Financial Risk and Credit Ratings Assessment
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Financial Risk and Credit Ratings Assessment

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Questions and Answers

What does a Z-Score greater than 3.00 indicate for a company like Home Depot?

  • The company will likely need to restructure its finances.
  • The company is experiencing high levels of debt.
  • The company is nearing bankruptcy.
  • The company has a low risk of bankruptcy in the short term. (correct)
  • How accurately does the Z-Score predict bankruptcy in Year 1?

  • 95% accuracy (correct)
  • 72% accuracy
  • 85% accuracy
  • 60% accuracy
  • Which component contributes the least to Altman's Z-Score calculation?

  • Sales (correct)
  • Market Value of Equity
  • Retained Earnings
  • Working Capital
  • What is the Z-Score formula primarily used for?

    <p>To predict bankruptcy risk.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the primary focus of the Z-Score when evaluating a company’s financial health?

    <p>A combination of factors including working capital and retained earnings</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the primary purpose of the Credit Rating Agency Reform Act?

    <p>To establish a registration system for credit rating agencies.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How does the issuer's credit rating differ from the issue rating?

    <p>The issue rating considers specific financial obligations.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the role of bankruptcy prediction indicators?

    <p>They assess a company’s bankruptcy risk at a specific point in time.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a significant factor considered in Altman's Z-Score?

    <p>The ratio of EBIT to total assets.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does a Z-Score above 3 typically indicate?

    <p>The company is considered financially healthy.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is primarily assessed by credit analysts when analyzing an issuer's creditworthiness?

    <p>Macroeconomic, industry, and firm-specific information</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How do credit rating agencies generally predict loan default?

    <p>By assessing chance of default and ultimate payment</p> Signup and view all the answers

    The FFO/DEBT ratio is primarily used to assess which aspect of an issuer's financial health?

    <p>Operating cash flow relative to debt obligations</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In credit rating analysis, what does a strong business risk profile indicate?

    <p>Strong operational performance and financial stability</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is likely considered the baseline credit rating for an issuer with a strong business risk profile and an FFO/DEBT ratio of 25%?

    <p>bbb+</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which ratio is commonly used in S&P's determination of financial risk?

    <p>Debt to capital ratio</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does Altman's Z-Score primarily evaluate?

    <p>Likelihood of bankruptcy</p> Signup and view all the answers

    A Z-Score result above 2.99 typically indicates what?

    <p>The company is financially healthy</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Study Notes

    Altman's Z Model

    • Predicts bankruptcy risk for up to two years with 95% accuracy in Year 1 and 72% accuracy in Year 2
    • Working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales are included in the formula
    • A Z-score in excess of 3.00 suggests a healthy company with a low risk of bankruptcy in the short term

    Credit Rating Analysis

    • Credit analysts at rating agencies consider macroeconomic, industry, and firm-specific information
    • Assessing chance of default and ultimate payment in the event of default
    • Fair degree of accuracy in predicting loan default

    S&P Global Ratings

    • Financial risk determined using cash flow and leverage ratios, similar to those used in the textbook
    • Composite rating for Verizon is bbb+
    • FFO/DEBT ratio, Debt/EBITDA, and Debt to Capital are key indicators in their analysis

    Credit Rating Agency Reform Act (2006)

    • Established a registration system for credit rating agencies
    • Separation of rating activities from other business activities
    • Improved transparency, including disclosure of methodologies, performance track records, and conflicts of interest
    • Created list of Nationally Recognized Statistical Ratings Organizations (NRSRO)
    • The SEC has designated only 9 agencies as NRSROs

    Rating of Issuers vs Rating of Issue

    • Issuer's rating addresses overall creditworthiness and typically pertains to senior unsecured debt
    • Issue rating refers to specific financial obligations and considers ranking in the capital structure, such as secured or subordinated
    • Cross-default provisions may indicate similar default probabilities for all outstanding debt

    Bankruptcy Prediction Indicators

    • Assess a company's bankruptcy risk at a specific point in time

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    Description

    This quiz explores key concepts related to Altman's Z Model, credit rating analysis, and relevant regulations such as the Credit Rating Agency Reform Act of 2006. Learn how to evaluate bankruptcy risks and creditworthiness using financial ratios and models. Test your understanding of these essential financial tools and their applications in assessing company health and risk.

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