Hypothesis Testing: Null and Alternative Hypotheses

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Questions and Answers

Why is hypothesis testing considered a crucial process in statistics?

  • It helps in presenting data visually through graphs.
  • It validates assumptions about a population using experimental data. (correct)
  • It simplifies complex mathematical equations.
  • It ensures all statistical calculations are error-free.

A researcher is evaluating the effectiveness of a new drug. What is the primary role of formulating a null hypothesis in this scenario?

  • To define the range of acceptable dosages for the drug.
  • To predict the expected improvement in patients' health.
  • To assume the drug has no effect, providing a baseline for comparison. (correct)
  • To determine the cost-effectiveness of the drug compared to existing treatments.

In hypothesis testing, what is the purpose of the alternative hypothesis?

  • To state there is no difference between parameters.
  • To establish a baseline for statistical insignificance.
  • To act as the opposite or negation of the null hypothesis. (correct)
  • To ensure the sample data perfectly matches the population.

When formulating a null hypothesis ($H_0$), which of the following conditions should be present?

<p>$H_0$ should always include some form of equality. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A researcher claims that the average height of Grade 12 students is significantly higher than 66 inches. What would be the appropriate null hypothesis ($H_0$) to test this claim?

<p>$H_0: \mu \le 66$ (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A study aims to verify if the average monthly income of families in a low-income bracket is $7,500. If (\mu) represents the average monthly income, which of the following is the correct way to express the alternative hypothesis ($H_a$)?

<p>$H_a: \mu \neq 7500$ (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A company asserts that no more than 60% of registered voters support a local election candidate. What is the appropriate alternative hypothesis ($H_a$)?

<p>$H_a: \mu &gt; 60$ (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the level of significance ($\alpha$) in hypothesis testing represent?

<p>The probability of making a wrong decision when the null hypothesis is true. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a researcher sets the level of significance ($\alpha$) at 0.05, what does this imply regarding the hypothesis testing?

<p>There is a 5% chance of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a hypothesis test, what is the core distinction between a one-tailed test and a two-tailed test?

<p>The rejection region in a one-tailed test lies entirely in one tail of the distribution, while in a two-tailed test, it is split into two tails. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A registrar believes that the average number of enrollees this school year is not the same as last year. What type of hypothesis test is most appropriate?

<p>A two-tailed test (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Under what circumstances is a left-tailed test most suitable for hypothesis testing?

<p>When the alternative hypothesis is concerned with values less than a certain point. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary role of the 'rejection region' in hypothesis testing?

<p>To consist of values for the test statistic that lead to rejecting the null hypothesis. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the 'critical value' represent in the context of hypothesis testing?

<p>A point (boundary) on the test distribution used to decide whether to reject the null hypothesis. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the decision rule when the computed test statistic falls within the non-rejection region?

<p>Fail to reject the null hypothesis. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a Type I error in hypothesis testing?

<p>Rejecting a true null hypothesis. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How is a Type II error defined in the context of hypothesis testing?

<p>Failing to reject a false null hypothesis. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a clinical trial, a new medicine is tested for its effectiveness. Which statement illustrates a Type I error?

<p>The trial concludes the medicine is effective, but it actually isn't. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of starting a food cart business, what would be the consequence of a Type II error?

<p>Choosing a city where demand isn't actually high enough. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In daily water quality testing, what is the risk related to Type II error?

<p>Not closing the pool when it needs to be closed. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

When the null hypothesis is true, failing to reject it results in which type of decision?

<p>Correct Decision (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a null hypothesis is false and a researcher rejects it, what type of decision is made?

<p>Correct Decision (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In hypothesis testing, how does increasing the sample size generally affect the likelihood of Type II error, assuming other factors are constant?

<p>It decreases the likelihood of Type II error. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A researcher is testing a hypothesis with a level of significance ($\alpha$) of 0.01. What impact does reducing the level of significance have on Type I error?

<p>It decreases the probability of Type I error. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A computed t-value is at the non-rejection region. What decision must be made?

<p>We fail to reject the null hypothesis. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The computed z-value is at the rejection region. What decision must be made?

<p>We reject the null hypothesis. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the critical value if two-tailed test at 5% level of significance is performed?

<p>2.262 (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Sofia computed for the t-value using a formula given the following values. Mean is 142, standard deviation is 19.855, the standard population is 152, and a sample size of 10. Which of the following is the computed t-value?

<p>-1.593 (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does a null hypothesis state?

<p>There is no effect or no difference. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Alternative hypothesis is considered the ________ of the null hypothesis?

<p>Opposite (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A significance level measures the probability of?

<p>Making a wrong decision. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If the alternative hypothesis uses "$ eq$" for the population mean, the statistical test is:

<p>Two-tailed test (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What can be referred to as the set of values for the test statistic that causes us to the reject the null hypothesis?

<p>Rejection region (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How can a Type II error can be reduced?

<p>Increase the sample size. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why are critical values of test statistics used?

<p>Decide whether the null hypothesis should be rejected. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If Sofia rejects her null hypothesis even when it turns out to be true, what has she committed?

