Foundations of Finance: CAPM and Portfolio Risk
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Questions and Answers

What becomes difficult to solve when considering a large number of assets in portfolio selection?

  • Calculating the expected returns
  • Determining correlations
  • Finding optimal portfolio weights (correct)
  • Assessing idiosyncratic risks

Which risk is accounted for in the portfolio variance equation when correlation between securities equals zero?

  • Idiosyncratic risk (correct)
  • Systematic risk
  • Market risk
  • Credit risk

What is the implication of increasing the number of securities in a portfolio to infinity in terms of portfolio standard deviation?

  • Portfolio standard deviation increases
  • Portfolio variance remains constant
  • Portfolio variance becomes negative
  • Portfolio standard deviation approaches zero (correct)

Which model aims to improve upon the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)?

<p>Fama-French 3 factor model (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a significant practical problem associated with the CAPM concerning inputs needed for calculations?

<p>Inputs are complex and time-consuming to update (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of portfolio theory, what does the Security Market Line represent?

<p>The relationship between risk and return (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is one key benefit of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)?

<p>It is empirically parsimonious (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What type of risk is specifically mitigated when the correlation between two securities is zero?

<p>Idiosyncratic risk (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the risk contribution of security 𝑖 to portfolio risk 𝜎𝑚 primarily depend on?

<p>The covariance of security 𝑖 with other assets (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How is the measure of risk contribution mathematically represented?

<p>As a partial derivative (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What operation connects the derivative of the portfolio variance with respect to 𝑤𝑖 to the standard deviation?

<p>Multiplication by 2𝜎𝑀 (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which mathematical expression represents the derivative of the portfolio standard deviation with respect to the weight of security 𝑖?

<p>$ rac{2 ext{Cov}(R_i, R_j)}{ ext{Var}(R)}$ (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of portfolio risk, what does systematic risk primarily rely on?

<p>The covariance between assets (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the effect of changing the portfolio weight of asset 𝑖 on market volatility?

<p>It influences the contribution to market risk (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the expression $𝜕𝜎𝑀 /𝜕𝑤𝑖$ represent in portfolio management?

<p>The sensitivity of portfolio risk to weight change (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the term 'infinitesimal amount' in regard to adjusting portfolio weight signify?

<p>A very small change (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary assumption made about the assets in the diversification strategy?

<p>Each asset is equally risky. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What happens to the variance of the portfolio as the number of assets (N) increases?

<p>It declines towards zero. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which equation correctly represents the relationship between the returns of an individual stock and the broad market index?

<p>$R_i = eta_i R_M + u_i$ (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does the correlation of U.S. stocks affect portfolio variance according to the discussed factor model?

<p>Higher correlation increases variance. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is $eta_i$ in the context of the regression model for stock returns?

<p>The slope of the regression line indicating responsiveness to market returns. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a diversified portfolio, if each asset is represented by a weight of $w_i = rac{1}{N}$, what does this signify?

<p>Wealth is equally distributed across multiple assets. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the term $𝜎_p^2$ represent in portfolio theory?

<p>The variance of the portfolio's returns. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the expression $Cov(R_i, R_M)$ represent in the understanding of stock returns?

<p>The relationship between the returns of stock $R_i$ and the market index. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary motivation behind using a portfolio approach in investing?

<p>To eliminate idiosyncratic risk in individual stocks. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the long-short approach primarily hedge against?

<p>Market risk exposure. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the FF three-factor regression model, what does the term 𝑅𝑓𝑡 represent?

<p>The risk-free rate of return. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does a higher $R^2$ value in a regression indicate regarding stock returns?

<p>The model captures a larger fraction of the variation in returns. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

As per the findings in the homework assignment related to the SMB factor, what happens to the estimated $𝛽𝑖𝑆𝑀𝐵$ as portfolios transition from small-cap to large-cap firms?

<p>It moves from positive to negative. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What phenomenon does the HML factor capture in the three-factor model?

<p>Co-movement differences between value and growth stocks. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the term 'long-short approach' imply in the context of investment strategies?

<p>Simultaneously holding long and short positions in securities. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following statements is true about the Fama-French three-factor model?

<p>It accounts for size and value dimensions in asset pricing. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does CAPM primarily explain about stock returns?

<p>Returns purely based on aggregate stock market exposure (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the systematic risk factor identified in the CAPM?

<p>Market excess return, $E[R_M] - R_f$ (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In which step of the Fama-MacBeth procedure do we run a time-series regression for each stock?

<p>Step 1 (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does 𝛽𝑖 measure in the context of asset pricing?

<p>Systematic risk of security i (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is estimated in Step 2 of the Fama-MacBeth procedure?

<p>A cross-sectional regression for expected returns (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which equations represents the Security Characteristic Line (SCL)?

<p>$R_{it} - R_f = a_i + \beta_i \times (R_{Mt} - R_f) + \epsilon_{it}$ (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which equation represents the relationship between expected return and risk in asset pricing?

