Podcast
Questions and Answers
Which type of risk is associated with higher than expected insurance claims on damaged insured assets?
Which type of risk is associated with higher than expected insurance claims on damaged insured assets?
What kind of risk may lead to impairment of asset values due to financial losses affecting profitability?
What kind of risk may lead to impairment of asset values due to financial losses affecting profitability?
Which risk is characterized by a deterioration in the creditworthiness of borrowers due to financial losses?
Which risk is characterized by a deterioration in the creditworthiness of borrowers due to financial losses?
Which type of risk involves disruption to one's own insurance activities or assets?
Which type of risk involves disruption to one's own insurance activities or assets?
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Which risk is potentially impacted by unexpected higher payouts and broader economic downturns?
Which risk is potentially impacted by unexpected higher payouts and broader economic downturns?
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What risk might lead to stranded assets and decreased values in carbon-intensive sectors?
What risk might lead to stranded assets and decreased values in carbon-intensive sectors?
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Which risk is primarily associated with higher than expected mortality or morbidity rates?
Which risk is primarily associated with higher than expected mortality or morbidity rates?
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What type of risk includes the potential for business interruptions caused by environmental factors?
What type of risk includes the potential for business interruptions caused by environmental factors?
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What effect could higher levels of adaptation have on the economy?
What effect could higher levels of adaptation have on the economy?
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What is a potential consequence of second-round impacts on financial stability?
What is a potential consequence of second-round impacts on financial stability?
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Which factor may increase non-linear impacts in climate change modeling?
Which factor may increase non-linear impacts in climate change modeling?
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How can diversified economies affect financial stability risks?
How can diversified economies affect financial stability risks?
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What is a consequence of climate policy on macroeconomic channels?
What is a consequence of climate policy on macroeconomic channels?
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What can be expected from higher-than-expected damages?
What can be expected from higher-than-expected damages?
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What role does feedback loops play in economic modeling?
What role does feedback loops play in economic modeling?
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How can increased adaptation capacity affect financial systems?
How can increased adaptation capacity affect financial systems?
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What does climate change's uncertainty predominantly affect?
What does climate change's uncertainty predominantly affect?
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What could be a direct loss experienced by an economy due to climate change?
What could be a direct loss experienced by an economy due to climate change?
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What is the expected timing of effects for extreme climate events according to the provided information?
What is the expected timing of effects for extreme climate events according to the provided information?
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How does the timing of impacts differ between gradual warming and transition risks?
How does the timing of impacts differ between gradual warming and transition risks?
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What type of financial impact is expected from gradual warming?
What type of financial impact is expected from gradual warming?
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What is associated with the potential financial impact of transition risk?
What is associated with the potential financial impact of transition risk?
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What defines a static/fixed reference balance sheet in risk modeling?
What defines a static/fixed reference balance sheet in risk modeling?
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What may be a consequence of performing calculations at intermittent intervals within the modeling horizon?
What may be a consequence of performing calculations at intermittent intervals within the modeling horizon?
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According to the scenarios described, which risk factor primarily affects economic distress in the short to medium term?
According to the scenarios described, which risk factor primarily affects economic distress in the short to medium term?
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What is a characteristic of dynamic balance sheets as mentioned in the context?
What is a characteristic of dynamic balance sheets as mentioned in the context?
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What is a significant drawback of using gradual warming in climate change scenarios?
What is a significant drawback of using gradual warming in climate change scenarios?
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What characterizes fixed reactive management actions in climate scenarios?
What characterizes fixed reactive management actions in climate scenarios?
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What does dynamic reactive management allow in climate scenario modeling?
What does dynamic reactive management allow in climate scenario modeling?
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What is a limitation when using reactive management actions for long-term climate scenarios?
What is a limitation when using reactive management actions for long-term climate scenarios?
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How does the complexity of reactive management actions impact their assessment?
How does the complexity of reactive management actions impact their assessment?
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What is the focus of reactive management actions in the context of climate change?
What is the focus of reactive management actions in the context of climate change?
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What aspect of the balance sheet is assessed with fixed reactive management actions?
What aspect of the balance sheet is assessed with fixed reactive management actions?
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What kind of climate scenario model complexity is associated with dynamic management actions?
What kind of climate scenario model complexity is associated with dynamic management actions?
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What is a potential challenge faced with reactive management actions over time?
What is a potential challenge faced with reactive management actions over time?
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What is a consequence of applying reactive management actions intermittently?
What is a consequence of applying reactive management actions intermittently?
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What is the primary purpose of assessing the potential long-term financial impact of climate change-related risks?
What is the primary purpose of assessing the potential long-term financial impact of climate change-related risks?
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Which aspect of risk management is highlighted for insurers concerning climate change?
Which aspect of risk management is highlighted for insurers concerning climate change?