<p>Type I error (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What would result to a conclusion if a null hypothesis is false but fails to reject it?

<p>A Type II error (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A teacher formulated the null hypothesis that, 'The mean score of students in the incoming Grade 11 students is 81'. What would be the alternative hypothesis for this?

<p>The mean score of students in the incoming Grade 11 students is not 81. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If Sofia wants to check if the average daily usage of social media of her friends is same as the global average usage, what should be the correct alternative hypothesis? Assume that the gloval average usage is 142 minutes per day:

<p>$ eq 142$ minutes (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Hypothesis Testing

A statistical method used for making decisions based on experimental data.

A hypothesis

A proposed explanation, assertion, or assumption about a population parameter.

Null Hypothesis

States that there is no difference between a parameter and a specific value; contains an equals sign.

Alternative Hypothesis

The opposite or negation of the null hypothesis; uses symbols like ≠, <, or >.

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Level of Significance

The degree of significance in which we accept or reject the null hypothesis, denoted by alpha (α).

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Two-Tailed Test

A test where the alternative hypothesis does not specify a direction of difference.

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One-Tailed Test

Tests where the alternative hypothesis specifies a direction (less than or greater than).

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Rejection Region

Set of all values of the test statistic that cause rejection of the null hypothesis.

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Non-Rejection Region

The set of all values of the test statistic that leads to failing to reject the null hypothesis.

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Critical Value

A point (boundary) on the test distribution used to determine if the null hypothesis should be rejected.

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Type I error

Rejecting the null hypothesis when it's actually true.

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Type II error

Accepting the null hypothesis when it's actually false.

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Study Notes

Most Essential Learning Competencies

  • Illustrates the null hypothesis
  • Illustrates alternative hypothesis
  • Illustrates the level of significance
  • Illustrates the rejection region
  • Illustrates the types of errors in hypothesis testing

Hypothesis Testing

  • Weigh alternatives, collection of evidence, and the decision-making process are basic processes used in testing hypotheses in statistics.

Activity: Keep Me Connected

  • Averages daily social media usage worldwide among global internet users is 142 minutes.
  • Claim A: Average daily usage of social media is assumed to be the same.
  • Claim B: Average daily usage of social media is assumed to be higher than the global average.

Definition of Terms

  • Hypothesis testing is a statistical method for making decisions using experimental data, especially in testing assumptions about a population.
  • A hypothesis is a proposed explanation, assertion, or assumption about a population parameter or the distribution of a random variable.
  • Examples of questions that can be answered with a hypothesis test:
    • Does the mean height of Grade 12 students differ from 66 inches?
    • Do male and female Grade 7 and Grade 12 students differ in height on average?
    • Is the proportion of senior male students' height significantly higher than that of senior female students?

The Null and Alternative Hypothesis

  • Null Hypothesis: Denoted as "H sub o", states that there is no difference between a parameter and a specific value, always containing some form of equality.
  • Alternative Hypothesis: Denoted as "H sub a," it is the opposite of the null hypothesis, containing symbols like ≠, <, or >.
  • The null hypothesis is the current value of the population parameter, which you hope to disprove in favor of your alternative hypothesis.

Illustrative Example: School Record Claim

  • A school record claims incoming Grade 11 students have a mean math score of 81.
  • Option 1:
    • The mean score of incoming Grade 11 students is 81 (= 81).
    • The mean score of incoming Grade 11 students is not 81 (≠ 81).
  • Option 2:
    • The mean score of incoming Grade 11 students has no significant difference with the mean score of her students (= ).
    • The mean score of incoming Grade 11 students has a significant difference with the mean score of her students ( ).

Activity: Now It's Your Turn

  • To formulate two hypotheses about global vs average usage of her Friends and if it is the same as global average, global average = 142
  • HA. Is not equal to 142.

Example 1

  • Claim: Average monthly income of Filipino families in the low-income bracket is P 7,500.
    • H₀: Average monthly income is P 7,500 (μ = 7,500).
    • Hₐ: Average monthly income is not equal to P 7,500 (μ ≠ 7,500).
  • The null hypothesis is expressed using the "equal" symbol, because the claim does not specify any direction.

Example 2

  • Claim: The average number of hours that a person who develops a COVID-19 symptom to improve without treatment is more than 2 weeks.
    • H₀: The average number of hours that a person who develops a COVID-19 symptom to improve without treatment is 2 weeks. (μ = 2)
    • Hₐ: The average number of hours that a person who develops a COVID-19 symptom to improve without treatment is more than 2 weeks. (μ > 2)
  • Alternative hypothesis is expressed with a ">" symbol, indicating "more than/greater than."

Example 3

  • Claim: Average number of hours that side effects of COVID-19 vaccines last is less than 48 hours.
    • H₀: Average number of hours that side effects of COVID-19 vaccines last is 48 hours. (μ = 48)
    • Hₐ: Average number of hours that side effects of COVID-19 vaccines last is less than 48 hours. (μ < 48)
  • Alternative is expressed with "<" due to "less than" symbol.

