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Questions and Answers
What is the expected payoff for Bill if he plays Heads and Ben plays Heads with probability $p$?
What is the expected payoff for Bill if he plays Heads and Ben plays Heads with probability $p$?
Under what condition would Bill be indifferent between playing Heads and Tails?
Under what condition would Bill be indifferent between playing Heads and Tails?
If $p < 1/2$, which strategy will Bill choose according to his expected payoffs?
If $p < 1/2$, which strategy will Bill choose according to his expected payoffs?
What is the expected payoff for Ben when he plays Tails and the probability of Bill playing Heads is $q$?
What is the expected payoff for Ben when he plays Tails and the probability of Bill playing Heads is $q$?
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If $p = 1$, what would be Bill's expected payoff for playing Heads?
If $p = 1$, what would be Bill's expected payoff for playing Heads?
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What defines a mixed strategy in game theory?
What defines a mixed strategy in game theory?
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In the game of Matching Pennies, what is the Nash equilibrium?
In the game of Matching Pennies, what is the Nash equilibrium?
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How does a player maximize their expected payoff using a mixed strategy?
How does a player maximize their expected payoff using a mixed strategy?
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What is the expected payoff of an outcome that has a 50/50 chance of yielding a payoff of 10 and a 5?
What is the expected payoff of an outcome that has a 50/50 chance of yielding a payoff of 10 and a 5?
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Which of the following best describes a pure strategy?
Which of the following best describes a pure strategy?
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What does Nash's Theorem state about Nash equilibrium?
What does Nash's Theorem state about Nash equilibrium?
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In the context of the Left-Centre-Right game mentioned, what is a mixed strategy represented by?
In the context of the Left-Centre-Right game mentioned, what is a mixed strategy represented by?
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Why might players choose to employ a mixed strategy rather than a pure strategy?
Why might players choose to employ a mixed strategy rather than a pure strategy?
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What will Ben choose if the probability q is less than 1/2?
What will Ben choose if the probability q is less than 1/2?
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In which scenario does Mixed Strategies make sense according to game theory?
In which scenario does Mixed Strategies make sense according to game theory?
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At what value of q is the Woman indifferent between attending the Opera and the Fight in the Battle of the Sexes?
At what value of q is the Woman indifferent between attending the Opera and the Fight in the Battle of the Sexes?
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What is the best response for Bill when he is playing against the given strategy by Ben?
What is the best response for Bill when he is playing against the given strategy by Ben?
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In the context of the Battle of the Sexes, what are the expected payoffs for the Man when he chooses the Opera if p is the probability he plays Heads?
In the context of the Battle of the Sexes, what are the expected payoffs for the Man when he chooses the Opera if p is the probability he plays Heads?
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How many Nash equilibria exist in the game scenario described?
How many Nash equilibria exist in the game scenario described?
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What is the Nash equilibrium strategy for both Ben and Bill?
What is the Nash equilibrium strategy for both Ben and Bill?
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When p equals 2/3, what will the Man choose to do in the Battle of the Sexes?
When p equals 2/3, what will the Man choose to do in the Battle of the Sexes?
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Study Notes
Mixed Strategies
- Pure strategies studied so far can be replaced by mixed strategies in some games
- A mixed strategy involves a probability distribution over a player's available pure strategies.
Matching Pennies
- A game where Bill and Ben simultaneously show one face of a coin
- Ben wins if both faces are the same, Bill if they are different.
- A payoff matrix, with payoffs circled, shows the outcome for each action for Bill and Ben
- A Nash equilibrium exists in every finite game
Finding a Nash Equilibrium
- The Nash equilibrium is where both players choose their actions with a probability of 1/2
- Two pure strategies (Head or Tail) determine mixed strategies
- The probability distribution for a player is (p, 1-p) where p = Probability(Head), 1-p= Probability(Tail)
Mixed Strategies Examples
- Matching Pennies: Playing Head/Tail equally often, or randomly
- Left-Centre-Right Game: Each of the three options is chosen with a 1/3 probability
Identifying a Mixed Strategy Equilibrium
- Players aim to maximize expected payoffs
- Expected payoffs calculated using probabilities of both player's actions
Expected Payoffs Calculations
- Example: Outcome Y has a 50/50 chance of yielding a payoff of 10 or 5
- Expected payoff = (Payoff 1 x Probability1) + (Payoff2 x Probability2)
- In this example, the expected payoff would be 7.5
Nash Equilibrium and Mixed Strategies
- A combination of mixed strategies forms a Nash equilibrium
- Each player's mixed strategy is optimal given the mixed strategies of the other players
Bill and Ben's Beliefs
- Bill assumes Ben plays Heads with probability p and Tails with 1-p
- Ben assumes Bill plays Heads with probability q and Tails with 1-q
Identifying the Nash Equilibrium in Mixed Strategies
- Bill's expected payoffs when choosing Head and Tail are calculated
- Ben's expected payoffs when choosing Head and Tail are calculated
- The values to make both players indifferent between both actions lead to a Nash equilibrium
Finding the Equilibrium Strategy
- Equating expected payoffs for Heads and Tails determines Bill's strategy, example: 1-2p = 2p-1, thus, p=0.5
- Equating expected payoffs leads to Ben's strategy, q=0.5
Mixed Strategies in the Real World
- Poker: Bluffing is often needed for a good strategy
- Penalty shootouts: Goalkeepers and shooters randomize their strategies
Battle of the Sexes Revisited
- Mixed strategies achieve a "fair" Nash equilibrium in coordination games
Battle of the Sexes Revisited - Payoff Calculations
- Expected payoffs for the Woman are calculated, based on possible outcomes
- Expected payoffs for the Man are calculated, based on possible outcomes
Battle of the Sexes Revisited - Finding the Equilibrium
- The Woman is indifferent between Opera and Fight when 2q = 1 - q, leading to q =1/3
- The Man is indifferent between Opera and Fight when p = 2 - 2p,leading to p = 2/3
Battle of the Sexes Revisited Results
- The game has three Nash equilibria
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Description
Explore the concepts of mixed strategies and Nash equilibrium in game theory. This quiz covers examples like Matching Pennies and examines how to determine strategies using probability distributions. Perfect for understanding strategic interactions in finite games.