<p>𝐸 [𝑅𝑖 ] − 𝑅 𝑓 = 𝜆 𝑗 𝛽𝑖 (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the purpose of the coefficients $\beta_i$ in the CAPM framework?

<p>To determine the stock's sensitivity to the market risk factor (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the purpose of the Fama-MacBeth approach in asset pricing?

<p>To jointly estimate market price of risk and asset exposure (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The market price of risk factor 𝑗, denoted by 𝜆 𝑗, indicates what?

<p>The excess return demanded for exposure to a risk factor (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How is the cross-sectional regression in Step 2 structured?

<p>It investigates whether higher $\beta$ results in higher expected returns. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What risk factors did Fama-MacBeth identify in the asset pricing tests conducted in class?

<p>Value-Growth factor and Small-Large factor (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What data is collected first in the Fama-MacBeth procedure?

<p>Panel dataset of historical asset excess returns (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How is systematic risk quantified in the context of security pricing?

<p>Via covariance with all other securities (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the expected risk premium for a stock represent?

<p>The return an investor expects above the risk-free rate (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

When is the Fama-MacBeth procedure particularly useful?

<p>For testing if CAPM holds and other risk factors explain returns (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Variance (𝜎^2)

A measure of the spread of possible outcomes for an investment, quantifying the level of uncertainty associated with returns.

Equal Weighting

A simplified strategy where an investor divides their wealth equally among all available assets.

Correlation

A measure of the degree to which two variables move together. In finance, it can indicate the level of correlation between the returns of two investments.

Systematic Risk (Beta, 𝛽)

A general measure of systemic risk, which is the risk associated with the overall market or economy.

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Non-systematic Risk (Epsilon, 𝜀)

A measure of specific risk, which is the risk that is unique to a particular asset or investment and not shared by other assets.

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Market Sensitivity

The relationship between the return of an individual asset and the return of a market index, measured by Beta (𝛽).

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Regression Analysis

A type of statistical analysis that examines the linear relationship between two variables. In finance, it can be used to assess the relationship between an individual asset's returns and the market's returns, thereby pinpointing systematic risk (Beta).

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Factor Model

A model that captures the relationship between the returns of an individual asset and the returns of a broader market index.

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Diversification Effect

The variance of a portfolio with many uncorrelated assets approaches zero as the number of assets increases infinitely. This is because the diversification effect eliminates unsystematic risk.

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Idiosyncratic Risk

A risk that affects only one asset or a small group of assets. It's not correlated with the overall market. This risk can be reduced by adding many uncorrelated assets.

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Systematic Risk

The risk that affects the entire market or a large number of assets simultaneously. This risk cannot be eliminated through diversification.

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Portfolio Variance with Many Assets

In a portfolio with many assets, the portfolio variance is the sum of squared weights times the variance of each asset.

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Risk-Reward Relationship

The relationship between the risk of an asset and its expected return. It provides a framework for understanding how investors should be compensated for taking on risk.

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Security Market Line (SML)

The relationship between the risk of an individual asset and its expected return, as determined by the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). It depicts a line that represents the expected return for any asset based on its systematic risk.

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CAPM Expected Return

The expected return on a security is determined by its beta, a measure of its systematic risk, and the risk-free rate. It is the expected return of a security adjusted for its systematic risk.

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Fama-MacBeth Regression

A statistical method developed by Fama and MacBeth used to test asset pricing models, including CAPM. It involves estimating the relationship between expected returns and risk factors across many time periods.

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Beta (βi)

A measure of how much an asset's return changes in relation to changes in the market portfolio. It represents the systematic risk of an individual asset, reflecting its sensitivity to overall market movements.

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Market Price of Risk Factor (λj)

The expected excess return an investor should demand for holding an asset with a one-hundred percent exposure to a particular risk factor.

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Fama-MacBeth (FMB) Procedure

A statistical method used to estimate the market price of a risk factor and the exposure of an asset to that factor.

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Exposure to Risk Factor (βi)

A measure of how much an asset's return changes in response to changes in a specific risk factor.

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Risk Premium

The excess return that an investor expects to earn for holding a risky asset compared to a risk-free asset.

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Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)

A model that explains asset returns based on their sensitivity to systematic risk.

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Risk-Free Rate (Rf)

The return that can be earned from a risk-free investment such as a government bond.

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Risk Contribution

A measure of how much the portfolio's overall volatility changes when you slightly adjust the weight of a specific asset. It essentially quantifies the risk contribution of that individual asset to the portfolio's total risk.

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Risk Contribution Dependence

The risk contribution of a specific asset depends on its covariance with every other asset in the portfolio.

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Covariance and Risk Contribution

The risk contribution of an asset is determined by its covariance with other assets in the portfolio. Covariance measures the relationship between assets, indicating how they move together.

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Risk Contribution Calculation

The portfolio's risk contribution is calculated by taking the partial derivative of the portfolio's standard deviation with respect to the asset's weight.

