3 Statistical Measures of Asset Returns

Choose a study mode

Play Quiz
Study Flashcards
Spaced Repetition
Chat to Lesson

Podcast

Play an AI-generated podcast conversation about this lesson
Download our mobile app to listen on the go
Get App

Questions and Answers

The company's average compound annual growth rate of earnings is closest to:

  • 7.7% (correct)
  • 8.5%
  • 8.0%

The sample standard deviation of the prices of condominiums is closest to:

  • 38.47
  • 370.00
  • 19.24 (correct)

Which security has the highest level of relative risk as measured by the coefficient of variation?

  • Y. (correct)
  • Z.
  • X.

The mean absolute deviation (MAD) of the dataset 25, 15, 35, 45, and 55 is closest to:

<p>12 (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Determine if the geometric return of the fund will be less than or greater than the arithmetic return and calculate the fund's geometric return:

<p>4.96% less than (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the compound annual growth rate for stock A which has annual returns of 5.60%, 22.67%, and -5.23%?

<p>7.08% (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The expected return on a portfolio invested in Stock A (expected return 6%), Stock B (expected return 10%), and a risk-free asset (return 5%) is:

<p>7.0% (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The third quartile is calculated for the following set of stock returns: 12%, 23%, 27%, 10%, 7%, 20%, 15%. Which is it?

<p>23% (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Relative to a portfolio with normally distributed returns, a portfolio with a kurtosis measure of 4.2 has a:

<p>higher probability of extreme upside returns and higher chance of extreme downside returns. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The sample standard deviation from the following annual returns: Firm 1 15%, Firm 2 2%, Firm 3 5%, Firm 4 (7%), Firm 5 0% is closest to:

<p>8.0 (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

For a unimodal distribution with negative skewness, which statement is true?

<p>the median is greater than the mean. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the order (from lowest value to highest) for mode, mean, and median in a negatively skewed distribution?

<p>Mode, mean, median. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the sample variance of the ROE over the last three years for Acme Corp with returns of 4%, 10%, and 1%?

<p>21.0(%2). (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The average compound annual rate over the four years for these returns: R1 = +10%, R2 = –15%, R3 = 0%, R4 = +5% is closest to:

<p>–0.5%. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A distribution with a mode of 10 and a range of 2 to 25 would most likely be:

<p>positively skewed. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The sample standard deviation of asset returns from the following: A - 1.3%, B - 1.4%, C - 2.2%, D - 3.4% is closest to:

<p>0.97%. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The equivalent compound annual rate for XYZ Corporation with returns of 10.4%, 8.1%, 3.2%, and 15.0% is:

<p>9.1%. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Find the respective mean and mean absolute deviation (MAD) of a series of stock market returns (Year 1: 14%, Year 2: 20%, Year 3: 24%, Year 4: 22%):

<p>20%; 3%. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The interquartile range for the given box-and-whisker plot is:

<p>3.1% to 5.2%. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Stock X's expected return is 30% and its expected standard deviation is 5%. What is Stock X's expected coefficient of variation?

<p>0.167. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Given the following data set: 17, 3, 13, 3, 5, 9, 8, the value 8 is most accurately described as the:

<p>median. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are the geometric and arithmetic mean returns, respectively, for the annual returns of 2002 (15%), 2003 (2%), 2004 (5%), 2005 (-7%), 2006 (0%)?

<p>2.75%; 3.00%. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A distribution of returns that has a greater percentage of small deviations from the mean compared to a normal distribution:

<p>has positive excess kurtosis. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a distribution is positively skewed, then generally:

<p>mean &gt; median &gt; mode. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The following data points are observed returns: 4.2%, 6.8%, 7.0%, 10.9%, 11.6%, 14.4%, 17.0%, 19.0%, 22.5%. What return lies at the 70th percentile?

<p>17.0%. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following statements about kurtosis is least accurate?

<p>describes the degree to which a distribution is not symmetric about its mean. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Consider the following statements about the geometric and arithmetic means as measures of central tendency. Which statement is least accurate?

<p>The geometric mean may be used to estimate the average return over a one-period time horizon because it is the average of one-period returns. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the seventh decile of the following data points?

<p>141.7. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The mean monthly return on a sample of small stocks is 4.56% with a standard deviation of 3.56%. If the risk-free rate is 1%, what is the coefficient of variation?

<p>0.78. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the coefficient of variation for a distribution with a mean of 10 and a variance of 4?