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Which variable is not typically considered a climate risk in the context provided?
Which variable is not typically considered a climate risk in the context provided?
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What financial metric is likely affected by climate change according to the provided overview?
What financial metric is likely affected by climate change according to the provided overview?
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Which type of risk is associated with climate change that affects various financial sectors?
Which type of risk is associated with climate change that affects various financial sectors?
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What is one of the potential spill-over effects of insurers' responses to climate change?
What is one of the potential spill-over effects of insurers' responses to climate change?
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Which of the following climate-related metrics is crucial for evaluating financial markets?
Which of the following climate-related metrics is crucial for evaluating financial markets?
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What factor is considered when specifying financial variables influenced by climate scenarios?
What factor is considered when specifying financial variables influenced by climate scenarios?
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In assessing climate change, which area is specifically urged for insurers to integrate climate-related risks?
In assessing climate change, which area is specifically urged for insurers to integrate climate-related risks?
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Which climate variable is most concerned with the physical impacts of climate change?
Which climate variable is most concerned with the physical impacts of climate change?
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What defines the 'Hot house world' scenario?
What defines the 'Hot house world' scenario?
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Which advantage is associated with the sectoral granularity in scenario specification?
Which advantage is associated with the sectoral granularity in scenario specification?
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What is a significant disadvantage when using broad economic factors in climate scenario modeling?
What is a significant disadvantage when using broad economic factors in climate scenario modeling?
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Which statement best describes the effect of aggregation level in scenario specification?
Which statement best describes the effect of aggregation level in scenario specification?
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What outcome occurs when firms use different models in scenario analysis?
What outcome occurs when firms use different models in scenario analysis?
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What is a consequence of specifying impacts at the individual asset level?
What is a consequence of specifying impacts at the individual asset level?
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Which of the following statements is true regarding the granularity of technical specifications?
Which of the following statements is true regarding the granularity of technical specifications?
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Why is it challenging to bridge climate models with economic sector impacts?
Why is it challenging to bridge climate models with economic sector impacts?
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What challenge arises from assessing impacts using a firm-specific granularity?
What challenge arises from assessing impacts using a firm-specific granularity?
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What limitation is associated with climate factors in scenario specification?
What limitation is associated with climate factors in scenario specification?
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What is a primary concern with macroeconomic factors in climate scenario assessments?
What is a primary concern with macroeconomic factors in climate scenario assessments?
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What issue arises from using highly granular data at the activity level?
What issue arises from using highly granular data at the activity level?
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What is a key aspect of scenario narratives in climate risk assessments?
What is a key aspect of scenario narratives in climate risk assessments?
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Flashcards
Financial stability risks
Financial stability risks
Risks to the stability of the financial system due to climate change.
Second-round impacts
Second-round impacts
Indirect effects of climate change on the economy, beyond the initial damage.
Level of adaptation
Level of adaptation
The degree to which a country or business can adjust to climate change.
Adaptive capacity
Adaptive capacity
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Transition costs
Transition costs
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Non-linear impacts
Non-linear impacts
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Climate policy
Climate policy
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Feedback loops
Feedback loops
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Damages
Damages
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Macroeconomic channels
Macroeconomic channels
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Underwriting risk (non-life)
Underwriting risk (non-life)
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Underwriting risk (life/health)
Underwriting risk (life/health)
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Market risk (assets)
Market risk (assets)
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Credit risk (assets)
Credit risk (assets)
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Market risk (transition)
Market risk (transition)
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Operational risk
Operational risk
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Liquidity risk
Liquidity risk
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Specific examples of market risk
Specific examples of market risk
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Reactive Management Actions
Reactive Management Actions
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Gradual Warming
Gradual Warming
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Plausibility of Reactive Actions
Plausibility of Reactive Actions
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Consistency of Reactive Actions
Consistency of Reactive Actions
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Limitations of Reactive Management
Limitations of Reactive Management
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Intermittent Intervals
Intermittent Intervals
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Reference Date
Reference Date
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Instantaneous Shocks
Instantaneous Shocks
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Dynamic Balance Sheet
Dynamic Balance Sheet
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Physical Risks in Climate Change
Physical Risks in Climate Change
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Transition Risks in Climate Change
Transition Risks in Climate Change
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Hot House World Scenario
Hot House World Scenario
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Scenario Specification Granularity
Scenario Specification Granularity
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Bottom-up Stress Testing
Bottom-up Stress Testing
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Scenario Narrative
Scenario Narrative
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Climate Factors
Climate Factors
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Broad Economic Factors
Broad Economic Factors
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Sectoral Impacts
Sectoral Impacts
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Firm-Specific Impacts
Firm-Specific Impacts
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Activity Level
Activity Level
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Paris Agreement Climate Goal
Paris Agreement Climate Goal
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Stress Testing
Stress Testing
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Aggregation level
Aggregation level
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Granularity
Granularity
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Climate Scenario Impact Assessment
Climate Scenario Impact Assessment
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Transformation Required for Climate Scenarios
Transformation Required for Climate Scenarios
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Governance, Strategy, Risk Management & Targets
Governance, Strategy, Risk Management & Targets
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Climate Stress Test (CST)
Climate Stress Test (CST)
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Physical Risk Variables in CST
Physical Risk Variables in CST
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Transition Risk Variables in CST
Transition Risk Variables in CST
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Macroeconomic Impact Variables in CST
Macroeconomic Impact Variables in CST
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Financial Market Impact Variables in CST
Financial Market Impact Variables in CST
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Reinsurance in CST
Reinsurance in CST
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Physical risk
Physical risk
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Transition risk
Transition risk
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Extreme climate events
Extreme climate events
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Stranded assets
Stranded assets
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Static reference balance sheet
Static reference balance sheet
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Study Notes
Methodological Principles of Insurance Stress Testing – Climate Change Component
- This document outlines methodological principles for incorporating climate change risks in stress testing frameworks for insurance companies.
