost of raising funds.

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Perfectly Competitive Equilibrium

In a perfect market, the two approaches should ideally converge. This means that the social cost of investment equals the social cost of funding.

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Social Welfare Calibration

A theoretical framework for assessing the social value of projects that affect future generations.

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Social Welfare Equation

A mathematical formula used to calculate the present value of future benefits, taking into account future generations' well-being.

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Utility Function

The mathematical function used to represent how much value is placed on consumption.

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Isoelastic Utility Function

A type of utility function where the same percentage change in consumption always leads to the same percentage change in happiness.

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Period-consumption Growth Rate

The rate at which consumption is expected to grow over time.

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Elasticity

A measure of how responsive people are to changes in prices.

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Social Planner's Willingness-to-Pay

A value that represents how much society is willing to pay to benefit future generations.

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What is the Social Discount Rate (SDR)?

The Social Discount Rate (SDR) is a crucial parameter used to assess the value of future benefits in relation to present sacrifices for climate change mitigation. It reflects how society discounts the welfare of future generations compared to the current generation.

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Why is the SDR controversial?

The SDR is controversial, with different perspectives on its appropriate value and calculation. Some argue for a lower SDR, emphasizing the need for immediate action on climate change mitigation, while others advocate for a higher SDR, highlighting the potential benefits of delayed action.

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What is the Stern Review's perspective on the SDR?

The Stern Review advocates for a lower SDR, suggesting that future generations deserve a significant weight in our decisions today. It suggests that a substantial sacrifice today is justified for a future benefit.

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What is Nordhaus's perspective on the SDR?

Nordhaus's view on the SDR is more lenient towards climate change, suggesting that a lower SDR may not be necessary. He believes immediate action may not be critical, as market interest rates and savings rates influence the value of future benefits.

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What is the Simple Ramsey Rule?

The Simple Ramsey Rule is one approach to calculating the SDR. It considers factors like the rate of time preference, the rate of economic growth, and the elasticity of substitution.

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How can the SDR be extended?

The SDR's derivation can be extended to incorporate uncertainties, risks, inequality, and the limited substitutability of non-market goods. It's a complex process involving various economic and ethical considerations.

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What are some alternative approaches to the SDR?

Alternative approaches to the SDR include market price approaches, which use market data to estimate the value of future benefits. Another approach is based on societal criteria, reflecting collective values and priorities.

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Why is the SDR important for climate change?

The SDR remains a critical issue in climate change economics, influencing policy choices and resource allocation for mitigation and adaptation. It raises ethical questions about intergenerational fairness and the weight we assign to future generations.

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What is the pure time discount factor (δ)?

The pure time discount factor (δ) reflects our inherent preference for present benefits over future ones. This factor represents our patience or how much weight we give to future utility.

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What's debated about the pure time discount factor (δ)?

The ethical debate surrounding the Social Discount Rate (SDR) centers on how to calibrate the pure time discount factor (δ). Debates involve how we balance individual preferences, intergenerational fairness, and potential extinction risks.

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What is the Stern Review's stance on the SDR?

The Stern Review advocates for a high SDR of 1.4%, emphasizing strong, immediate action on climate change. They believe it's crucial to prioritize future generations' well-being, even if it means significant costs today.

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What is Nordhaus's stance on the SDR?

Nordhaus proposes a lower SDR of 4.5%, suggesting a more lenient approach to climate change mitigation. He argues for a balance between present and future needs, considering the economic costs of immediate action.

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What's the key disagreement on the SDR?

The difference in SDR values proposed by Stern and Nordhaus highlights the ongoing debate among economists and policymakers. There is no consensus on how much weight to give to future generations' well-being.

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How does the SDR influence long-term projects?

The SDR plays a crucial role in evaluating long-term projects, such as climate change policies. It determines how heavily future costs and benefits are discounted, influencing the overall assessment of a project's effectiveness.

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Study Notes

Intergenerational Fairness

  • Lecture notes on intergenerational fairness, Fall 2024, Lecture 3, October 11, 2024, by Paolo G. Piacquadio.
  • Presentation covered the Stern Review, chapter 2, discounting.

Comments

  • SDR (Social Discount Rate)
  • Decreasing marginal ability
  • Inequality
  • Risk/Insurance
  • Pun time discounting

Comments (cont.)

  • Risk constancy over time
  • How to use SDR
  • Small vs. large projects

Time and Discounting

  • Projects with costs and benefits over multiple periods.
  • Social Discount Rate (SDR) converts future costs/benefits to present values.

Time and Discounting (cont.)

  • Present values are sensitive to changes in SDR.

The Social Discount Rate (SDR): Disagreement

  • Stern (2007) advocated for a 1.4% SDR.
  • Nordhaus (2008) proposed a 4.5% SDR.
  • Academic debate continues, with some consensus forming on a middle ground.
  • Policymakers' disagreement is also substantial.

The Social Discount Rate (SDR): Disagreement (cont.)

  • Stern's rate favors immediate climate action (sacrifice 250 today for a 1000 CHF benefit in 100 years).
  • Nordhaus' rate is more lenient (sacrifice only 10 today for the same 1000 CHF benefit in 100 years).

The Social Discount Rate (SDR): More Disagreement

  • Some argue SDR should be derived from the Simple Ramsey Rule, considering uncertainty, risk, inequality, and limited substitutability of non-market goods.
  • Others advocate for market price approaches or alternative societal criteria.

The Social Discount Rate (SDR): In Practice

  • Graph showing SDRs by different countries and approaches.

The Social Time Preference Approach: STP

  • Consumption-side approach
  • STP reflects society's willingness to trade-off current consumption for future benefits.
  • Numeraire: Consumption.
  • Other approaches such as the production-side approach (SOC).
  • Numeraire: Investment.

The Social Welfare Calibration of the STP

  • Social welfare is specified as a sum of future utilities discounted by the SDR.
  • Project value is interpreted by the social planner's willingness-to-pay.

The Social Welfare Calibration of the STP (Cont.)

  • Assume a constant period-consumption growth rate (g).
  • Utility function as isoelastic, with elasticity (η).

The Social Welfare Calibration of the STP (Cont.)

  • The project's value is the sum of future benefits, discounted by (δ+ng).
  • The Simple Ramsey Rule emerges, with SDR = δ + η · g.
  • No consensus on calibrating parameters.

The Pure Time Discount Factor δ

  • Meta-ethical discussions on calibrating δ.
  • Positive considerations like individual patience and altruism ( greater than 0 percent).
  • Normative considerations on societal weights of future utilities (0 percent).
  • Agent-relative ethics on extinction risk (greater than 0 percent).

The Wealth Effect η · g

  • Wealth effect considers utility function concavity and changing future wealth (higher g).
  • Increased consumption inequality aversion (higher η) reduces value placed on future projects.

The Social Welfare Calibration of STP: Risk?

  • Extended Ramsey Rule incorporates risk in the SDR calculation (including the variance of the growth rate), SDR=δ+ng−.5η(η+1)σ2.
  • Risk effect is typically smaller than the wealth effect.

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