<p>20%. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A distribution that has positive excess kurtosis is:

<p>more peaked than a normal distribution. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

An investor has a portfolio with 10% cash, 30% bonds, and 60% stock. If last year's returns were 2.0% (cash), 9.5% (bonds), and 25% (stock), what was the return on the portfolio?

<p>18.05%. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

An investor has a portfolio of $12,000 consisting of $7,000 in stock P with an expected return of 20% and $5,000 in stock Q with an expected return of 10%. What is the investor's expected return on the portfolio?

<p>15.8%. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Michael Philizaire decides to calculate the geometric average of the appreciation/deprecation of his home over the last five years. The year-to-year percentage changes are: 20, 15, 0, -5, -5. The geometric return is closest to:

<p>4.49%. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The respective arithmetic mean and geometric mean returns of the following series of stock market returns: Year 1 14%, Year 2 6%, Year 3 −5%, Year 4 20%:

<p>8.75%; 8.62%. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following statements concerning kurtosis is most accurate?

<p>A leptokurtic distribution has fatter tails than a normal distribution. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are the median and the third quintile of the data points: 9.2%, 10.1%, 11.5%, 11.9%, 12.2%, 12.8%, 13.1%, 13.6%, 13.9%, 14.2%, 14.8%, 14.9%, 15.4%?

<p>12.8%; 13.6%. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

An analyst compiles the returns on Fund Q over the last four years: Year 1 4%, Year 2 3%, Year 3 2%, Year 4 30%. Which return measure will result in the lowest mean return?

<p>The harmonic mean. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The annual returns on ABC Mutual Fund for the last 10 years are 11.0%, 12.5%, 8.0%, 9.0%, 13.0%, 7.0%, 15.0%, 2.0%, -16.5%, 11.0%. Assuming a mean of 7.2%, what is the sample standard deviation?

<p>9.1%. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following statements concerning skewness is least accurate?

<p>Positive skewness has a long left tail. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A 5% trimmed mean ignores the:

<p>highest and lowest 2.5% of observations. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Given the annual returns on 5 portfolio investments what is the return on the portfolio?

<p>11.00; 10.97. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Twenty Level I CFA candidates in a study group took a practice exam. If one candidate's score is a low outlier, including their score will most likely:

<p>have a mean that is less than its median. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The correlation between two variables is –0.74. The most appropriate way to interpret this correlation is that:

<p>the two variables have a negative linear association. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The following annualized monthly return measures have been calculated for an investment based on its performance over the last 72 months. If for one month in the period the return was extremely high, which measure best reflects the central tendency of the investment's returns?

<p>Winsorized mean. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a positively skewed distribution, what is the order (from lowest value to highest) for the distribution's mode, mean, and median values?

<p>Mode, median, mean. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The owner of a company raised the salary of one employee making the highest salary by 40%. Which of the following value(s) is (are) expected to be affected by this raise?

<p>mean only. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following statements concerning a distribution with positive skewness and positive excess kurtosis is least accurate?

<p>It has a lower percentage of small deviations from the mean than a normal distribution. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The mean monthly return on a security is 0.42% with a standard deviation of 0.25%. What is the coefficient of variation?

<p>60%. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does it mean to say that an observation is at the sixty-fifth percentile?

<p>65% of all the observations are below that observation. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If the historical mean return on an investment is 2.0%, the standard deviation is 8.8%, and the risk-free rate is 0.5%, what is the coefficient of variation (CV)?

<p>4.40. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Given the following annual returns, what is the mean absolute deviation?

<p>5.6%. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A distribution that is more peaked than a normal distribution is termed:

<p>leptokurtic. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Returns for a portfolio over the last four years show returns: Year 1 17.0%, Year 2 12.2%, Year 3 3.9%, Year 4 -8.4%. What is their coefficient of variation (CV)?

<p>1.80. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

An analyst calculates a winsorized mean return of 3.2% for an investment fund. This measure most likely:

<p>replaces outliers with less extreme returns. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Over the last five years, an investment fund's monthly returns were stable apart from last year, where two extremely high returns were recorded. If the arithmetic mean for the fund's monthly returns over the period is 6.7%, a trimmed or winsorized mean return is most likely to be:

<p>lower than the arithmetic mean. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The correlation coefficient between the return on an investment and the rate of economic growth is -0.065. An analyst should most likely interpret this correlation coefficient as indicating that returns on this investment are:

<p>not related linearly to economic growth. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If an analyst concludes that the distribution of a large sample of returns is positively skewed, which of the following relationships involving the mean, median, and mode is most likely?