- It serves as a tool for designing and calibrating future supervisory climate stress tests.
- It's part of a broader strategy to integrate sustainability and climate-related assessments into insurance supervision.
Introduction
- The primary goal is to establish methodological principles for incorporating climate-related risks into stress tests.
- Climate change is a relatively new risk, requiring expertise beyond traditional financial/insurance perimeters and collaboration across disciplines.
- Climate change impacts are irreversible, non-linear, and structural with time horizons exceeding traditional stress testing models.
Key Assumptions and Uncertainties
- Macroeconomic considerations are paramount for stress testing.
- Future climate policy and its implications, including the speed and timing of transition to a low-carbon economy, need to be accounted for.
Climate Change Risk and Transmission Channels
- Climate change poses significant financial risk, affecting both physical and transition risks.
- Physical risks arise from the direct impacts of extreme weather events (floods, heatwaves) and long-term climate changes (sea level rise).
- Transition risks result from the shift to a low-carbon economy.
Historical Data and Experience
- Historical data plays an evolving role, emphasizing a forward-looking aspect to assess climate change scenarios.
- Future climate scenarios rely heavily on assumptions for future equilibria.
- The exercises are learning experiences, continually improving as expertise and capacity advance.
Climate Change Stress Test Exercise
- The process of climate stress testing is similar to traditional stress testing but has distinct objectives.
- The aim is exploratory, focusing on better understanding uncertainties and long-term impacts.
Scenario Design
- Selecting appropriate scenario narratives is critical.
- Scenarios involve key questions regarding risk coverage, time horizons, and granularity.
- A range of climate scenarios needs to evaluate both physical and transition risks, along with their interplay.
General Principles
- It is crucial to consider both physical and transition risks simultaneously.
- Using multiple scenarios and paths accounts for different climate policy scenarios.
- Scenarios need a central path and adverse tail events for evaluating resilience.
- Adequate information, preferably quantitative, is necessary for scenarios concerning climate pathways and financial impact.
Granularity of Scenario Specifications
- Scenario granularity levels influence the degree of freedom and validation.
- Higher levels require more detail and complex specifications but lead to greater comparability.
- Lower levels yield greater simplicity but lose comparability.
Treatment of Reinsurance
- Reinsurance treaties play a vital role in handling physical risks, thus requiring special consideration during stress tests.
- Impacts can be calculated gross or net of reinsurance.
- Reinstatements and possible changes in the reinstatement regime are critical factors.
Profitability Indicators
- Various indicators evaluate the profitability of insurers exposed to climate risks, such as Loss Ratio.
- Other factors are also considered, such as technical result and impact on an overall profit and loss.
Technical Indicators
- Various types of technical indicators evaluate the resilience of insurance companies against climate change shocks.
- These indicators help gauge risk and understand the potential impact on various asset classes.
Second-Round Effects and Spillover
- Climate change impacts extend beyond individual insurers.
- Second-round effects and spillover impacts on the wider financial sector need to be assessed.
- Measures to assess potential climate change effects on the affordability and availability of insurance require consideration.
Methodological Principles
- EIOPA offers methodological principles for developing climate change stress testing.
- These principles include considerations for scenarios, specifications, and granularity.
- EIOPA emphasizes a "step-by-step" approach and stresses that early exercises are learning processes.
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Description
This quiz covers the methodological principles for integrating climate change risks into insurance stress testing frameworks. It emphasizes the importance of interdisciplinary collaboration and long-term thinking in assessing climate impacts on insurance. The quiz aims to enhance understanding of supervision methods for climate-related risks.