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Systematic Risk and Covariance

Only systematic risk, the market-wide risk that cannot be diversified away, matters in a portfolio. Covariance captures this systematic risk.

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Portfolio Variance Derivative

The derivative of the portfolio variance is twice the standard deviation multiplied by the derivative of the standard deviation.

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Portfolio Variance

The portfolio variance is a measure of its overall risk and is calculated by a sum of weighted covariances.

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Portfolio Variance Derivative Calculation

The partial derivative of the portfolio variance with respect to an asset's weight is calculated as twice the weighted sum of covariances.

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What is the CAPM?

CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model) is a model that explains the relationship between a stock's expected return and its systematic risk, measured by beta.

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What is beta in CAPM?

Beta (β) represents a stock's sensitivity to market movements. A beta of 1 means the stock's price moves in line with the market, while a beta greater than 1 indicates higher volatility.

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What is the Fama-MacBeth procedure?

The Fama-MacBeth (FM) procedure is a statistical technique used to test the validity of the CAPM. It involves two steps: time-series regressions to estimate betas for each stock and cross-sectional regressions to examine the relationship between beta and expected returns.

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What happens in the time-series regression step of the FM procedure?

The time-series regression step of the FM procedure uses historical data to estimate the beta of each individual stock. This is done by regressing the stock's excess returns against the market excess returns.

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What happens in the cross-sectional regression step of the FM procedure?

In the cross-sectional regression step of the FM procedure, the estimated betas are used as independent variables to explain the variation in stock returns across different stocks at a specific point in time.

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What is the goal of the Fama-MacBeth procedure?

The FM procedure tests whether higher beta stocks have significantly higher expected returns, as predicted by CAPM. If the relationship is statistically significant, it provides evidence supporting CAPM.

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What are the implications of the Fama-MacBeth procedure?

The FM procedure helps to identify the validity of the CAPM in explaining stock returns using historical data. It determines whether there is a significant relationship between systematic risk (beta) and expected returns across multiple stocks.

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Why is the Fama-MacBeth procedure important?

The FM procedure can provide valuable insights into the relationship between risk and return in financial markets. This can help investors to understand the factors that drive stock returns and make informed investment decisions.

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Fama-French Three-Factor Model

A factor model that expands upon the CAPM by incorporating two additional factors: SMB (size) and HML (value). It seeks to better explain the variation in stock returns.

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Idiosyncratic Risk (ε)

Represents the risk that is unique to a particular asset or investment and is not shared by other assets; it can be diversified away by building a portfolio.

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SMB (Size Factor)

A factor that captures the difference in returns between small-cap stocks and large-cap stocks, suggesting that small-cap stocks tend to outperform.

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HML (Value Factor)

A factor that captures the difference in returns between high book-to-market (value) stocks and low book-to-market (growth) stocks, suggesting that value stocks tend to outperform.

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Portfolio Approach

A portfolio construction strategy aiming to reduce idiosyncratic risk by holding diverse assets; it mitigates the impact of specific risks associated with individual investments.

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Study Notes

Foundations of Finance: CAPM and Empirical Asset Pricing

  • The quadratic programming problem for optimal portfolio selection becomes difficult with many assets.
  • The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) offers a simplified and empirically sound method.
  • It calculates expected returns by accounting for risk-free rate and market risk.

Portfolio Variance with Many Risky Securities: Idiosyncratic and Systematic Risk

  • Case 1: Non-systematic risk only: Portfolio variance is the sum of individual asset variances when correlations are zero.
  • Case 2: Systematic and non-systematic risk: US stock correlations are not zero.
  • Portfolio variance decreases with more assets; it approaches zero with many assets.
  • Systematic risk, captured by Beta, is the sensitivity of a stock's return compared to the overall market.
  • Idiosyncratic risk is the unique risk of an asset, not related to the market.
  • Total risk= systematic risk + idiosyncratic risk

Risk-Reward Relationship and Security Market Line

  • A First Risk-Reward Relationship: The expected return of a security should be influenced by its systematic risk (beta) and the risk-free rate.
  • A Second Risk-Reward Relationship (Security Market Line): The expected return of an asset equals the risk-free return plus the systematic risk compensation, calculated through its beta.
    • Expected return = risk-free rate + beta * (market risk premium)

Testing CAPM: The Fama-French Approach

  • The Fama-MacBeth procedure estimates market risk prices (lambda) and beta measures of factors in asset returns.
  • It tests whether a portfolio's returns can be explained by changes in the factors.

Improving CAPM: Fama-French Three-Factor Model

  • Includes size (SMB) and value (HML) factors beyond market risk, offering a more comprehensive understanding of returns.
  • These factors represent the systematic risk of small minus big (SMB) and high minus low (HML) portfolios.
  • The Fama-French model assesses expected returns considering these three factors (market, size, value).

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Description

Explore the principles of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and learn how it simplifies portfolio selection. This quiz examines the concepts of systematic and idiosyncratic risk, variance in portfolios, and the risk-reward relationship in asset pricing.

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