<p>Mean &gt; median &gt; mode. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

An investor has the following assets: $5,000 in bonds (expected return of 8%), $10,000 in equities (expected return of 12%), $5,000 in real estate (expected return of 10%). What is the portfolio's expected return?

<p>10.50%. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

For a positively skewed distribution, the median is greater than:

<p>the mode, but less than the mean. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

For the investments shown in the table below: Investment A 12%, Investment B 14%, Investment C 9%, Investment D 13%, Investment E 7%, Investment F 8%, Investment G 12%. Which statement is most accurate?

<p>The median is equal to the mode. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Geometric Mean

Average growth rate over multiple periods, compounding effects included.

Sample Standard Deviation

Measures the dispersion around the average in sample data.

Coefficient of Variation (CV)

Standard deviation divided by the arithmetic mean, measuring relative risk.

Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD)

Average absolute difference from the mean, showing data variability.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Geometric Return

Average return considering compounding. It is always less than or equal to the arithmetic return.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Compound Annual Growth Rate

Annual growth rate calculated using the geometric mean.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Leptokurtic

Distribution with higher peak and fatter tails than normal.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Standard Deviation

Measure of data spread; square root of the variance.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Negatively Skewed Distribution

Mean is not equal to median, not equal to mode.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Geometric Mean Return

Averages returns, accounting for compounding.

Signup and view all the flashcards

70th Percentile

70% of data falls below.

Signup and view all the flashcards

A 5% Trimmed Mean

Removes extremes, averages only center values.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Coefficient of Variation

Dispersion relative to the measures of returns.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Positive Excess Kurtosis

More peaked than normal distribution.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Positively Skewed Data

Mode < Median < Mean

Signup and view all the flashcards

Winsorized Mean

Replaces outliers with less extreme values.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Study Notes

Compound Annual Growth Rate

  • Calculated using the geometric mean
  • The geometric mean calculation:
    • [(1.10)(1.14)(1.12)(1.10)(0.90)(1.12)]1/6 − 1 = 0.0766, resulting in 7.66%

Sample Standard Deviation

  • This measures the dispersion of sample data around the sample mean
  • Calculations Involve:
    • Calculating the sample mean
    • (125 + 175 + 150 + 155 + 135) / 5 = 148
    • Calculating the Sample Variance
    • [(125 – 148)2 + (175 – 148)2 + (150 – 148)2 + (155 – 148)2 + (135 – 148)2] / (5 – 1) = 1,480 / 4 = 370
    • Standard Deviation:
    • 3701/2 = 19.24%

Coefficient of Variation

  • Defined as standard deviation / arithmetic mean
  • Measures relative dispersion/risk
  • Security Y has the highest relative risk at 3.92, since a higher CV denotes higher relative risk
    • CVX = 0.7 / 0.9 = 0.78
    • CVY = 4.7 / 1.2 = 3.92
    • CVZ = 5.2 / 1.5 = 3.47

Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD)

  • Calculated by summing the deviations around the mean (ignoring the sign) and dividing by the number of observations
  • Example calculation:
    • Mean is (25+15+35+45+55)/5 = 35
    • MAD is (10+20+0+10+20) / 5 = 12

Geometric Return

  • Geometric return <= arithmetic return
  • The geometric return calculation:
    • [(1 + 0.25)(1 + 0.15)(1 + 0.12)(1 - 0.08)(1 – 0.14)]1/5 – 1 = 0.4960, is 4.96%.

Compound Annual Growth Rate

  • Defined as the geometric mean.
  • Example calculation:
    • (1.056 × 1.2267 × 0.9477)1/3 – 1 = 7.08%

Expected Return on a Portfolio

  • Calculate with the equation: (0.333)(0.06) + (0.333)(0.10) + 0.333(0.05) = 0.07 - Therefore, the expected return is 7.0%

Third Quartile

  • The third quartile is calculated as:
    • Ly = (n + 1) (75/100)
  • The third quartile in the returns series 7%, 10%, 12%, 15%, 20%, 23%, 27% is 23%
    • Ly = (7 + 1) (75/100) = 6.