Example 4

  • Claim: No more than 60% of the registered voters in Bataan voted in the local election.
    • H₀: No more than 60% of voters voted (μ ≤ 60).
    • Hₐ: More than 60% of voters voted (μ > 60).
  • The alternative is expressed with ">" showing "less than or equal to”.

Level of Significance

  • Denoted by alpha (α), the degree of significance at which the null hypothesis is rejected.
  • 100% accuracy is impossible.
  • Significance level represents the probability of making a wrong decision when the null hypothesis is true.
  • Common values for α are 1% (0.01), 5% (0.05).

Illustrative Example: Maria's Study

  • Maria uses a 5% level of significance in proving that there is negligble change in average enrollment in the 10 sections for the last two years.
  • This means there is a 5% chance the null hypothesis would be rejected when it is true.

Activity: Now It's Your Turn

  • If Sofia used a 0.10 level of significance, she would have a 10% chance of a wrong conclusion if the two values have no significant difference (null hypothesis).

Two-Tailed vs One-Tailed Test

  • Two-Tailed Test:
    • Alternative uses a not-equal sign, where there is no assertion made on the direction of the difference.
    • The rejection region is split into two equal parts, one in each tail.
  • One-Tailed Test:
    • Alternative uses "<" or ">". The critical rejection region lies entirely in one tail of the sampling distribution.
    • It may be a right or left-tailed test.

Illustrative Examples: Registrar Believes Enrollee Number is

  • Not the same as the previous year: Use a two-tailed test.
  • Less than the previous year: Use a left-tailed test.
  • Greater than the previous year: Use a right-tailed test.

Activity: Now It's Your Turn

  • In relation to the two claims of Sofia regarding her usage of social media, type of test:
    • For Claim A: Average is the same use a Two-Tailed test.
    • For Claim B: Average is higher use a Left-Tailed Test.

Illustration of the Rejection Region

  • The rejection region is a set of all values of the test statistic that causes us to reject the null hypothesis.
  • The non-rejection or acceptance region is the set of all values of the test statistic that causes failure to reject or accept the null hypothesis.
  • The critical value is a boundary on the test distribution, used to determine if the null hypothesis should be rejected.

Illustration Example 1: Sofia's Claim

  • Sofia's claim assumes the average online usage of her friends is the same globally.
  • It was computed for the t-value using t-value formula
    • Given: = 142, = 152
    • = 19.855 = 10
  • Critical T Value is 2.262
  • The T value lies in the non rejection-region.
  • As The computed t-value is at the non-rejection region, we fail to reject the null hypothesis:
    • H₀: The average online usage of her Friends is the same as global usage.
    • Hₐ: The average online usage of her Friends is not the same as global usage.

Illustration Example 2

  • A medical trial is conducted to test whether or not a certain drug reduces cholesterol level, and the Z value is computed and lies in the rejection area.
  • Results: As the computed z-value lies in the rejection region, we reject the null hypothesis.
    • H₀: The certain drug is effective in reducing cholesterol levels by 60%.
    • Hₐ: The certain drug is not effective in reducing cholesterol levels by 60%.

Illustrative Example 3

  • Sketch the rejection region of the test hypothesis with critical values of ±1.753
  • Determine if the computed t-value of -1.52 lies in that region.
  • Locate the computed t-value; since it is not in the rejection region, we fail to reject the null hypothesis, H₀ .

Type I and Type II Errors

  • Type I error is rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true.
  • Type II error is accepting the null hypothesis when it is false.

Error Summary

  • Null Hypothesis IS true:
    • A correct decision is failing to reject the null hypothesis.
    • A type 1 error, is incorrectly rejecting the null hypothesis.
  • Null Hypothesis is NOT true:
    • A type 2 error is incorrectly failing to reject the null hypothesis.
    • A correct decision is rejecting the null hypotheis.

Illustrative Example: Bryan's Food Cart

  • Bryan is starting a food cart business and tests at a 5% significance level whether the demand is high enough to support his business before he applies for permits, and states:
    • H₀: The demand is high enough.
  • What would be the consequence of a Type I error in this setting?
    • Bryan doesn't choose a city where demand is actually high enough.
    • This is because Bryan rejected the true null hypothesis.
  • What would be the consequence of a Type II error in this setting?
    • Bryan chooses a city where demand isn't actually high enough.
    • This is because Bryan failed to reject the false null hypothesis.

Illustrative Example 2: Resort Owner's Water Test

  • A resort owner tests the water in the swimming pool daily.
    • The hypotheses for the test are:
      • H₀: The water quality is acceptable.
      • Ha: The water quality is not acceptable.
  • Type I Error Consquence:
    • The owner closes the pool when it needs to be closed is Type 1 Error
  • Type II Error in Setting
    • The owner does not close, and chooses B is the type 2 error

Illustrative Example 2 - Safety

In terms of safety:

  • A Type II error (not closing the pool when it needs to be) has more dangerous consequences.

Activity; Now It's Your Turn

If Sofia finds that her null hypothesis is:

  • True, and fails to reject it, it is a Correct Decision.
  • True, and rejects it, she commits a Type I Error.
  • False, and fails to reject it, she commits a Type II Error.
  • False, and rejects it, she commits a Correct Decision.

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