Kurtosis

  • Leptokurtic distributions are more peaked in the middle, data is more clustered around the mean, with greater probability of outliers

Sample Standard Deviation

  • The sample variance is calculated by summing the squared deviations from the mean and dividing by (n - 1)
  • Example calculation:
    • [(15 – 3)2 + (2 – 3)2 + (5 – 3)2 + (-7 – 3)2 + (0 – 3)2] / (5 – 1) = 64.5
  • Sample standard deviation is the square root of the sample variance
    • Example, √64.5 = 8.03

Unimodal Distribution with Negative Skewness

  • The mean < median < mode.

Negatively Skewed Distribution

  • The lowest to highest order for distribution values is: mean, median, mode

Sample Variance of Returns on Equity (ROE)

  • Calculated by [(4 – 5)² + (10 – 5)² + (1 – 5)²] / (3 – 1) = 21(%²)

Average Compound Annual Rate

  • Defined as G = [(1.10)(0.85)(1.00)(1.05)]^(0.25) – 1 = (0.98175)^(0.25) – 1 = 0.9954 – 1 = -0.00459 ≈ −0.5%

Distribution Skewness

  • A distribution with a mode of 10 and a range of 2 to 25 is positively skewed, the distance is skewed to the right

Sample Standard Deviation

  • Square root of the sum of squares of the position returns less the mean return, divided by the number of observations in the sample minus one

Equivalent Compound Annual Rate

  • (1.104 × 1.081 × 1.032 × 1.15)^0.25 – 1 = 9.1%

Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD)

  • MAD = [|14-20| + |20 – 20| + |24 – 20| + |22 – 20|] / 4 = 3%

Interquartile Range

  • The interquartile range (IQR) spans from the first quartile (25th percentile) to the third quartile (75th percentile)
  • Represented by the box in a box-and-whisker plot.
  • The horizontal line inside represents the median (50th percentile).

Coefficient of Variation

  • The coefficient of variation (CV) is the standard deviation divided by the mean, 5 / 30 = 0.167.

Median

  • Median is middle distribution value
  • Example calculation:
    • Mean = (3 + 3+5+8+9+13 + 17) / 7 = 8.28
    • Mode = 3

Geometric And Arithmetic Mean Returns

  • Geometric Mean is (1.15 × 1.02 × 1.05 × 0.93 × 1.0)^(1/5) – 1 = 1.1454^(1/5) – 1 = 2.75%
  • Arithmetic Mean is (15% + 2% + 5% - 7% + 0%) / 5 = 3.00%

Distribution of Returns

  • A distribution with more small deviations/mean & more large deviations/mean compared to normal has positive excess kurtosis

Positively Skewed Distributions

  • A distribution is positively skewed id mean > median > mode

Percentile Returns

  • The 70th percentile is equivalent to the (9 + 1)(70 / 100) = 7th observation, ascending.

Kurtosis

  • Skewness measures the degree to which a distribution is not symmetric.
  • Excess kurtosis, relative to a normal distribution, indicates peakedness and reflects the probability of extreme outcomes.

Geometric And Arithmetic Means

  • Arithmetic mean estimates the average return over a one-period time horizon.

Quantiles

  • Determined as: Ly = (n + 1)(y) / (100)

Coefficient of Variation

  • expresses how much dispersion exists relative to the mean of a distribution
  • calculate as CV = s / mean

A Distribution

  • Described as having positive excess kurtosis that's above normal

A Portfolio

  • Calculated as adding returns on cash, bonds, and stock.

The Sample Standard

  • Calculated using sample variance

Distributions

  • Skew should not asymmetrical, outliers should on the left and right tail

Trimmed Mean

  • Should discard the lowest and highest values.

Geometric Mean

  • [(1.12 × 1.14 × 1.09 × 1.13 × 1.07)^(1/5)] – 1 = 10.97%

Returns

  • When they grade the score, their distribution should be positively affected.

Correlation

  • The high correlation suggests a negative linear association

Central Tendency

  • Winsorized mean should be measured to see the distribution

Distribution

  • in positively skewed distribution mode is less than median

Expected Value

  • Calculate bonds, equities and real estate by dividing the assets

Distribution

  • It will reverse positively to negatively skewed

The Mid-Point

  • Arrange 7, 8, 9, 12, 12, 13, 14.

Studying That Suits You

Use AI to generate personalized quizzes and flashcards to suit your learning preferences.

Quiz Team

Related Documents

More Like This

Dispersion Measures Quiz
10 questions

Dispersion Measures Quiz

MultiPurposeValley avatar
MultiPurposeValley
Statistica: Media e Varianza con Frequenze
10 questions
Use Quizgecko on...
Browser
Browser